Handicappers' Race Results

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Keeneland
Saturday - October 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KEE-1   Win (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $7.30 $7.30 1.30
KEE-2   Win (1/3/7/13/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 13 1 1 $8.98 $8.98  
KEE-3   Win (4/5/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $8.70 $8.70 0.70
KEE-4   Win (6/1/5/13/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $3.84 $3.84  
KEE-5   Win (3/9/2/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 0 $21.36  
KEE-6   Win (8/2/11/1/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 0 $25.66  
KEE-7   Win (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $5.76  
KEE-8   Win (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $25.02  
KEE-9   Win (9/3/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $3.52 $3.52  
KEE-10   Win (5/1/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $6.58 $6.58  
KEE-11   Win (1/7/6/10/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $12.20 $12.20 2.20

Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   10/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:222 :453 1:113     1:182   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEBATE 4 3 6 6   6 1 (drury jr)ROSARIO JOEL 121 3.00 24% 3.10 2.65 W
CAPTAIN JACK 3 2 2nk 3.2   1½ 2 (wilkes r)NAVAS YOEL 111 3.50 6.02  
A LA CARTE 5 4 4 4¾   3½ 3 (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.00 17% 5.00 1.37 S
PENNY'S PROSPECT 2 5 5 5   5 4 (sims a)ACHARD ALEX 118 8.00 10.89  
FAN THE FIRE 6 1 3.2 2nk   4¾ 56 (brion keri)CORRALES GERARDO 121 12.00 7.62  
MASTER OF ARMS 1 6 1nk 1nk   2½ 6 (moquett e)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 10.00 16% 5.20 5.54  
SCR  GUNNER BAY               (margolis stephen)ELLIOTT JANE 118 20.00    
SCR  POWER ALLEY               (forster gra)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 10.00    
 
KEE-2   10/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:221 :453 :582     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
13  BERGEN 12 1 6 64   32 1¾ (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50 13% 6.70 3.49 W
LINZER 1 4 2½ 1½   11 2¾ (stidham michael)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.00 21% 3.80 3.55 P
VESTURE 5 11 10 88   4 3 (stall alber)LEPAROUX R 119 6.00 4.30  
HONKY TONK HIGHWAY 7 3 5 42   21 4 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 10.00 13% 6.70 10.96  
PROMISSIO 4 12 1211 910½   8 5 (o'neill doug)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 8.57  
MOONLIGHT ROAD 9 2 4 5   7 6 (wilkes r)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 8.00 30.64  
KNOW WHO YOU ARE 3 6 3½ 2½   64 7 (cowans d)ACHARD ALEX 119 4.50 21% 3.80 13.88  
10  WORKISLIFE 10 9 7 76   54 89 (o'donnell marcus)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 20.00 9% 10.20 41.51  
11  CAMARO Z 11 10 8 1013   10 913½ (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00 55.84  
TOOLPUSHER 8 8 1110¾ 1116   1110¼ 1013½ (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 12.00 36.49  
SURF CITY 2 5 1½ 3½   9 1117 (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 15.08  
GALLANT MISCHIEF 6 7 9 1217½   1213¼ 1220 (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 5.99  
SCR  ATOMIC               (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00    
SCR  HIGGINSVILLE               (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00    
SCR  PERFECT PRANKSTER               (harty eoin)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 15.00    
 
KEE-3   10/07/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:223 :451 1:11     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THREE POLKS 6 3 1½ 1½   11 12 (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 121 4.00 11% 8.20 3.35 W
INSENSITIVE 7 1 63 5   21 22 (anderson do)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 3.50 2.69  
CRUSHED ICE 1 4 41 46   31 3 (quartarolo antho)ORTIZ L 121 8.00 7.72  
TAKE TIME TO DREAM 4 5 7 7   4 4 (falcone robert )VELAZQUEZ R 121 3.00 35% 1.80 5.20  
RAGGITY SAND 3 8 86 89   5 511 (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 20.00 16.31  
ICICLES 5 6 31 2½   6 622 (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 121 6.00 26% 2.90 5.40  
DEVIL BLUE DRESS 2 7 52 6   7 724½ (romans dale)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.50 4.79  
DREAM ON STORMY 8 2 2½ 3   816¼ 835¾ (winston d)CASTANON L 121 10.00 7% 12.40 33.84  
 
KEE-4   10/07/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:114 1:351   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAFFRON MOON 4 3 43 4 3 1nk 1 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50 20% 4.00 0.92 W
WILLAKIA 1 1 5 54 5 4 2 (motion gra)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 23% 3.40 3.54 P
11  WATCH THIS BIRDIE 9 9 6 6 6 52 3 (correas iv)GRAHAM J 120 12.00 19.70  
13  I'M SO SORRY 10 10 9 9 8 74 4 (maker j)ORTIZ L 124 4.00 6% 15.90 8.73  
ZAWISH 7 5 2nk 1nk 1nk 3½ 57 (pitts helen)HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00 26.69  
QUALITY STAR 5 7 8 10 10 96 6 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 6.00 28% 2.50 6.86  
LADY ARSINOE 2 6 10 7 7 85 7 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 122 12.00 25.78  
CUPID'S STRIKE 6 4 1nk 2nk 2nk 2nk 8 (farrior anthony)VELAZQUEZ R 122 10.00 5% 19.00 27.92  
MUSIC FESTIVAL 3 2 3 3 4 63 99 (ortiz alexande)SAEZ LUIS 122 10.00 25.46  
GIRL NAMED CHARLIE 8 8 7 86 9 10 1010 (amoss thoma)LEPAROUX R 118 30.00 32.98  
SCR  BEECHNUT TROPHY               (joseph a)ORTIZ L 122 12.00    
SCR  LILLY LANE               (vaughan edw)TORRES A 120 30.00    
SCR  MAMMAS GIRL (GB)               (delgado jo)SANTANA JR 118 15.00    
SCR  MORGS WORLD               (robertson mc)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00    
 
KEE-5   10/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($110K) 2 ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:214 :452 :574     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORMANDY HERO 1 3 31 4   1½ 11 (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 122 6.00 9.68  
VALENTINE CANDY 4 4 1nk 1nk   2½ 21 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 122 3.00 4.33  
HAUL 9 2 6 31   32 3 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 24% 3.20 3.67 S
RACCOON RODEO 5 10 109 910¼   78 4 (maker j)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 15.00 21.72  
BAXLEY 2 7 4 5   4 59 (rivelli larr)CORRALES GERARDO 122 4.50 15% 5.70 6.61  
DUNPHY 8 9 7 7   68 613 (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 120 20.00 73.63  
STORMQUIST 7 5 9 8   8 714 (claire alexi)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00 7% 12.60 29.40  
10  LET'S GO MARK 10 1 2nk 2nk   56 816 (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 122 30.00 65.05  
ALDER 3 6 5 6   910 917½ (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.00 31% 2.20 1.24  
GENERAL BATTLE AXE 6 8 8 1014¼   1015½ 1025 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 30.00 5% 19.00 73.95  
 
KEE-6   10/07/2023 3630ft TURF RC13 FIRM Woodford Purse ($350K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:21 :433 :553     1:013   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARZAK 5 7 5 54   32 12 (trombetta michae)ROSARIO JOEL 120 15.00 11.83  
OUR SHOT 8 8 8 89   7 22 (terranova jo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.50 27% 2.80 3.76 P
11  BEER CAN MAN 11 2 6 7   8 32 (d'amato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.00 14% 6.20 6.12 S
LIVE IN THE DREAM (IRE) 2 4 1nk 1nk   12 4 (west adam)KIRRANE SEAN 124 3.00 25% 3.00 3.59  
BAD BEAT BRIAN 1 5 4 32   22 5 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 120 6.00 8% 11.00 8.23  
LET MY PEOPLE GO 3 9 7 6   65 6 (oliver victoria)VELAZQUEZ R 120 10.00 18.03  
OLYMPIC RUNNER 6 6 9 910½   9 7 (casse mark)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00 14.44  
COPPOLA 7 11 1211¾ 1214¾   12 8 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 120 12.00 32.80  
KAUFYMAKER 9 3 32 4   5 9 (ward a)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00 5% 19.00 4.62  
12  KAVOD 12 10 10 1010¾   10 10 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 20.00 96.92  
EYE WITNESS 4 12 1110¾ 1113¼   11 11 (ward a)ORTIZ L 118 20.00 10.43  
10  FOXTROTANNA 10 1 2nk 2nk   4 12 (wojczynski ju)PETERSON FERRIN 120 50.00 70.99  
 
KEE-7   10/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC13 FAST Thoroughbred Club Purse ($350K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:221 :452 :572     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YUUGIRI 6 1 2nk 1nk   2nk 1hd (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.00 1.88  
WICKED HALO 1 4 3 3½   1nk 2hd (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 39% 1.50 1.40 P
LAST LEAF 3 2 5 43   43 35 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50 12.32  
FIRE ON TIME 2 5 6 66   5 46 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 120 8.00 17.22  
HAPPY SOUL 5 3 1nk 2nk   32 5 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 8.00 13% 6.70 6.19  
STATIC FIRE 4 6 4 5   6 616¾ (lynch brian)TORRES A 120 3.50 17% 4.80 6.19  
BE LIKE WATER 7 7 7 79   7 718 (oliver victoria)MORALES EDGAR 120 30.00 48.10  
 
KEE-8   10/07/2023 5280ft TURF RC14 FIRM First Lady Purse ($750K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:43
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:101 1:214   1:334   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GINA ROMANTICA 1 1 6 6 55 4 1nk (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 10.00 11.51  
IN ITALIAN (GB) 3 3 11 11 1 1 2nk (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 124 0.80 45% 1.20 0.45 P
EVVIE JETS 8 7 5 5 43 2 3 (kantarmaci mertk)ORTIZ L 124 10.00 20.34  
WHITEBEAM (GB) 2 2 31 21 2 3 4 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.00 30% 2.40 3.32  
GAM'S MISSION 5 5 7 7 67 6 5 (devaux cherie)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 15.00 5% 19.00 37.62  
JUMBLY (GB) 4 4 4 4 3 5 6 (o'brien joseph )VELAZQUEZ R 124 6.00 12.99  
NEW YEAR'S EVE 7 8 8 8 7 7 718¼ (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 124 15.00 26.82  
THISNAMEISOKAY 6 6 21 31 810½ 812¼ 824½ (cooper steve)ROCCO S 124 30.00 77.05  
 
KEE-9   10/07/2023 5610ft DIRT RC14 FAST Claiborne Breeders' Futurity Purse ($600K) 2 ALL PT- 5:14
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:132 1:382   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOCKED 8 7 7 64 6 1nk 1½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 122 1.40 24% 3.10 0.76 W
THE WINE STEWARD 1 1 5 42 2nk 2nk 2½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 18% 4.60 3.96 P
GENEROUS TIPPER 5 5 8 8 7 4 3 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00 17.35  
NORTHERN FLAME 7 6 42 5 4¾ 32 4 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 122 20.00 49.27  
WEST SARATOGA 4 4 31 3 3.2 5 511 (demeritte la)CORRALES GERARDO 122 20.00 17% 4.90 17.51  
JUST STEEL 6 8 21 1nk 1nk 6 616 (lukas wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 122 12.00 16.93  
AWESOME ROAD 2 2 6 7 8 7 718½ (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 21% 3.70 3.40  
BAYTOWN CHATTERBOX 3 3 11 2nk 5 816¾ 834¼ (mcentee paul)ELLIOTT JANE 122 50.00 89.39  
SCR  TIMBERLAKE               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.50    
 
KEE-10   10/07/2023 5280ft TURF RC14 FIRM Coolmore Turf Mile Purse ($1000K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:102 1:221   1:341   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UP TO THE MARK 5 8 8 8 6 33 1hd (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 126 2.50 33% 2.00 2.29 W
MASTER OF THE SEAS (IRE) 1 5 75 75 4 2 2hd (appleby charles)DOYLE JAMES 126 2.00 20% 4.00 1.23 P
SET PIECE (GB) 4 9 9 9 9 97 33 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 5.00 9% 9.90 8.68 S
ANNAPOLIS 9 7 2½ 2½ 1nk 1 4 (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 6.00 16% 5.10 4.33  
ENGLISH BEE 6 3 6 5 7 75 5 (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 126 30.00 40.93  
HARLAN ESTATE 8 6 5 64 84 8 6 (beckman whitwo)ROSARIO JOEL 126 20.00 52.45  
STITCHED 3 1 3 3 3 54 77 (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 126 15.00 29.85  
ATONE 7 4 42 4 5 6 8 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 126 10.00 18.33  
INDESTRUCTIBLE (IRE) 2 2 1½ 1½ 2nk 43 99 (delgado jo)SANTANA JR 123 8.00 45.78  
 
KEE-11   10/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 6:18
See original race card.
:222 :45 :57     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOOTH 6 2 1 1   13 1 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 4.00 24% 3.20 5.10 W
NASH 1 4 2 2   23 2 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 28% 2.60 1.71 P
RAPOPORT 3 9 107 711   47 3 (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 119 4.50 6.91  
MIYAGI 4 10 6 4   35 412 (catalano way)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 2.47  
13  GOLDBRICK 11 1 8 811   79 513¾ (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 15.00 23.89  
KITTY HAWK (GB) 5 3 3 3   69 614½ (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 119 20.00 14% 5.90 14.33  
HAMMERSTEIN 2 7 5 57   58 715¾ (lynch brian)TORRES A 119 8.00 13.57  
10  POKER RUN 9 6 7 912½   811 816¼ (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 30.00 5% 19.00 75.03  
WHO'S THE KING 8 8 117 1013½   911¼ 917¼ (casse mark)ROSARIO JOEL 119 20.00 36.98  
11  LATTA 10 11 9 1114   1013¾ 1018¾ (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00 5% 19.00 65.21  
STARSCAPE 7 5 4 69   1114¼ 1121½ (hernandez rey)MOJICA O 119 15.00 66.63  
SCR  AGOO               (beckman whitwo)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.00    
SCR  ALWAYSINTOMISCHIEF               (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00    
SCR  CORSO'S PICK               (o'neill doug)GARCIA MARTIN 119 10.00    
SCR  TAP ANCHOR               (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.