Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Monday - November 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  
MVR-2   Win (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $6.40 $6.40 0.40
MVR-3   Win (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $9.00 $9.00 3.00
    Win (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $9.20 $9.20 3.20
MVR-4   Win (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $5.40 $5.40 1.40
MVR-5   Win (1/12/9/7/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $50.20 $50.20 40.20
MVR-6   Win (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $13.80 $13.80 7.80
MVR-7   Win (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $11.00 $11.00 7.00
MVR-8   Win (5/6/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $12.80 $12.80 4.80

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   11/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 2 ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:25 :484 1:154 1:291   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASCENDANCE 5 4 3 21 2½ 1½ 1 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 122 4.00 43% 1.30 0.60 W
MANSION PARTY 4 1 1 11 1½ 2½ 2 (short thomas)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 6.00 10.10  
REVENGE TOUR 1 3 6 5 42 3 310¾ (short w)BRACHO A 122 5.00 9% 9.50 10.60 S
CUSSIN N FUSSIN 2 2 2 33 3 46 417¾ (uriet)GIRON ALEJANDRO 122 4.50 18% 4.60 5.50  
ENDOW 7 7 4 4 53 510 518 (thornbury jeff)HALDAR J 122 8.00 12.30  
FOX CREEK 3 5 54 6 68 617 632¾ (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 122 8.00 48.10  
GOLDEN BUCK 6 6 76 7 711 722 736¼ (simms ma)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 3.00 4.00  
SCR  DIXIE MAN               (trevino step)COLINA ALEJANDRO 122 10.00    
 
MVR-2   11/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:241 :473 1:132 1:272   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIZMO'S MISSION 1 1 1 13 1 17 1 (morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 122 2.50 35% 1.90 2.20 W
MR. CELLULAR 7 5 3 23 2 27 2 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 3.50 2.30  
MR LAOBAN 5 4 5 44 37 39 311¾ (vecchio caryn)DIAZ R 122 4.50 2.00  
NATURE OFTHE BEAST 2 3 2 3 4 411 412 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 124 5.00 21.90  
BELL CURVE 4 7 79 713½ 713½ 511½ 514½ (bates l)BRACHO A 122 20.00 5% 19.00 53.00  
ALTAIR 6 2 44 5 5 612½ 616¼ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 122 4.00 9.00  
SECRETARY OF WAR 3 6 67 610½ 611½ 716½ 721¾ (huffman candace )GONZALEZ A 122 6.00 27% 2.70 7.00  
 
MVR-3   11/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:224 :464 1:00     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOUGS MORNING PICK 1 6 7 65   3 1hd (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 2.50 42% 1.40 3.50 W
OAKEN 5 2 2nk 1nk   1nk 1hd (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 5.00 34% 1.90 3.60 W
PRIVATE DRIVE 7 1 3.2 3½   2nk 3hd (guidry terra)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 8.00 5.50  
OL' NED 6 7 5 42   4 4 (cline c)PAUCAR E 124 4.00 1.30  
SURROUNDER 4 5 4 5   65 5 (johnson l)TAPARA BRANDON 124 6.00 5% 19.00 9.50  
PLATE IT UP 2 4 6 77   7 6 (tumblin andre)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 20.00 52.00  
IT'SGOODTOBESEEN 3 3 1nk 2nk   5 710½ (tumblin a)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 10.00  
SCR  GOLDEN MONEY               (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.50    
 
MVR-4   11/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:224 :474       1:073   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEEPINJUSTICE 3 5 5 5   2nk 1 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.50 33% 2.10 1.70 W
VAVITE 2 3 4 4   1nk 2 (morales saul )SEVERINO VICTOR 124 8.00 13.30  
CREATIVE CADENCE 1 4 1nk 1nk   5¾ 36 (morales m)YARANGA Y 122 12.00 8.70  
DULCE VICTORIA 5 2 2nk 2nk   4¾ 4 (schuster robin)BRACHO A 122 4.00 0.70  
POLITICAL ASTRAY 4 1 3.2 3.2   3½ 5 (langley joshua)CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00 22% 3.60 7.90  
SCR  DEVIN ON EARTH               (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 3.00    
SCR  KRISTIN               (rettele richard)HOUGHTON D 126 10.00    
SCR  ROSE KNOWS               (skerrett jeffrey)DIAZ I 124 3.50    
 
MVR-5   11/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:23 :464 1:001     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
C V JERSEY BEE 3 6 21 1nk   13 1 (melancon )BRAVO MISAEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00 24.10 W
12  CIRO THE BOSS 11 2 43 32   3 2 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.50 14% 6.30 0.50 P
10  STORMED OUT 9 5 11 2nk   23 3 (cline c)PAUCAR E 124 8.00 16.90  
EL SORDO 1 9 75 68   4 4 (romero a)HOUGHTON D 124 4.00 45% 1.20 2.90  
MAILS HERE 8 7 8 46   59 59 (brafford michel)BRACHO A 124 5.00 12% 7.30 7.90  
ROUGE TU RICHES 2 8 9 79   610½ 610½ (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 124 12.00 50.50  
MOR CRAFTY 4 11 1113¾ 1015   919 718¼ (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 124 20.00 98.90  
CAN'T CRASHMYPARTY 5 4 65 810½   716½ 818½ (tumblin an)FERNANDEZ R 126 20.00 76.30  
PAYMASTER GENERAL 7 3 32 57   818½ 927¾ (barker sc)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00 89.00  
11  SQUEAKY CLEAN 10 1 5 911   1026 1056¼ (morelos mateo)REYES FRANK 126 20.00 ######  
JAYDEN'S PRINCE 6 10 1012¾ 1125   1136 1167 (urie)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00 5% 19.00 24.80  
SCR  MATTAWAN               (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00    
 
MVR-6   11/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 2 F PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:23 :474 1:014     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KERLO'S CAUSE 4 6 4 32   2nk 1¼ (short thomas)BARBARAN ERIK 122 4.00 15% 5.80 5.90 W
BEAUTIFUL SUMMER 3 5 32 2   1nk 2¼ (waltz brian)BRACHO A 122 3.00 31% 2.20 3.50 P
NOT TODAY 6 3 2nk 1   3½ 3 (buttigieg)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 8.00 12.90  
SURF HAPPY 2 7 5 5   4 4 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 3.50 20% 3.90 2.20  
BIG R. NAUFFAL 1 1 1nk 4   5 513½ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 122 8.00 2.10  
LUNA PRIMAVERA 5 4 7 710½   78 613¾ (atal)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 4.50 18.40  
KAYLEIGH'S KITTEN 7 2 6 6   6 715¾ (jackson )BATISTA ALBERTO 122 5.00 8.20  
 
MVR-7   11/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:242 :472 1:132 1:27   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CENTSOFWANDER 1 6 4 44 41 2nk 1¼ (huffman candace)BRACHO A 124 10.00 5% 19.00 4.50 W
MORETHANREADYEDDIE 2 1 11 11 1½ 1nk 2¼ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 122 4.50 3.50  
ERNIE'S MARTINI 3 4 3 3 31 3 35 (buttigieg kevin)GONZALEZ A 122 5.00 7.20 S
HIPPODROME 4 5 21 21 2½ 4 4 (ginter raymon)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 3.00 71% 0.40 0.90  
CATEGORY TEN 7 7 6 6 5 55 5 (meraz an)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 8.00 9.50  
HOUSED 5 2 5 5 6 615 628½ (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 122 15.00 19.50  
POT COMMITTED 6 3 76 710½ 712½ 720 734½ (faul)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00 29.60  
SCR  HURRY ON OUT               (tooley jennif)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 15.00    
SCR  STIRDATPOT               (londono geneviev)MILLER CHASE 124 2.50    
 
MVR-8   11/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:002     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ORFANO 9 7 6 4¼   11 1 (waltz brian)BRACHO A 122 6.00 6% 16.20 5.40 W
I STRONG 6 8 7 5¾   21 2 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 122 5.00 15% 5.70 3.60 P
WILDCAT PRIDE 5 3 2½ 1nk   3 3 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 122 4.00 53% 0.90 1.70 S
CONSTITUTION COAL 2 6 5 7   5 4 (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 122 15.00 20.10  
HOTROD BOBBY 4 4 4 6   6 5 (dacosta jason)HOUGHTON D 122 8.00 11.50  
SHOWTIME BOY 3 5 1½ 3.2   43 6 (fernande)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 8.00 15.10  
MAN'S CHOICE 7 10 811¼ 8   8 7 (fernandez edwar)CEDILLO MAURO 122 15.00 5% 19.00 15.90  
HARSH TRUTH 8 2 912¼ 109   99 810½ (skerrett )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 12.00 60.20  
11  YIPPEE KI YAY 10 1 3½ 2nk   7 911¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 122 8.00 3.90  
WHISKEY HELPS 1 9 1012¼ 9   1010 1011¾ (salcedo ramo)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 15.00 39.60  
SCR  FAST CLIP               (faul)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.