Handicappers' Race Results

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Belmont At The Big A
Saturday - October 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BAQ-1   Win (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $18.20  
BAQ-2   Win (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  
BAQ-3   Win (9/7/3/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 0 $20.00  
BAQ-4   Win (2/7/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $5.70 $5.70  
BAQ-5   Win (7/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $6.70  
BAQ-6   Win (7/3/6/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $6.60 $6.60  
BAQ-7   Win (5/3/9/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $2.90 $2.90  
BAQ-8   Win (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.10 $4.10  
BAQ-9   Win (8/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 0.20
BAQ-10   Win (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $7.20 $7.20 1.20
BAQ-11   Win (4/8/5/9/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 1 $28.40 $28.40 18.40

Simulator Race results

 
BAQ-1   10/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT-12:05
See original race card.
:223 :461 1:11     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCE OF TRUTH 5 1 42 31   11 1½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 5.00 8.10  
REFUAH 3 4 5 5   4 2½ (walder peter )MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 6.00 12% 7.30 5.20 P
BEARY FUNNY 1 5 3 4   31 32 (donk david)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.40 36% 1.80 1.10 S
FLYING IN STYLE 2 3 1½ 1nk   21 4 (baker charlt)RIVERA R 116 3.00 30% 2.30 4.20  
VAUNTED 6 2 2½ 2nk   5 55 (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 121 4.50 4.70  
ESCAPE KEY 4 6 66 68   6 612½ (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 121 8.00 10.40  
 
BAQ-2   10/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
See original race card.
:241 :474 1:12 1:241   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE REVENGER 5 1 11 11 11 12 1½ (englehart jeremia)CARMOUCHE K 124 2.00 19% 4.10 1.30 W
HAMMERIN AAMER 3 6 52 4 21 22 2½ (falcone n)LUZZI J 124 1.80 34% 2.00 1.75 P
PIT BOSS 6 2 21 21 3 3 3 (bernardini ju)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 4.00 5.90  
MY FRIENDS BEER 4 4 3 52 4 47 4 (baker charlton)SILVERA RUBEN 124 4.50 16% 5.40 7.90  
JUMPSTER 1 5 610 612 610 610 57 (persaud )MARAGH RAMSAY 124 20.00 25.25  
CONTINENTAL DIVIDE 2 3 4 3 54 5 6 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 6.00 8.30  
 
BAQ-3   10/28/2023 6270ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:123 1:371   1:552   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAMESTOWN 1 1 5 4 3 21 1½ (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 9.00  
SACRED RHYME 9 2 4 5 52 3 2½ (brown c)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 34% 2.00 4.30 P
WAR OFFICER 7 7 7 74 8 4 3 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 27% 2.70 1.10 S
TORIGO 5 4 1nk 2½ 2½ 11 4 (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00 6% 16.70 6.10  
THE JACKAL 3 6 9 85 7 5 5 (mcgaughey claud)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 13% 6.70 4.70  
10  CASPIAN SEA (GB) 10 5 6 6 9 6 6 (joseph a)CONNER TYLER 120 12.00 42.00  
PUJOL 8 8 2nk 1½ 1½ 78 712¼ (henry nevill)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 50.00 95.75  
ABSOLUTE CONTROL (FR) 2 3 3 3 4 89 814 (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 117 10.00 5% 19.00 17.60  
ELEVATED CAUSEWAY 6 9 8 9 63 911 914¼ (noda orlando)DAVIS KATIE 120 20.00 69.50  
COMANCHE PEAK (GB) 4 10 1016¾ 1025¼ 10100 10100 10100 (sciacca )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 20.00 54.00  
SCR  NOSTALGIC ONE               (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00    
 
BAQ-4   10/28/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:10     1:231   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGNOLIA MIDNIGHT 8 2 31 3½   3 1¾ (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50 23% 3.40 1.85 W
SAGAMORE MISCHIEF 7 1 2nk 2nk   1½ 2¾ (chatterpaul nai)ORTIZ JR 121 3.50 13% 6.60 1.35 P
TETSU 5 4 65 5   53 3 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 1.00 32% 2.10 13.60 S
SCILLY CAY 4 3 42 42   42 4 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 8.00 8.50  
1A  ROYAL TRYST 6 7 811 813¾   67 54 (arenas marcelo)RUIZ ELISEO 118 8.00 5.60  
FLINT RIDGE 2 5 1nk 1nk   2½ 6 (rodriguez gu)RIVERA R 118 12.00 11% 8.30 10.50  
BIG BOBBY 3 8 7 7   7 7 (arenas marcel)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 8.00 5.60  
LIFE AND LIGHT 1 6 53 6   8 8 (pringle edmund)OLVER MADISON 113 30.00 81.50  
SCR  COLONEL BOWMAN               (jacobson david)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.00    
 
BAQ-5   10/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($102K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:12
See original race card.
:22 :45 :57     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOU LOOK COLD 5 5 6 69   45 1½ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 2.50 2.35  
QUICK MUNNY 6 2 2½ 1½   14 2½ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 125 5.00 23% 3.30 7.60 P
RACHEL'S ROCK 7 4 3 36   35 33 (david a)RENDON JAIRO 125 8.00 23% 3.40 3.80 S
LADY MILAGRO 4 1 1½ 2½   24 4 (martin carlo)RIVERA R 118 8.00 10.90  
TAMING THE TIGRESS 1 7 7 711½   6 5 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 3.00 5.50  
REMAIN ANONYMOUS 2 6 5 4   57 6 (nevin michelle)FRANCO MANUEL 121 12.00 13.60  
MORE THAN VOWS 3 3 44 5   7 714¼ (lynch a)ORTIZ JR 121 4.50 10% 8.90 2.75  
SCR  MALIBU MOONSHINE               (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00    
 
BAQ-6   10/28/2023 5280ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:44
See original race card.
:233 :484 1:133 1:252   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS SAN GABRIEL 3 3 11 1½ 1½ 11 1¼ (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 120 4.00 21% 3.80 2.30 W
ELLE EST FORTE 6 9 10 9 74 52 2¼ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.50 9% 10.20 6.70 P
MISS KRISTY 8 10 97 7 85 6 3¼ (rodriguez gus)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00 8.90  
10  TAP IT UP 10 7 4 42 31 21 4¾ (ryerson t)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 10.30  
DONTMESSWITHTESS 7 8 75 6 53 4 5 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 124 3.00 38% 1.60 2.65  
MISCREANT 1 2 86 10 9 8 63 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 124 10.00 12.20  
THUNDARA 4 5 5 52 6 7 7 (antonacci philip)DAVIS KATIE 120 10.00 9% 10.40 20.60  
DIAMOND STATUS 2 1 21 3 42 9 8 (martin f)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00 5% 19.00 5.70  
NIGHTSABER (GB) 9 6 3 2½ 2½ 3 9 (de horaci)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 20.00 58.75  
MORE MANGO 5 4 63 8 10 10 1011½ (ferraro jame)RIVERA R 119 20.00 70.00  
SCR  SMOKIN' HOT KITTY               (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 124 10.00    
 
BAQ-7   10/28/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:16
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:122 1:353   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REDISTRICTING (GB) 5 5 3 3 4 2nk 12 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 1.20 31% 2.20 0.45 W
QUALITY G 9 6 42 42 3½ 4¾ 22 (pletcher a)FRANCO MANUEL 124 8.00 13% 6.70 8.70 P
BE OF COURAGE 6 9 96 8 74 6 3 (pregman jr)SILVERA RUBEN 118 12.00 5% 19.00 26.25 S
10  CAPTURE THE FLAG 10 7 2½ 2½ 2nk 1nk 4 (mcgaughey cla)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00 8.00  
SHADOWED (IRE) 4 4 64 6 52 5 5 (antonacci philip)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00 25.00  
FIGHTER IN THE WIN 7 3 1½ 1½ 1nk 3.2 6 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 124 20.00 47.00  
HEATHGUARD 1 1 5 53 63 7 7 (lerman s)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 50.00 96.50  
RAMBLIN' WRECK 3 10 10 1010½ 9 8 86 (gargan danny)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00 24% 3.10 5.90  
MY IMAGINATION 8 8 85 7 85 9 910¼ (bedard alan)LAPRIDA JEREMY 118 15.00 44.00  
BRYCE CANYON 2 2 75 9 10 10 1010¾ (kelly blake)CASTELLANO J 122 15.00 9% 10.40 44.50  
SCR  BAD TO THE BONES               (mott i)RIDER TBA 124 6.00    
SCR  CAPONE               (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 122 8.00    
SCR  DADDY KNOWS               (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 124 2.50    
SCR  FENWICK               (dutrow e)CARMOUCHE K 124 10.00    
SCR  MISTICAL CURLIN               (rodriguez gus)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 1.80    
 
BAQ-8   10/28/2023 5940ft DIRT RC13 FAST Mother Goose Purse ($250K) 3 F PT- 3:48
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:13 1:364   1:49   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
XIGERA 6 2 21 21 21 1 1 (bauer phili)LEPAROUX R 122 1.20 31% 2.20 1.05 W
DEFINING PURPOSE 7 3 3 32 32 2 2 (mcpeek kennet)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 5.00 7.20  
OCCULT 5 6 57 55 5 3 3 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 2.50 24% 3.20 2.00 S
JULIA SHINING 3 5 7 79 67 4 47 (pletcher todd )CASTELLANO J 120 6.00 6.50  
FOGGY NIGHT 1 4 4 4 43 613 516 (reid e)LEZCANO JOSE 124 15.00 45.25  
UNDERVALUED ASSET 4 1 11 11 11 59 617 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 19% 4.30 14.10  
PEAK POPULARITY 2 7 6 68 7 714 718¾ (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 120 20.00 33.25  
 
BAQ-9   10/28/2023 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Awad Purse ($135K) 2 ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:224 :463 1:111 1:37   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOVE TO GOLD 3 5 5 516½ 514 2 1 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.50 16% 5.10 2.10 W
SPIRIT PRINCE 6 4 24 28 27 1 2 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 118 1.60 48% 1.10 1.00 P
BLUE CREEK 4 6 613 620½ 617½ 5 3 (brion keri)BOYCE FOREST 120 15.00 12.20  
INNATE (IRE) 1 3 37 315 312½ 4 4 (antonacci philip)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.50 5.80  
DANCING MISCHIEF 5 1 4 415½ 413 6 514½ (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 120 10.00 8% 11.20 8.40  
TROPANDHAGEN 2 2 14 18 17 3 615 (synnefias dimitr)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00 17.20  
SCR  BRITISH SEA               (maker j)SILVERA RUBEN 118 15.00    
SCR  TWIRLING POINT               (thomas jonatha)CASTELLANO J 120 3.50    
 
BAQ-10   10/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC13 FAST Forty Niner Purse ($300K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:53
See original race card.
:231 :454 1:10 1:222   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EVERSO MISCHIEVOUS 2 5 21 2 2nk 1½ 1½ (cox h)TORRES A 120 2.50 11% 7.90 2.60 W
DR ARDITO 5 4 66 611½ 6 54 2½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 6.00  
ACCRETIVE 3 6 43 44 41 3½ 3½ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00 57% 0.80 1.60 S
FILM STAR 4 3 3 3 3½ 41 4 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.00 10% 9.40 2.80  
SWIFTSURE 6 1 11 1 1nk 2½ 5 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 122 10.00 14.10  
BUSINESS MODEL 7 2 7 713 714½ 713 6 (jacobson david)DAVIS DYLAN 122 15.00 26.25  
DOUBLE CROWN 1 7 5 5 5 69 7 (ginter ray)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 12.00 41.00  
SCR  SYNTHESIS               (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 30.00    
 
BAQ-11   10/28/2023 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:23
See original race card.
:221 :452 :571     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  CATSKILL HUMOR 9 5 3 3   3 1hd (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 121 10.00 7% 12.90 13.20 W
NYXED 6 2 55 5   4 2hd (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 10.00 8.40  
OOLONG HAI (IRE) 7 1 22 21   2 3 (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 121 15.00 16% 5.20 26.25 S
MATERIAL WITNESS 2 3 12 11   1 4 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.50 3.95  
LE BEAU 4 6 67 67   6 5 (clement christ)CASTELLANO J 121 4.00 22% 3.60 2.35  
WISH LIST 5 10 99 1012½   9 6 (terranova joh)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 8.00 14% 6.20 8.20  
11  WORDS OF PRAISE 10 9 10 910   79 7 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 121 15.00 26.25  
RIVIERE 1 4 44 45   56 8 (weaver george)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 5.00 9.20  
LIGHTBULB MOMENT 3 8 78 79   8 9 (clement christoph)CANCEL ERIC 121 12.00 12.30  
KAREN'S BROOMSTICK 8 7 88 8   1010¾ 109 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 6.00 12% 7.50 5.00  
SCR  IGUAZU (IRE)               (ward wesle)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.