Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Sunday - November 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $35.52 $35.52 29.52
CD-2   Win (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00 3 1 0 $2.76  
CD-3   Win (1/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $17.30  
CD-4   Win (8/11/10/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $3.64 $3.64  
CD-5   Win (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $8.50  
CD-6   Win (10/3/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $9.60 $9.60 1.60
CD-7   Win (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $5.82 $5.82  
CD-8   Win (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 1 $8.00 $8.00 4.00
CD-9   Win (4/10) 2 $2.00 $4.00 12 1 0 $11.24  
CD-10   Win (10/8/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $25.86 $25.86 17.86

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   11/12/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:134 1:383   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT TANGO 4 1 2 21 1nk 11 1 (pitts helen)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 12.00 5% 19.00 16.76 W
EAST SHORE 5 4 4 4 31 21 2 (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 118 1.80 50% 1.00 1.27 P
WITS AND WAGERS 1 6 6 63 4 4 3 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 3.00 3.06  
LADY MERCEDES 3 2 1 11 2nk 3 4 (forster gran)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00 6.31  
OVERINDULGENCE 2 3 5 5 5 5 517 (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 118 4.50 7.74  
AZURA 6 5 3 3 6 613 624¾ (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 21% 3.70 3.58  
 
CD-2   11/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($80K) Purse ($73K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:22 :444 :563     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LARK'S MISCHIEF 2 1 1½ 1½   11 1¼ (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 1.80 0.38  
WAKE SURF 3 3 2½ 2½   21 2¼ (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 120 12.00 3.65  
RUGGS 1 2 32 3   3 3 (moquett ro)SANTANA JR 120 6.00 41% 1.50 2.61 S
SCR  ELI'S PROMISE               (divito p)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
SCR  ELITE FORCES               (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.60    
SCR  MAJOR BLUE               (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 5.00    
 
CD-3   11/12/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 2:00
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:12     1:251   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOU ANNA 3 2 2nk 1nk   1 1nk (tomlinson m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00 7.65  
BETTE DAVIS 4 6 5 4   2 2nk (tomlinson michae)ASHTON GAVIN 119 6.00 11% 7.90 4.18 P
DANCING PRINCESS 6 1 3½ 31   3 3 (spicer t)LEBRON VICTOR 119 4.00 17% 5.00 3.46 S
MO'S VINO MESA 1 3 1nk 2nk   4 4 (thomas jonathan)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50 49% 1.10 1.23  
CHOCTAW GRACE 5 4 6 5   510½ 516 (humphries thoma)MORALES EDGAR 119 5.00 7.70  
PARTAKE 7 7 7 7   613 616½ (wojczynski ju)PETERSON FERRIN 119 6.00 9.07  
YAREE D TAT 2 5 4 6   714 720¾ (gilliam b)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 119 15.00 54.71  
SCR  NAUGHTY MISS               (roberson de)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00    
SCR  PRIX               (wojczy)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 12.00    
 
CD-4   11/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 2:30
See original race card.
:224 :454 :571     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYSTIK DAN 7 1 2nk 1nk   14 1 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.00 58% 0.70 0.82 W
EUSEBIUS 6 2 8 84   57 2 (mccarthy w)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 5% 19.00 6.43 P
10  EVAN ON EARTH 9 10 5 5   3 3 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50 8% 11.90 9.95 S
CHUN MONEY 1 5 1nk 2nk   24 4 (von d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00 11.40  
GRAND EMPEROR 2 7 10 109   9 5 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 10.00 26.43  
HENRO 8 9 7 7   67 6 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 10.00 15.59  
11  FLOTATION STATION 10 8 31 3.2   46 711¾ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 3.50 13% 6.50 7.67  
JOE SHIESTY 5 3 4 4   7 812 (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 119 15.00 27.67  
MIGHTY MESSAGE 4 6 6 6   8 912½ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 9.31  
BRODY 3 4 9 98   1010¼ 1013¾ (pompell rob)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 119 20.00 65.73  
SCR  NATIONAL ECLIPSE               (williamson brian)ASHTON GAVIN 119 20.00    
 
CD-5   11/12/2023 7260ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:01
See original race card.
:252 :51 1:162 1:404   2:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANATOLIAN 6 52 6 6 3 1 1 (maker j)CHUAN MARTIN 121 6.00 3.25  
MUSIC STREET 7 2½ 2½ 2½ 11 2 2 (beckman w)LEPAROUX R 121 3.00 2.18  
LADY ARSINOE 1 6 42 42 5 44 34 (mott i)GRAHAM J 121 8.00 9.43  
PRETTY PROVOCATIVE 2 7 7 7 65 5 44 (molloy thomas)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 12.00 18.34  
SHE'S GONE 5 1½ 1½ 1½ 21 32 56 (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 121 5.00 20% 4.10 3.51  
QUERIDINHA LECA 3 42 52 52 7 79 612 (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 20.00 7% 13.90 11.36  
STIR CRAZY 4 3 31 31 4 6 715 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 44% 1.30 3.70  
SCR  CREATIVE CAIRO               (schultz lin)LEPAROUX R 121 2.50    
SCR  LILAC GIRL               (thomas jonatha)GEROUX FLORENT 121 3.50    
 
CD-6   11/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:31
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:124 1:252   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S MAGIC 3 7 54 3 42 32 1nk (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 121 2.50 25% 3.00 3.80 W
AREUHAVINGFUNYET 2 1 1½ 1nk 1½ 12 2nk (sims p)ACHARD ALEX 121 15.00 10.26  
EVIE'S ENCORE 5 4 7 5 3 4 3 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 121 3.50 2.61 S
MIKITA 4 3 2½ 2nk 2½ 22 4 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.00 7.21  
BATTLING BUBBLES 8 10 9 8 6 5 5 (hiles jeff)SANTANA JR 121 8.00 5% 18.30 7.63  
10  BIG DIG 10 8 64 6 56 6 610½ (drury thomas)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.00 47% 1.10 2.37  
AMAZON BARBIE 1 6 10 10 7 710¼ 712¾ (cunningham )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 20.00 21.34  
LADY ROBO 7 5 42 4 810½ 818¼ 825¼ (holden darragh)ELLIOTT JANE 121 15.00 56.70  
NEWYEARSPRESENT 6 2 31 7 1014 921¼ 932½ (o'connor robert )MACHADO LUAN 124 20.00 5% 19.00 48.38  
PROUD PERFORMER 9 9 8 9 914 1022¼ 1043¼ (king l)CANNON DECLAN 121 30.00 43.74  
 
CD-7   11/12/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:122 1:364   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NASH 4 3 11 1 1 1 110¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.00 12% 7.40 1.91 W
JUSTIFREAK 2 4 31 32 32 2 210¼ (kenneally ed)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 29.55  
RESILIENCE 9 1 9 96 87 6 311¼ (mott i)GRAHAM J 119 6.00 4.64 S
NYQUIST FREQUENCY 5 5 21 2 2 35 413 (blair jordan)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00 30.38  
BE YOU 3 6 4 5 54 4 514½ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 1.60 61% 0.60 1.43  
DJANGO 6 9 6 64 4 5 615 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 5% 18.20 5.86  
NUEVO EMPIRE 1 7 7 8 9 711 715¾ (medina robe)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00 25.85  
CRUSADING 8 8 8 7 76 812 822¾ (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 15.00 49.98  
NULLIFY 7 2 5 43 65 915 927 (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 30.00 70.32  
 
CD-8   11/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:24 :47 1:114 1:241   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOCTOR NASH 2 1 1½ 2½ 1nk 11 1 (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 121 5.00 13% 6.70 3.00 W
WATASHA 1 2 41 1½ 2nk 21 2 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 1.40 1.10  
RUNGIUS 4 5 5 32 5 33 3 (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 1.60 54% 0.90 2.27 S
SEVEN FLAT 5 3 2½ 5 3 46 46 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 121 10.00 6.35  
HOODLUM 3 4 3½ 42 4 58 516¼ (stall albert )GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 12.00 20.78  
SCR  LIAM THE BRAVE               (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 121 12.00    
SCR  STIRDATPOT               (londono geneviev)MILLER CHASE 121 12.00    
 
CD-9   11/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($148K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:22 :444 :564     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  COPPOLA 5 3 2½ 2nk   1 1 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 122 12.00 4.62  
EDGE TO EDGE 2 2 3 42   2 2 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 20.00 1.50  
JUST MIGHT 1 4 4 31   3 3 (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 120 20.00 2.36  
10  LET MY PEOPLE GO 4 5 5 5   44 4 (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 22% 3.60 5.79  
HEAVEN STREET 3 1 1½ 1nk   5 517 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.50 55% 0.80 4.22  
SCR  MISCHIEVOUS ROGUE               (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 122 6.00    
SCR  OCEANIC               (blair jordan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 12.00    
SCR  OUTADORE               (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 120 4.00    
SCR  PURPLE DREAM               (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 8.00    
SCR  SOSUA SUMMER               (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 122 12.00    
SCR  MARK OF THE Z               (rodriguez j)LEPAROUX R 120 15.00    
SCR  FRONT RUN THE FED               (caramori cai)CORRALES GERARDO 124 8.00    
SCR  ZOOMBIE               (walsh d)MACHADO LUAN 120 20.00    
SCR  BAD BEAT BRIAN               (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 120 5.00    
SCR  ARREST ME RED               (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 120 5.00    
SCR  CLOUDY               (mcgaughey c)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 12.00    
 
CD-10   11/12/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 5:35
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:134 1:39   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KITTY HAWK (GB) 2 1 1 11 1½ 13 11 (oliver vi)DE CRUZ 119 12.00 5% 19.00 11.93 W
10  RAPOPORT 10 7 63 5 53 3 21 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.00 57% 0.80 1.48 P
RIVETAGE 1 2 42 32 42 4 3 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 9% 10.20 5.92 S
MASMAK 6 5 3 4 3 55 4 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.50 4.39  
COLLINS 8 4 2 21 2½ 23 5 (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 119 10.00 9% 10.00 17.70  
WORKISLIFE 7 3 7 7 75 7 6 (o'donnell marcus)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 13.50  
CHAPERONE 3 9 10 109 99 99 7 (moquett ro)SANTANA JR 119 8.00 7.77  
WARP NINE 4 8 87 85 6 6 88 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 119 4.00 10.17  
HOPE JOE'S RIGHT 9 10 98 96 85 8 99 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 31.70  
J BIRD TIME 5 6 5 6 10 1011½ 1013¼ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00 20.71  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.