Handicappers' Race Results

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Century Downs Tb
Saturday - October 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CTD-2   Win (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $8.30 $8.30 4.30
CTD-3   Win (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 0.40
CTD-4   Win (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 0.20
CTD-5   Win (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $25.30 $25.30 19.30
CTD-6   Win (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $12.20  
CTD-7   Win (6/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $6.30 $6.30 0.30
CTD-8   Win (1/4/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $9.40 $9.40 1.40
CTD-9   Win (6/5/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $7.70  
CTD-10   Win (3/8/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $22.70 $22.70 14.70
CTD-11   Win (8/2/4/10/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 0 $14.50  

Simulator Race results

 
CTD-2   10/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:12
See original race card.
:231 :461 :581     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOHAYMEN DAY 2 1 1½ 1½   1½ 1½ (robertson )GUERRERO FRANCISCO 125 3.00 15% 5.60 3.15 W
OUT FRONT 1 5 2½ 31   2½ 2½ ( )GRIFFITH DELANE 120 6.00 6.55  
WILD ARCH 5 3 53 41   31 3 (brown r)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 1.40 58% 0.70 1.45 S
CARRIE'S SUCCESS 3 2 4 5   52 4 (grieves)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 3.50 4.00  
PEARL OF KNOWLEDGE 4 4 3½ 2½   41 5 (kingston karline)NELSON DANE 125 4.00 3.95  
 
CTD-3   10/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:39
See original race card.
:223 :462 1:102     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARD TO COME HOME 3 1 1nk 2nk   1nk 1 (brown r)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 2.00 48% 1.10 1.20 W
NORTH FORK 5 4 3½ 3   3½ 2 (kingston karli)NATERA KEIHTON 125 4.50 5.00  
CARSON'S LEGACY 4 2 2nk 1nk   2nk 3 (frey carson)NELSON DANE 125 3.00 3.65  
ESCROW STYLE 1 5 54 4   4 4 (smith craig)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 2.50 16% 5.20 2.90  
JUMEIRAH COAST 2 3 42 510½   5 513¼ (smith rob)CUMBERBATCH R 125 8.00 9.90  
SCR  STORMY SUMMIT               (brown r)SIMPSON W 123 15.00    
 
CTD-4   10/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
See original race card.
:223 :452 1:094     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TUCKER TIME 4 6 4¾ 2½   2½ 1nk (coney ja)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 3.00 12% 7.00 2.10 W
SMASH FACTOR 6 4 1½ 1½   1½ 2nk (smith craig)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 2.00 37% 1.70 2.00 P
EXPLODE 3 5 61 5   33 3 ( )GRIFFITH DELANE 120 3.50 28% 2.50 3.10 S
MOONSHINE NOW 1 1 5¾ 6   5 4 (smith rob)LUNAN RICHARD 125 10.00 8.25  
WHITEROSE SPIRIT 2 2 2½ 41   66 5 (brown shelley)BRYAN D 122 20.00 41.40  
SASSY CINDERELLA 5 3 3½ 31   45 6 (rycro)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 15.00 17.80  
REDNECK REMARK 7 7 7100 7100   7100 7100 (mcdonald rober)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 4.00 10.05  
 
CTD-5   10/21/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:222 :46 1:103     1:303   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPORTSCARR 3 4 5 2nk   1½ 1nk (heggie rod)ZENTENO JR 125 5.00 22% 3.60 11.65 W
THE BEAT 4 3 4 4   3½ 2nk (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 125 3.00 2.95  
RUNNINFORCOVER 5 5 6 6   5 3 (rycroft )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 6.00 16.45  
SILVERFOOT 6 6 3 5   2½ 4 (nicholson davi)NATERA KEIHTON 125 2.50 26% 2.90 1.75  
BEAUGATTI 1 1 1nk 1nk   4¾ 5 (tingle ken)SIMPSON W 125 12.00 18.80  
DANCING WILLIE 2 2 2nk 3.2   6 6 (robertson je)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 2.00 23% 3.40 1.65  
 
CTD-6   10/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
See original race card.
:222 :452 :572     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLASHFORDANI 5 5 42 21   1nk 1 (kingston ka)ZENTENO JR 123 8.00 5.10  
TOOL TIME 1 1 11 11   2nk 2 (brown r)NELSON DANE 125 1.80 24% 3.10 1.80 P
WALKTHELINE 3 4 3 31   3½ 35 (mcdonald rober)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 2.50 4.55  
MOUNT ASGARD 4 6 66 65   66 4 (kingston c)BRYAN D 123 10.00 18.75  
SLEW'S BAK 6 2 5 52   4 5 (kingston ka)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 2.00 41% 1.40 3.00  
LINCHPIN STORM 2 3 21 4   5 6 (reid colton)SIMPSON W 125 15.00 7% 13.60 4.55  
 
CTD-7   10/21/2023 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Don Getty Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:27
See original race card.
:231 :452 1:101 1:362   1:492   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DECOY 2 6 32 4 41 1½ 1 (kettleso)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 3.00 25% 2.90 2.15 W
WHERE'S THE GOLD 3 4 55 5 54 43 2 (gilkyson ashle)NATERA KEIHTON 113 20.00 17.30  
IMPACTO 7 2 11 1½ 2nk 2½ 3 (smith ro)PRESCOD N'RICO 122 4.50 14% 5.90 4.90 S
ROCKTILLYOUDROP 1 5 42 33 3½ 3 4 (cone rodney)ZENTENO JR 120 10.00 14.65  
DRINKING AGAIN 5 3 6 68 67 58 512 (frey carson)CUMBERBATCH R 116 15.00 31.90  
GLAVA 6 1 21 2½ 1nk 6 612½ (anderson gonzalo)NELSON DANE 125 2.00 39% 1.60 3.15  
RACE HOME 4 7 7 79 715 720½ 731 (anderson g)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 124 2.50 2.30  
 
CTD-8   10/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
See original race card.
:223 :46 1:104     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXAMINER 1 1 5 5   31 1¾ (rycroft )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 2.00 25% 3.00 3.70 W
BACKSTREET BOBBY 7 4 2½ 2½   1nk 2¾ (biggs se)STEADMAN LEON 125 3.00 2.15  
BIG AL'S VISION 3 3 41 43   52 3 (frey carson)RIZO ALEXIS 125 6.00 8.60  
LONESOME CAT 6 5 7 89   8 4 (ward anderson)NATERA KEIHTON 125 20.00 12.75  
SMILIN EVIE 5 2 1½ 1½   2nk 5 (cone rodney)PRESCOD N'RICO 122 8.00 3.10  
DON'TTEASETHETIGER 8 7 3½ 31   4 6 (oberholtzer kevin)NELSON DANE 125 10.00 8% 11.20 13.60  
YOU SPLIT TENS 2 8 8 64   7 714¼ (brown allen)SIMPSON W 125 15.00 9% 9.60 8.80  
TACOFLAVOREDKISSES 4 6 6 74   64 814½ (brown r)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 8.00 24% 3.10 17.30  
 
CTD-9   10/21/2023 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Lynn Chouinard Founders Distaf Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:21
See original race card.
:233 :462 1:111 1:37   1:503   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLUM BLUE 1 7 7 7 6 34 1½ (hedge ri)ASENCIO MARIANO 121 6.00 2.85  
MISSCZECH 6 1 1 1 1 13 2½ (anderson gon)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 122 3.00 37% 1.70 2.55 P
ORANGE THEORY 4 5 3 2 2 23 33 (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 120 20.00 29.05  
TONE IT UP 3 8 8 8 7 49 49 (nicholson d)ZENTENO JR 119 12.00 9.60  
MINE ME 2 4 2 3 5 59 510½ (hedge rick)NATERA KEIHTON 120 15.00 5% 19.00 9.85  
BURROW DOWN 5 6 6 6 4 610½ 613½ (robertson j)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 2.50 21% 3.90 5.50  
AFTER A FEW 7 3 4 53 8 816 720¾ (smith ro)PRESCOD N'RICO 117 8.00 20.50  
DANCE SHOES 8 2 53 4 33 713½ 827 (brown r)NELSON DANE 123 3.50 19% 4.40 3.55  
 
CTD-10   10/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:48
See original race card.
:223 :453 :58     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NIGHT FLYER 6 3 2 2½   1nk 1½ (smith craig)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 10.00 6% 17.00 10.35 W
BOSS MAN CAN 3 2 33 3   32 2½ (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 3.00 58% 0.70 1.05 P
LIL ZAPPER 4 1 1 1½   2nk 3 (humbke cheryl)NATERA KEIHTON 122 2.50 2.20  
AGENT C 8 5 65 5   44 4 (o'hagan colleen)NELSON DANE 122 3.50 13% 6.70 5.50  
SNAP COUNT 1 7 710 710½   7 5 (petro)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 10.00 5% 19.00 30.40  
SPOT ON DUDE 5 4 4 4   57 6 (brown r)SIMPSON W 123 6.00 13.50  
REBATE 7 6 55 6   69 7 (smith c)GASKIN ZAVIER 114 15.00 45.60  
JHAWK FLYER 2 8 810½ 811   812½ 813½ ( )GRIFFITH DELANE 120 20.00 78.65  
 
CTD-11   10/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:15
See original race card.
:223 :461 :584     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SECRET HAVEN 1 2 11 1   1 1 (brown r)SIMPSON W 125 10.00 6.25  
SUGAR MOON 6 3 3 32   2 2 (brown shelley)NATERA KEIHTON 125 8.00 18.25  
DAZZLING CHIC 5 1 65 6   66 32 (petrows)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 20.00 83.85  
VIVIEN'S CHARM 2 4 43 4   44 4 (smith rober)NELSON DANE 125 3.00 20% 4.00 5.05  
WHEELSUPINTHIRTY 3 8 7 7   7 5 (biggs seymour)POON ANDREW 125 20.00 32.05  
EDGE OF OKOTOKS 8 6 21 2   3 6 (mcdonald robert)CUMBERBATCH R 125 8.00 5% 19.00 8.50  
NO BAKK TALK 7 5 54 5   56 77 (smith k)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 2.50 22% 3.60 0.95  
10  PONY GIRL 9 7 98 9   911 812½ ( )GRIFFITH DELANE 120 15.00 12% 7.20 17.15  
MARGOT'S GIRL 4 9 8 8   89 926½ (kingston ka)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 6.00 16% 5.20 8.50  
SCR  MISTY MATT               (coney jason)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.