Handicappers' Race Results

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Aqueduct
Saturday - November 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (7/5/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $8.80  
AQU-2   Win (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $12.20 $12.20 6.20
AQU-3   Win (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $8.80  
AQU-4   Win (4/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 9 1 0 $12.00  
AQU-5   Win (11/2/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 0 $14.00  
AQU-6   Win (8/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $23.60  
AQU-7   Win (9/3/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $12.60 $12.60 4.60
AQU-8   Win (4/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $10.20 $10.20 4.20
AQU-9   Win (8/7/5/10/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 12 1 0 $23.60  
AQU-10   Win (7/9/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 0 $35.60  

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   11/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 2 ALL PT-11:50
See original race card.
:232 :471 :591     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUNNING LUCKY 4 2 1 13   1 1 (dini mike)MARTIN MATTIE 112 6.00 3.40  
MAD BANKER 6 4 2 34   3 2 (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 119 3.50 2.85  
A KNIGHT'S COURAGE 8 1 3 23   2 3 (donk david)RIVERA R 114 4.50 3.55  
BRACA 2 6 7 6   514½ 415¼ (giglio gina)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 15.00 17% 5.00 16.60  
THE DELAWARE BOYZ 5 8 6 45   411 515¼ (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.50 18% 4.50 5.30  
CHARLIE TOUGH 3 5 5 715   719½ 620¼ (chichakly amira)SILVERA RUBEN 119 15.00 5% 19.00 21.90  
SWEPT 1 3 4 5   618½ 720¾ (chapman )MARAGH RAMSAY 119 5.00 7.10  
STAR SEQUENCE 7 7 8 819   820½ 821¾ (serpe phil)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 3.00 43% 1.30 8.30  
 
AQU-2   11/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT-12:20
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:114 1:242   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUT FEELING 2 2 4 4 3 21 1½ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 4.50 13% 6.70 5.10 W
INSPEIGHTOFTRAINER 4 5 3 3 1nk 11 2½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00 5% 19.00 9.90 P
STRONG LIGHT 6 7 7 7 7 6 32 (younghan)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 15.00 32.50  
IRON WORKS 1 1 2½ 21 43 4 4 (pletcher t)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 0.50 59% 0.70 0.50  
DEVIL'S CAY 7 4 1½ 11 2nk 31 5 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00 5.10  
ROCK THE WEEKEND 3 3 5 5 5 5 6 (shivmangal lolita)RUIZ ELISEO 115 20.00 59.50  
ACHILLES HEEL 5 6 6 65 66 75 76 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 123 10.00 15.10  
SCR  PRINCE OF JOY               (legall ricar)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 116 50.00    
 
AQU-3   11/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:123 1:25   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ESCALATION CLAUSE 4 3 5 62 41 2½ 12 (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 121 4.00 3.40  
LUCENCY 2 4 2nk 1nk 1nk 1½ 22 (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 121 2.50 20% 4.00 1.40 P
AUTHORIZE 5 7 6 41 5 4 3 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 3.00 26% 2.90 3.65 S
BURTON WAY 1 6 4 5 2nk 31 4 (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 124 5.00 7.60  
MODERN ERA (AUS) 7 5 7 77 6 5 512¼ (st uriah)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 15.00 35.25  
RINGSIDE 6 2 1nk 3½ 3½ 615 656¼ (camejo m)ORTIZ JR 121 3.50 20% 4.00 5.50  
BILLY PRICE 3 1 3.2 2nk 727¼ 720 7100 (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 124 10.00 24.25  
 
AQU-4   11/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:19
See original race card.
:223 :461 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
F F ROCKET 9 7 8 6   5 1½ (shivmang)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 5.00 5.00  
STRIKING SPEED 6 4 32 1nk   1 2½ (potts wayne)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 12.00 17.40  
PRINCE JAMES 2 2 4 4   2 3 (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50 1.55 S
RALLY SQUIRREL 7 5 6 5   4 4 (goberdhan chandra)CANCEL ERIC 122 15.00 5% 19.00 30.25  
WINNING DRIVE 5 9 910½ 912¼   910¾ 5 (kantarmaci mert)SILVERA RUBEN 120 8.00 34.75  
GANDY DANCING 8 6 7 8   810¾ 67 (barrera)HERNANDEZ OMAR 122 12.00 21.80  
HANDSOME CAT 1 8 5 7   7 77 (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 8.00  
NEVER EARLY 4 1 2½ 2nk   3 8 (walder pet)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 4.00 58% 0.70 4.30  
LOHENGRIN TWO 3 3 1½ 3.2   6 910¾ (potts wayne)OLVER MADISON 117 6.00 16% 5.30 4.40  
 
AQU-5   11/11/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 ALL PT- 1:48
See original race card.
:241 :491 1:14 1:371   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUGINO 7 8 64 5 53 2nk 1hd (mcgaughey clau)CASTELLANO J 119 5.00 6.00  
ENLIGHTEN 2 3 11 1½ 1½ 1nk 2hd (pletcher a)CANCEL ERIC 119 2.50 9% 10.10 7.30 P
11  TRIPLE ESPRESSO 10 7 4 4 31 32 3 (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 119 2.00 69% 0.50 0.80 S
HAMILTON'S WAY 5 1 3 3 42 44 4 (handal raymond)ROSARIO JOEL 119 10.00 20.20  
10  THORNBURY (IRE) 9 9 9 9 9 7 5 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00 5% 19.00 36.50  
BOUNTEOUS (IRE) 3 5 74 6 6 6 69 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00 17.90  
UNIQUE INSIGHT 6 2 21 2½ 2½ 5 7 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 9.20  
FOUR TOP 4 6 85 7 86 8 812 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 9.00  
URGE TO MERGE (IRE) 8 10 10 10 7 9 914¾ (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 23.60  
WON TEAM 1 4 5 8 1012½ 1017¾ 1034¾ (terranova p)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 48.75  
SCR  BOLD AMBITION               (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00    
SCR  DANGEROUS DRIVER               (jimenez l)SILVERA RUBEN 119 30.00    
SCR  GET READY TO ROCK               (kimmel j)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 30.00    
SCR  OTELLO               (clement christophe)RIDER TBA 119 6.00    
SCR  PET MAT               (d'angelo j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00    
SCR  THE HERO CODE               (mcgaughey ii)RIDER TBA 119 8.00    
 
AQU-6   11/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC12 FIRM Pebbles Purse ($200K) 3 F PT- 2:17
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:122 1:241   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMPLICATED 1 4 31 4 32 1nk 1½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 12.00 10.80  
SACRED WISH 6 6 7 64 6 5 2½ (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 122 2.50 3.25 P
STARTUP MENTALITY (IRE) 7 8 85 8 86 7 3¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 3.80  
SILVER SKILLET 5 2 2½ 2 2 2nk 4¾ (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 120 5.00 29% 2.50 4.70  
RHIANNON 8 7 42 32 4 4 5 (brown c)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.00 42% 1.40 1.45  
ON THE SHORTLIST 3 5 63 7 54 6 6 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 118 30.00 58.25  
PLENTITUDE 2 3 5 53 7 83 73 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00 5% 19.00 25.75  
PRECIOUS AVARY 4 1 1½ 1 1 3.2 8 (shaw j)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 15.00 53.50  
STEPHANIE'S CHARM 9 9 9 98 9 96 9 (jimenez l)DAVIS KATIE 118 30.00 78.75  
SCR  JUST KATHERINE               (jimenez l)CASTELLANO J 118 2.50    
 
AQU-7   11/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:234 :47 1:114 1:242   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KINGDOM 4 3 1 12 1 1 1 (jacobso)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 5.00 14% 6.00 5.30 W
SOUTH STREET 3 8 4 22 2 2 2 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 121 6.00 18% 4.50 3.15 P
UNCLE WATER FLOW 8 5 8 8 511½ 312½ 310¼ (dutrow w)USKE S 121 8.00 5% 19.00 11.80 S
BREAK THE ICE 5 6 5 44 410½ 514 416½ (hennig mar)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00 25.50  
HAPPY BOB 9 2 3 32 38 414 517 (schettino domi)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 2.00 43% 1.30 2.00  
MAMA BANNED ME 7 4 7 77 716 720 622¼ (follett norman)RUIZ ELISEO 115 20.00 59.00  
INSPECTOR 1 7 6 6 614 619½ 722¾ (giangiul)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 6.00 9.10  
SCOTTO 2 9 9 9 816½ 820¼ 822¾ (jones eduardo )HARKIE K 121 20.00 51.25  
UTAMARO 6 1 2 55 921½ 928¼ 952¼ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 4.50 3.70  
 
AQU-8   11/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($92K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
See original race card.
:223 :46 :574     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIVINE ARMOR 1 3 66 6   5 1½ (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 2.50 12% 7.10 4.10 W
TWENTY FOUR MAMBA 2 1 42 42   4 2½ (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 120 10.00 9.70  
VICTORIOUS WAVE 6 4 31 3½   1½ 31 (englehart chris)ORTIZ L 124 4.50 12% 7.20 1.75 S
AMERICAN MONARCH 4 5 2½ 1½   2½ 42 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 3.50 46% 1.20 2.20  
JEMOGRAPHY 3 2 1½ 2½   31 5 (rodriguez r)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00 4.80  
SEVEN NATION ARMY 5 6 5 5   63 67 (baker char)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00 14.70  
SCR  COLONEL BOWMAN               (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.50    
SCR  MY HARBORS DREAM               (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 122 2.00    
 
AQU-9   11/11/2023 7260ft TURF RC13 FIRM Red Smith Purse ($300K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
See original race card.
:243 :48 1:13 1:374 2:023 2:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  MASTER PIECE (CHI) 10 4 6 5 55 42 1¼ (dutrow e)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00 10.80  
SOLDIER RISING (GB) 7 1114½ 1115¾ 1115¼ 10 6 2¼ (clement christop)ORTIZ L 122 3.00 30% 2.40 1.80 P
10  VERSTAPPEN 8 35 37 36 3 11 3¾ (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 126 8.00 10% 8.80 8.90 S
CROSS BORDER 3 57 5 6 6 5 41 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 124 5.00 13.80  
NINEELEVENTURBO 5 68 48 47 4 21 52 (drysdale neil)ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00 9% 9.80 9.10  
LIMITED LIABILITY 4 1012½ 1013¼ 1013¼ 8 7 6 (mcgaughey claude )CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00 11% 7.90 4.70  
15  DAUNT 11 912 912¼ 913¼ 9 9 7 (ribaudo ro)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00 40.50  
SO HIGH (GB) 2 1½ 1nk 2nk 1½ 32 85 (chatterp)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 20.00 45.25  
MARWAD (GB) 6 7 710¾ 710¾ 7 8 9 (moubarak nader)CASTELLANO J 122 10.00 11% 7.80 4.40  
11  TIDE OF THE SEA 9 2½ 2nk 1nk 2½ 1012¾ 1014 (morley thomas)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 50.00 86.25  
LOST ARK 1 810 811¾ 812¼ 1113¾ 1120¾ 1118¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 15.00 13.00  
SCR  CLASSIC CATCH               (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 12.00    
SCR  COSTA TERRA               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 3.50    
SCR  MAIN EVENT               (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 122 15.00    
SCR  RED RUN               (maker j)SILVERA RUBEN 122 12.00    
SCR  SHAWDYSHAWDYSHAWDY               (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 122 30.00    
 
AQU-10   11/11/2023 3960ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
See original race card.
:232 :461 :574     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  DREAMPOINT 10 6 53 5   2nk 1 (sells rachel)HARKIE K 122 12.00 16.80  
ICY FLAVOR 7 2 2½ 2nk   1nk 2 (kimmel c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.80 45% 1.20 1.50 P
RUSSI 6 5 74 7   6 3 (bond j)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 3.50 5.80 S
HE'S GOT IT 1 7 10 9   94 4 (abreu jorge )RIVERA R 115 20.00 5% 19.00 44.50  
VETERANS BEACH 9 4 3 3½   3.2 5 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00 28% 2.60 4.20  
KREESA 2 1 63 8   83 6 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 6.00 8.20  
BLAME IT ON DADDY 5 8 98 10   10 7 (albertrani thomas)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00 8.10  
IMAGE OF QUALITY 8 9 85 6   73 8 (englehart chri)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00 5% 19.00 14.60  
THE COBBLER 4 10 42 4   4 95 (henry nevill)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 30.00 66.25  
THANK YOU JON 3 3 1½ 1nk   5 106 (summers chad)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 11.10  
SCR  DR. SETTLE'S DREAM               (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 4.50    
SCR  HERONEANDONLY               (goodwin gabr)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 115 30.00    
SCR  ORTUS               (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.00    
SCR  RED D G P               (ferraro jame)RIVERA R 115 5.00    
SCR  SHORTSINTHEWINTER               (hennig mark)LUZZI J 120 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.