Handicappers' Race Results

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Charles Town
Wednesday - November 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CT-1   Win (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $2.20 $2.20  
CT-2   Win (7/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $10.40  
CT-3   Win (4/9/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $48.80  
CT-4   Win (1/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.20 $4.20  
CT-5   Win (6/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $8.60 $8.60 2.60
CT-6   Win (5/9/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $9.20  
CT-7   Win (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $37.60  
CT-8   Win (4/3/8/9/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 0 $18.40  

Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   11/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:142     1:211   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLANET FROLIC 2 2 2 2nk   1nk 1 (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 121 0.40 40% 1.50 0.10 W
VIENNA'S TWIRL 7 3 1 1nk   2nk 2 (keller christopher )HO WESLEY 121 5.00 5.50  
I LOVE MARIA 1 1 3 4   4 310 (ovando m)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 10.00 21% 3.70 21.40 S
BEST WORST IDEA 3 4 4 3   35 410¼ (ramirez jose )MENDEZ MARSHALL 121 6.00 14.30  
DREAM OF GOLD 5 7 710¾ 6   511¼ 511¼ (haynes m)RODRIGUEZ V 121 12.00 5% 19.00 36.00  
NINETY PROOF 4 6 5 5   612¾ 620¾ (groves janice)RIOS-CONDE A 122 12.00 28.70  
IVY WAY 6 5 610½ 714¼   715¼ 722½ (saleem gordo)MENDOZA JHONATAN 124 20.00 57.50  
 
CT-2   11/29/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:141     1:282   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IHEARTRAINACOMN 1 1 1 1nk   2nk 1 (dollinger-sthr)BATISTA A 120 4.00 4.20  
SPARKLEINYOUREYE 5 3 5 3.2   1nk 2 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 118 3.00 12% 7.10 3.70 P
PHILMARY CASTLE 2 2 3 5   33 36 (bourne j)LARROSA G 120 15.00 47.10  
KAALA 6 5 4 4¼   44 4 (contrera)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.40 0.90  
NEW AGE BAD GIRL 3 7 6 6   5 5 (hamlin e)MAWING A 120 20.00 5% 19.00 50.00  
LUZIA 4 4 7 7   7 614¼ (gazzier kri)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 8.00 11.90  
O K SMARTY PANTS 7 6 2 2nk   6 714¾ (sterling michael )PELTROCHE F 120 5.00 62% 0.60 4.70  
 
CT-3   11/29/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:221 :463       :532   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MACHEN MARGARITAS 6 2 1     1 1 (carlisle c)RIVERA JAVIER 121 15.00 23.40  
SHE'S A BRICKHOUSE 1 8 57     4 2 (hamlin e)LARROSA G 121 10.00 16.80  
JUBA'S PUNCH 8 1 2     2 3 (joy j)CRUZ ANGEL 121 6.00 20% 4.00 2.00 S
TRUE INDY 7 3 45     3 4 (sanderson s)PELTROCHE F 121 10.00 10% 9.10 9.20  
PRINCESS MARGARET 3 6 7     6 5 (grams timot)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 121 5.00 25% 3.00 6.70  
TRUE BUCKPASSING 5 7 814½     713¼ 6 (sanderson s)RODRIGUEZ V 121 10.00 10.60  
RIGHT TO REFUSE 4 4 3     5 711 (carlisle john)MENDEZ MARSHALL 121 1.20 1.20  
COLD CASH 2 5 6     813¾ 816¾ (pickett crysta)TROTMAN KEIMAR 121 10.00 10% 9.10 33.20  
SCR  BABY BREEZE               (joy j)ARAUJO DENIS 121 12.00    
 
CT-4   11/29/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:223 :463       :53   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KARMA BUS 1 5 2nk     1½ 1 (brown ro)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 2.50 42% 1.40 1.10 W
MAGICAL SURPRISE 3 3 4     33 2 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 5.00 6.40  
EL PACHO 6 1 1nk     2½ 33 (reyes d)CRUZ ANGEL 118 3.50 2.40  
GOLDEN ARROW (IRE) 7 2 6     67 45 (runco c)CULLUM W 120 8.00 5% 19.00 30.70  
BORN TO SIN 2 6 33     57 5 (grams timot)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 3.00 4.80  
S S MIRAGE 4 7 5     4 6 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 118 4.50 31% 2.20 10.30  
DONNIE B 5 4 711¾     7 7 (barber c)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00 48.60  
 
CT-5   11/29/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:15     1:291   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUE TWIRLIN 4 4 21 2nk   1½ 1 (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 26% 2.80 3.30 W
SKYLAR'S SISTER 5 3 5 4   3½ 2 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 2.00 44% 1.30 0.80 P
MARTHARITA 3 5 74 7   5 3 (horner g)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00 25.50  
SUPERSNAKE 2 2 4 5   4 4 (murtaugh j)MAWING A 120 10.00 18.80  
WICKED SAUCY 1 1 11 1nk   2½ 5 (calhoun amanda)CULLUM W 120 30.00 70.60  
THE MONEY MACHINE 6 7 63 6   6 6 (viands stac)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 6.00 6% 15.60 6.40  
BLUESKYSLOOKINATME 7 6 31 3.2   7 730 (locklear )NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 10.00 3.90  
SCR  KENTUCKY REIGN               (mcmahon hugh)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 120 3.00    
 
CT-6   11/29/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:14     1:28   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MINISTRY OF MAGIC 3 2 64 75   21 1¾ (rideout m)HO WESLEY 124 8.00 3.60  
REMYS SHOWTIME 5 4 21 2nk   11 2¾ (jones michael )TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 1.80 61% 0.60 1.50 P
ROCKIN THE PALACE 7 7 77 87   6 31 (stites flin)BOCACHICA J 115 6.00 15.10  
MACHEN'S RIDGE 4 8 87 6   31 41 (ovando m)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 8.00 9.80  
TIMMY 2 3 53 54   5 5 (gazzier kri)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00 11.80  
COLT ROCK 8 6 11 1nk   4 6 (contreras)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 3.50 11% 8.20 4.30  
MAKOTO 1 1 3 32   7 711¾ (saleem gordo)MENDOZA JHONATAN 122 15.00 82.70  
CHANGE YOUR LUCK 6 5 4 43   8 813¾ (pickett crystal )MONTANO JOSE 124 10.00 5.00  
SCR  SWAY'SINMYDNA               (serey jr)PELTROCHE F 118 12.00    
 
CT-7   11/29/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
See original race card.
:22 :452       :52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DERBY DAY DREAMS 3 5 5     43 1¼ (barber dona)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 6.00 17.80  
CARIBBEAN PLEASURE 4 3 2nk     12 2¼ (brown ro)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 1.60 47% 1.10 0.80 P
TAP SECRET 2 7 32     33 31 (sandoval michael)PELTROCHE F 122 4.00 11% 7.80 4.50 S
JEFFERSON NATIVE 1 4 1nk     22 4 (dollinger-sthr )RIVERA JAVIER 124 3.50 18% 4.60 2.00  
TIZ NO CLOWN 5 6 64     5 5 (atkins ea)RODRIGUEZ V 118 30.00 64.30  
BO'S BOURBON 6 1 4     67 610½ (magee kieron)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 5.00 12.50  
BRISTOL CHANNEL 7 2 7     7 711 (covello a)RIOS-CONDE A 118 20.00 50.10  
SCR  BALI'S SHADE               (murtaugh andr)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 15.00    
SCR  POLITICAL DECISION               (murtaugh )NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 30.00    
 
CT-8   11/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:134     1:211   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INDIANA RED 5 4 1015¾ 911¾   36 1¾ (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 120 8.00 8.20  
MONTAUK DADDY 3 3 21 2nk   11 2¾ (spriggs tos)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 6.00 32% 2.10 6.10 P
PROTA 1 1 11 1nk   21 3 (sanderson s)RODRIGUEZ V 122 12.00 8% 11.20 14.20 S
ELVIRUS 8 7 7 6   46 4 (gazzier krist)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.00 10% 9.20 2.10  
NEWS BOX 2 2 6 810¾   7 5 (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.50 16% 5.10 3.30  
11  NOTION TO TAPIT 9 10 8 7   5 6 (serey jr)PELTROCHE F 124 8.00 9.70  
TOP OF THE MINT 6 9 915¾ 1012¼   9 7 (jones micha)BOCACHICA J 115 6.00 16.10  
12  CRIMSON ROCKET 10 8 44 4   6 812¾ (magee ki)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.50 12.10  
PRINCE OF FENTON 4 5 54 5   8 918½ (laguna homero)BOCACHICA O 120 15.00 16.70  
HEY CONGRATS 7 6 32 35   1012¼ 1026 (contreras)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 4.00 13% 6.70 14.20  
SCR  SOUTHERN LAD               (leaf jr)MONTANO JOSE 120 20.00    
SCR  SULEMAN               (laguna homero)RIVERA JAVIER 120 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.