Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Wednesday - November 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 0 $8.80  
PEN-2   Win (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 8 1 0 $9.60  
PEN-3   Win (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 9 1 0 $29.20  
PEN-4   Win (7/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $7.80 $7.80 1.80
PEN-5   Win (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $10.40  
PEN-6   Win (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $10.20  
PEN-7   Win (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $4.20 $4.20  

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   11/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 2 ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:224 :471 1:003     1:072   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAPACHILL 3 5 55 5   2 1 (crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 121 6.00 3.40  
CHUCK ADAMS 4 3 1nk 2½   3 2 (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 121 6.00 6% 15.10 4.80 P
DARK DUTCHESS 2 4 3½ 1½   1 32 (pecoraro an)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 118 1.60 1.80  
POLIE 5 1 41 4   4 46 (albright geor)INIRIO J 121 10.00 9.20  
WARRIOR AT BAT 1 2 2nk 31   55 5 (beattie m)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 1.50 64% 0.60 1.70  
SCR  MR. NORMANDY               (albright geor)INIRIO J 121 10.00    
 
PEN-2   11/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:24 :472 1:124 1:261   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEELE MONEY 8 4 54 5 3 2nk 1¾ (sanchez-s)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 5.00 3.80  
KAZ SWEET HEIST 1 3 8 7 6 4 2¾ (synnefias dimitr)TORRES JOMAR 120 4.00 68% 0.50 3.70 P
FIELDSTONE 7 7 32 2½ 1nk 1nk 3 (patterson kevi)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 3.50 5.80 S
BLUEBERRY MASH 6 6 7 6 4 33 44 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 11.90  
MOON WARRIOR 9 9 911½ 912¼ 7 6 5 (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 2.40  
SYNONYM 2 2 1½ 1½ 2nk 54 6 (mcclellan c)CORA D 119 10.00 12.10  
WONDER WATER 5 5 2½ 3½ 56 7 7 (sillaman ri)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 15.00  
MILLBANK MAN 3 1 6 811¼ 913¼ 817½ 818¾ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 119 10.00 5% 19.00 15.80  
EL POLICIA 4 8 4 4 810¼ 920½ 929¼ (synnefias dim)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00 12.10  
 
PEN-3   11/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:46 :584     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUCK WILD 7 6 7 7   5 11 (jacavone j)ROJAS MARTINA 114 15.00 13.60  
BEAST OR FAMINE 4 2 31 2nk   2nk 21 (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 4.50 62% 0.60 4.90 P
ACT OF VALOR 6 5 53 31   3.2 31 (murtough step)INIRIO J 120 15.00 9.20  
AGAINST THE ODDS 5 7 66 6   4 4 (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 120 4.50 4.30  
DIXIE CANNONBALL 2 4 1½ 1nk   1nk 5 (graci a)TORRES JOMAR 120 12.00 5% 19.00 14.70  
MY BLUE EYES 3 1 2½ 4   6 6 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 119 5.00 4.00  
HIGHWAY BOUND 1 3 41 5   7 712 (lawrence ja)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 12% 7.10 1.30  
SCR  GREAT WORKOUT               (brion keri)CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 8.00    
SCR  SOUTH SEA               (rojas l)ROJAS MARTINA 115 5.00    
 
PEN-4   11/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:224 :462 :584     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BETWEEN DREAMS 7 2 23 2   2½ 1 (pecoraro anthon)ROJAS MARTINA 117 2.50 40% 1.50 2.90 W
SHATTER ME 5 1 13 1   1½ 2 (beattie cod)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 31% 2.30 2.30 P
PHANCY PHILLY 4 5 4 33   34 3 (stites w)CORA D 122 5.00 12.60  
SEAMIALAUGH 2 4 5 4   45 49 (mcclellan c)TORRES JOMAR 124 3.00 7% 13.10 1.60  
TERPEYE 3 7 712¼ 710   69 5 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 122 12.00 21.50  
KATY THE CAT 1 6 6 56   58 610½ (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 15.00 36.40  
JACK'S LILLY 6 3 33 66   713 714½ (bobadilla j)VARGAS L 122 4.00 6.20  
 
PEN-5   11/15/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:384     1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERFECT HIDEAWAY 4 2 22 2 2 23 11 (beattie tod)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 4.20  
GOLDEN MOONLIGHT 5 1 12 1 1 13 21 (acquilano)NAVARRO J 121 2.50 65% 0.50 2.20 P
SWAN POINT 2 4 6 5 3 3 3 (arnold pamela)CORA D 120 3.50 5.30 S
FOXY JUNIOR 3 5 46 38 45 4 4 (arnold pamela)INIRIO J 119 4.00 1.90  
CUENCA 6 6 36 48 58 510½ 516 (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 5.00 15.90  
EIGHT DANZAS 1 3 57 611 613 617½ 623½ (bedard alan)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 8.00 5% 19.00 5.30  
 
PEN-6   11/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:133 1:271   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CATALENA 1 4 2 2 1½ 1 11 (simoff andr)RODRIGUEZ R 119 2.50 4.10  
IRISH SAMURAI 2 5 55 4 3 2 21 (lucas bonnie)CORA D 120 8.00 20% 4.10 16.30 P
NADIABIZNIZ 6 6 6 67 56 43 3 (thompson ra)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00 6.40  
DANCE STEP 3 2 3 3 2½ 3 4 (simone v)TORRES JOMAR 119 2.00 50% 1.00 1.20  
SHEA D SECRET 4 3 4 5 4 5 5 (maymo j)BEATO INOEL 119 6.00 5% 19.00 2.60  
ESTA CHUCK 7 7 7 711½ 713 615½ 626¼ (jacavone)SMITH DANIEL 115 30.00 67.40  
ANGELOFTHEGALAXY 5 1 1 1 69 717 734¼ (flores-coba fel)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00 10.50  
 
PEN-7   11/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:14 1:271   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INDIAN BUZZ 5 5 5 5 31 21 1¼ (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 25% 3.00 1.10 W
FED CHAIR 4 2 2½ 2½ 1½ 11 2¼ (moreno-barban)INIRIO J 122 4.00 5.80  
WARRIOR IN CHIEF 6 1 1½ 1½ 5 31 3 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 122 2.00 2.80  
SECRETARY AT WAR 1 4 31 31 41 5 4 (simone mich)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 44% 1.30 2.70  
C C'S WARRIOR 2 3 4 4 2½ 4 5 (mcclellan c)TORRES JOMAR 122 8.00 5% 19.00 21.70  
POCOPSON STATION 3 6 69 6 6 610¼ 617½ (ippolito)SMITH DANIEL 117 15.00 63.80  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.