Handicappers' Race Results

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Aqueduct
Saturday - November 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (1/8/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $5.40 $5.40  
AQU-2   Win (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $10.80 $10.80 6.80
AQU-3   Win (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $12.20  
AQU-4   Win (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $5.10  
AQU-5   Win (8/1/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $11.80  
AQU-6   Win (5/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $5.60  
AQU-7   Win (6/2/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $11.60  
AQU-8   Win (1/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $15.00  
AQU-9   Win (8/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $6.30 $6.30 0.30
AQU-10   Win (10/6/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 1 $7.70 $7.70  

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   11/25/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT-11:50
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:114     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KID'S LAST LAUGH 1 2 4 4   3 1hd (mcpeek kennet)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 2.50 37% 1.70 1.70 W
TAKE TIME TO DREAM 7 5 5 31   2nk 2hd (falcone robert )VELAZQUEZ R 122 4.00 12% 7.50 3.05 P
PUT THE CRAZY AWAY 8 1 11 11   1nk 3¾ (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 122 5.00 9% 10.10 9.20 S
GRACEFUL 2 3 21 21   4 4 (friedman mit)RIVERA R 117 20.00 28.25  
LADY ASTORIA 6 7 7 6   56 5 (gargan danny)DAVIS KATIE 122 8.00 9.20  
PARTY IS OVER 4 6 6 7   6 6 (duarte jr)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00 4.10  
ADDRESSABLE MARKET (IRE) 5 8 8 8   712¼ 716 (metivier richard)RUIZ ELISEO 117 15.00 15.00  
IT WASN'T ME 3 4 31 5   813¼ 818¼ (diprima gregor)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 10.00 7% 12.40 9.30  
SCR  FRAU DIABLO               (maker michael)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 5.00    
 
AQU-2   11/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT-12:20
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:13 1:253   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISAPPEARANCE 1 4 55 5 56 5 1hd (barrera s)OLVER MADISON 113 3.00 10% 8.60 4.40 W
ICE ROAD 4 2 2nk 2½ 2nk 11 2hd (d'angelo f)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.40 49% 1.10 0.75 P
JEEPER 2 3 42 4 42 4 3½ (catalano l)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 8.00 6.60 DH
BLAME D RULE MAKER 5 5 31 3 31 21 3½ (duarte jr)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50 3.00 DH
DADS GOOD RUNNER 3 1 1nk 1½ 1nk 3 5 (fisher l)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 5.00 15.00  
SCR  PROVEN HOPE               (barker edwar)RIVERA R 118 6.00    
 
AQU-3   11/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:23 :47 :591     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOULY 7 2 22 12   1 1 (duggan david)RIVERA R 115 6.00 5.10  
K D KAKES 5 6 33 22   2 2 (falcone robert )FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 28% 2.50 4.40 P
AFILADA 4 5 6 4   3 3 (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.50 29% 2.40 1.80 S
SHASI 2 3 54 5   5 4 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.00 4.50  
ROSEMARY POTATOES 6 1 12 33   4 513 (arenas marcelo)RUIZ ELISEO 115 12.00 17.50  
BEST COAST 1 4 44 612½   613 613 (sharp joe)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50 12% 7.40 3.10  
LEMON TAFFY 3 7 79 713½   715 715½ (henry nevill)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 20.00 72.25  
 
AQU-4   11/25/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:19
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:104     1:24   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2B  FANCY AZTECA 8 2 1½ 1   1 12 (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 2.50 1.55  
PRETTI XTREME 6 4 7 4   3 22 (falcone robert )OLVER MADISON 115 4.00 24% 3.20 4.10 P
I'M BUZZY 9 5 2½ 2   2 3 (reynolds patrick )DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00 5.40  
ROYAL MEGHAN 1 6 8 810   47 46 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 2.00 50% 1.00 3.20  
HALO CITY 3 8 9 912   910½ 5 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00 11.20  
HYDRA 5 9 45 3   5 611¾ (toscano john)RIVERA R 117 10.00 14.70  
CARBON 2 7 5 6   610¼ 712¼ (younghan)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 20.00 5% 19.00 15.80  
FREDDYMO FACTOR 7 3 3 79   810½ 813 (jones eduard)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 115 30.00 68.75  
GOOD PENNY 4 1 6 57   710¼ 914½ (camejo m)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 2.50 1.55  
SCR  STARSHIP DEFIANT               (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.00    
 
AQU-5   11/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:48
See original race card.
:234 :47 1:114 1:242   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLAKE B. 5 4 1½ 1½ 11 1 1½ (romero jesus)RIVERA R 116 6.00 4.90  
GOLDINI 10 3 63 6 5 32 2½ (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 123 8.00 11.00  
HAMMERIN AAMER 9 8 74 73 21 2 3 (falcone n)LUZZI J 123 1.80 62% 0.60 1.50 S
1A  FLAMINGO HAWK 7 2 52 52 3 53 4 (kantarma)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 4.00 9% 10.10 6.90  
WINNING DRIVE 1 7 3 3 4 43 5 (kantarmaci me)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 4.00 6.90  
GRUMPS LITTLE TOTS 4 10 109 9 88 68 68 (baker char)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 8.00 8.10  
MY FRIENDS BEER 3 6 4 4 65 7 712¼ (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 125 5.00 7% 13.30 3.65  
MOUNT TRAVERS 8 1 8 85 76 89 813 (chichakly amira)OLVER MADISON 116 20.00 5% 19.00 30.50  
GANDY DANCING 6 5 2½ 2½ 9 911 914½ (barrera)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 12.00 24.75  
FOREVER WICKED 2 9 98 10 1012½ 1013 1018¼ (persaud randi)HARKIE K 121 15.00 54.25  
 
AQU-6   11/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:17
See original race card.
:223 :462 :59     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEENS MASTERPIECE 7 5 3 21   2½ 13 (bond j)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 3.00 1.80  
QUEENS OVER THREES 6 1 1½ 11   1½ 23 (gyarmati leah)ALPANDER B 118 20.00 34.00  
BETTER HUMOR ME 5 3 2½ 32   43 3 (baker charlton)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 53% 0.90 2.55 S
LAVON 1 7 8 810   7 4 (coffey marialic)OLVER MADISON 115 15.00 45.25  
YANKEE AGATE 8 2 42 4   32 5 (miller m)LUZZI J 122 15.00 5% 19.00 39.25  
REIGNING CHICK 2 4 52 5   5 66 (walder peter )MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.00 4.90  
BIG BEAN CHRISTINE 3 8 64 6   6 7 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 120 3.50 21% 3.70 3.50  
STELLA MARS 4 6 7 79   88 811½ (chatterpaul nai)SILVERA RUBEN 120 6.00 9.60  
 
AQU-7   11/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:23 :462 :583     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BORLETTI (IRE) 8 4 3½ 11   1 1 (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 122 5.00 4.80  
WHENLOVETAKESOVER 1 6 4 4   2 2 (lakeman andr)RIVERA R 117 3.50 20% 4.10 1.75 P
GRAND AGAIN 5 2 1nk 21   3 37 (shivmang)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 15.00 55.50  
ALIBI IKE 6 3 6 53   5 411½ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 122 2.00 34% 1.90 2.60  
TUESDAY'S CHILD 7 5 7 76   6 512 (sciacca gary)DAVIS KATIE 124 12.00 23.40  
PINE ALLEY 9 1 2nk 3   47 612¾ (ryerson ja)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 12.00 12.80  
MAGIADORO 4 9 911¼ 910   813 717½ (rodriguez gust)HARKIE K 122 30.00 41.75  
LITTLE SKIPPY 2 7 5 64   713 821½ (brown r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 3.00 24% 3.20 3.70  
EQUALIZER 3 8 8 8   914 924¼ (metivier richard)RUIZ ELISEO 119 20.00 5% 19.00 60.00  
 
AQU-8   11/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($92K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
See original race card.
:23 :454 1:101 1:231   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMPARATIVE 4 2 3½ 21 2½ 1½ 1 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00 6.50  
INTO HAPPINESS 2 5 713 611½ 3 3 2 (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 123 3.50 9% 10.20 3.75 P
CRYPTO MAMA 3 1 1nk 11 1½ 2½ 3 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00 40.75  
TONED UP 7 6 56 5 611½ 411½ 414½ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 121 5.00 8% 11.50 4.80  
MISSY GREER 5 3 2nk 31 4 513½ 528¼ (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 121 10.00 10.60  
MISS BONNIE T 6 7 6 711¾ 720½ 724 633 (gyarmati leah)LUZZI J 121 30.00 45.75  
BUSTIN BAY 1 4 42 4 510 615 742¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 125 1.80 61% 0.60 0.80  
SCR  AMANDA'S FOLLY               (rice linda)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 6.00    
 
AQU-9   11/25/2023 5940ft DIRT RC12 FAST Comely Purse ($200K) 3 F PT- 3:43
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:131 1:374   1:504   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAGING SEA 6 5 5 53 4 1nk 1hd (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50 57% 0.80 2.15 W
JULIA SHINING 2 6 6 64 6 4 2hd (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.50 13% 6.70 6.40 P
HONOR D LADY 3 2 42 4 5 5 3 (joseph a)CONNER TYLER 124 6.00 5% 19.00 15.60 S
DEFINING PURPOSE 5 3 21 2½ 2nk 2nk 4 (mcpeek kennet)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 3.00 1.60  
JUST KATHERINE 4 4 31 3 3½ 3 5 (jimenez jose )MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 4.50 4.00  
ICHIBAN 1 1 11 1½ 1nk 6 615¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 12.00 8.90  
SCR  CORNINGSTONE               (mcpeek g)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00    
SCR  WARRIOR'S RANSOM               (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 120 12.00    
 
AQU-10   11/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:10
See original race card.
:224 :464 :592     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  LADY BANKER 10 1 3½ 2nk   11 14 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.50 35% 1.90 2.85 W
MO DAMORNINGGROUCH 2 3 1nk 1nk   21 24 (reynolds patrick )RUIZ ELISEO 119 6.00 6.10 P
SWEET LIBERTY 4 7 42 3   32 34 (quick patr)DAVIS A 122 4.00 2.90  
CHIARA (URU) 6 5 5 43   4 4 (bond harold )RIVERA R 119 3.00 31% 2.20 3.35  
FOLLOW THE FED 9 4 65 6   56 5 (rodriguez rudy )OLVER MADISON 117 8.00 7.80  
PUREST PERFORMANCE 1 2 2nk 5   6 611¼ (pregman jr)SILVERA RUBEN 122 5.00 10.80  
BELLA ISOLA 5 10 1014 1014¾   1012½ 713¼ (lugovich l)DAVIS KATIE 122 12.00 9% 10.00 19.90  
COUNTESS CONSTANCE 7 9 9 911¼   811 815 (sciacca )MARAGH RAMSAY 122 20.00 74.00  
BANK HOLIDAY 8 6 76 710½   710½ 915¾ (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00 5% 19.00 28.25  
DARLING CAT 3 8 8 811   912 1020¼ (sciacca gary)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 115 30.00 71.50  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.