Handicappers' Race Results

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Keeneland
Thursday - October 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KEE-1   Win (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $23.96  
KEE-2   Win (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $4.42 $4.42  
KEE-3   Win (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 1 $3.16 $3.16  
KEE-4   Win (2/5/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 10 1 0 $10.02  
KEE-5   Win (7/3/12/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $7.08 $7.08  
KEE-6   Win (4/7/3/11/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $5.40 $5.40  
KEE-7   Win (1/7/5/12/13) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 0 $14.00  
KEE-8   Win (8/1/11/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $8.60  
KEE-9   Win (7/2/5/6/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $16.16 $16.16 6.16

Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   10/26/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($62.5K) Purse ($57K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:104     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPOILER 2 2 11 2nk   1nk 1nk (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 6.00 10.98  
DARK VECTOR 4 3 21 1nk   2nk 2nk (weaver george)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.60 28% 2.60 1.66 P
POWER SEEKER 1 4 42 43   3 3¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 2.50 41% 1.40 2.25 S
PENZANCE 3 7 63 6   57 4 (stidham michael)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 10.12  
B SUDD 5 1 32 32   4 5 (stewart dall)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.50 11% 8.40 2.76  
RUNNINGFORCASH 7 5 74 76   68 614 (anderson doug)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 12.00 26.19  
FAST FALL 6 6 5 5   7 717 (hernandez javier)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 30.37  
 
KEE-2   10/26/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($68K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:111     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHOWDOWN KING 4 2 1nk 1nk   13 12 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.00 43% 1.30 1.21 W
COLLIER'S TIME 1 6 6 5   33 22 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 8.00 5.33  
FREE RAMBLING MAN 2 4 3 4   23 3 (calhoun william )ASHTON GAVIN 120 12.00 8% 11.20 13.89 S
TIME ANDBEYOND 6 3 2nk 2nk   4 4 (moquett ron)LEPAROUX R 120 15.00 14.80  
HARBOUR BRIDGE 3 5 5 6   6 515 (wismer glenn)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 21% 3.70 4.31  
BE THERE 5 1 4 32   5 620¼ (zito nichola)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.00 2.79  
SCR  MACHO VILLA               (lukas wayne)TORRES A 120 5.00    
SCR  PAVED IN GOLD               (rutledge lanc)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 15.00    
 
KEE-3   10/26/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($130K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:223 :461 1:103     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OLGA ISABEL 4 1 11 11   12 12 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 1.20 56% 0.80 0.58 W
YOUR SO SILLEA 3 3 21 21   22 22 (sims philip )LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 2.50 23% 3.30 2.28 P
BE LIKE WATER 2 4 44 3   3 310¾ (oliver victoria)VELAZQUEZ R 122 6.00 6.00  
BHOMA 1 2 33 45   4 420 (catalano way)HERNANDEZ J 122 10.00 7.93  
SCR  ASENA               (lund valori)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 4.50    
SCR  PURR SEA               (boyce michele)FELIX E 122 12.00    
 
KEE-4   10/26/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:223 :462 1:114     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  THORPEDO ANNA 10 9 75 44   1 1 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 4.01  
UP ON THE EDGE 2 6 2nk 1½   2 2 (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 119 2.50 50% 1.00 1.68 P
PRINCESS IS OLIVIA 7 1 3.2 2½   34 3 (cano m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00 6.49 S
QUEEN LEXI 8 12 11 1110¼   611 416¼ (short thomas)MORALES EDGAR 119 30.00 59.02  
KENTUCKYTERMINATOR 3 2 4 5   4 516¼ (wilkes r)CANNON DECLAN 119 8.00 35.97  
STEPHANIESWARRIOR 4 10 12 1211¼   912½ 618½ (capps a)BEJARANO R 119 15.00 46.70  
GUEST OF HONOR 5 5 85 9   1012¾ 721 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.50 23% 3.40 5.51  
12  CLASSY'N CONNECTED 12 7 5 66   712 821¼ (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 6.00 9.40  
FLUID 1 11 95 7   812 924¼ (mott riley)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 8.12  
LOU ANNA 9 4 10 1010   1113¾ 1024¾ (mccutchen jason)ASHTON GAVIN 119 15.00 5% 19.00 33.23  
CHIQUITA REINA 6 8 1nk 31   510½ 1127½ (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 119 30.00 60.03  
11  JOCELYN 11 3 63 8   1216¼ 1229¾ (lopez elias)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 20.00 60.71  
 
KEE-5   10/26/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:231 :484 1:134 1:251   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXCELLENT QUESTION 3 3 87 8 65 53 1hd (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 26% 2.90 2.54 W
MIRARI 5 4 4 4 4 3½ 2hd (thomas jonathan)SAEZ LUIS 121 10.00 4.53  
LADY EMILY KATHRYN 1 2 32 32 3 1nk 3¼ (joseph a)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 4.50 4.35 S
JUNGLE CAT 8 6 5 5 53 41 41 (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 124 30.00 5% 19.00 30.03  
RED RIVER MAGIC 7 1 11 11 1½ 2nk 5 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 2.50 47% 1.10 3.44  
CALL ME TONI 9 10 9 9 8 77 6 (hughes g)BEJARANO R 121 30.00 74.18  
11  MUCHO MACHO CHICK 11 7 21 21 2½ 64 7 (toye lin)ELLIOTT JANE 121 30.00 91.41  
12  LADY DYNAMO 12 5 64 64 75 8 811¼ (tomlinson m)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00 5% 19.00 17.20  
SILENT REVENGE 2 8 109 11 1213¾ 1012¾ 912 (dyer john)MACHADO LUAN 121 30.00 45.58  
10  SKIP TO THE BEAT (IRE) 10 12 1211 12 1013 912½ 1012¾ (lynch a)GEROUX FLORENT 121 8.00 9.46  
MON DIEU 4 9 76 7 911½ 1115¼ 1116¼ (calhoun wil)LEPAROUX R 121 20.00 14.05  
LADY TREMAINE 6 11 119 107 1113¼ 1215¾ 1216¾ (mott riley)TORRES A 121 15.00 46.12  
SCR  INSENSITIVE               (anderson do)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 6.00    
SCR  LIPOCHROME               (torres con)RODRIGUEZ A 124 30.00    
SCR  MILIEU               (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 121 4.00    
SCR  THEROANRUNNER               (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 121 8.00    
 
KEE-6   10/26/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($47K) 2 ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:234 :483 1:144 1:404   1:471   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MENA 4 4 3 31 2½ 1 112¼ (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 33% 2.00 1.70 W
ULTIMATE STRIKE 2 6 12 11 1½ 2 212¼ (pino michae)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 8.24  
12  MOR JAZZ 12 3 7 6 3 3 312½ (humphries thoma)MORALES EDGAR 119 30.00 40.70  
BRILLIANT MAN 5 10 10 11 1211 712½ 414 (reed r)MCKEE J 119 20.00 45.97  
ASPIRING COMEDIAN 6 12 1210 10 7 4 516 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 2.01  
10  THE RUSH IS ON 10 1 8 8 55 511 617¾ (vosler eugene)PETERSON FERRIN 119 20.00 70.68  
COMMISSIONER OSCAR 7 7 6 7 9 812½ 717¾ (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 6.00 19% 4.20 17.80  
MASTER OF THE NITE 1 9 22 21 4 611½ 823½ (ennis john)CANNON DECLAN 119 10.00 5% 19.00 37.94  
LEAD FOOT 9 2 11 12 10 915½ 931 (hamilton sarah)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00 64.20  
METRONOME 8 5 5 4 6 1018½ 1041¼ (molloy thomas)GRAHAM J 119 8.00 8.00  
11  MAGICAL MONARCH 11 11 9 9 8 1120½ 1150¼ (sweezey kent)ACHARD ALEX 119 10.00 5% 19.00 10.42  
PRINCE IS MY BOY 3 8 4 5 1110¾ 1225½ 1271¼ (rosin coty )TORRES A 119 12.00 16% 5.30 33.47  
SCR  DIFFERENT FLAME               (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00    
SCR  MIDCAT               (wilkes r)LANERIE J 119 10.00    
 
KEE-7   10/26/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 2 ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:23 :482 1:151 1:382   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUE EYED GEORGE 2 2 2 3 5 31 1 (mccarthy michae)VELAZQUEZ R 122 8.00 6.00  
12  PLEASE ADVISE 11 5 4 4 3.2 1½ 2 (weaver george)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 5% 19.00 7.61 P
10  FORTUNE SELLER 9 4 32 21 2nk 2½ 3 (rice kevin)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.50 10.21  
GOOD BALI 4 9 8 75 116 75 4 (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 122 20.00 24.34  
TOUGH LITTLE NUT 1 3 1210¼ 117 4¼ 5 5 (block chris)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.00 32% 2.10 3.84  
BAYTOWN PARFAIT 3 7 5 5 9 64 6 (ramirez m)CHUAN MARTIN 120 30.00 93.55  
MISSION READY 8 11 9 9 73 8 7 (zook w)ASHTON GAVIN 120 20.00 68.56  
COPPER MISSILE 6 12 11 10 10 10 8 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 8.00 28% 2.60 6.59  
11  SAVE THE KING 10 10 7 6 6 9 910¾ (davis christopher)GRAHAM J 122 20.00 81.08  
13  FAMILY FACTOR 12 6 1 11 1nk 4 1011 (colebrook ben)ACHARD ALEX 120 30.00 5% 19.00 67.70  
CODE OMAHA 5 1 6 85 126 11 1111 (thomas jonathan)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 5.00 13% 6.60 1.73  
LEGAL TITAN 7 8 10 12 84 1210¼ 1217 (ewing a)CANNON DECLAN 122 8.00 19.81  
SCR  BILLY THE GREEK               (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 30.00    
SCR  ELEVATED GAME               (rosin coty )TORRES A 122 30.00    
SCR  REZASROLEX               (morey e)FELIX E 122 20.00    
SCR  STEELER MISCHIEF               (gutierrez )SANTANA JR 120 12.00    
 
KEE-8   10/26/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:113     1:284   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCKETEER 4 5 2½ 21   12 14 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 3.30  
12  D DAY SKY 11 2 3 3   22 24 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 20.00 25.81  
WARP NINE 3 1 7 7   4 3 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 119 8.00 8.57  
WORLD FAIR 6 4 1½ 11   32 4 (moquett ro)SANTANA JR 119 20.00 22.88  
CHARLESTON 1 11 9 65   5 5 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.50 21% 3.70 7.05  
11  STOP THE PRESS 10 8 8 89   69 6 (mcgaughey cl)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 20% 3.90 2.63  
10  HIGGINSVILLE 9 7 6 911   912 714¼ (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 15.00 11.16  
NO JUDGMENT 7 3 4 54   811 816¾ (brennan terry)BEJARANO R 119 6.00 36% 1.80 4.40  
TUSCANY'S EAGLE 2 10 1111¼ 1115½   1115¾ 918 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00 68.31  
MELEE (GB) 8 6 10 1015   1015½ 1018¾ (mott i)GRAHAM J 119 12.00 31.38  
STINGER BEE 5 9 5 44   710½ 1119 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00 5% 19.00 14.82  
SCR  SHAKIN LOOSE               (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 12.00    
 
KEE-9   10/26/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:213 :442 :56     1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUDGE DAVIS 5 10 9 95   6 1¼ (mcgaughey c)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 3.00 16% 5.10 7.08 W
JEFE DE OBRA (CHI) 4 3 1½ 1½   1½ 2¼ (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00 2.44  
TRUST DADDY 8 6 7 84   5 3 (murphy conor)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 8.00 6.98  
ZARTOWNIS 3 7 8 7   31 4 (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00 5% 19.00 9.78  
GILDED RULER 7 5 4 4   2½ 52 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 6.00 31% 2.20 4.16  
HUNTERTOWN 1 4 3 3   41 6 (hernandez rey)PETERSON FERRIN 118 30.00 46.39  
VOCALIZE 2 8 10 108   7 712 (de horacio)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.00 28% 2.60 5.34  
10  RUTHLESS RUA 10 1 5 6   8 813¼ (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 115 15.00 11.27  
STAR SLUGGER 6 2 2½ 2½   911¼ 917¾ (torres concepci)CANNON DECLAN 123 15.00 5% 19.00 22.32  
CONGRATS ON FIFTY 9 9 6 5   1011¾ 1018¾ (robertson mclean)ROCCO S 118 6.00 15.16  
SCR  BAIE LONGUE               (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 120 4.00    
SCR  FIRST DEFENDER               (asmussen steve)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00    
SCR  IMMORTALIZATION               (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00    
SCR  MANEUVER               (perez manny)BEJARANO R 118 8.00    
SCR  SMOKEY LEE               (cundiff waylon)ELLIOTT JANE 121 30.00    
SCR  WESTERN COMMAND               (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.