Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Thursday - November 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $74.06  
CD-2   Win (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $8.36 $8.36 2.36
CD-3   Win (7/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $8.42 $8.42 2.42
CD-4   Win (3/7/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $21.40  
CD-5   Win (5/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $6.30 $6.30 0.30
CD-6   Win (10/9/6/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 0 $21.08  
CD-7   Win (2/3/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $42.28 $42.28 34.28
CD-8   Win (1/5/6/10/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 1 $13.28 $13.28 3.28
CD-9   Win (8/1/5/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $3.76 $3.76  

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   11/09/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:124 1:394   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LE COOP 2 5 514½ 510 54 2nk 1 (humphries thoma)MORALES EDGAR 121 12.00 36.03  
GILDED CRAKEN 3 4 4 43 2nk 1nk 2 (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 3.00 27% 2.70 1.26 P
MO MOVES 4 1 13 12 3½ 3½ 310¼ (medina rober)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 5.24  
PEARSE 5 2 23 22 1nk 4 412½ (lobo paulo )TORRES A 121 3.50 11% 8.30 2.84  
CASHMEUP 1 3 3 32 43 56 523¼ (cowans d)ACHARD ALEX 121 1.60 28% 2.50 2.09  
SCR  PHOTO OP               (hiles rick)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 10.00    
 
CD-2   11/09/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:114     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOLANDA WHO 1 5 11 2nk   3.2 1¼ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 120 3.00 45% 1.20 3.18 W
SHIP IT 2 3 44 3   2nk 2¼ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 120 3.50 13% 6.40 7.29 P
SONADOR 3 2 21 1nk   1nk 3 (hernandez rey)NAVAS YOEL 113 5.00 3.22  
DOGWOODSMILLIEJANE 6 6 6 5   4 4 (taylor brent)BEJARANO R 120 12.00 7.53  
SHOWGIRL LYNNE B 5 1 3 4   5 5 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00 21% 3.70 1.20  
BEACH KITTEN 4 4 5 6   6 68 (miller jerome)PETERSON FERRIN 120 15.00 21.36  
SCR  BUCKEYE ROSE               (drury jr)MCKEE J 118 5.00    
 
CD-3   11/09/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
See original race card.
:251 :502 1:153 1:392   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KATTATH 6 1 11 11 1½ 12 1nk (schultz lin)TORRES A 121 4.50 35% 1.90 3.21 W
CODE RUNNER 1 5 5 34 32 22 2nk (asmussen steven )MACHADO LUAN 121 4.00 6.12  
BOITANO 5 3 21 21 2½ 3 3 (forster t)LANERIE J 121 10.00 10% 9.10 9.25 S
SHORTLIST 3 6 65 66 6 5 4 (van th)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 5.00 32% 2.10 8.92  
COUSIN LARRY 2 2 33 4 42 4 5 (lovell michell)TORRES A 121 6.00 5.23  
HUGE BIGLY 4 4 44 5 5 6 6 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 121 2.00 1.09  
SCR  DREAM KEEPER               (cowans d)ACHARD ALEX 121 6.00    
 
CD-4   11/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
See original race card.
:213 :452 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OFFICER QUIGLEY 7 2 3 22   2 1¼ (stall albert )GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 12.00 9.70  
GUCCI BOY 3 3 6 65   34 2¼ (contreras c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 3.50 44% 1.30 3.33 P
LUNDBERG 1 4 1½ 12   1 3¼ (moquett e)BEJARANO R 124 2.50 1.70  
SMOKE WAGON 5 7 7 5   55 44 (engler jeff)MACHADO LUAN 122 5.00 10% 9.20 8.39  
CITY OF LOVE 6 6 4 3   4 5 (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 10% 9.10 12.52  
STUDY COMMITTEE 8 5 53 7   710½ 613½ (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 122 6.00 5.34  
PASSING JUDGMENT 4 8 8 8   811 715¼ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00 6.66  
CLOUD WITHOUT REIN 2 1 2½ 4   69 819¼ (barnett bobby )BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 12.00 6% 14.90 19.27  
SCR  HESS               (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 122 12.00    
 
CD-5   11/09/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($141K) 3 ALL PT- 3:01
See original race card.
:232 :463 :583     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRIVATE CREED 5 1 31 1nk   1 12 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 122 2.50 59% 0.70 2.15 W
BAL A KAZOO 3 3 2½ 3½   3 22 (gorham m)PEREZ E 120 5.00 8.93  
SON OF A BIRCH 6 6 6 6   45 3 (morley thomas)TORRES A 118 12.00 18.94  
CHISELER 2 2 1½ 2nk   2 4 (foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 122 5.00 5% 19.00 13.77  
GASLIGHT DANCER 7 5 52 4   5 5 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.00 7% 12.80 1.43  
MOUNSIEUR COCO 4 7 7 7   68 6 (gutierrez f)TORRES A 118 4.00 3.70  
MONEY RUN 1 4 42 5   7 714¼ (barnett c)BEJARANO R 118 20.00 18.02  
SCR  RYVIT               (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 120 1.20    
 
CD-6   11/09/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 3:31
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:114     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEART HEADED 7 3 1½ 1nk   13 1 (walden wil)SANTANA JR 119 10.00 9.54  
GENERAL ISSUE (FR) 4 2 86 7   3 2 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00 18.54  
KING ANTHONY 8 7 62 6   6 3 (hernandez a)TORRES A 119 10.00 17% 5.00 3.33 S
MIKEALICIOUS 1 5 31 4   55 4 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 6% 16.50 4.21  
10  BEAR RIVER 9 4 2½ 2nk   23 5 (desormeaux keit)COHEN DAVID 119 1.80 37% 1.70 3.14  
EL MATADOR 5 10 108 8   8 610 (mott riley)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 6% 16.80 9.11  
12  CHARGE THE CASTLE 11 6 4 3½   45 710 (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00 10.25  
WICKED MELODY 3 11 1111½ 1111¾   9 810¾ (molloy thomas)GRAHAM J 119 12.00 12.65  
FORMAL AFFAIR 6 1 5 5   7 914¼ (trombetta mi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 15% 5.60 7.69  
11  MIDNIGHT STORMY 10 9 9 9   1014¼ 1020 (minnock g)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00 78.51  
BROADWAY RED 2 8 74 10   1115¾ 1126¼ (delong)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 30.00 70.53  
SCR  SALMING               (caramori caio)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 5.00    
 
CD-7   11/09/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($66K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:222 :453 1:103     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PURE PANIC 6 2 32 32   2nk 1nk (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 121 10.00 5% 19.00 20.14 W
W W HOTSHOT 2 3 2nk 2nk   1nk 2nk (becker scot)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 6.00 44% 1.30 3.05 P
SOLIDIFY 1 8 5 5   3 3 (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 114 5.00 5.18  
BLUE KENTUCKY 5 6 7 66   43 4 (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 121 4.50 5.35  
LYKAN 4 5 8 89   7 53 (young terr)SANTANA JR 121 20.00 25.83  
TILTED TOWERS 8 7 4 4   5 6 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 121 4.00 6% 16.90 4.20  
TEE BURNS 3 4 1nk 1nk   6 712¾ (hartman chri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 26% 2.90 2.57  
LUCKY BOSS 7 1 6 7   8 823 (contreras c)TORRES A 121 5.00 10.09  
SCR  FAITHFUL RULER               (watkins m)MCKEE J 121 15.00    
 
CD-8   11/09/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 2 ALL PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:122 1:38   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  PARCHMENT PARTY 10 9 10 10 7 4 1 (mott i)GRAHAM J 122 4.00 8% 12.30 5.64 W
FIRST WORLD WAR 1 5 4 32 31 2½ 2 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00 33% 2.00 2.82 P
LAGYNOS 2 2 2½ 4 42 1½ 3 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 29.72  
CATCHING FREEDOM 5 7 7 76 6 5 4 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 2.50 25% 2.90 1.09  
FOOTPRINT 8 10 87 98 8 7 5 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 122 10.00 16.48  
KHANATE 3 3 1½ 2nk 1nk 3½ 65 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00 10.25  
WOODCOURT 7 4 5 64 5 6 711 (walsh brend)TORRES A 122 15.00 37.35  
MARKET STREET 9 6 9 8 9 9 816¾ (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 120 12.00 24.51  
BARKSDALE 4 8 6 1nk 2nk 8 927 (walden william)ACHARD ALEX 122 30.00 5% 19.00 41.69  
MOZLZIL 6 1 31 53 10 1014¾ 1040¾ (cox h)VELAZQUEZ R 122 6.00 14% 6.20 16.95  
 
CD-9   11/09/2023 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:234 :493 1:151 1:403   1:53   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPARTAN QUEEN 5 3 42 3 2½ 13 1 (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.00 12% 7.40 0.88 W
LADY CLAYPOOLE (IRE) 8 7 9 9 8 4 2 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.50 29% 2.50 5.94 P
KING'S SECRET (GB) 1 2 3 4 3 23 3 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 28% 2.60 3.40 S
NOBLE BERNADETTE 9 6 75 6 5 3 4 (stall m)VELAZQUEZ R 121 15.00 24.80  
11  CALL ME TONI 11 11 10 8 74 5 5 (hughes g)BEJARANO R 121 20.00 29.99  
BRIC A BRAC 3 4 11 11 1½ 7 614¾ (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 121 15.00 34.56  
QUEEN RHAENYRA 4 10 11 11 11 810¼ 714¾ (mccarthy micha)GEROUX FLORENT 121 15.00 31.49  
SILENT REVENGE 2 9 8 10 9 911¼ 816¼ (dyer john)MACHADO LUAN 121 20.00 64.62  
LASERJET 6 8 5 7 10 1016¼ 926¾ (shirer a)ASHTON GAVIN 121 20.00 5% 19.00 44.22  
10  MILAN MISCHIEF 10 5 21 21 4 1117¾ 1032 (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 121 15.00 56.90  
ENGLISH TREASURE 7 1 6 53 63 6 11100 (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 8.00 12% 7.50 6.88  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.