Handicappers' Race Results

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Belmont At The Big A
Thursday - October 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BAQ-1   Win (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $18.60 $18.60 12.60
BAQ-2   Win (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 0 $20.60  
BAQ-3   Win (1/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $7.40 $7.40 1.40
BAQ-4   Win (12/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 0 $14.40  
BAQ-5   Win (2/9/10/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
BAQ-6   Win (6/2/10/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $5.20 $5.20  
BAQ-7   Win (3/5/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $11.60 $11.60 3.60
BAQ-8   Win (2/8/9/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $4.80 $4.80  
BAQ-9   Win (4/7/10/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  

Simulator Race results

 
BAQ-1   10/19/2023 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
See original race card.
:243 :502 1:152 1:402   1:532   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARTY AT GRANTS 4 6 6 6 5 1nk 1nk (englehart jeremia)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 10% 8.70 8.30 W
PARIS STYLE (FR) 6 3 43 42 6 3 2nk (mcpeek kennet)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 2.50 2.15  
VANISHED 3 2 21 2½ 1½ 2nk 3.2 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 1.80 66% 0.50 2.25 S
RAYYA VALENTINE 5 4 32 31 3½ 4 4 (summers )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 8.00 19.60  
DREAMING OF MO 1 1 11 1½ 2½ 5 55 (martin carlos )CASTELLANO J 120 6.00 5% 19.00 2.55  
MISS OUR HERO 2 5 53 52 42 6 610¾ (mott i)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 6.60  
 
BAQ-2   10/19/2023 5940ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($102K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:08
See original race card.
:233 :49 1:14 1:373   1:492   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TASS (GB) 1 2 3 3 3 3 1hd (abreu r)CASTELLANO J 122 12.00 9.30  
CHILI FLAG (FR) 3 3 53 5 53 1½ 2hd (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 0.60 74% 0.40 0.40 P
1A  AVENUE NIEL (IRE) 7 7 7 76 75 53 3 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 124 0.60 0.40  
IMPLICATED 6 6 21 21 2½ 2½ 43 (brown c)ORTIZ L 118 2.50 3.15  
UNRULY JULIE 4 5 4 4 4 74 5 (mott i)FRANCO MANUEL 124 8.00 14.00  
TIC TIC TIC BOOM 2 1 66 6 64 64 64 (bedard alan)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 15.00 44.75  
STERN CHASER 5 4 11 11 1½ 4 77 (matz michael )ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 8.00 5% 19.00 18.10  
SCR  BUSTIN BAY               (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 126 0.80    
 
BAQ-3   10/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:224 :461 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CROWDING OUT 6 1 11 1   11 1hd (walder peter )MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 3.50 25% 3.00 2.70 W
LADY SHYLOCK 1 4 5 3   21 2hd (falcone robe)RIVERA R 115 2.50 53% 0.90 1.70 P
JUST A NYQUIST 2 6 6 6   55 34 (barrera s)OLVER MADISON 118 4.00 3.90  
HIGH SCHOOL CRUSH 7 3 42 2   3 4 (barker r)DAVIS DYLAN 121 6.00 4.50  
SIMPLE SUGAR 5 2 3 42   45 57 (giglio gin)DAVIS A 123 8.00 5% 19.00 8.50  
SWEET AS SUGAR 4 5 21 5   6 69 (shivmang)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 15.00 23.00  
SYNONYMOUS 3 7 78 710¾   711 711¾ (pregman jr)USKE S 123 15.00 35.75  
SCR  DUFRESNE               (barrera)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 4.50    
 
BAQ-4   10/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:12
See original race card.
:222 :454 :574     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEMPERMENTAL 2 2 3 3   1nk 1 (atras rob)ORTIZ JR 123 8.00 6.20  
COUSIN KRISTI 3 5 11 11   2nk 2 (bond ja)CASTELLANO J 125 10.00 28% 2.60 3.85 P
12  KHALI MAGIC 5 3 21 21   3 3 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 125 1.60 36% 1.70 0.70 S
10  RIBOT'S VALENTINE 4 1 4 44   4 4 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 121 15.00 4.20  
DREAM CENTRAL 1 4 58 5   511½ 518 (sciacca gary)FRANCO MANUEL 121 12.00 11.40  
SCR  SUE ELLEN MISHKIN               (walder r)CASTELLANO J 123 6.00    
SCR  SOCIAL WHIRL (IRE)               (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 121 12.00    
SCR  ROAD TO REMEMBER               (handal raymond)CARMOUCHE K 121 4.50    
SCR  MZ BIG BUCKS               (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 8.00    
SCR  MASTEROF THE TUNES               (lee joseph)ORTIZ L 123 3.00    
SCR  THEODORA GRACE               (klesaris rob)RIVERA R 116 10.00    
SCR  ITSAKEYPER               (albertrani th)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 3.50    
 
BAQ-5   10/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 2 ALL PT- 2:44
See original race card.
:222 :452 1:12     1:192   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KHADULLAH 2 1 1 1   1 1 (rodriguez ru)RIVERA R 114 3.50 20% 4.00 0.80 W
RUNNING LUCKY 5 6 2 2   2 2 (dini mike)MARTIN MATTIE 112 20.00 26.50  
A KNIGHT'S COURAGE 1 2 3 3   3 3 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 4.50 4.70  
10  SEBA M 8 5 8 816¾   611¾ 4 (jimenez jose )MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 10.00 16% 5.30 22.90  
ONE WITHEVERYTHING 4 4 4 510½   410½ 5 (mcpeek kenneth)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 4.00 5.40  
KING KHALI 6 8 7 715¾   812¾ 6 (englehart chris)DAVIS KATIE 119 12.00 16% 5.30 24.50  
MORQ 7 3 6 615½   712¾ 7 (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 16% 5.30 9.60  
SMILE TAKES CHARGE 3 7 5 4   510¾ 810¾ (baker charlton)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 8.50  
SCR  SOLO IN PARIS               (persaud )MARAGH RAMSAY 119 20.00    
SCR  STAR SEQUENCE               (serpe m)LUZZI J 119 6.00    
 
BAQ-6   10/19/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($102K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:16
See original race card.
:24 :491       1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORT WASHINGTON 4 5 4 3 3 2½ 1nk (mcgaughey claude)ORTIZ L 122 3.50 32% 2.20 1.60 W
10  JAMES ALOYSIUS 7 4 21 2½ 2½ 1½ 2nk (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 124 5.00 18% 4.50 3.90 P
EMARAATY (GB) 2 1 53 5 53 3½ 3.15 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00 24% 3.20 3.65 S
DANCIN IN DA'NILE 3 6 96 9 9 5 4 (cox gail)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 20.00 29.50  
NAPOLEONIC WAR 1 2 3 4 4 41 5 (brown c)LYNCH FEARGAL 122 6.00 5.00  
11  DAUNT 8 8 8 7 64 6 6 (ribaudo j)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00 6.90  
JAMIE DREAMS 6 9 64 8 8 8 7 (linder jr)RENDON JAIRO 122 30.00 76.25  
12  GREAT KING (FR) 9 3 11 1½ 1½ 7 8 (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 119 15.00 5% 19.00 22.80  
MIDNIGHT TROUBLE 5 7 7 6 7 9 911 (morley thomas)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 30.00 62.50  
SCR  ARI GOLD               (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00    
SCR  BOURBON CALLING               (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 126 2.00    
SCR  COWBOY JUSTICE (GB)               (murphy conor)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 20.00    
SCR  SAGAMORE MISCHIEF               (chatterpaul naipaul)RIDER TBA 122 6.00    
SCR  SET SAIL               (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 1.80    
SCR  WICKED FINN               (kelly blake)CARMOUCHE K 124 12.00    
 
BAQ-7   10/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:231 :46 1:111 1:24   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARBON 1 1 2nk 1nk 11 12 1 (younghans william)CARMOUCHE K 122 10.00 7% 13.20 4.80 W
KARA PARA 5 5 5 56 55 3 2 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 118 2.00 28% 2.60 1.85 P
RACING COLORS 7 6 8 810½ 78 7 36 (follett norman)RUIZ ELISEO 117 20.00 48.75  
LAVON 4 7 6 6 67 6 4 (coffey marialic)OLVER MADISON 115 20.00 49.00  
DASHING DELLA 8 4 1nk 2nk 21 22 5 (arenas marce)RIVERA R 113 6.00 13.70  
BIG HAZEL 2 3 3 34 3 56 6 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00 6.20  
SAIL WITH THE WIND 3 2 44 4 45 46 711¾ (gyarmati leah)CASTELLANO J 120 1.80 40% 1.50 1.85  
SHESASCOLDASICE 6 8 78 7 89 811¾ 817¾ (ferraro anth)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 8.00 5% 19.00 11.30  
 
BAQ-8   10/19/2023 3960ft TURF RC11 GOOD Glen Cove Purse ($125K) 3 F PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:221 :45 :57     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANSE MACABRE 2 7 66 77   5 1 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 3.00 44% 1.30 1.40 W
DONTLOOKBACKATALL 9 1 3 34   11 2 (clement christop)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 11% 8.30 7.10 P
LOVE APPEALS 8 5 55 45   4 3 (clement christo)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 23% 3.30 4.30 S
PERSONAL PURSUIT 7 9 9 911   8 4 (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 120 6.00 6.20  
LADY BETH 4 8 8 89   9 56 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 7.30  
10  TICKER TAPE HOME 10 6 7 66   6 6 (casse mark)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 10.00 5% 19.00 19.10  
FUTURE IS NOW 5 2 2nk 2nk   21 7 (trombetta m)CARRASCO R 120 8.00 10.90  
BEAUTY OF THE SEA 6 3 44 5   7 8 (orseno f)RENDON JAIRO 122 15.00 37.50  
DETERMINED JESTER 3 4 1nk 1nk   31 913 (schoenthal phil)BOYCE FOREST 118 15.00 26.50  
ZOINNOCENT (IRE) 1 10 10 1012½   1011 1018 (boniface kevin )SILVERA RUBEN 118 50.00 77.00  
SCR  GATITA SUAVE               (sanchez-salomon r)DAVIS KATIE 118 50.00    
SCR  PLENTITUDE               (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00    
SCR  QUEEN OF THE MUD (IRE)               (motion grah)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00    
SCR  TAPPIN JOSIE               (de horacio)RIDER TBA 122 3.50    
SCR  VIOLET GIBSON (IRE)               (joseph a)CONNER TYLER 118 15.00    
 
BAQ-9   10/19/2023 7260ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:243 :494 1:162 1:413 2:051 2:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRANCESCO CLEMENTE (IRE) 3 77 88 87 88 25 1¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 2.00 46% 1.20 1.00 W
ROYAL SPIRIT 6 1½ 1 1 1 15 2¾ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00 21% 3.70 9.20 P
CYBER NINJA 1 9 911 9 9 8 3 (mott i)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 4.60  
SWORE 8 6 66 6 66 7 4 (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 124 4.00 2.30  
10  OMNI KING 9 4 4 54 44 4 54 (kelly blake)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 20.00 5% 19.00 38.00  
GHOSTLYPRINCE 2 5 54 4 55 5 64 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00 5% 19.00 27.75  
FATIMA'S BLESSING 5 8 7 7 7 9 7 (dini mike)RENDON JAIRO 124 12.00 43.50  
CLASSIC CREATION 4 32 32 3 33 3 8 (terranova joh)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 15.00 40.50  
HOLD THE SALSA 7 2½ 2 2 2 6 9 (lugovich)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 15.00 53.00  
SCR  MY IMAGINATION               (bedard alan)LAPRIDA JEREMY 118 15.00    
SCR  PADDINGTON               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 3.00    
SCR  QUALITY CHIC               (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.