Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Sunday - November 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $5.48 $5.48  
CD-2   Win (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.42 $3.42  
CD-3   Win (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.28 $3.28  
CD-4   Win (9/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $10.96 $10.96 4.96
CD-5   Win (10/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $3.98  
CD-6   Win (8/4/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $8.52  
CD-7   Win (7/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $7.06  
CD-8   Win (4/11/6/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 1 $9.62 $9.62 1.62
CD-9   Win (4/8/10/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 12 1 0 $13.42  

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   11/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 2 F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:133 1:264   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LATE NITE LIZZIE 4 5 5 42 12 1 1 (stidham mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 11% 8.20 1.74 W
BUMP IN THE NIGHT 3 2 4¼ 3 5 2 2 (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 119 6.00 2.35  
CRY IF I WANT TO 5 3 1nk 53 4 3 3 (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 2.50 35% 1.90 4.16 S
AUTISM COMPASSION 7 6 3.2 2½ 3 5 412¾ (engler jeff)MACHADO LUAN 119 8.00 5.41  
GOLDEN LAKE 1 1 2nk 1½ 22 46 514¼ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00 31% 2.20 5.36  
REDHEADEDSTRANGER 6 7 7 6 6 612 619 (nesbitt amy)ORTIZ ALVIN 119 15.00 41.93  
BELLA SKYE 2 4 6 7 79 714 720 (radosevich)RODRIGUEZ A 119 20.00 50.49  
SCR  ISA LEI               (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 119 3.00    
 
CD-2   11/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:103 1:223   1:343   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MULLION 3 4 2nk 1½ 12 14 110 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 3.00 37% 1.70 0.71 W
SPIELMAN 6 5 7 7 5 35 210 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 121 4.00 3.13  
NYQUICK 1 1 1nk 2½ 32 24 310¼ (cox h)TORRES A 121 4.00 17% 4.80 6.74 S
BEARINGS 5 7 6 5 6 6 414¼ (mott i)GARCIA MARTIN 121 5.00 33.25  
ARTWELL 7 6 42 4 4 56 515 (danner kelse)CORRALES GERARDO 121 10.00 27.22  
WICKED AGAIN 4 2 3½ 3 22 46 616 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 13% 6.50 4.94  
CHIRON 2 3 5 6 7 7 719 (estvanko richard)ELLIOTT JANE 124 6.00 38.38  
 
CD-3   11/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:12 1:24   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PIGALLE 3 3 1½ 1nk 1½ 1 1 (drury thomas)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50 43% 1.30 0.64 W
LITTLE DIXIE 2 6 5 5 43 46 2 (cano m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 5.00 5.84  
CENTER STAGE 4 2 2½ 2nk 2½ 2 3 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 5.09  
GOLDCREST 1 1 6 4 3 35 4 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 120 4.00 23% 3.30 9.27  
JACKIE'S LOVE 5 4 32 7 76 5 510½ (butcher james)AYALA ISAIAS 121 12.00 10% 9.30 27.42  
FORTUNE BOUND 6 5 7 6 64 6 610¾ (sims a)MACHADO LUAN 121 12.00 16.64  
CHICA DE ORO 7 7 42 3 54 711½ 724 (tomlinson a)GRAHAM J 118 3.50 8.61  
 
CD-4   11/05/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 2:30
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:113     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LET'S GO MARK 3 5 4 2   1nk 1¼ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00 30% 2.30 4.48 W
DUNPHY 4 3 1½ 1   2nk 2¼ (ennis john)GRAHAM J 118 6.00 8.14  
STORMQUIST 5 2 2½ 3   33 3 (claire alexis)LANERIE J 120 3.50 2.86  
HEY JOE JOE 7 4 5 45   45 4 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.50 35% 1.90 2.35  
SMOOTHDINI 2 6 6 69   57 5 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00 5% 19.00 11.98  
NUEVO AMANECER 6 1 31 58   617 648 (bahena ismael)CHUAN MARTIN 120 20.00 64.08  
J T'S IMAGINATION 1 7 7100 7100   7100 7100 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 2.68  
SCR  FAMILY FACTOR               (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00    
SCR  HAM SANDWICH               (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 118 3.00    
 
CD-5   11/05/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 3:01
See original race card.
:223 :462 :58     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HALINA'S FORTE 4 3 1nk 1nk   13 1 (bauer a)GARCIA MARTIN 119 5.00 0.99  
10  SILVER ROSE 10 9 3½ 3.2   23 2 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 1.60 48% 1.10 1.23 P
FREEBURN 2 5 41 4   33 3 (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 8.00 25.67 S
ROUND THE TOWN 3 8 7 7   5 4 (servis c)TORRES A 119 10.00 5% 19.00 34.90  
MISCHIEVOUSNESS 5 7 5 5   6 512¾ (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00 29% 2.40 12.11  
AZTEC EMPRESS 7 1 2nk 2nk   4 614¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 26.18  
ROUTE SIXTY SIX 6 10 10 9   711¼ 717 (engler jeff)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00 73.21  
BEE BRANCH 8 2 8 8   911¾ 817½ (ortiz alexa)ASHTON GAVIN 119 20.00 88.84  
ABUNDANT LIFE 9 6 6 6   811¾ 918¾ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119 10.00 25.81  
GRACE AND GLORY 1 4 9 10   1012¾ 1020 (contreras c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 43.36  
 
CD-6   11/05/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($150K) Purse ($148K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:132 1:251   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OCEAN ATLANTIQUE 7 2 4 4 3 3 1½ (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 3.26  
CHURCHTOWN 6 5 21 21 1nk 1nk 2½ (attfield roger)GEROUX FLORENT 121 15.00 7% 14.30 2.55 P
WINFROMWITHIN 8 1 11 11 2nk 2nk 3 (delgado jo)SANTANA JR 121 3.50 40% 1.50 6.11 S
SEIZE THE NIGHT 1 4 3 3 42 42 4 (cunningham )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 15.00 37.31  
GRAY'S FABLE 5 6 8 85 87 55 54 (lynch brian )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 12.00 9.42  
TIZ THE BOMB 9 8 64 74 7 77 68 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00 8.12  
HOZIER 3 3 54 64 55 6 78 (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 125 6.00 8.33  
SKYRO 2 7 7 5 66 8 8 (lynch a)GRAHAM J 121 6.00 12% 7.50 13.01  
BIG DREAMING 4 9 97 9 99 9 911¼ (catalano wa)LEPAROUX R 121 4.00 21% 3.70 5.85  
 
CD-7   11/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:211 :444 :572     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
APPEAL DENIED 5 1 3 2½   12 1 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 2.53  
NIFTY 6 2 56 54   4 2 (diodoro ro)SANTANA JR 120 3.00 63% 0.60 3.85 P
STONEVICIOUS 8 6 8 7   5 3 (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 122 8.00 5.91  
SAMURAI PRINCE 4 5 43 3   3 4 (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 6.00 8% 10.90 6.29  
PALACE KITTEN 3 8 68 6   67 5 (o'dwyer jer)TORRES A 120 12.00 5% 19.00 9.75  
COYOTE ROAD 7 7 7 8   7 6 (hernandez rey)MOJICA O 120 20.00 12.66  
ONE COOL DUDE 1 4 1nk 1½   22 7 (blair jordan)MICHEL MICKAELLE 120 8.00 7.80  
SPYCRAFT 2 3 2nk 4   811¼ 824 (sharp joe)TORRES A 120 5.00 5.18  
SCR  FRIAR LAURENCE               (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 120 8.00    
 
CD-8   11/05/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($68K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:23 :454 1:10     1:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  ATTACHE 7 1 2½ 1nk   1 1 (mcgee paul)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 6% 14.50 3.81 W
UNDER OATH 1 8 1½ 2nk   2 2 (pletcher todd )TORRES A 120 4.50 54% 0.90 2.59 P
11  BROKEN RIB 8 6 6 3   3 3 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00 12% 7.30 2.53 S
RIDER'S SPECIAL 6 2 3½ 5   5 4 (asmussen st)TORRES A 120 8.00 19.52  
GREYS THE BOY 3 4 5 4   4 5 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 7% 14.30 3.40  
LEAGUE OF LEGENDS 5 3 74 8   7 69 (fires h)COURT K 120 20.00 16.67  
CALL ME MIDNIGHT 4 7 85 7   8 710¼ (desormeaux j)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 20.00 25.31  
STAND FOR FREEDOM 2 5 42 6   66 812 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 122 12.00 12.65  
SCR  AIR COMBAT               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 2.50    
SCR  GOLD LUCK               (garcia genar)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00    
SCR  HAPPY HOUR BOBBY               (gonzalez reina )CANNON DECLAN 120 30.00    
 
CD-9   11/05/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:234 :494 1:15 1:391   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  TALL BOY 11 8 64 6 1nk 12 13 (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 118 5.00 5.71  
10  MIRANDA RIGHTS 9 4 21 3 4 22 23 (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 15% 5.50 7.02 P
IDRATHERBEBLESSED 5 2 53 4 5 32 3 (hartman chris)LANERIE J 118 8.00 14.50  
KING CURLIN 3 10 10 9 6 5 4 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 121 5.00 7.41  
READ ON 6 6 7 7 7 7 5 (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 118 15.00 63.83  
11  STONEMONT REUNION 10 5 4 2nk 3 66 611 (rider m)MACHADO LUAN 118 30.00 39.23  
BABA VOSS 4 11 1110 11 9 9 711¼ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 37% 1.70 1.27  
OSCAR AWARD 1 9 8 8 10 8 812 (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 118 20.00 27.39  
OK BOOMER 8 7 99 10 117 11 912¼ (pletcher to)LEPAROUX R 118 3.50 24% 3.10 4.07  
KARMA DIRECTOR 7 1 11 1nk 2nk 45 1013 (reed r)CORRALES GERARDO 118 30.00 44.37  
CLEAR THE AIR 2 3 32 5 8 10 1115¼ (walden william)ACHARD ALEX 118 30.00 5% 19.00 45.95  
SCR  EL AHIJADO               (guerrero sal)NAVAS YOEL 114 30.00    
SCR  EVENT DETAIL               (lobo paulo )TORRES A 118 15.00    
SCR  GATLINBURG               (asmussen steven)GARCIA MARTIN 118 5.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT RISING               (blair jordan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 12.00    
SCR  SHERLOCK'S JEWEL               (mcgaughey c)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.