Handicappers' Race Results

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Belmont At The Big A
Friday - October 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BAQ-1   Win (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $7.10 $7.10 1.10
BAQ-2   Win (1/3/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 0 $22.60  
BAQ-3   Win (5/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $10.20 $10.20 4.20
BAQ-4   Win (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $4.30 $4.30  
BAQ-5   Win (2/10/8/11/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 11 1 1 $20.00 $20.00 10.00
BAQ-6   Win (1/8/2/11/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 0 $20.80  
BAQ-7   Win (3/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
BAQ-8   Win (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $19.60  
BAQ-9   Win (8/5/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $10.60 $10.60 2.60

Simulator Race results

 
BAQ-1   10/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT-12:35
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:124 1:253   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PANDAGATE 6 7 74 3 3 12 19 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.00 22% 3.60 2.55 W
MAMA'S MIDDIE 1 3 6 6 48 4 29 (maker michael)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 3.50 32% 2.10 3.55 P
IN A MINUTE 4 4 21 22 2nk 22 311½ (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00 20.60  
INONIT 2 2 53 5 59 514 417½ (lugovich l)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 4.50 8.00  
KHADULLAH 7 1 11 12 1nk 35 517¾ (rodriguez ru)RIVERA R 114 8.00 8.00  
WISECRACKER 3 6 43 4 6 618 629¾ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 2.50 21% 3.70 1.75  
ARCO AUGUSTA 5 5 3 7 717¼ 726 749¼ (begg jam)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 5.00 14.10  
 
BAQ-2   10/13/2023 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 1:08
See original race card.
:224 :461 :582     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REAGAN'S FLAME 9 7 2nk 1nk   1 1nk (devaux cherie)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 10.30  
LAMORNA 1 11 1212¼ 1110   5 2nk (mott i)ORTIZ L 119 2.50 46% 1.20 1.30 P
TWISTED ROMANCE 2 8 6 6   43 3½ (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 6.30 S
TROUBLED LUCK 4 1 32 33   3 4 (delauro ed)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 30.00 83.25  
SALE LEASEBACK (IRE) 3 9 10 8   77 5 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 19% 4.30 3.10  
10  SAVE US MELANIA 10 4 1nk 2nk   2 6 (gargan danny)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 11.70  
ECHO LAKE 5 2 8 9   10 76 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00 12.60  
CLASSIC CARA 7 10 1110¾ 10   8 8 (friedman)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 30.00 53.50  
DOROTHY'S DREAMS 8 3 43 44   67 9 (terranova joh)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 10.00 14% 6.40 27.75  
JENAS MERCY 6 6 7 7   9 1011 (brown bruce )RIVERA R 114 20.00 52.75  
11  MADAM LEOTA 11 12 9 1211   1210 1112¾ (jimenez l)RUIZ ELISEO 114 15.00 76.00  
12  LOVE RESTRAINED 12 5 5 5   119 1219 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00 22.00  
SCR  GOLDEN GHOST (GB)               (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00    
SCR  MARCO T.               (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50    
SCR  WILDCAT FIRE               (david a)OLVER MADISON 112 10.00    
SCR  Z TRAIN (IRE)               (dutrow w)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.50    
 
BAQ-3   10/13/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:231 :48 1:122 1:241   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLLABORATION 6 1 2 2 21 1nk 1¾ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 4.50 14% 6.40 4.10 W
GOLDEN ROCKET 4 3 46 58 44 3½ 2¾ (farro patr)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 6.00 10.00  
MASTEROF THE TUNES 2 5 1 1 11 2nk 3 (lee joseph)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.50 3.90  
WATERVILLE 7 2 68 79 7 43 4 (clement christo)ORTIZ JR 124 2.50 7% 12.80 1.85  
STELLA MARS 1 4 34 36 34 5 5 (chatterpaul nai)SILVERA RUBEN 122 5.00 6.40  
SWEETEST PRINCESS 3 7 5 47 56 6 6 (ferraro jame)RIVERA R 115 12.00 20.10  
ORANGE FREEZE 5 6 78 69 6 7 7 (morey e)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 53% 0.90 4.70  
 
BAQ-4   10/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:12
See original race card.
:223 :454 :582     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOKING WAY 1 4 4 44   2 1½ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 2.50 32% 2.10 1.15 W
TOMMY GUN 7 1 2nk 2½   1 2½ (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00 2.30  
BIG SAVE 2 7 56 56   5 3 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 15.60  
AMANI'S EAGLE 5 3 32 33   3 4 (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 121 4.00 8.00  
ON THE COME UP 3 2 1nk 1½   42 55 (farro pa)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 6.00 17.80  
MOVING PICTURES 4 5 6 6   610 6 (rodriguez ru)RIVERA R 118 4.00 37% 1.70 4.60  
TRUEBELIEVE 6 6 77 711   715 715¼ (barrera s)CASTILLO AMIN 114 10.00 6% 14.60 34.25  
SCR  CHARGER               (rodriguez r)RUIZ ELISEO 116 4.00    
 
BAQ-5   10/13/2023 5940ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:44
See original race card.
:233 :484 1:134 1:373   1:492   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  HARRY HOOD 9 5 4 43 32 1nk 1¾ (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 7% 13.40 9.00 W
LORD FLINTSHIRE 6 3 3 3 42 4 2¾ (brion keri)CASTELLANO J 122 6.00 8% 10.80 3.75 P
FRONT MAN 7 2 2 2 21 2nk 3 (kantarmaci mertk)LEZCANO JOSE 124 15.00 31.00  
SONIC SPEED 3 4 55 54 6 8 4 (morley thomas)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 8.00 13.20  
MIRACLE MIKE 1 7 77 8 8 63 5 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 40% 1.50 1.95  
THETHRILLOFVICTORY 4 10 87 7 7 5 6 (maker michael)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00 14.40  
JARREAU 5 6 6 6 53 7 7 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00 7% 13.70 7.30  
10  ST. JOE LOUIS (GB) 8 1 1 1 11 31 8 (hennig mark)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 8.00 16% 5.20 7.90  
BLAME D RULE MAKER 2 11 98 97 9 9 9 (duarte jr)SILVERA RUBEN 120 10.00 9.10  
12  ZAPRUDER 10 9 1013 1010 10 10 1010½ (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 120 20.00 29.00  
BLU GROTTO 11 8 1118½ 1123 1133¼ 1149¼ 1166¾ (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 30.00 70.75  
SCR  ACHILLES HEEL               (rodriguez ru)RIVERA R 119 30.00    
SCR  KING TSUNAMI               (wyatt j)LEZCANO JOSE 124 20.00    
SCR  KINGFISH STEVENS               (kantarmaci mertka)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00    
 
BAQ-6   10/13/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 3:16
See original race card.
:234 :501 1:151 1:39   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  WALLEY WORLD 10 2 3 2 2½ 11 13 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00 9.40  
TOM COLLINS 1 3 4 54 5 43 23 (mcgaughey claude )CARMOUCHE K 119 3.50 30% 2.30 1.50 P
MIDNIGHT COUNCIL 9 6 5 43 32 21 33 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 4.60  
PRARIEDALE 8 12 1211½ 1116 1114½ 1110¼ 4 (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 119 6.00 17% 5.00 8.90  
INHERENT PROMISE 3 9 98 9 8 76 5 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00 8.20  
11  FRED GEORGE (IRE) 11 1 12 1 1½ 3 6 (clement chris)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 10.00 5% 18.90 25.50  
MESSAGE OF HOPE (IRE) 5 11 10 1010 1011 9 77 (dutrow e)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 16.90  
DON VINO VICI 6 7 8 88 9 10 8 (schettino do)RIVERA R 114 30.00 77.00  
GOLDEN PLATE 2 8 6 6 64 55 9 (mcpeek kenneth)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 12.00 10% 9.40 24.50  
GAME MISCONDUCT 7 4 22 3 4 65 109 (delauro ed)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 30.00 ######  
ANCHISES 4 5 75 76 7 8 1110½ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00 10.20  
12  ADMIRAL NIMITZ (GB) 12 10 11 1216½ 1226½ 1235¼ 1244 (pletcher todd )CASTELLANO J 119 12.00 5% 18.90 13.70  
SCR  BRITISH SEA               (maker michael )CASTILLO ISAAC 119 12.00    
SCR  DOWNING STREET               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00    
SCR  OTELLO               (clement christophe)RIDER TBA 119 4.50    
SCR  THE HERO CODE               (mcgaughey ii)RIDER TBA 119 6.00    
 
BAQ-7   10/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:104     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VODKA MARDINI 2 1 1½ 1   1 1 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 2.50 53% 0.90 0.80 W
SCREAMING UNCLE 6 4 33 3   2 2 (englehart chris)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00 16% 5.20 3.25 P
AULA 4 2 6 5   3 3 (maker j)SILVERA RUBEN 121 12.00 9.50  
GROWTH MINDSET 3 5 4 4   512 414¼ (bernardini j)RIVERA R 119 20.00 38.00  
WHENLOVETAKESOVER 5 3 2½ 2   411½ 516½ (lakeman andre)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 6.00 10% 8.80 3.45  
NO SURRENDER 1 6 54 614½   626 633¾ (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 20.00 14.60  
SCR  LUCENCY               (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 121 2.00    
SCR  REBEL RED (GB)               (abreu r)CASTELLANO J 121 10.00    
SCR  REFUAH               (walder r)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00    
 
BAQ-8   10/13/2023 6600ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($102K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:241 :494 1:141 1:382   2:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONSTITUTIONLAWYER 5 3 32 4 1½ 1 11 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 124 4.00 8.80  
GOOD SKATE 2 11 11 12 2½ 2 21 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 124 5.00 4.40  
COSTA TERRA 6 4 43 32 3 3 34 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 1.80 19% 4.20 0.95 S
IRON WORKS 4 21 21 22 43 45 4 (pletcher t)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 4.50 6.80  
MYSTIC NIGHT 3 6 5 56 59 512 516¼ (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00 11.50  
TONAL IMPACT 1 54 66 67 615 622 637¾ (reynolds patr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 3.00 50% 1.00 4.20  
 
BAQ-9   10/13/2023 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:22 :453 :571     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CIGARETTE BOAT 4 2 2 3   21 1 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 121 3.00 25% 2.90 4.30 W
FOREIGN INFLUENCE 3 7 6 73   32 2 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 15.00 37.75  
ALEXIS ZORBA (GB) 7 1 1 1½   11 32 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 121 1.20 29% 2.50 0.65 S
HIGHLAND LORD 1 5 4 5   53 4 (tagg barclay)CASTELLANO J 121 8.00 5% 19.00 7.60  
RINGSIDE 8 3 5 42   64 56 (camejo m)FRANCO MANUEL 121 10.00 25% 3.00 19.20  
VENGE 5 9 8 84   86 6 (ribaudo rober)MCCARTHY TREVOR 116 20.00 59.25  
10  IRON MAN JIMMY 9 6 7 63   76 7 (summers )MARAGH RAMSAY 121 8.00 8.50  
BORLETTI (IRE) 2 4 3 2½   4 89 (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 121 15.00 13.10  
TAP YOUR HEART 6 8 96 9   913 918¾ (chapman ja)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 20.00 57.25  
SCR  LIGHT THE WAY               (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 3.50    
SCR  LOGIN REQUIRED               (nevin michelle)RIDER TBA 121 10.00    
SCR  PARTY WITH SMARTY               (gutierr)HERNANDEZ OMAR 114 30.00    
SCR  WAR STRIDE               (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.