Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Monday - November 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (5/6/3/10/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $4.80 $4.80  
MVR-2   Win (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  
MVR-3   Win (5/6/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $8.20 $8.20 0.20
MVR-4   Win (4/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $19.40  
MVR-5   Win (6/11/10/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $9.20 $9.20  
MVR-6   Win (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  
MVR-7   Win (3/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $3.20  
MVR-8   Win (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $24.20 $24.20 18.20
MVR-9   Win (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $5.20  
MVR-10   Win (2/10/4/8/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $25.40 $25.40 15.40

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   11/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:00
See original race card.
:251 :49 1:14 1:27   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOE TAPPIN LUKE 6 2 42 32 32 2 1nk (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 25% 3.00 1.40 W
STRIKE APPEAL 3 6 11 1½ 1nk 1 2nk (londono j)HOUGHTON D 124 2.50 8% 11.80 2.30 P
ITASCA 5 3 21 2½ 2nk 3 37 (schuster robin)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 6.00 38% 1.60 13.80 S
IT'S FATE 2 8 9 8 610 510 413¼ (sweazey scott)GONZALEZ A 124 15.00 10.30  
SHELL FIRE 8 1 7 9 912¼ 611½ 514½ (castillo jabdiel)AVILES YAN 124 4.50 7.20  
ADIOS BOBBY 4 7 32 42 46 4 616 (pappada a)BOWEN ROCCO 124 10.00 7.70  
SCAT SHACK 1 9 108 10 812 715½ 717 (ramos francis)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 20.00 5% 19.00 48.40  
CUMBER 7 5 5 53 58 917¼ 819½ (urieta johanna)BRACHO A 124 5.00 18.80  
10  TWO GUNS 10 4 6 6 711 817 919¾ (poole c)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 20.00 5% 17.50 23.60  
HADDASSAH'S DEVIL 9 10 85 75 1012¼ 1020¼ 1028½ (pappada julie )KEISER CHELSEY 124 12.00 50.00  
 
MVR-2   11/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:29
See original race card.
:232 :473 :594     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OAXACA 4 1 1nk 1   11 1 (skerrett)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 1.60 18% 4.70 1.20 DQ↓3
WORTHERWEIGHTNGOLD 2 2 3.2 2   21 2 (rone mike)RIVERA R 124 2.00 57% 0.70 0.60 W
MO RISSA 1 4 2nk 32   35 313 (skerrett jeffre)BRACHO A 122 6.00 13.80  
NO TWOWAYSABOUTIT 3 5 4 4   49 417 (huffman ca)FERNANDEZ R 124 15.00 21.70  
CAUSE OF LOVE 5 3 5 5   513 532¾ (haehn r)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00 18.70  
SCR  RAINBOW SHIP               (mahan joseph )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 2.50    
 
MVR-3   11/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:57
See original race card.
:231 :474       1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANCIN' ROSIE 1 3 11 2½   1nk 1 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 3.00 15% 5.80 3.10 W
APPEALING SENORITA 2 5 4 31   2nk 2 (gonza)GIRON ALEJANDRO 124 4.00 14% 6.40 4.90 P
TALE OF THE LYON 9 1 21 1½   3 3 (poole m)AVILES YAN 124 6.00 2.40  
LADY ABRIL 6 2 31 4   4 4 (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 17% 4.90 3.30  
COWCHI 3 4 5 66   57 510¾ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 124 15.00 50.00  
NOT A WILD BRAT 5 9 9 9   69 611 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 124 4.50 25% 3.00 5.00  
I'M JAC'D 8 7 6 5   710½ 717 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 124 20.00 62.00  
J J'S FANCY 4 8 8 7   814 824¼ (morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 124 15.00 77.70  
CITY SIGNS 7 6 7 8   916 925½ (urieta johann)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 8.00 11.90  
 
MVR-4   11/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:25
See original race card.
:233 :464 :584     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIMIT UP 5 2 1 1   1 1 (andrade hugo)HALDAR J 124 10.00 8.70  
FLIPPING FISH 3 3 4 2   2 2 (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 126 2.00 52% 0.90 0.90 P
OVER THE HILLS 4 4 5 3   33 3 (pizzurro jo)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 3.00 18% 4.70 1.40 S
TIME HEIST 6 1 2 4   45 410 (watkins )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 9% 10.40 10.50  
VENETIAN DREAM 2 5 3 5   5 511 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 126 10.00 29.80  
THE DRAKE 1 6 6 6   612 613¾ (flores christian)AVILES YAN 124 6.00 12.80  
SCR  AUGER               (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.50    
SCR  SUBDUED               (hiles a)MCKEE J 124 10.00    
 
MVR-5   11/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($23.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:53
See original race card.
:224 :461       1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILDCAT EXPRESS 2 7 1 14   14 1 (poole m)BRACHO A 124 4.50 5% 19.00 3.60 W
11  RECKLESS L J 10 1 5 45   24 2 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 126 2.00 12% 7.30 0.40 P
10  MANNFORD 9 6 8 5   4 310 (urieta johanna)REYES FRANK 124 6.00 10% 8.60 13.90 S
GOLD N SILVER 6 3 7 8   69 411½ (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 124 3.50 53% 0.90 7.50  
EL MARRO 5 4 3 24   3 512½ (romero a)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 15.00 39.60  
HENRY THE CAT 8 5 6 7   79 613¼ (meyers shane)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00 5% 19.00 14.70  
ROSCO P. COLTRANE 3 8 2 35   57 714¼ (romero j)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 20.00 87.20  
PRIVATE DRIVE 7 2 4 6   810½ 815½ (guidry terrance)BOWEN ROCCO 124 15.00 53.70  
TIGER TRAIL 1 10 10 1011¾   912 915¾ (morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 124 20.00 50.20  
TEQUILA FLATS 4 9 96 910¾   1016 1027¾ (ramos francis)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 30.00 77.10  
SCR  DOUGS MORNING PICK               (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 10.00    
 
MVR-6   11/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST First Lady Purse ($75K) 3 F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:224 :462 :584     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BACK TO OHIO 4 2 2½ 2½   1nk 11 (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 1.60 57% 0.80 0.70 W
LADY LOTTIE 3 4 1½ 1½   2nk 21 (dacosta jason)GONZALEZ EDWIN 122 4.00 10% 9.10 8.10 P
BUCKEYE PRINCESS 1 5 5 4   3½ 3 (drury jr)MCKEE J 122 2.00 1.00  
NEECHI 2 3 3 32   4 4 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 122 12.00 40.50  
SPARKLING JEWEL 5 1 4 53   56 517½ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 122 6.00 22.10  
SCR  IN TROUBLED WATERS               (faulkner)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 20.00    
SCR  SERGER               (zielinski richard)RIVERA R 122 10.00    
 
MVR-7   11/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Cardinal Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:23 :461 :583     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIONISTIC 4 1 1½ 11   1 1 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 115 3.50 0.60  
EXCITEMENT 5 2 2½ 31   2 2 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 5.00 5.50  
MR LOOOCH 6 4 31 21   3 34 (meyers shane)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00 12% 7.10 4.30 S
DARK VADER 3 6 6 6   4 4 (radosevich)FERNANDEZ R 118 8.00 37% 1.70 14.90  
COUNTRY CLUB BOBBY 2 5 52 5   55 5 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 118 10.00 21.00  
QUIET AMIGO 1 7 42 4   66 612¼ (zielinski ric)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 8.00 23.00  
ALTISSIMO 7 3 7 7   78 713 (zielinski richard)FELICIANO R 120 4.50 16% 5.30 8.10  
SCR  TIVIS               (gorham m)ORTIZ JR 117 4.00    
 
MVR-8   11/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Hollywood Gaming Mahoning Dist Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:231 :464 :591     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOODY WOMAN 5 3 5 31   2nk 1½ (mcmullen)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00 10% 9.10 11.10 W
MY DESTINY 3 2 1nk 1nk   1nk 2½ (wilensky herma)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 3.00 26% 2.90 0.50 P
ROSEBUG 2 4 31 4   4 3 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 2.50 41% 1.40 1.40 S
LIBERTY BELLE 4 5 2nk 2nk   3.2 4 (londono j)BRACHO A 118 20.00 27.00  
DECO STRONG 6 1 4 65   5 5 (stites w)DIAZ I 118 8.00 22.30  
THINK IT THRU 1 6 6 5   6 612¼ (meyers shane)RIVERA R 118 20.00 46.10  
SCR  OLGA ISABEL               (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.80    
 
MVR-9   11/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Cheryl Purse ($200K) 3 F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:222 :454 :581     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JERSEY PEARL 4 3 3 3½   21 11 (miller darr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 3.00 1.60  
WHITE CHOCOLATE 2 5 1nk 1½   11 21 (summers chad)JARAMILLO E 117 8.00 9.50  
CONDENSATION 6 1 5 6   5 3 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121 6.00 3.30  
SIMPLY STATED 3 6 4 4   46 411 (beattie m)ORTIZ JR 117 5.00 27% 2.70 3.90  
LATE FROST 1 4 2nk 2½   34 511½ (matz r)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 4.00 19% 4.30 8.60  
ZAPPLE 7 2 6 7   7 614 (leitch d)BATISTA ALBERTO 117 10.00 67.20  
POETICA 5 7 74 5   6 718¾ (eurton peter)HERNANDEZ J 117 3.50 26% 2.80 3.90  
SCR  B G WARRIOR               (andrade hugo)HALDAR J 124 10.00    
 
MVR-10   11/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Steel Valley Sprint Purse ($300K) 3 ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:222 :451 :574     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RYVIT 4 8 7 4   3½ 1 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 124 8.00 17% 4.90 11.70 W
DAMON'S MOUND 2 3 1nk 1nk   1½ 2 (lovell michel)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 2.50 25% 3.00 1.20 P
SUPER CHOW 8 2 2nk 2nk   2½ 3 (delgado jorge)JARAMILLO E 124 6.00 11% 8.00 15.90 S
HALMSTAD 9 6 4 5   65 4 (rutledge lance)BEJARANO R 117 12.00 6.40  
RECRUITER 6 9 9 7   53 5 (lynch cathal)CONNER TYLER 117 10.00 6% 17.10 19.20  
10  UNCASHED 10 1 3.2 3.2   41 6 (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 4.00 19% 4.20 4.30  
NAUTICAL STAR 7 7 6 6   76 710¼ (joseph a)ORTIZ JR 117 3.50 3.50  
AGNELLO'S DREAM 5 4 8 9   89 814¾ (skerrett jeffr)HALDAR J 117 30.00 ######  
FROSTED DEPARTURE 1 5 5 8   9 917¾ (mcpeek g)DIAZ I 117 8.00 27.60  
MEADOW VALUE 3 10 1021¼ 1017¾   1011½ 1019¼ (elliott mich)ANDERSON MCKENNA 117 30.00 85.20  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.