Handicappers' Race Results

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Keeneland
Sunday - October 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KEE-1   Win (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $32.36  
KEE-2   Win (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $5.48 $5.48 1.48
KEE-3   Win (2/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $20.22  
KEE-4   Win (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 7 1 0 $36.32  
KEE-5   Win (1/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.20 $4.20  
KEE-6   Win (8/6/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $12.28 $12.28 4.28
KEE-7   Win (1/4/10/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $3.96 $3.96  
KEE-8   Win (2/6/4/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $17.34 $17.34 7.34
KEE-9   Win (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $4.12 $4.12  
KEE-10   Win (5/1/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $56.34  

Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   10/08/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:244 :492 1:141 1:391   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAVY SOUL 6 1 21 21 2nk 21 1½ (pittman bonni)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 4.50 15.18  
G T FIVE HUNDRED 4 5 11 11 1nk 11 2½ (mason ingrid)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 1.60 34% 1.90 1.38 P
MOHAAFETH 5 6 5 4 31 3 3 (donjuan sergi)JIMENEZ J 122 4.00 28% 2.50 4.64 S
HEY BOSS 1 3 4 53 5 45 49 (van tho)CORRALES GERARDO 122 3.50 1.83  
EL FRANCO 2 4 65 64 6 6 5 (norris mike)MACHADO LUAN 122 8.00 18.23  
CHISHOLM TRAIL 3 2 3 32 43 57 6 (anderson do)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 6.00 7% 13.70 6.87  
 
KEE-2   10/08/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($68K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:25 :511 1:164 1:414   1:481   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEEN OF MISSOULA 2 5 53 53 5 1nk 1 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 120 1.40 29% 2.50 1.74 W
STAGFLATION 3 1 11 11 2nk 2nk 2 (baker james)GRAHAM J 120 6.00 4.57  
EYES OF GOLD 1 2 3 42 4 5 3 (demeritte la)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.00 26% 2.80 1.21 S
RITA'S ONTHE BEACH 5 3 42 3 3.2 3 4 (wilkes r)CANNON DECLAN 120 12.00 12.70  
GATHER (ARG) 4 4 21 21 1nk 4 5 (arnold r)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00 7.11  
SCR  MY LILY MAE               (kinmon keith)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 3.50    
 
KEE-3   10/08/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($61K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:224 :464 1:113     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARELLA STAR 1 1 11 11   1½ 1 (orantes r)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 9.11  
LOVE OF MY HEART 5 3 5 42   2½ 2 (asmussen st)TORRES A 122 2.50 22% 3.50 1.81 P
CHOCTAW BINGO 2 4 21 32   32 35 (stinson william)MORALES EDGAR 122 3.00 28% 2.60 2.95 S
SLACK TIDE 6 2 3 21   4 413¾ (forster t)LANERIE J 122 8.00 20% 4.00 2.70  
BREWHOUSE 3 5 4 63   5 518½ (robertson mc)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.50 5.39  
ICY STARE DOWN 4 6 63 5   6 622¼ (cano munoz)CHUAN MARTIN 122 20.00 16.44  
SCR  LET'S BE CLEAR               (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 2.00    
 
KEE-4   10/08/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($48K) 2 F PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:143 1:411   1:474   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ABOVE THE SUN 7 8 8 7 4 2 1 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 8.00 17.16  
BEEN REAL BUSY 1 1 1 1½ 1½ 1 2 (mott riley)ACHARD ALEX 119 20.00 4.13  
LOST LOVE 4 5 7 8 64 4 3 (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 4.50 4.84 S
CHOCTAW GRACE 8 6 6 6 2½ 3 4 (humphries thoma)MORALES EDGAR 119 4.00 6.40  
TWILIGHT SONATA 5 2 42 5 8 68 517 (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 119 20.00 5% 19.00 20.30  
NORTHERN ROAD 3 7 53 42 5 5 619¾ (o'dwyer jeremiah)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 5.63  
COLLECTED SUCCESS 2 3 2 2½ 3 7 727¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 1.20 68% 0.50 1.44  
COLLIER 6 4 32 31 7 814 838¼ (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 119 20.00 34.69  
 
KEE-5   10/08/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($130K) 3 ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:21 :433 :552     1:013   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUPER QUEST 1 7 1nk 1nk   1½ 11 (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.00 38% 1.70 1.10 W
MOUNSIEUR COCO 6 2 41 5   53 21 (gutierrez f)TORRES A 118 10.00 10.49  
BAL A KAZOO 2 5 52 42   2½ 31 (gorham m)PEREZ E 120 20.00 25.31  
NO NAY HUDSON (IRE) 4 1 3½ 31   3 4 (ward a)LANERIE J 122 3.00 35% 1.80 2.31  
CHISELER 7 3 64 64   6 5 (foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 5% 19.00 11.52  
CROCODILEHUNTER 3 4 2nk 2nk   43 6 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 30.00 21.50  
HIDDEN PATH 5 6 7 710½   7 7 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 5.05  
 
KEE-6   10/08/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:222 :45       1:254   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WICO (IRE) 6 3 31 3½   13 1 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.50 29% 2.40 5.14 W
JUST BATTLE 1 7 5 53   23 2 (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 13.42  
CAN'T HUSH THIS 4 5 4 41   33 35 (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 121 6.00 11.41  
ANTARES 8 1 1nk 1nk   4 48 (morey e)ORTIZ JR 118 1.00 33% 2.10 0.77  
SEEKING UNITY 3 4 6 64   66 510½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 25.19  
CANT BE DOIN THAT 2 8 7 76   78 610¾ (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 121 10.00 5% 19.00 12.78  
TRACK MATE 5 6 2nk 2nk   5 720 (lukas wayne)LANERIE J 120 4.00 14% 6.40 4.31  
SCHOOLMASTER (GER) 7 2 8 810½   815 828¾ (manning j)CANUTO THIAGO 120 30.00 57.09  
 
KEE-7   10/08/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:223 :452 1:093     1:221   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TUNISIAN SPRING 4 1 1½ 1½   1 1 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 121 3.00 26% 2.90 0.98 W
HALMSTAD 6 3 3½ 2½   2 2 (rutledge lanc)PETERSON FERRIN 121 15.00 30.45  
WICKED AGAIN 1 5 2½ 42   3 311½ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 1.60 30% 2.30 1.96 S
CITIZEN 2 9 6 52   46 411¾ (moquett ron)TORRES A 121 12.00 51.54  
10  RUNANDSCORE 10 2 8 7   5 519 (o'donnell marcus)ASHTON GAVIN 121 4.50 22% 3.60 18.97  
ATLANTIC DANCER 8 8 9 9   710½ 619 (zito nicholas )GEROUX FLORENT 124 20.00 19.09  
STUDY COMMITTEE 3 7 5 6   610½ 724½ (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 121 15.00 5% 19.00 36.59  
CITY OF LOVE 5 6 73 8   914¼ 824¾ (stewart dallas)TORRES A 116 30.00 13.58  
MICROBEASTIE 9 4 41 3   814 928¼ (catalano m)LEZCANO JOSE 121 8.00 10.44  
GIVE HIM TIME 7 10 1012¼ 1013¾   1022¾ 1043¾ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 121 12.00 56.86  
 
KEE-8   10/08/2023 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM Indian Summer Purse ($250K) 2 ALL PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:212 :442 :561     1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMMITTEE OF ONE 6 7 7 75   6 1hd (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 4.00 24% 3.20 7.67 W
AMIDST WAVES 2 5 6 65   4 2hd (weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 117 3.00 31% 2.30 1.92 P
SHARDS 1 9 86 8   7 3¼ (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 4.50 5% 19.00 6.76 S
COWES 3 6 5 5   2nk 4 (catalano m)LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00 5% 19.00 3.50  
FAIRHOPECURLY 8 2 21 21   1nk 55 (morey willia)CORRALES GERARDO 115 15.00 31.43  
BLEDSOE 7 4 3 32   5 6 (ward a)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 8.16  
SPONGE BATH 4 8 10 10   9 7 (catalano way)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 19% 4.20 9.15  
RIPAROUND 9 1 11 11   3.2 8 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 115 20.00 65.78  
10  PINOTSLILGIRL 10 3 4 4   8 99 (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 115 8.00 19.79  
CANDYMAKER 5 10 9 97   10 109 (asmussen steven)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 11.24  
 
KEE-9   10/08/2023 5940ft DIRT RC14 FAST Juddmonte Spinster Purse ($600K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:121 1:364   1:494   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IDIOMATIC 2 1 1 1 12 14 1 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 124 1.40 33% 2.00 1.06 W
LE DA VIDA (CHI) 4 5 6 6 4 3 2 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 6.00 5% 19.00 12.90 P
BELLAMORE 5 4 43 5 22 24 3 (santamaria carl)GARCIA MARTIN 124 20.00 25.51  
NEST 3 6 5 44 54 48 411¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 124 1.20 44% 1.30 0.91  
SIXTYTHREECALIBER 1 3 2 2 6 612½ 517 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 124 15.00 16.29  
MALLOY 6 2 3 34 3 511½ 619½ (catalano m)LEZCANO JOSE 124 30.00 57.31  
SCR  MISTY VEIL               (maker j)GRAHAM J 124 20.00    
 
KEE-10   10/08/2023 5610ft TURF RC13 FIRM Castle Purse ($350K) 2 ALL PT- 5:48
See original race card.
null null null null null null   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAN GROUP 4 11 12 12 12 95 1hd (casse mark)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 30.00 27.17  
NOTED 5 2 4 4 5 7 2hd (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 37% 1.70 3.18 P
VOTE NO 6 3 5 6 4¾ 3½ 31 (morey willia)CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00 14% 6.40 18.15 S
12  FIRST WORLD WAR 12 10 63 31 3½ 2½ 4 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 2.76  
TOK TOK 8 9 10 10 10 6 52 (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 120 15.00 5% 19.00 15.81  
DEPICTION 3 8 8 8 9 8 6 (devaux cher)TORRES A 118 10.00 4.88  
PALM TREE 1 1 7 7 7 5 7 (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 118 4.50 23% 3.30 8.06  
11  DOUBLE YOUR MONEY 11 5 21 2nk 1nk 1½ 8 (lynch bria)SANTANA JR 118 10.00 20.11  
COIN MINER 9 7 9 9 8 107 9 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 8.00 14.98  
GORILLA TREK 2 12 11 11 11 117 10 (bauer phili)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00 11.95  
FORTUNE SELLER 7 4 11 1nk 2nk 42 11 (rice kevin)LEZCANO JOSE 118 12.00 52.80  
10  NOMOS 10 6 31 5 6 127 12 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 17.86  
SCR  GOOD BALI               (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 118 30.00    
SCR  TIRELESS               (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
SCR  TOUGH LITTLE NUT               (block chris)LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.