Handicappers' Race Results

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Belmont At The Big A
Friday - October 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BAQ-1   Win (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 0 $7.30  
BAQ-2   Win (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $7.30 $7.30 1.30
BAQ-3   Win (8/2/7/6/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 0 $13.20  
BAQ-4   Win (8/6/1/2/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 1 $13.40 $13.40 3.40
BAQ-5   Win (1/8/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $13.80 $13.80 5.80
BAQ-6   Win (10/5/2/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $35.80 $35.80 25.80
BAQ-7   Win (6/3/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $5.40 $5.40  
BAQ-8   Win (2/1/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
BAQ-9   Win (7/2/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $7.40 $7.40  

Simulator Race results

 
BAQ-1   10/27/2023 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT-12:35
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:142 1:381   1:51   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOMESTIC PRODUCT 4 1 21 21 1½ 1 1 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.50 2.65  
1A  STURDY 8 7 75 65 4 36 2 (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 119 0.60 75% 0.30 0.40  
ELIMINATE 1 4 32 32 3½ 2 36 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 0.60 0.40 S
BOUNTEOUS (IRE) 2 3 11 11 2½ 412 413¾ (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 5% 19.00 13.10  
DANGEROUS DRIVER 3 5 5 5 7 516½ 519¼ (jimenez l)SILVERA RUBEN 119 30.00 68.00  
SHAMROCK SHAKE 5 2 4 4 5 617 619¼ (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 18.50  
2B  MIDDLE MARKET 7 6 64 7 8 721 720 (brown c)ORTIZ L 119 2.50 2.65  
GOLDEN PLATE 6 8 8 87 65 821½ 828½ (mcpeek g)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00 12.60  
SCR  CLASSY MISCHIEF               (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 116 15.00    
 
BAQ-2   10/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:08
See original race card.
:231 :462 :581     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EVERYONELOVESLINDA 2 1 1½ 1nk   1½ 1hd (barker edwar)RIVERA R 118 3.50 19% 4.30 2.65 W
ROYAL MEGHAN 1 3 31 4   3 2hd (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 4.50 18% 4.70 5.20 P
1A  DAME CINCO 3 2 2½ 2nk   2½ 3 (dutrow richard )FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.00 27% 2.70 3.65 S
I'M BUZZY 5 6 6 5   5 4 (reynolds patrick )DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00 10.70  
TO A T 4 5 5 6   4 5 (kantarmaci mertka)CANCEL ERIC 121 4.00 6.30  
HYDRA 6 4 41 3   64 6 (toscano t)CASTELLANO J 123 3.50 2.05  
SCR  GOOD PENNY               (camejo m)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 2.00    
 
BAQ-3   10/27/2023 5940ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:241 :502 1:151 1:392   1:51   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SNOWY EVENING 3 3 5 6 52 4¾ 1 (donk david)ORTIZ L 118 3.50 5.60  
OVERACTING 8 6 4 4 3½ 2nk 2 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 37% 1.70 0.85 P
BERNT AGAIN 6 7 8 7 7 6 3 (schettino domin)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00 9.40 S
SMOKIE EYES 2 2 3 3 4 3½ 43 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 22% 3.50 5.80  
SALS DREAM GIRL 7 9 10 10 10 9 54 (gargan danny)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 10.00 13% 6.40 28.75  
STELLA MARS 9 10 9 8 8 8 64 (chatterpaul nai)SILVERA RUBEN 124 6.00 13.40  
LADY JASMINE 5 4 2½ 2½ 2nk 1nk 7 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00 5% 19.00 45.00  
MONROE 4 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 5 87 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00 47.50  
10  CRIMSON PRINCESS 10 8 6 5 6 7 9 (englehart jere)CASTELLANO J 118 10.00 9.40  
RUSSIARUSSIARUSSIA 1 5 7 9 9 10 10 (atras rob)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 15.00 51.00  
SCR  BOARDWALK FRIES               (allard t)ADORNO ABNER 118 30.00    
 
BAQ-4   10/27/2023 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($102K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:12
See original race card.
:222 :451 :563     1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLUID SITUATION 6 1 1nk 12   1½ 1hd (terranova p)ORTIZ L 123 6.00 39% 1.50 5.70 W
LEGENDS CAN'T DIE 5 3 2nk 22   2½ 2hd (weaver george)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 3.00 5% 18.20 3.60 P
11  VACATION DANCE 9 2 54 56   3 3 (kimmel c)CASTELLANO J 120 10.00 8.10  
RUN CURTIS RUN 4 6 65 68   4 4 (maker michael)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 3.50 15% 5.90 8.70  
CHEWING GUM 7 8 10 811½   77 5 (mott i)ORTIZ JR 121 4.00 2.95  
COMEDY TOWN 2 7 43 4   55 6 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 121 15.00 5% 19.00 19.70  
NOLO CONTESTO 1 10 8 1013½   9 7 (abreu fern)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 15.00 50.25  
CHESS MASTER 3 5 3 34   66 8 (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 125 4.50 15% 5.50 11.10  
CAZADERO 10 9 97 912½   109 97 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 8.00 26.75  
10  SOUZAK (FR) 8 4 76 711   88 10 (motion graham)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00 4.70  
SCR  ALTERNATE REALITY               (englehart chris)SILVERA RUBEN 122 12.00    
SCR  CLEM LABINE               (jacobson david)RIDER TBA 121 8.00    
SCR  MY HARBORS DREAM               (dutrow e)ORTIZ L 123 3.50    
SCR  OXYMORE               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50    
SCR  SENBEI               (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.00    
SCR  SOUPER ENERGIZER               (hogan j)CANCEL ERIC 125 30.00    
 
BAQ-5   10/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($102K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:44
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:113 1:234   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUSTIN BAY 8 1 21 2 1½ 14 1 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 126 4.00 32% 2.10 1.80 DQ↓7
SWEET WILLEMINA 1 6 3 32 33 24 2 (lake a)ORTIZ L 126 6.00 35% 1.80 5.90 W
TONED UP 7 5 8 78 4 4 3 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.50 3.80  
FROSTY O TOOLE 2 7 6 54 6 5 4 (dini mike)RENDON JAIRO 122 8.00 5% 19.00 14.70 S
MISSY GREER 4 3 11 1 2½ 35 58 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 122 4.50 8.10  
ALLAMERICANBEAUTY 3 4 5 43 5 6 610 (mcgaughey claud)FRANCO MANUEL 122 5.00 6.90  
PRETTI XTREME 6 2 4 64 7 714½ 716¾ (falcone n)DAVIS DYLAN 122 5.00 7.40  
FIRST TO ACT 5 8 7 8 839½ 8100 8100 (mcgaughey cla)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 8.00 8% 11.80 13.60  
 
BAQ-6   10/27/2023 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Chelsey Flower Purse ($135K) 2 F PT- 3:16
See original race card.
:234 :492 1:14 1:373   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIVING MAGIC 3 2 2½ 21 3 21 1 (schoenthal phil)SILVERA RUBEN 122 10.00 6% 16.80 16.90 W
OZARA (IRE) 5 4 3 3 2 11 2 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 18% 4.40 2.35 P
GOLD LIGHTNING 2 3 6 53 5 4 3 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 13% 7.00 3.60 S
LATTE LIZZIE 8 10 10 96 8 74 43 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 11% 8.50 3.75  
AWESOME CZECH 4 7 9 7 7 5 5 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00 20.80  
FLOWERS FOR ME 9 5 4 4 43 64 6 (ryerson t)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00 22.00  
CYNANE 7 6 53 6 6 8 77 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 120 8.00 12.30  
RED BURGUNDY 1 1 1½ 11 1 3 87 (de horaci)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 20.00 31.25  
TRICKY TEMPER 6 8 8 8 9 9 98 (englehart jeremia)DAVIS KATIE 120 15.00 25.50  
10  GAVEA (GER) 10 9 7 1010 1028¼ 1032½ 1076¾ (stall m)ORTIZ L 122 6.00 31% 2.20 4.40  
SCR  BEING BETTY               (serpe phil)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00    
SCR  DAY AWAY               (contessa g)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 30.00    
SCR  TAKEMETOTHEBEACH               (kintz matth)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 30.00    
 
BAQ-7   10/27/2023 5940ft TURF RC11 FIRM Athenia Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:234 :494 1:141 1:374   1:491   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (IRE) 5 4 1 11 1½ 1½ 1 (brown c)ORTIZ L 124 1.60 30% 2.30 1.70 W
BEAUTE CACHEE (FR) 4 2 3 32 3 2½ 2 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 4.00 21% 3.80 5.60 P
FLUFFY SOCKS 3 7 7 7 75 43 3 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 126 3.00 22% 3.50 2.65 S
SPARKLE BLUE 1 1 53 54 5 5 42 (motion graha)CASTELLANO J 124 6.00 7% 14.00 2.70  
FAVOR 7 5 4 43 4 33 5 (pletcher a)LEZCANO JOSE 122 20.00 25.25  
UNCORKED (AUS) 8 6 2 21 2½ 6 6 (russell brittany)RENDON JAIRO 124 20.00 33.50  
EVIDENCIAS (BRZ) 6 8 86 87 8 7 79 (clement christoph)CARMOUCHE K 122 15.00 16.70  
EIGHT DANZAS 2 3 64 65 64 813½ 816 (bedard alan)DAVIS KATIE 122 50.00 89.00  
SCR  MISS DRACARYS               (drysdale neil)DAVIS DYLAN 126 8.00    
 
BAQ-8   10/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC12 FAST Bold Ruler Purse ($200K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:22 :444 :57     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DURANTE 2 2 1½ 1   14 1 (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.50 32% 2.10 1.20 W
HIGH OAK 8 1 87 65   4 2 (mott i)ORTIZ JR 121 3.00 2.30  
TWISTED RIDE 5 5 43 5   5 3 (moore m)ORTIZ L 123 8.00 6.80  
STAGE LEFT 1 6 53 43   24 4 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 6.00 15% 5.70 13.30  
COWAN 4 4 31 2   34 5 (ginter ray)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 6.00 11.40  
FIVE DREAMS 6 7 6 7   69 68 (rodriguez migu)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 15.00 14% 6.10 51.00  
JEFF FA FA 7 8 76 8   710 711¾ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 121 20.00 13% 6.60 14.20  
PROVOCATEUR 3 3 2½ 32   815 828¾ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 8.00 12.10  
SCR  PIRATE RICK               (ginter raymon)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 8.00    
 
BAQ-9   10/27/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:233 :492 1:142 1:383   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAKE CELEBRITY 2 2 22 2 2½ 1 1¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 4.50 25% 3.00 2.70 W
BETTRLUCKYTHANGOOD 6 7 7 7 8 5 2¾ (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 5.10  
SLAPINTHEFACE 8 5 5 66 5 2 3 (dutrow anthony )FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 13% 6.80 2.35 S
DOMINATION 5 10 1010 9 9 6 43 (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 120 6.00 10.20  
DOLLY'S BANK 3 3 33 3 3 4 53 (coffey mariali)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 20.00 44.75  
EGYPTIAN QUEST 4 4 4 4 4 7 65 (crook-demasi ka)SILVERA RUBEN 120 10.00 5% 19.00 13.30  
MUGSY FURY 1 1 12 1 1½ 3 7 (davis g)DAVIS KATIE 124 30.00 53.75  
CLEVER FOREVER 7 6 87 8 74 8 8 (pletcher todd )CASTELLANO J 120 3.50 39% 1.60 4.20  
10  TONY O 10 8 65 5 63 9 9 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00 19.90  
KID KREESA 9 9 910 1017¾ 1025¾ 1037¼ 1058½ (dixon k)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 15.00 34.00  
SCR  ATLANTA'S ACUNA               (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00    
SCR  BEARY FUNNY               (donk david)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00    
SCR  CHARMING JIM               (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 120 15.00    
SCR  HARI               (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 20.00    
SCR  PRINCE OF TROY               (cash russell)RIVERA R 119 10.00    
SCR  REFUAH               (walder peter )MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.