Handicappers' Race Results

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Fort Erie
Tuesday - October 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FE-1   Win (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $25.50  
FE-2   Win (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $2.10 $2.10  
FE-3   Win (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $7.90  
FE-4   Win (7/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $9.10 $9.10 3.10
FE-5   Win (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $16.80  
FE-6   Win (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $5.80 $5.80  
FE-7   Win (1/2/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $3.90 $3.90  
FE-8   Win (7/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $3.50 $3.50  
FE-9   Win (10/4/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 0 $10.70  

Simulator Race results

 
FE-1   10/17/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:252 :504 1:162 1:43   1:494   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BETKA 4 6 5 3½ 3½ 2nk 1¼ (agostino g)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 8.00 11.75  
ASHWICKEN 3 3 3.2 1½ 1nk 1nk 2¼ (chudobia)ALDERSON IAN 122 1.60 73% 0.40 0.60 P
RUMOURS FLY 1 2 1nk 2½ 2nk 3.2 3½ (buttigie)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 2.50 2.80 S
SMART IRENE 2 4 4 5 4 4¾ 41 (samulak jul)SEECHARAN A 122 3.50 4.30  
BELLE FEMME 5 1 2nk 6 53 5 510 (williams a)ELLIS S 122 6.00 5% 19.00 19.25  
SOVEREIGN TALE 6 5 6 4 64 612¾ 629¼ (bailey barbara )DAVID MICHAEL 120 10.00 57.20  
 
FE-2   10/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:28
See original race card.
:23 :461 :581     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DON'T STOP DREAMIN 5 2 2nk 13   1 15 (ceccato )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 1.40 54% 0.90 0.05 W
MIGHTY PELE 2 4 1nk 23   2 25 (powell d)ALDERSON IAN 124 3.00 11.70  
C BY THE SEA 4 1 32 34   3 36 (agostino g)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 4.50 11.75  
BREACH OF TRUST 1 5 45 48   48 414 (goldenberg m)SINGH S 124 2.50 20% 4.10 11.25  
AWESOME BREAK 3 3 5 510½   510 524½ (cathcart steven)DAVID MICHAEL 122 8.00 56.00  
 
FE-3   10/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:56
See original race card.
:221 :461 :583     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BETTABE SWIFT 5 5 34 1½   1 13 (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 122 15.00 2.95  
REIGN BY REIN 6 4 5 4   2 23 (ezra dar)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 4.00 3.25  
PACENZA 4 3 45 5   3 3 (humber joseph)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 20.00 11% 8.30 19.85 S
JUNGLE GODDESS 1 1 1nk 2½   4 413 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 122 2.50 13% 7.00 1.40  
SWEET FINALE 3 6 615½ 613   6 517¼ (purdy william )CHEYNE A 122 4.50 46% 1.20 3.70  
EASY ACCESS 2 2 2nk 3   56 629¼ (keen howard)JOHNSON KIRK 122 12.00 17.70  
SCR  STORMING LADY               (adamo anthony)VIVES SOFIA 117 1.60    
 
FE-4   10/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:24
See original race card.
:22 :451 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAPERBACK HERO 5 6 6 44   21 11 (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 120 2.50 32% 2.10 3.55 W
TAKE A CHANCE 7 1 11 1   11 21 (mileni nick)PINTO MELANIE 124 2.00 45% 1.20 0.35 P
PRIVATE LAKE 1 7 711¼ 66   6 3 (davis )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 12.00 20.00  
MAYITO 4 5 57 55   4 4 (loescher paula)JOHNSON KIRK 122 12.00 14.75  
WENJACK 2 8 812¼ 8   8 5 (husbands anthony)VIVES SOFIA 117 20.00 5% 19.00 27.25 DH
W W SPRINGTIME 6 3 21 2   5 5 (mcmahon )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.50 19.55 DH
THELONIOUS 3 4 47 7   7 77 (concessi)ALDERSON IAN 122 6.00 29.40  
MOBILIZER 8 2 34 3   31 8 (keen howard)CRAWFORD J 122 15.00 23.10  
 
FE-5   10/17/2023 3300ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:223 :454       :581   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOREST B 7 5 31 42   41 1¼ (powell d)ALDERSON IAN 122 15.00 7.40  
J M R GEMMA 2 2 5 32   31 2¼ (simms jo)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 2.00 4.60  
CANT BEAT THE KATZ 4 4 2nk 21   2½ 3 (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 122 3.00 48% 1.10 1.65 S
GREEN GABLES 5 7 1nk 11   1½ 4 (clemmer krista)RAMSAMMY E 122 8.00 5% 19.00 11.90  
BLAZING SKY 6 6 42 5   5 5 (gittens devon)CRAWFORD J 122 15.00 25% 3.00 11.70  
JARA 1 3 7 67   6 6 (davis m)VIVES SOFIA 117 3.50 2.10  
SPARKLE SAMMY 3 1 6 7   7 79 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.00 17.10  
 
FE-6   10/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:231 :472 :592     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEADING WEST 6 2 3 31   1½ 1½ (neubauer michae)PINTO MELANIE 120 2.00 37% 1.70 1.90 W
MAKES SENSE TO ME 4 4 54 5   31 2½ (powell d)ALDERSON IAN 124 2.50 6.95 DQ↓4
GETTING AHEAD 5 1 2½ 11   2½ 3 (mitchell)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.50 9% 9.70 1.25 P
ZAFEATHER 3 6 65 4   41 4 (davis )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 4.00 27% 2.70 4.70 S
NICOLE'S SONG 2 5 4 6   66 511½ (blake j)JOHNSON KIRK 122 8.00 22.65  
SPIRIT BELLE 1 3 1½ 21   5 612 (meli sal)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 12.00 10.65  
 
FE-7   10/17/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:48
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:13 1:394   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEYOND TALENTED 2 1 3 31 11 1 13 (robillar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.00 28% 2.50 0.95 W
SEATTLE DOWN UNDER 7 7 78 56 5 2 23 (smith j)JORDAN COREY 120 8.00 26.30  
EIN WAHRER SOLDAT 5 6 43 42 21 3 3 (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 120 6.00 23% 3.40 5.85 S
PERFECTION SAVER 1 4 57 67 6 45 4 (neubauer michae)PINTO MELANIE 119 2.50 29% 2.50 4.75  
MR. RUDY 3 2 2nk 1nk 31 5 513½ (flint steve)STEIN JUSTIN 120 4.00 2.60  
SING DIXIE 4 3 1nk 2nk 42 6 614 (armata v)AEBLY FRASER 115 15.00 18.35  
NGABE 6 5 6 7 7 7 715¼ (husbands antho)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 10.00 61.35  
SCR  LE GRAND GARCON               (steer to)ALDERSON IAN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
FE-8   10/17/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:16
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:113     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRIKE THE POSE 6 2 31 2nk   12 1 (mileni nick)PINTO MELANIE 120 6.00 5% 18.50 0.75 W
ISA BREEZE 5 1 1nk 1nk   22 2 (simms jo)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 3.50 38% 1.60 2.85 P
SUPER COOL STORM 3 3 4 5   4 310¼ (neubauer micha)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 2.50 33% 2.10 3.50 S
TURF AND SURF 2 6 5 33   3 412½ (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 122 4.50 9.95  
HEAR ME KNOCKING 4 4 2nk 4   5 517 (capi m)VIVES SOFIA 115 4.00 21.15  
ORIGINAL ME 1 5 6 6   68 620½ (keen howard)CRAWFORD J 122 6.00 37.15  
SCR  MIZZ GEMMA               (agostino g)CHEYNE A 122 3.00    
SCR  SILENT WARNING               (lister steven)HOYTE JASON 120 5.00    
 
FE-9   10/17/2023 10770ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:512 1:46       3:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GLITTER BAY 7 121 124 112 14 1 1½ (wright jr)VIVES SOFIA 114 6.00 4.35  
TRISH THE DISH 2 629½ 224 312 24 2 2½ (capi m)SINGH S 119 4.00 27% 2.70 4.70 P
10  REDOUTE'S LIGHT 8 732 729¾ 722¼ 611½ 3 311¼ (robillar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 3.00 30% 2.40 2.40 S
SANTIAGO SALSA 6 527½ 526½ 517¼ 511½ 6 413¼ (keen howar)BUCHANAN Z 120 12.00 21.10  
UNILATERAL 5 424½ 325 412¼ 49 4 514¼ (maynard desmon)NICHOLLS KEVEH 120 10.00 6.30  
HIT THE POINT 1 221 425 212 38 5 618 (armata v)AEBLY FRASER 115 20.00 5% 19.00 4.25  
DIAMONDBACK 3 321½ 626¾ 618¼ 715 712¾ 724¾ (wieczore)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 10.00 5% 19.00 5.05  
IRIE ISLAND MAN 4 835½ 833¼ 824¼ 818½ 816¼ 834¼ (chudob)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 8.00 56.75  
SCR  A I INITIATIVE               (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 120 5.00    
SCR  KITTEN'S BOY               (mcpherson alex)CONTRERAS LUIS 120 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.