Handicappers' Race Results

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Belmont At The Big A
Saturday - October 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BAQ-1   Win (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $4.90 $4.90  
BAQ-2   Win (7/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $5.00 $5.00  
BAQ-3   Win (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  
BAQ-4   Win (2/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $2.60 $2.60  
BAQ-5   Win (16/15) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 0 $4.40  
BAQ-6   Win (1/5/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $7.30  
BAQ-7   Win (1/11/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $8.00 $8.00 2.00
BAQ-8   Win (7/1/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $8.60 $8.60 2.60
BAQ-9   Win (3/1/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $75.00  
BAQ-10   Win (14/12/16/9/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 16 1 1 $6.60 $6.60  

Simulator Race results

 
BAQ-1   10/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($50K) 2 F PT-12:35
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:123     1:254   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANTENNA 2 1 1½ 1½   1½ 11 (pletcher a)LEZCANO JOSE 119 1.80 25% 2.90 1.45 W
EXTRA DIRTY 5 7 31 3½   2½ 21 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.00 44% 1.30 2.30 P
BY THE GLASS 4 4 42 42   3 33 (dutrow richar)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.50 9% 10.70 5.40 S
CELESTIAL EXPRESS 7 6 53 5   4 4 (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 119 12.00 15.70  
UNION BELLE 1 5 77 7   5 5 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 6.00 4.70  
DAISY'S ANGEL 6 2 63 6   7 611¾ (miceli mic)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00 13.60  
ALTHENA 3 3 2½ 2½   6 711¾ (paragallo jennif)LUZZI J 119 20.00 33.00  
SCR  ITZA DREAM               (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00    
 
BAQ-2   10/14/2023 5940ft TURF RC13 YIELDING Sands Point Purse ($200K) 3 F PT- 1:08
See original race card.
:242 :493 1:151 1:41   1:533   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ETERNAL HOPE (IRE) 6 6 3 4 4 1nk 1½ (appleby charles)SPENCER P 120 2.50 56% 0.80 1.50 W
NEECIE MARIE 4 5 53 5 3 2nk 2½ (reid e)ADORNO ABNER 118 8.00 5% 19.00 9.90 P
HIGHLAND GRACE 7 7 87 810½ 8 6 3 (tagg barclay)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 10.00 11.70  
10  ALPHA BELLA 8 1 6 7 64 8 46 (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 7.20  
ROOT CAUSE 5 4 75 6 7 5 5 (brown c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 10.00 11.30  
QUARREL 1 2 2 22 1½ 31 6 (ribaudo j)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00 18.00  
BE YOUR BEST (IRE) 3 3 43 35 5 7 7 (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.50 2.10  
LEAVE NO TRACE 2 8 1 12 2½ 43 812½ (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00 15% 5.60 20.00  
SCR  AMANDA'S FOLLY               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00    
SCR  ESSAOUIRA               (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50    
SCR  ICHIBAN               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 2.00    
SCR  SOVIET EXCESS               (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00    
SCR  STEPHANIE'S CHARM               (jimenez jo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 30.00    
 
BAQ-3   10/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:42
See original race card.
:222 :452 :573     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAINT SELBY 1 3 2½ 2   12 1nk (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 0.80 33% 2.00 0.60 W
CHARLIE FIVE O 2 4 3 3   22 2nk (rodriguez ru)RIVERA R 118 15.00 6.70  
GANDY DANCING 3 5 5 515   4 3 (barrera)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 30.00 17.60  
F F ROCKET 4 2 4 414½   510 4 (shivmang)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 10.00 4.40  
2B  CHATEAU 5 1 1½ 1   3 510¾ (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 2.50 33% 2.10 3.85  
SCR  AIR SHOW               (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 123 6.00    
SCR  BIG ENGINE               (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 123 0.80    
SCR  OCTOPUS               (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 121 2.50    
SCR  TRASH TALKER               (baker charlt)RIVERA R 118 8.00    
 
BAQ-4   10/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Floral Park Purse ($125K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:12
See original race card.
:22 :454 :582     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCOTISH STAR (ARG) 1 3 3 32   1½ 1 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.50 68% 0.50 0.30 W
RISK FREE 3 4 4 44   2½ 2 (delauro ed)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 30.00 3.90  
SALVAJE 4 2 2½ 2nk   3 3 (synnefias dimitr)CONNER TYLER 122 12.00 8% 12.30 6.00 S
SHOSHANAH 2 1 1½ 1nk   4 412½ (horlacher m)DAVIS KATIE 124 20.00 9.50  
SCR  POPPY FLOWER               (mott i)ORTIZ L 126 2.00    
SCR  ITSAKEYPER               (albertrani th)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 20.00    
SCR  CAN'T BUY LOVE               (trombetta mic)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 6.00    
SCR  BUBBLE ROCK               (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 124 1.40    
SCR  ROYAL POPPY               (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00    
SCR  BANK ON ANNA               (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 122 5.00    
 
BAQ-5   10/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 2:44
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:14 1:262   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PURLOIN 1 3 43 42 4 2nk 1 (devaux cherie)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 1.20  
10  JUST MUSIC 2 2 2½ 2½ 11 1nk 2 (terranova joh)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00 7.00  
15  WYNNING TOUCH 3 4 32 3 21 3½ 33 (dutrow e)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 19% 4.40 1.60 S
16  PHILLY'S FINEST 4 1 1½ 1½ 31 4 416½ (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.50 35% 1.90 3.20  
SCR  JUSTDENY               (gargan danny)LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00    
SCR  KATHERINE THOMAS               (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 119 8.00    
SCR  LUCEVAN LA STELLE               (albertrani tho)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 20.00    
SCR  MAGIC EIGHT BALL               (morley thomas)DAVIS KATIE 119 12.00    
SCR  NOT TONIGHT JOE               (morley thomas)LUZZI J 119 20.00    
SCR  PAST TENSE               (dutrow w)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00    
SCR  PUBLIC ASSEMBLY               (brown c)ORTIZ L 119 3.00    
SCR  STYLE POINTS               (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00    
SCR  DAY AWAY               (contessa g)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00    
SCR  DANCING DEAN               (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00    
SCR  CHANNEL LOOP               (clement christo)SILVERA RUBEN 119 12.00    
SCR  DYNAMIC PRICING (IRE)               (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00    
 
BAQ-6   10/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:16
See original race card.
:223 :454 1:102     1:234   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POPPY'S PRIDE 2 1 1½ 1½   1 1 (toscano t)ORTIZ L 121 5.00 2.65  
TWO THIRTY FIVE 4 4 3 32   2 2 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.00 16% 5.10 1.80 P
1A  ALLABOUTTHEMONEY 8 5 5 65   35 3 (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 41% 1.50 7.80 S
BEACHWALKER 7 7 811 815   58 43 (persaud randi)SILVERA RUBEN 123 12.00 8% 12.00 9.00  
RYAN'S CAT 1 6 66 44   45 5 (rodriguez gustavo)CARMOUCHE K 121 4.00 6.40  
CHARGING AERO 5 2 4 5   6 611¼ (ryan der)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 10.00 8% 11.20 8.50  
QUICKFLASH 6 3 2½ 2½   7 711½ (reynolds p)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 5.00 8.90  
LIFE AND LIGHT 3 8 79 713   814¾ 818¼ (pringle edmund)CASTILLO AMIN 118 30.00 66.00  
SCR  SITTIN ON GO               (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 2.50    
 
BAQ-7   10/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($30K) Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:48
See original race card.
:231 :462 :582     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKI PATROL 1 1 2½ 22   21 1¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 4.00 55% 0.80 3.00 W
THREE ZERO 3 2 1½ 12   11 2¾ (abreu fern)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00 5% 19.00 9.50 P
14  BLUE PLATE SPECIAL 7 7 5 56   5 3 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 4.00 1.80  
HATCH (GB) 4 3 31 3   33 43 (begg jam)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 15.00 8.40  
MOON WATCH (IRE) 2 5 42 4   4 5 (d'angelo f)OLVER MADISON 114 15.00 27.00  
13  BUILT TO LAST (BRZ) 6 4 74 79   69 612¾ (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 121 6.00 3.90  
11  FLASH KISS 5 6 64 69   710 728¾ (terranova p)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.50 18% 4.50 5.60  
SCR  BILLY'S GOT ISSUES               (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
SCR  FADETHENOISE               (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.00    
SCR  FORWARD MOVE (IRE)               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 10.00    
SCR  MISTER ABARRIO               (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00    
SCR  MORNING CUP               (d'angelo f)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.50    
SCR  STARRYSTARRYKNIGHT               (hemingway mic)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 10.00    
SCR  WAR TERMINATOR               (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 121 10.00    
 
BAQ-8   10/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($50K) Purse ($78K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:223 :454 :574     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JEMOGRAPHY 2 2 4 3   2½ 1½ (rodriguez r)LEZCANO JOSE 121 3.00 30% 2.30 3.30 W
THINKABOUTIT 1 6 7 4   4 2½ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 5.00 4.80 P
EMERALD FOREST 5 3 21 2   3½ 3½ (kantarmaci)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 10.00 10.40  
1A  MILTON THE MONSTER 3 7 6 5   5 4¾ (nevin michel)RIVERA R 118 3.00 3.30  
INTO THE SUNRISE 4 1 11 1   1½ 5 (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 123 12.00 7.00  
ROYAL TRYST 6 8 815¼ 611¾   6 6 (arenas marcelo)DAVIS KATIE 118 20.00 37.25  
DOT'S DOLLAR 7 5 5 712¾   721¾ 727¼ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 2.50 43% 1.30 1.25  
JAKE ROCKS 8 4 31 8100   8100 8100 (schettino dominic)CARMOUCHE K 123 8.00 5% 19.00 7.90  
SCR  CAJUN CASANOVA               (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 20.00    
SCR  VICTORIOUS WAVE               (englehart chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 4.00    
 
BAQ-9   10/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($105K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:22 :45 :57     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COWAN 1 8 4 4   4¾ 1nk (ginter ray)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 15.00 36.50  
1A  DURANTE 3 1 2nk 2½   1nk 2nk (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 125 1.80 19% 4.30 1.95 P
GUN IT 5 7 8 8   6 31 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 4.50 9% 10.50 3.20 S
SWILL 4 3 3½ 3½   2nk 4 (russell brittany)LEZCANO JOSE 125 15.00 6% 15.70 10.30  
SCARAMOUCHE 8 5 6 6   7 5 (preciado guad)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 15.00 24.75  
STROBE 2 2 1nk 1½   3½ 6 (cox h)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.00 42% 1.40 3.00  
PROVOCATEUR 7 4 7 53   5 7 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 6.00 4.70  
SEVEN NATION ARMY 6 6 5 7   8 8 (baker charlt)RIVERA R 116 12.00 25.50  
SCR  SPUN AND WON               (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 1.80    
 
BAQ-10   10/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 5:24
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:131 1:261   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
16  WINE RESPONSIBLY 12 5 11 11 1½ 12 12 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 3.00 15% 5.60 2.30 W
ALBEDO 3 4 11 1114 711½ 37 22 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 16.00  
14  ERIC FROM MIAMI 11 6 31 21 2½ 22 3 (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50 29% 2.50 5.60 S
BROWN DON'T STOP 4 11 9 69 69 47 4 (noda orlando)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 20.00 5% 19.00 60.25  
SOLO RYE'D 1 2 8 5 5 6 511 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00 30.75  
KING FREUD 6 8 21 32 46 59 611¼ (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 15.00 27.75  
12  HARD PAR 10 10 10 811 813 812¾ 717¼ (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 119 5.00 17% 4.90 4.00  
11  SWEET TONE 9 9 54 710 1018½ 1016½ 819 (sells rachel)HARKIE K 119 30.00 56.25  
10  SPECIALAGENTJONSON 8 3 67 1214 918 916¼ 922 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00 27.75  
JHIRSCH 7 7 7 1013½ 1220½ 1118½ 1030 (motion grah)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 4.50 13% 6.60 3.95  
UNAUDITED 2 1 4 4 3 712¾ 1131¾ (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 11.40  
KILKERRAN 5 12 1212¼ 911½ 1119 1219½ 1237¾ (tagg barclay)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00 14.00  
SCR  DILLON               (schettino do)RIVERA R 114 15.00    
SCR  DIXIE PHARAOH               (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00    
SCR  PATRONAGE               (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 119 3.50    
SCR  SHE TAKES CASH               (duggan david )MCCARTHY TREVOR 116 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.