Handicappers' Race Results

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Belmont At The Big A
Sunday - October 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BAQ-1   Win (6/2/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $5.90 $5.90  
BAQ-2   Win (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 1 $4.50 $4.50 0.50
BAQ-3   Win (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $12.20 $12.20 6.20
BAQ-4   Win (12/1/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $5.50 $5.50  
BAQ-5   Win (6/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $10.80  
BAQ-6   Win (8/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 10 1 0 $5.30  
BAQ-7   Win (5/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $2.80 $2.80  
BAQ-8   Win (1/2/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $3.30 $3.30  
BAQ-9   Win (8/9/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 9 1 1 $10.80 $10.80 4.80
BAQ-10   Win (7/4/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 0 $7.00  

Simulator Race results

 
BAQ-1   10/29/2023 3960ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 F PT-12:35
See original race card.
:232 :481 :594     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUSK 6 4 21 1½   1 1 (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 39% 1.50 1.95 W
TONGUE TWISTER 3 7 42 3   3 2 (handal raymond)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 8.60 P
FABULOUS FOX 9 9 7 85   7 33 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.00 7% 12.90 3.55 S
LU'S REDEMPTION 1 10 10 9   9 4 (duggan p)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 10.60  
STARLIGHT DANCER 8 3 6 54   5 5 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 21.50  
SAVING MEMORIES 4 6 32 4   4 6 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 15.50  
LEARNING TO FLY 7 5 5 6   6 7 (duggan p)DAVIS KATIE 119 20.00 52.00  
LIL' HAYADOIN 5 2 11 2½   2 85 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 12.30  
10  BARONESS BOURBON 10 1 8 7   8 9 (begg jam)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 20.00 45.75  
HANDLE ON YOU 2 8 9 107   10 10 (rodriguez r)ROSARIO JOEL 119 5.00 31% 2.20 3.45  
SCR  CALL HER BLUFF               (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 119 3.00    
SCR  ELUSIVE FASHION               (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00    
SCR  MARCO T.               (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 119 1.60    
SCR  NECESSARYANDPROPER               (dutrow r)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 8.00    
SCR  TSUKIMI               (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 12.00    
SCR  WILD MAGIC               (chichakly amira)OLVER MADISON 114 15.00    
 
BAQ-2   10/29/2023 5610ft TURF RC11 YIELDING Mohawk Purse ($200K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:08
See original race card.
:25 :513 1:162 1:392   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPIRIT OF ST LOUIS 3 4 2½ 2½ 2nk 1nk 1½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 126 1.60 39% 1.50 1.25 W
CITY MAN 2 1 3 3 31 31 2½ (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 126 1.80 28% 2.60 1.75 P
JERRY THE NIPPER 4 3 42 4 4 53 3 (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 122 4.00 4.10  
RUSE 5 2 1½ 1½ 1nk 2nk 4 (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 122 20.00 23.60  
DAKOTA GOLD 1 5 53 5 53 4 5 (gargan danny)ORTIZ JR 126 6.00 5.20  
SCR  CALL ME HARRY               (dutrow richard)CASTELLANO J 122 10.00    
SCR  KAZ SUGAR BANK               (synnefias dimitr)CONNER TYLER 122 50.00    
SCR  NOBLE HUNTSMAN               (friedman)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 50.00    
 
BAQ-3   10/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Maid Purse ($200K) 2 F PT- 1:42
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:14 1:262   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY MANE SQUEEZE 2 6 5 3 2 2nk 13 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 11% 8.10 5.10 W
CARA'S TIME 4 1 1 1 1 1nk 23 (friedman mitchell)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00 5.10  
CALDWELL LUVS GOLD 3 7 63 5 4 4 33 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 0.80 60% 0.70 0.45 S
BERNIETAKESCHARGE 1 3 3 2 3 33 4 (schettino dom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00 22.10  
VALENTINE GIFT 5 2 2 4 5 513¼ 516 (ribaudo robert)CASTELLANO J 120 15.00 6% 17.10 9.40  
LIKA ROLLING STONE 7 5 7 7 6 614¼ 618¼ (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00 32.75  
KAZ' ROSE 6 4 42 6 7 722¼ 735½ (synnefias dimitr)CONNER TYLER 120 30.00 56.00  
SCR  TRICKY TEMPER               (englehart jeremia)DAVIS KATIE 120 8.00    
 
BAQ-4   10/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:12
See original race card.
:23 :464 :583     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISARMED 1 3 11 1½   1 1½ (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00 19% 4.20 1.75 W
13  ZEEBEAR 6 1 32 31   3 2½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.00 7.70  
14  FACTUALLY CORRECT 7 2 21 2½   2 3½ (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 122 3.50 2.80  
RUNNINGWSCISSORS 4 6 74 5   54 41 (abreu fernando)ORTIZ JR 125 2.50 17% 4.80 5.20  
KING MOONRACER 2 4 43 4   4 5 (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 123 10.00 17.20  
12  RADIO RED 5 5 5 6   6 6 (gargan danny)ROSARIO JOEL 122 2.00 31% 2.20 3.75  
SINFUL DANCER 3 7 64 73   7 710¼ (figueroa davi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 15.00 34.75  
SCR  BATTLE SCARS               (atras rob)LEZCANO JOSE 123 15.00    
SCR  BIG PACKAGE               (antonacci philip)CARMOUCHE K 121 8.00    
SCR  ME 'N SAP               (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 15.00    
SCR  PHANTOM SMOKE               (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00    
SCR  ROUGH DRAFT               (duggan p)ORTIZ L 123 6.00    
SCR  STEELERSFANFORLIFE               (gyarmati leah)DAVIS KATIE 121 30.00    
SCR  YARROW               (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50    
 
BAQ-5   10/29/2023 5940ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Empire Distaff Purse ($250K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:44
See original race card.
:242 :492 1:134 1:383   1:513   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KNOW IT ALL AUDREY 2 3 3 3 21 2½ 1 (barrera oscar )CASTELLANO J 122 6.00 4.40  
ICHIBAN 7 1 11 11 11 1½ 2 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 4.50 14% 6.20 2.25 P
VENTI VALENTINE 5 7 6 6 6 36 35 (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 126 2.00 1.85  
SWEET MYSTERY 4 6 7 75 76 5 4 (quick patrick)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 5.00 13.90  
SUNSET LOUISE 3 5 21 21 3 68 5 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00 20% 4.10 7.00  
APRIL ANTICS 1 4 5 53 54 4 6 (kantarmaci mertk)LEZCANO JOSE 122 20.00 28.75  
TOUGH STREET 6 2 4 42 43 712½ 714¾ (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.00 32% 2.10 6.30  
 
BAQ-6   10/29/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Ticonderoga Purse ($200K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:16
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:122 1:244   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  AMANDA'S FOLLY 5 2 2½ 2 2½ 21 1¼ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 2.00 1.65  
SILVER SKILLET 4 1 1½ 1 1½ 11 2¼ (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 122 2.50 73% 0.40 0.90 P
SWEETIE 2 5 45 46 45 3 3 (sciacca gary)CASTELLANO J 122 10.00 5% 19.00 5.00 S
ITSAKEYPER 3 3 3 33 3 410 414¾ (albertrani thom)ORTIZ JR 122 15.00 9.20  
SARATOGA CHROME 1 4 5 5 511½ 515½ 515¼ (brown br)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 50.00 34.75  
SCR  CAN'T FOOL ME               (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 122 20.00    
SCR  RUNAWAY RUMOUR               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 126 3.00    
SCR  SPUNGIE               (mott i)ORTIZ L 122 3.00    
SCR  WATERVILLE               (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 122 12.00    
SCR  WHATLOVELOOKSLIKE               (pletcher a)FRANCO MANUEL 126 4.00    
 
BAQ-7   10/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Iroquois Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:48
See original race card.
:223 :46 1:101     1:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STERLING SILVER 5 7 4 22   2 1¼ (albertrani tho)CASTELLANO J 123 0.60 34% 2.00 0.40 W
LEELOO 7 1 1nk 12   1 2¼ (correas ignacio )LEZCANO JOSE 121 6.00 13% 6.80 5.40 P
CAPTAINSDAUGHTER 1 4 3 32   3 37 (cash russell)RIVERA R 123 12.00 24.50  
CAIRO SUGAR 6 2 6 6   5 4 (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 122 15.00 26.75  
FUNNY HOW 4 5 53 54   48 5 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 125 4.50 29% 2.50 6.10  
VALLELUJAH 2 6 7 7   712 616¼ (davis robb)DAVIS A 121 30.00 36.25  
BANK ON ANNA 3 3 2nk 4   6 717¾ (serpe m)ORTIZ JR 121 10.00 9.30  
SCR  SECURITY CODE               (serpe phil)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00    
 
BAQ-8   10/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Sleepy Hollow Purse ($200K) 2 ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:224 :461 1:112 1:241   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL GRANDE O 1 6 2½ 1nk 1 1 1 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 0.80 32% 2.10 0.65 W
B D SAINTS 6 9 910 9 78 4 2 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00 16.90  
AGGELOS THE GREAT 3 7 65 6 2 2 3 (weaver george)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 12% 7.10 6.30 S
10  WINE RESPONSIBLY 9 4 8 7 912 612 4 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 20.00 15.20  
MISCHIEF JOKE 7 5 54 4 33 3 510¾ (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00 10.90  
TWO'S A CROWD 8 3 44 5 67 5 611 (ryan s)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 30.00 72.75  
BONNE CHANCE 2 8 76 8 811½ 713 717½ (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 120 10.00 30% 2.30 11.00  
SKYLER'S STARSHIP 4 2 3 32 46 814 822½ (terranova john )ORTIZ JR 120 8.00 15.20  
SOLO'S FURY 5 1 1½ 2nk 5 920 941¼ (englehart jerem)VELAZQUEZ R 120 15.00 5% 19.00 9.50  
SCR  DETECTIVE TOM               (nevin michell)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 15.00    
 
BAQ-9   10/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Hudson Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:214 :442 1:092     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROTKNEE 7 2 2½ 11   1 11 (maker j)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.00 20% 4.10 4.40 W
NY TRAFFIC 6 3 5 4   46 21 (joseph a)ORTIZ JR 121 2.00 29% 2.40 1.40 P
THIN WHITE DUKE 5 1 4 3   6 3 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 125 4.50 5.50  
WIN FOR GOLD 3 7 713 710¼   5 4 (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 121 10.00 7.20  
OCEAN'S RESERVE 2 6 6 6   36 5 (gyarmati leah)FRANCO MANUEL 121 15.00 20.00  
AMUNDSON 4 5 3 57   710¾ 612¾ (kantarmaci mertka)DAVIS DYLAN 121 10.00 23.10  
TODAY'S FLAVOR 1 4 1½ 21   2 713¾ (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 125 3.50 17% 5.10 3.30  
SCR  BE THE BOSS               (maker j)SILVERA RUBEN 121 20.00    
SCR  JEMOGRAPHY               (rodriguez r)ROSARIO JOEL 121 20.00    
 
BAQ-10   10/29/2023 5940ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Empire Classic Purse ($250K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:24
See original race card.
:23 :464 1:122 1:371   1:503   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  STRAIGHT ARROW 9 3 3 32 21 14 1 (dini mike)RENDON JAIRO 122 4.00 2.50  
SHERIFF BIANCO 6 2 5 6 3 35 2 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 5.00 37% 1.70 4.40 P
UN OJO 7 6 8 8 5 45 3 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 10.00 9.10  
CICCIOBELLO 8 5 1nk 2nk 11 24 47 (ryan s)CASTELLANO J 122 30.00 39.25  
DRAKE'S PASSAGE 5 7 7 7 63 59 5 (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 17% 5.00 1.90  
OLYMPIC DREAMS 3 1 43 5 7 612½ 612¾ (quick patrick)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 5.00 17% 5.00 8.70  
BARESE 4 8 6 4 8 713½ 713 (maker j)SILVERA RUBEN 126 12.00 7% 14.00 14.20  
LOBSTA 2 4 2nk 1nk 4 818½ 824¼ (sells rachel)HARKIE K 124 15.00 34.75  
CURLIN'S WISDOM 1 9 913¾ 911¾ 912¾ 926½ 934¾ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 10.00 16.10  
SCR  AGGREGATION               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.