Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Saturday - November 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (8/10/4/11/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $40.86 $40.86 30.86
CD-2   Win (7/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $23.88 $23.88 17.88
CD-3   Win (4/5/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $11.38  
CD-4   Win (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $3.66 $3.66  
CD-5   Win (7/12/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 12 1 1 $7.88 $7.88 1.88
CD-6   Win (12/7/11/14) 4 $2.00 $8.00 12 1 1 $6.72 $6.72  
CD-7   Win (5/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $7.06 $7.06 1.06
CD-8   Win (6/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.08 $4.08  
CD-9   Win (7/10/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $28.90 $28.90 20.90
CD-10   Win (6/11/4/1/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $10.54 $10.54 0.54
CD-11   Win (1/9/2/10/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 0 $21.62  

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   11/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:122 1:253   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCOTCH NO ROCKS 2 10 115 11 8 5 1nk (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 20.00 5% 19.00 19.43 W
BRADFORD 1 6 128 12 12 8 2nk (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 121 12.00 33.19  
REDHILL 6 3 2nk 2½ 2nk 2nk 3¾ (pittman bonni)BURNHAM MATILDA 114 30.00 93.22  
JUL QUIST 5 2 1nk 1½ 1nk 1nk 41 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 121 10.00 9.98  
DARIO 4 1 7 5 4 32 5 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.50 5% 19.00 6.14  
11  COLONEL BARTON 11 8 6 8 7 6 6 (puhich mike)MICHEL MICKAELLE 124 12.00 5% 19.00 17.51  
COAL BOSS 7 4 83 62 6 7 7 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 15.00 22.55  
ABSOLUTE COURAGE 8 5 3.2 3½ 32 4 84 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 1.40 69% 0.40 1.01  
WINGER 3 12 9 10 9 9 9 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 121 10.00 6.40  
10  GO CATS 10 7 104 9 10 10 10 (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.00 5% 19.00 6.32  
12  TEXCOCO 12 9 5 7 11 1111 1115¼ (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 121 15.00 82.56  
VALUABLE CARGO 9 11 4 41 5 1212½ 1219 (miller f)COURT K 121 20.00 58.46  
SCR  GIVE HIM TIME               (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 121 10.00    
SCR  LEFT POCKET MONEY               (pittman bonni)BURNHAM MATILDA 117 20.00    
 
CD-2   11/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($66K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:104     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAUMSETT 1 1 1½ 1nk   12 1 (egbert james)BURGOS ALBERTO 123 8.00 33% 2.00 10.94 W
SHANIAH 3 2 2½ 2nk   22 2 (contreras c)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 8.00 4.99  
ENCHANTED NILE 4 7 6 42   34 3 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 2.00 1.23  
COEXIST 2 6 3 5   55 4 (forster t)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.00 5.88  
CHARGE ACCOUNT 7 4 52 31   4 5 (foster eric)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 38% 1.70 2.87  
DOCS SEVEN 5 3 4 6   6 6 (manley steve)GARCIA MARTIN 121 12.00 5% 19.00 21.65  
A LOT OF SPUNK 6 5 7 7   78 7 (foley greg)MCKEE J 121 12.00 14.19  
 
CD-3   11/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($62.5K) Purse ($78K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:104     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRIAR LAURENCE 7 1 5 4   31 1 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00 4.69  
COLD AS HELL 6 2 2½ 1nk   1½ 2 (lukas wayn)ASMUSSEN J 120 5.00 10% 9.50 8.81 P
HOWBEIT 1 8 64 6   5 3 (morey e)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00 1.91  
CAMP DAVID 2 4 1½ 2nk   2½ 4 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 13% 6.80 5.19  
TEXAS RED HOT 3 6 8 8   7 5 (morse l)MACHADO LUAN 120 12.00 9.37  
DERBY DATE 5 5 4 3   42 65 (contreras c)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 4.00 15% 5.80 5.44  
FLAGS UP 4 7 7 7   6 7 (diodoro rob)TORRES A 120 4.50 34% 1.90 5.77  
SWING SHIFT (GB) 8 3 32 5   89 813¼ (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 15.00 30.62  
 
CD-4   11/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Dream Supreme Purse ($300K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
See original race card.
:213 :444 :57     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WICKED HALO 5 4 5 4   12 12 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.20 37% 1.70 0.83 W
LITTLE PRANKSTER 4 6 3 31   22 22 (bauer a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 1.80 21% 3.70 1.71 P
LAST LEAF 2 2 4 5   5 3 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 13% 6.50 13.21 S
YOUR SO SILLEA 1 3 1½ 11   33 4 (sims a)LANERIE J 122 5.00 8.64  
FIRE ON TIME 3 5 2½ 21   46 512 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 122 8.00 8.70  
ROYAL COUNTY 6 1 6 6   69 612½ (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 20.00 41.96  
 
CD-5   11/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 3:01
See original race card.
:223 :461 :58     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  TWIRL AROUND 8 6 11 1½   1 1 (foley greg)VELAZQUEZ R 119 4.00 25% 3.10 2.94 W
HAMBLE 5 4 6 3   2 2 (mccarthy micha)GEROUX FLORENT 119 15.00 13.25  
10  SHORE WAR 7 5 5 4   35 3 (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 119 5.00 7.75  
DESTINY STAR 6 7 7 7   6 4 (hamm timothy)CORRALES GERARDO 119 5.00 8.12  
TAMMY LYNN 4 1 32 2½   45 5 (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 48% 1.10 0.95  
RENFREW 1 3 21 5   57 611½ (sharp joe)TORRES A 119 12.00 5% 19.00 11.13  
BOYNE VALLEY 2 2 4 6   710½ 718½ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00 48.77  
13  SPEIGHTFUL MISS 9 9 911 99   914 819 (servis c)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 12.00 36.25  
SERENE WATERS 3 8 89 88   813 919¼ (meah m)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00 39.31  
SCR  BARAYE               (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 4.00    
SCR  GOLD DEL MAR               (bahena ismael)CHUAN MARTIN 119 20.00    
SCR  HOW SOON IS NOW               (lynch a)GRAHAM J 119 8.00    
SCR  SHARPER GAL               (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00    
SCR  TURF ROCKET               (o'dwyer jer)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00    
SCR  TWO SIP SALLY               (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50    
SCR  WALK STREET               (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119 20.00    
 
CD-6   11/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 2 ALL PT- 3:31
See original race card.
:214 :454 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  AUGUSTINE RED 10 5 3 31   2nk 1 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 44% 1.30 2.36 W
11  BIRCHTON 9 2 2nk 11   1nk 2 (shirer a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00 13% 6.70 8.96 P
STINGER BEE 2 10 5 44   4 32 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 6.00 8.45 S
10  LATTA 8 4 1nk 21   3 4 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 20.00 8.02  
14  MIDNIGHT AMBITION 11 9 9 7   6 5 (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 5% 19.00 11.08  
STORMIN LOVE 6 1 6 5   5 6 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 25.51  
CRUISIN AND BOOZIN 7 7 7 812¼   813 714¼ (o'neill doug)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 15.00 14.23  
JIMMY THE HAT 4 6 8 1014¾   914½ 817 (catalano way)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 8.97  
FASTER 1 11 10 914¾   1016 918½ (miller darr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00 55.27  
SUPERHERO 5 3 4 6   7 1018¾ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 20% 3.90 4.89  
TAPITBOY 3 8 11 1144¾   11100 11100 (tomlinson a)GRAHAM J 119 8.00 7.04  
SCR  EXTRA HALO               (granitz ant)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 12.00    
SCR  GOOGOL JOKE               (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 4.00    
SCR  ONE RED CENT               (jazdzewski)RODRIGUEZ A 119 8.00    
 
CD-7   11/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:22 :452 :571     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EASY ACTION 5 3 21 2nk   11 1 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 118 2.00 38% 1.60 2.53 W
TUNISIAN SPRING 2 2 11 1nk   21 2 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 1.60 26% 2.80 0.86 P
PENSACOLA 1 4 32 4   3 3 (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 5.47  
UNDERHILL'S TAB 3 1 42 52   5 4 (medina robert)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00 15.04  
ZAMBEZI 7 5 5 31   4 5 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 6.00 8% 11.80 10.84  
WHERE'S RANDY 4 7 6 65   6 6 (morse randy)LEPAROUX R 120 20.00 22.91  
FLIPARINO 6 6 7 7   7 712¾ (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 118 6.00 19.36  
 
CD-8   11/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:241 :492 1:142 1:393   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SISTINA CHAPEL 5 5 42 3 2nk 1 1½ (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 1.80 69% 0.40 1.04 W
EXTREMELY GRUNTLED 4 3 5 6 42 2 2½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 6.32  
AMY Z 7 1 21 2½ 1nk 3 34 (von donni)GARCIA MARTIN 119 10.00 5% 19.00 9.35 S
MONTCLAIR ROAD 8 8 84 7 7 4 45 (stall m)MACHADO LUAN 119 10.00 6.96  
CHEYENNE MOON 3 6 7 8 86 6 511¼ (brennan terr)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 15.00 5% 19.00 12.19  
DASH OF LEMON 2 9 95 9 9 812½ 614½ (catalano m)ELLIOTT JANE 119 12.00 55.50  
SHE'S ARODEOQUEEN 1 4 3 4 5 711½ 715½ (tomlinson m)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 17.18  
SAVE THE MISCHIEF 6 2 11 1½ 3½ 5 816¾ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 12.00 16.05  
11  CALLE REINA 9 7 6 5 6 914 918 (beckman whitw)VELAZQUEZ R 119 5.00 5.40  
SCR  PLUMERIA               (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 4.50    
SCR  QUEEN LEXI               (short thomas)MORALES EDGAR 119 30.00    
 
CD-9   11/11/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:232 :481 1:13 1:374   1:501   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMMANDPERFORMANCE 8 6 74 7 53 12 1nk (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.50 8% 11.50 13.45 W
ESCAPOLOGIST 3 8 8 87 85 3 2nk (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 122 15.00 5% 19.00 17.37 P
MAGIC TAP 6 5 3 3 21 22 32 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.40 36% 1.80 0.52 S
GALT 2 4 21 21 3 55 4 (lobo paulo )TORRES A 121 15.00 15.62  
COOKE CREEK 7 1 5 63 74 6 5 (o'dwyer jeremia)VELAZQUEZ R 121 5.00 9.50  
10  CREATIVE MINISTER 9 2 63 53 4 45 6 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.50 28% 2.60 4.71  
ROMAN CENTURIAN 5 9 910½ 911 910½ 9 713 (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 20.00 46.77  
UNINVITED GUEST 4 7 4 4 64 8 813¼ (hartman chris)LANERIE J 121 20.00 42.42  
TIWANAKU 1 3 11 11 11 7 917 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 121 12.00 16.69  
SCR  MR. BIG NEWS               (calhoun wi)SANTANA JR 121 30.00    
 
CD-10   11/11/2023 5940ft TURF RC12 GOOD River City Purse ($300K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:35
See original race card.
:232 :48 1:131 1:381   1:503   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMOKIN' T 6 8 6 7 6 1½ 1 (mcgaughey claud)VELAZQUEZ R 121 6.00 48% 1.10 4.27 W
12  HARLAN ESTATE 12 9 74 9 9 5 2 (beckman whit)RAMOS D 121 15.00 15.05  
11  SIEGE OF BOSTON 11 11 11 10 11 9 32 (toner j)RUIZ JORGE 121 4.50 18% 4.50 5.70 S
GRAND SONATA 8 3 42 5 53 3 4 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00 15.11  
DOMINICAN PIONEER 7 2 11 11 1½ 2½ 5 (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 121 10.00 17.45  
10  INJUNCTION 10 5 32 42 42 7 6 (vaccarezza carlo)BEJARANO R 121 15.00 5% 19.00 11.75  
ROCKEMPEROR (IRE) 4 10 96 8 8 8 74 (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.00 6% 15.40 3.21  
RED RUN 3 6 107 116 10 11 84 (maker mich)SANTANA JR 121 12.00 8.45  
KITODAN 5 12 12 12 12 12 9 (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 121 15.00 44.58  
F FIVE 2 1 5 32 32 4 10 (lynch a)GRAHAM J 121 12.00 15.68  
CELLIST 1 7 85 6 7 10 11 (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 121 5.00 5% 19.00 7.70  
STITCHED 9 4 21 21 2½ 6 127 (foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 125 15.00 12.05  
SCR  ACCREDIT               (matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 121 20.00    
SCR  BEATBOX               (devaux cher)TORRES A 121 20.00    
SCR  STREET READY               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 15.00    
 
CD-11   11/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 6:05
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:14 1:391   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'M A MESS 6 9 8 10 9 1nk 1 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00 9.81  
ENIGMATIC 2 6 3 32 5 3.2 2 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 5.00 12% 7.10 8.47 P
GENETICS 9 11 10 8 10 9 3 (mott i)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.50 25% 3.00 5.66 S
CLASS ACT 7 10 11 11 11 7 4 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 5.67  
AMERICA'S VOW 5 7 53 43 6 6 5 (hamm timothy)CORRALES GERARDO 119 20.00 44.08  
MURPHY'S GIFT 3 1 21 2 2nk 2nk 6 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 11.16  
11  HER BEST FRIEND 11 3 7 7 3.2 5 7 (medina robert)MORALES EDGAR 119 30.00 66.83  
HAPPY TALK 8 8 9 9 7 104 8 (lukas way)TORRES A 119 12.00 5% 19.00 5.55  
CHARLOTTESAPPROVAL 4 5 63 6 8 8 99 (casse mark)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00 25.68  
LOVELAND 1 2 11 1 1nk 4¼ 10 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 119 4.00 29% 2.40 2.62  
10  CARARRA 10 4 42 53 4 1110 1118¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50 10% 8.90 6.75  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.