Handicappers' Race Results

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Aqueduct
Friday - November 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 1 $8.30 $8.30 4.30
AQU-2   Win (4/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $21.60 $21.60 15.60
AQU-3   Win (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 0 $6.20  
AQU-4   Win (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $12.00  
AQU-5   Win (1/4/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $7.70 $7.70  
AQU-6   Win (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $7.80 $7.80 1.80
AQU-7   Win (5/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $3.70 $3.70  
AQU-8   Win (8/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $25.80  
AQU-9   Win (4/11) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   11/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($54K) 2 F PT-12:20
See original race card.
:224 :47 :591     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DON'T LISTEN 3 2 12 12   1 1 (duarte jr)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00 29% 2.50 3.15 W
DOROTHY'S DREAMS 4 3 32 22   2 2 (terranova joh)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 3.50 3.30  
EXTRA DIRTY 5 1 22 33   39 310¾ (chatterpaul naip)ORTIZ L 119 3.00 1.50  
BY THE GLASS 2 5 4 46   412 411 (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 2.50 29% 2.50 2.60  
NATURAL FACT 1 4 5 59   516 519 (pregman j)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 15.00 20.70  
SCR  SHE SHE'S SHADOW               (englehart jeffrey)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00    
SCR  UNHEARD               (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 119 8.00    
 
AQU-2   11/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:224 :463 :584     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RETURN THE RING 4 2 5 5   31 1¼ (barker r)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 5% 17.20 9.80 W
RED D G P 1 1 1nk 2½   21 2¼ (ferraro jame)RIVERA R 117 5.00 5.80  
QUICK HAMMER 6 3 2nk 1½   11 3 (summers chad)OLVER MADISON 113 3.50 11% 8.10 1.20 S
BLUE PLATE SPECIAL 2 6 6 6   5 4 (toscano t)ORTIZ L 120 8.00 10.00  
SHORTSINTHEWINTER 5 5 4¾ 3½   43 510¼ (hennig mark)LUZZI J 120 15.00 27.25  
YOUBETTERBEJOKING 3 4 3½ 4¾   6 611¾ (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 57% 0.70 1.60  
SCR  FENWICK               (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 1.40    
 
AQU-3   11/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC12 FAST Fall Highweight Purse ($200K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:18
See original race card.
:223 :46 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOLD JOURNEY 1 5 58 5   4 11 (mott i)ORTIZ L 128 3.50 2.10  
DURANTE 4 2 1½ 1nk   1nk 21 (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 134 1.80 41% 1.40 1.50 P
ROTKNEE 2 4 31 31   3 3 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 130 2.00 33% 2.00 2.45 S
COWAN 3 3 42 4   5 4 (ginter ray)GOMEZ ANTONIO 130 15.00 24.00  
WIN FOR GOLD 5 1 2½ 2nk   2nk 5 (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 124 4.00 5.70  
SCR  SIR ALFRED JAMES               (ginter raymon)MCCARTHY TREVOR 130 10.00    
 
AQU-4   11/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 ALL PT- 1:46
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:12 1:243   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OTELLO 3 3 52 4 4 2½ 1¼ (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.50 5.00  
J D FACTOR 1 2 1½ 1 1½ 1½ 2¼ (dutrow e)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 20% 3.90 3.25 P
FOR YOUR PLEASURE 6 4 31 2 31 31 3 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 119 1.20 54% 0.80 1.20 S
GUM ISLAND 5 5 42 5 5 57 411¼ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 15.00 20.20  
BOLD AMBITION 2 1 2½ 3 2½ 42 511¼ (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 5% 19.00 8.40  
FLUFF THE PILLOW 7 6 64 6 68 67 612¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 8.10  
THE HERO CODE 4 7 7 7 7 711 722¼ (mcgaughey claude )CANCEL ERIC 119 8.00 11.20  
 
AQU-5   11/24/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:13     1:252   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ITS COLD IN DEHERE 6 6 6 5   14 112¾ (toscano john)RIVERA R 117 3.00 11% 7.90 2.85 W
TRADE SECRET 2 4 7 7   6 212¾ (pringle edmund)OLVER MADISON 115 15.00 5% 19.00 36.50 P
MARIAH'S FORTUNE 1 5 1nk 2nk   24 313 (toscano t)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.00 53% 0.90 1.50 S
GRINGOTTS 8 1 4¾ 41   5 413¼ (younghans wil)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 5.00 8.30  
VALLARAND 3 8 8 8   710½ 513¼ (jones eduardo )HARKIE K 122 12.00 44.25  
ALPINE QUEEN 7 7 5¾ 3½   3 613¾ (schettin)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 6.00 8.60  
MORE MANGO 5 3 3.2 62   811 721¼ (ferraro w)RUIZ ELISEO 117 15.00 16.40  
CROWDING OUT 4 2 2nk 1nk   4 8100 (falcone n)DAVIS KATIE 122 4.50 14% 6.40 3.55  
 
AQU-6   11/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($92K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:44
See original race card.
:223 :46 :581     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RACHEL'S ROCK 4 6 52 41   2½ 1 (david a)ORTIZ L 124 3.50 10% 8.60 2.90 W
ROYAL POPPY 6 4 41 31   3½ 2 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 2.25  
STONEWALL STAR 2 2 3½ 1½   1½ 3 (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.00 33% 2.00 1.65 S
MALIBU MOONSHINE 1 5 6 6   66 47 (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00 23% 3.30 5.50  
CENTRE COURT CHAMP 3 3 1½ 2½   4 5 (mosco robert)OCASIO M 120 12.00 20.50  
SHESALITTLE EDGY 5 1 2½ 53   5 610¾ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00 16.50  
SCR  SELF ISOLATION               (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 8.00    
 
AQU-7   11/24/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:113     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCREAMING UNCLE 4 3 2 22   11 13 (englehart chris)ORTIZ L 122 2.50 51% 1.00 0.85 W
VENGE 7 2 1 12   21 23 (ribaudo robe)RIVERA R 117 5.00 5.50  
THE ELUSIVE DRWONG 3 7 66 6   311 311 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 122 15.00 17.00  
GROWTH MINDSET 5 1 55 5   411 411¾ (bernardini g)CANCEL ERIC 124 15.00 37.50  
CITIZEN MACK 1 5 44 4   511½ 513¼ (englehart jeff)HARKIE K 124 4.00 27% 2.80 9.50  
IRON MAN JIMMY 6 4 32 35   612½ 618¼ (summers chad)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00 5% 19.00 3.45  
BRAGGADOCIOUS 2 6 7 711½   720½ 736 (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 124 8.00 8.10  
SCR  BURTON WAY               (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.50    
SCR  TIMO               (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 20.00    
 
AQU-8   11/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:42
See original race card.
:222 :454 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLONEL VARGO 5 3 43 5   31 1¼ (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 8.00 11.90  
1A  FULL MOON MADNESS 6 4 5 42   11 2¼ (nevin michell)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00 6.70 DQ↓5
WHO HOO THATS ME 3 6 67 65   6 3 (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 23% 3.30 3.20 P
DAUFUSKIE ISLAND 1 5 22 31   52 4 (rodriguez ru)RIVERA R 117 10.00 5% 19.00 7.50 S
MARIACHI 4 2 32 21   4 54 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 52% 0.90 1.35  
CAPONE 2 1 12 11   21 65 (dutrow e)ORTIZ L 120 10.00 3.65  
SCR  CAUSES TROUBLE               (wyner harold)ADORNO ABNER 120 15.00    
SCR  DARK VECTOR               (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00    
SCR  OCEAN'S RESERVE               (gyarmati leah)DAVIS DYLAN 122 5.00    
SCR  TETSU               (jacobson david)LUZZI J 120 8.00    
SCR  TWELTH MAN               (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00    
 
AQU-9   11/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 2 F PT- 4:10
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:144 1:272   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUN FOR YOUR HONEY 4 8 5 6 5¾ 15 112 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 119 1.40 72% 0.40 0.80 W
HOLDER CLOSE 9 5 9 7 6 5 212 (ferraro w)RUIZ ELISEO 114 15.00 11.60 P
10  LONE STAR WILDCAT 10 3 6 5 4¼ 25 312 (contessa c)CANCEL ERIC 119 12.00 17.80  
MOTHER MARY 7 9 10 9 7 67 414 (brown r)LUZZI J 119 15.00 34.00  
DAME CATHERINE 1 6 4¾ 1½ 1nk 36 514¼ (levine b)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 6.00 6.00  
BORNFORGREATNESS 5 1 1nk 3½ 2nk 4 614¼ (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 119 5.00 16.80  
LOVE THYSELF 8 2 3.2 4¾ 3.2 7 719½ (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 119 8.00 15.10  
11  LET'S CONNECT 11 4 7 8 8 812¼ 823 (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00 5% 19.00 5.40  
SHE'S A LAKER 3 11 8 10 9 918¼ 931 (david a)OLVER MADISON 114 30.00 56.00  
ARCHIVIST 6 10 11 11 1114¼ 1023¼ 1035½ (chichak)HERNANDEZ OMAR 119 20.00 42.25  
ALOTTA JAYS 2 7 2nk 2½ 1010¼ 1125¾ 1144¾ (schettino dom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00 40.50  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.