Handicappers' Race Results

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Keeneland
Saturday - October 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KEE-1   Win (5/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $17.76  
KEE-2   Win (5/3/7/12/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $18.10 $18.10 8.10
KEE-3   Win (12/7/10/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $5.20 $5.20  
KEE-4   Win (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $7.00 $7.00 3.00
KEE-5   Win (9/6/12/3/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 0 $5.50  
KEE-6   Win (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $14.88  
KEE-7   Win (8/9/2/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $9.14 $9.14 1.14
KEE-8   Win (9/7/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $6.42 $6.42  
KEE-9   Win (7/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $7.06 $7.06 1.06
KEE-10   Win (11/5/10/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $90.12 $90.12 80.12

Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   10/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($62.5K) Purse ($78K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:222 :454 :582     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMISKEY PARK 6 2 33 32   3 1¼ (hernandez a)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 4.50 7.88  
VULCAN 3 3 1nk 1nk   1nk 2¼ (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 4.00 1.54  
THEALLIGATORHUNTER 7 1 2nk 2nk   2nk 3 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 6.00 13% 6.50 5.32 S
CALL ME MIDNIGHT 2 6 6 47   44 43 (desormeaux j)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 20.00 11.80  
MAC DADDY TOO 5 5 59 611   510 5 (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 121 1.60 44% 1.30 2.15  
JOHNNY UNLEASHED 1 4 45 5   611 621 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 121 30.00 30.40  
COLD AS HELL 4 7 7100 7100   7100 7100 (lukas wayne)TORRES A 121 2.50 14% 6.30 9.03  
 
KEE-2   10/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($47K) 2 F PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:224 :47 :60     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
READY FOR TROUBLE 3 6 4 4¾   11 1 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 6.00 20% 4.00 8.05 W
FASTA LAVISTA BABY 4 11 7 6   33 2 (scherer marianne)LANERIE J 119 8.00 18.33  
10  PLEASINGLY 10 2 2nk 1½   21 3 (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 15.00 14.00  
DANCING NANCY 5 7 6 5   4 4 (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 119 1.20 44% 1.30 0.82  
WRECK IT RUBY 8 9 8 8   8 510¼ (holsapple hutch)HEARD TYLER 119 30.00 63.52  
11  LOVEYA LOVEYA MORE 11 5 3½ 2½   56 611¾ (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 119 20.00 48.11  
THIRSTY ACCOUNTANT 2 4 5 7   7 712¼ (mcentee paul)AYALA ISAIAS 119 30.00 5% 19.00 48.78  
LINDSEY (GB) 9 1 10 9   911 812½ (wilkes r)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 8.00 12.77  
WIND CHASIN 1 3 1nk 3½   66 913¼ (howey quinn)CANNON DECLAN 119 20.00 19.45  
RED SUN DRESS 7 10 1210 10   1013 1017½ (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 119 6.00 10% 9.20 7.03  
REDHEADEDSTRANGER 6 12 9 11   1115 1121½ (nesbitt amy)ORTIZ ALVIN 119 30.00 58.81  
12  CARPE OSTENTO (GB) 12 8 118 12   1222 1243 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 5% 19.00 9.44  
SCR  LADLE               (murphy conor)GRAHAM J 119 20.00    
SCR  MARGARET'S LADY               (west w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 12.00    
SCR  SERENE WATERS               (meah m)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00    
SCR  TALKIN IN CURSIVE               (vosler eug)STRANDBERG MALLORY 119 20.00    
 
KEE-3   10/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:223 :47 :592     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOURBON FEVER 7 1 2½ 11   13 1 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 121 6.00 28% 2.60 1.60 W
SPANISH DOUBLOON 4 9 53 73   33 2 (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 10.00 11.09  
SOLEVO 5 6 64 5   4 36 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 121 10.00 20.41  
12  BACK TO REALITY 11 2 32 3   23 47 (hartman chris)TORRES A 121 5.00 39% 1.60 7.25  
THE BIG MOZZ 6 11 9 95   6 5 (donjuan sergio)STEVENS C 119 30.00 52.97  
COLONEL BARTON 8 10 10 8   7 6 (puhich mike)MICHEL MICKAELLE 124 15.00 50.56  
MR. COMMANDER 3 4 1½ 21   5 714¾ (king l)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 20.00 40.12  
10  GOD OF WINE 9 3 11 1010   1010¾ 818¼ (morrison mike)MACHADO LUAN 121 15.00 7% 14.40 21.22  
11  SHOCKWAVE 10 5 8 42   8 925 (joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 121 12.00 7.50  
CHARTED 1 7 7 1112   1113¼ 1028¾ (waltz brian)COURT K 124 12.00 5% 19.00 14.66  
KINGMAKER 2 8 42 6   9 1131½ (moquett e)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.60 2.74  
SCR  AMANWALKSINTOABAR               (stidham michael)VELAZQUEZ R 121 10.00    
SCR  BAD BOY FOR LIFE               (howey quinn)CANNON DECLAN 121 20.00    
SCR  FEELING FREE               (stall albert )GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 10.00    
SCR  RUNANDSCORE               (o'donnell marcus)ASHTON GAVIN 121 8.00    
SCR  TRIPLE OPTION               (cook b)BEJARANO R 124 15.00    
 
KEE-4   10/21/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($140K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:113 1:233   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OEUVRE 2 3 3 42 32 11 1 (block chris)CORRALES GERARDO 122 4.00 59% 0.70 2.50 W
SWEET DANI GIRL 3 2 2 21 2nk 21 2 (vaccarezza carlo)SAEZ LUIS 124 4.50 10% 8.50 1.79 P
DO YOU LOVE ME 1 1 1 11 1nk 31 3 (bourke john)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00 15.15  
ADAAY IN ASIA (GB) 4 4 54 5 5 44 4 (clement christop)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 1.94  
BRAGANZA 5 5 4 32 4 56 510¼ (kenneally eddie)VELAZQUEZ R 122 15.00 5.82  
SCR  BUTTERBEAN               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00    
SCR  LADY HIDEAWAY               (wilkes r)GEROUX FLORENT 122 12.00    
SCR  TAKNTOTHECLEANERS               (west w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00    
SCR  VIAREGGIO (IRE)               (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.00    
 
KEE-5   10/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:223 :461 1:122     1:193   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DENIM AND PEARLS 8 4 1nk 2nk   12 1hd (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 1.75  
SWEET GAL OF MINE 9 1 4 6   43 2hd (mccarthy michael)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.00 26% 2.80 2.33 P
CLEOPATRA SELENE 5 9 7 43   22 3¼ (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 20.00 60.84  
IRINA'S CHARM 3 7 31 54   5 4¾ (d'amato philip)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00 8% 11.00 5.61  
BEDAZZLE 'EM 1 12 9 8   7 5 (engler jef)SANTANA JR 119 12.00 19.35  
AUNT FANNIE 6 8 11 10   9 6 (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 20% 4.00 9.83  
10  SUMMERINTAHOE 10 3 2nk 1nk   33 7 (ewing a)CANNON DECLAN 119 30.00 5% 19.00 53.35  
12  SHEZTHEFACTOR 12 2 5 32   6 8 (hamilton sarah)BEJARANO R 119 10.00 20% 4.10 15.58  
11  LITTLE JAMIE 11 6 10 9   10 910 (medina robert)VELAZQUEZ R 119 15.00 52.37  
MARCO SUNSET 7 5 6 76   8 1013¼ (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 119 10.00 46.73  
BEST OF ALL 2 11 1212 1217¾   1216¼ 1114¾ (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 10.76  
MAXISUPERFLY 4 10 8 11   1113¼ 1216½ (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 119 12.00 60.64  
SCR  BERNAR MOSA               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
SCR  CITY SHACK               (burdess terry)ORTIZ ALVIN 119 30.00    
SCR  IN JUST MY HEELS               (moquett ron)LEPAROUX R 119 20.00    
 
KEE-6   10/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Perryville Purse ($250K) 3 ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:103     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAISE CAIN 4 1 4 4   2nk 1nk (colebrook ben)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 6.44  
DR. VENKMAN 5 5 3½ 3.2   1nk 2nk (glatt mark)VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.50 27% 2.70 1.26 P
POST TIME 3 6 6 6   4 3 (russell britt)RUSSELL SHELDON 118 15.00 5% 19.00 7.42 S
LOYAL COMPANY 6 4 52 5   5 4 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00 14.52  
VERIFYING 1 3 1nk 1nk   3 5 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 1.00 44% 1.30 1.78  
CONFIDENCE GAME 2 2 2nk 2nk   6 616¼ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 122 4.50 12.99  
 
KEE-7   10/21/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:234 :483 1:133 1:393   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SINGLE DOT YAHT 2 1 64 6 5 3 1nk (drury thomas)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00 5% 19.00 3.57 W
11  ALEXANDER HELIOS 11 3 2½ 2½ 2nk 12 2nk (joseph saffie )GEROUX FLORENT 121 15.00 14.04 P
DISSOLVED 3 4 32 32 4 4 31 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 121 10.00 6.27  
MOUNT CRAIG 8 9 10 10 8 5 4 (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 4.00 55% 0.80 4.35  
BEN FRANKLIN 6 12 1210½ 1210¾ 10 7 5 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 121 4.50 4.01  
MALIBU SPRINGS 5 10 1½ 1½ 1nk 22 6 (sweezey kent)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 6.00 11.95  
GAME KEEPER 1 2 8 9 9 910¾ 713¼ (lukas wayne)TORRES A 121 20.00 13.00  
10  MY SANCTUARY 10 5 7 7 7 8 813¾ (wilkes r)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 20.00 80.62  
12  CREATE TROUBLE 12 8 53 5 33 6 914½ (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 121 12.00 5% 19.00 7.45  
FURIOUS ANGER 9 11 11 11 1210¾ 1113¼ 1016½ (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 121 3.50 13% 6.60 12.02  
PERFECT UPSTART 4 7 4 42 6 1012¾ 1118¾ (barrett roddina )ELLIOTT JANE 121 30.00 97.58  
ROYAL COURT 7 6 9 8 1110¼ 1218¾ 1228¾ (molloy thomas)GRAHAM J 124 30.00 61.77  
SCR  ANCIENT MAN               (hughes w)CANUTO THIAGO 124 50.00    
SCR  GAME WARDEN               (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 12.00    
 
KEE-8   10/21/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($130K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:114 1:362   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SINFILTRE 4 4 5 6 4 2nk 1 (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.50 26% 2.90 2.21 W
SEISAI (IRE) 3 5 3 4 3 1nk 2 (devaux cherie)VELAZQUEZ R 124 10.00 11.37  
10  WALKATHON 7 8 9 9 8 5 3 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 122 8.00 8.62  
NOT SO CLOSE 2 1 11 1½ 1½ 3½ 4 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 122 6.00 5% 19.00 4.46  
HAUGHTY 6 6 21 2½ 2½ 4 511¾ (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00 43% 1.40 3.40  
SISTER LOU ANN 5 3 6 53 6 6 612¼ (joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 124 6.00 5% 19.00 3.53  
12  STRONG ODOR 8 7 4 3 53 76 712¾ (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 122 30.00 31.94  
BALI BELLE 1 2 8 7 7 87 813½ (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 122 20.00 46.27  
13  FAST AND FEMININE 9 9 7 8 97 910 917 (snipes randy)STEVENS C 117 30.00 77.95  
SCR  EVER SMART               (drysdale neil)GEROUX FLORENT 122 20.00    
SCR  FANCY MARTINI               (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 122 15.00    
SCR  FRAGRANT               (reed r)CORRALES GERARDO 122 20.00    
SCR  LOVELY PRINCESS               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00    
SCR  POCA MUCHA               (mott i)ACHARD ALEX 122 15.00    
 
KEE-9   10/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC13 FAST Lexus Raven Run Purse ($350K) 3 F PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:223 :452 1:10     1:231   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VAHVA 2 4 4 3   2 1½ (devaux cherie)VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.00 19% 4.20 2.53 W
ALVA STARR 5 3 1½ 11   1 2½ (brinkman bre)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.00 28% 2.50 0.90 P
DAZZLING BLUE 4 5 6 5   3 313 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.50 28% 2.50 7.77 S
APPLE PICKER 3 7 75 76   610 413½ (russell britt)RUSSELL SHELDON 118 15.00 25.33  
LILY POO 1 6 5 63   4 514 (mccarthy mic)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00 14.87  
LADY RADLER 6 1 31 4   59 619½ (campbell michael)CASTANON L 118 5.00 9.67  
ANCIENT PEACE 7 2 2½ 21   711½ 720¾ (lynch bria)SANTANA JR 118 10.00 12.50  
SCR  NOM DE PLUME               (lobo h)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 20.00    
SCR  SIMPLY STATED               (beattie m)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00    
 
KEE-10   10/21/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
See original race card.
:22 :451 :57     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZOOMBIE 3 3 11 1   1 1 (walsh d)MACHADO LUAN 121 30.00 5% 19.00 44.06 W
WILLTORUN 1 8 31 32   32 2 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 121 8.00 6.07  
AXTHELM 5 4 21 2   2 32 (joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.50 23% 3.40 1.83 S
B D VALESKI 7 5 8 8   4 4 (foley greg)GRAHAM J 123 8.00 11.81  
10  GREGORY'S PRIDE 9 2 9 9   5 53 (d'amato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 10.00 14% 6.20 4.28  
LEGAL ATTACK (GB) 2 10 52 53   6 6 (vaughan edward)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 15.00 13% 6.90 31.10  
ZATIP 4 9 6 6   7 7 (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 121 15.00 11.49  
11  FAUCI 10 7 10 10   8 8 (antonacci ph)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.00 26% 2.90 2.97  
SAMBURU (GB) 8 1 4 42   9 9 (sweezey kent)ACHARD ALEX 121 20.00 38.76  
OF THE MOMENT 6 6 7 7   10 1010½ (williamson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 20.00 50.75  
SCR  COUNTERSTRIKE               (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 121 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.