Handicappers' Race Results

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Keeneland
Friday - October 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KEE-1   Win (11/3/5/6/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 11 1 1 $16.16 $16.16 6.16
KEE-2   Win (2/4/9/7/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 0 $8.86  
KEE-3   Win (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 1 $5.12 $5.12 1.12
KEE-4   Win (4/5/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $27.48 $27.48 19.48
KEE-5   Win (8/11/6/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $8.80  
KEE-6   Win (9/2/6/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $10.12 $10.12 0.12
KEE-7   Win (8/9/7/6/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 0 $14.04  
KEE-8   Win (1/2/4/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 0 $13.30  
KEE-9   Win (5/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $10.16  
KEE-10   Win (9/5/13/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $8.40  

Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   10/06/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($68K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:114 1:381   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  J J'S JOKER 11 1 4 5 5 2 1½ (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 6.00 27% 2.70 7.08 W
PEEK 2 3 1½ 1½ 11 1 2½ (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00 11.53  
GAME WARDEN 1 2 53 4 42 32 3 (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00 2.81  
RUNNINGFORJOY 4 9 7 64 6 53 4 (tomlinson m)HERNANDEZ J 120 20.00 32.76  
ARCHIE THE GIZA 5 7 9 87 8 6 5 (medina robe)TORRES A 124 6.00 12% 7.70 7.14  
CAFE RACER 8 4 2½ 2½ 31 43 65 (stall m)ORTIZ JR 120 10.00 14.89  
BARNSTORMING 9 5 31 3 21 7 711¼ (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.50 2.85  
CASHMEUP 6 8 65 7 74 8 811½ (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 120 20.00 7% 12.90 14.48  
10  TEXAS PRIDE 10 12 1214½ 1213½ 1114 1113¾ 913 (lukas wayne)TORRES A 115 10.00 48.59  
ACTIVE DUTY (FR) 3 6 8 1110 1214¼ 1013½ 1013½ (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 5.00 16% 5.20 12.51  
12  SURFACE TO AIR 12 10 108 99 9 911 1114 (miller darr)LEPAROUX R 120 12.00 6% 16.30 22.83  
DR KRINGLE 7 11 11 1010 108 1214¾ 1217¾ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 8.00 19.25  
SCR  ATLANTIC DANCER               (zito nichola)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 12.00    
SCR  BIG SKIPPY               (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 20.00    
SCR  DISSOLVED               (casse norm)SANTANA JR 120 3.50    
SCR  SOLOMON VANDY               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00    
 
KEE-2   10/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:221 :46 :581     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYAL SLIPPER 1 2 1 13   14 1 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00 3.43  
LOVELAND 9 3 2 23   24 2 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 119 15.00 5% 19.00 12.58 P
11  TANYA SHOWERS 11 7 8 6   5 39 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00 5% 19.00 16.23 S
10  CHILLED 10 6 65 3   3 410¾ (oliver victoria)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00 5.64  
CHARLOTTESAPPROVAL 6 4 9 10   69 510¾ (casse mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 10.00 7.05  
TWIRL AROUND 4 11 77 88   710½ 612½ (foley greg)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.00 25% 3.00 3.10  
SISTER ELLA 2 5 4 5   47 713½ (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 5.00 26% 2.80 15.66  
LEMON MUFFIN 3 12 10 1110¼   811 814¼ (lukas wayne)TORRES A 114 8.00 26.50  
LADY CHAI 8 10 11 99   911 915½ (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 8.65  
BRIGHT LADY DAY 7 8 55 78   1012½ 1019¼ (jackson christo)GILLIGAN JACK 119 30.00 5% 19.00 69.37  
13  WESTERN GAILES 12 1 33 45   1113½ 1124¼ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 10.46  
YAREE D TAT 5 9 12 1213¾   1216 1224½ (gilliam b)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 119 30.00 70.59  
SCR  AUNT FANNIE               (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00    
SCR  BERNAR MOSA               (maker j)ROSARIO JOEL 119 12.00    
SCR  SPEIGHTER WOMAN               (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00    
 
KEE-3   10/06/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:231 :463       1:27   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWO ITEM SAVER 3 3 42 42   15 113½ (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 8.00 22% 3.50 1.56 W
YES DAY 2 2 32 31   25 213½ (wismer glenn)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 6.30  
NEW BEAT 1 1 1½ 11   3 315 (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 41% 1.40 1.11 S
H. T. XENA 4 4 2½ 21   410½ 416¾ (shirer a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 12.00 4.20  
SCR  BANDITA               (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 1.20    
SCR  EIVISSA               (mckeever andrew)CANNON DECLAN 121 15.00    
SCR  MARIAH'S APPEAL               (bauer philip)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50    
SCR  VOTARY               (peach chad)RODRIGUEZ A 123 10.00    
 
KEE-4   10/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($110K) 2 F PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:213 :451 :574     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
XTREME SMOKE SHOW 6 6 5 44   3 1 (robertson mc)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 15.00 5% 19.00 12.74 W
OUR KEEPSAKE 2 3 2nk 22   22 2 (lukas wayne)TORRES A 117 8.00 10.91  
DONE ENOUGH 3 4 3.2 12   12 3 (sweezey kent)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 34% 2.00 2.51 S
TWIRLING QUEEN 4 2 4 3   44 4 (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.50 32% 2.20 1.94  
DOROTHY CROWFOOT 8 5 6 56   5 5 (rivelli larr)CORRALES GERARDO 122 8.00 9% 9.60 8.04  
KENWICK 5 8 813¼ 812   712 611¼ (harty eoin)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 12.00 9.21  
LEMORIAN 1 1 1nk 66   610½ 718½ (elliott m)DE CRUZ 122 4.00 7.29  
ALMOND FUDGE 7 7 7 79   814½ 831¼ (gutierrez f)TORRES A 122 4.50 11.36  
SCR  INTERMITTENT FAST               (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 122 30.00    
 
KEE-5   10/06/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($130K) 3 F PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:22 :44 :552     1:014   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLING 4 6 84 8   3 1¼ (oliver victoria)VELAZQUEZ R 120 6.00 3.40  
SASSY NATURE 5 1 11 12   12 2¼ (o'neill doug)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.00 11% 8.50 4.54 P
ISABEL ALEXANDRA (IRE) 2 3 31 4   22 3 (delgado gusta)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00 12.97  
DETERMINED JESTER 7 8 52 5   5 4 (schoenthal p)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 20.00 13.53  
CONDENSATION 1 7 95 9   9 5 (hartman chris)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00 11.77  
11  STONE SILENT 9 5 21 22   6 65 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.00 22% 3.60 5.08  
DARING DO 6 4 4 3   43 7 (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 122 4.50 30% 2.30 5.41  
L J'S EMMA 3 2 6 65   7 8 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 122 10.00 3.73  
10  CUPIDS CRUSH 8 9 73 7   8 97 (robertson mc)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 15.00 9% 9.90 29.06  
SCR  GATITA SUAVE               (sanchez-salomo)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 50.00    
SCR  MURKY               (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00    
SCR  ZAPPLE               (leitch danie)CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00    
 
KEE-6   10/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:222 :46 :584     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOURBON BREEZE 2 3 31 6   41 1 (mott riley)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 27% 2.70 4.06 W
TAMMY LYNN 9 1 41 2nk   1½ 2 (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.00 39% 1.60 1.07 P
PIN UP BETTY 4 2 2½ 1nk   2½ 3 (maker j)ROSARIO JOEL 119 10.00 21.88  
12  BERLAINE 12 8 63 5   5 4 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 10.00 10.69  
10  C'EST CHEESE 10 7 5 3½   31 5 (beckman d )SANTANA JR 119 15.00 46.13  
GOLD DEL MAR 7 9 8 8   7 6 (bahena ismael)BURNHAM MATILDA 112 30.00 5% 19.00 87.58  
CIRCLING (IRE) 8 12 11 7   6 78 (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 119 10.00 19.17  
PLAGNE CHAMPAGNE 6 5 9 10   8 814¼ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 10% 9.10 7.34  
POUR SOME WISDOM 1 10 10 1111¾   1010¾ 917¼ (hamm timothy)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 31.13  
11  EASY STREET 11 11 1215¼ 1214¼   1213¼ 1018½ (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00 15.50  
CAROLINA CANDY 3 4 1½ 4¾   9 1120¼ (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 119 20.00 12.43  
SILVERY MOON 5 6 7 9   1112¼ 1226 (corrigan ji)HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00 5% 19.00 76.55  
SCR  MAKEUP               (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 6.00    
SCR  SHORE WAR               (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
 
KEE-7   10/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC13 FAST Stoll Keenon Ogden Phoenix Purse ($350K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:214 :444 :564     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOIST THE GOLD 1 9 31 3½   1 1¾ (stewart dallas)VELAZQUEZ R 120 8.00 6.02  
NAKATOMI 8 4 5 6   42 2¾ (ward a)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 54% 0.90 2.58 P
BANGO 7 1 43 42   2 31 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 6% 15.40 3.38 S
NECKER ISLAND 6 10 10 8   7 43 (hartman chris)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 30.00 5% 19.00 36.66  
SIBELIUS 3 5 2nk 1½   3 56 (o'dwyer jeremiah)SAEZ LUIS 124 12.00 5.35  
GULFSTREAM WAY 4 3 7 7   8 66 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 120 8.00 9.33  
MANNY WAH 2 6 65 5   53 7 (catalano m)LANERIE J 120 6.00 9.79  
DOCTOR OSCAR 9 2 1nk 2½   6 810¼ (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 3.50 13% 6.80 6.84  
TOP GUNNER 5 11 9 9   911¼ 915¼ (ortiz alexa)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 20.00 5% 19.00 49.19  
11  VOODOO ZIP 11 8 1110¾ 1117¼   1119¼ 1026¾ (barrett a)GRAHAM J 120 30.00 97.91  
10  BAYTOWN BEAR 10 7 8 10   1017¼ 1130¼ (mcentee paul)ELLIOTT JANE 120 50.00 99.31  
 
KEE-8   10/06/2023 5610ft TURF RC13 GOOD Jessamine Purse ($350K) 2 F PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:224 :472 1:121 1:362   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  BUCHU 10 11 9 9 11 2½ 1 (bauer a)GARCIA MARTIN 118 4.00 5.65  
PHAROAH'S WINE 8 4 54 64 63 5 2 (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 118 12.00 13.87  
CROWN IMPERIAL 4 8 76 85 7 42 3 (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 118 6.00 18% 4.70 8.92 S
BELLA HAZE 7 2 11 1½ 1½ 1½ 44 (santamaria carlo)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00 17% 4.90 12.57  
MOONLIGHT GAMBLER 3 3 11 11 84 7 5 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 30.00 41.18  
SMOOTH WAVES 1 7 10 10 10 8 6 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 21% 3.90 5.05  
APPELLATE 9 6 8 75 95 9 77 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00 6.56  
ABEYANCE 6 9 6 5 42 32 8 (harty eoin)GRAHAM J 118 15.00 30.05  
TIME TO DAZZLE 2 1 32 3 31 6 9 (casse mark)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 20% 4.00 4.22  
TOUPIE (GB) 5 10 4 4 53 11 1015¾ (motion graham)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 20.00 5% 19.00 3.25  
11  ASTERNIA 11 5 21 2½ 2½ 10 1118¼ (morse randy)LEPAROUX R 118 30.00 51.62  
 
KEE-9   10/06/2023 5610ft DIRT RC14 FAST Darley Alcibiades Purse ($600K) 2 F PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:123 1:373   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANDIED 3 4 5 5 4 1nk 11 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 4.08  
V V'S DREAM 5 5 42 32 3½ 2nk 21 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50 40% 1.50 1.48 P
ALYS BEACH 1 2 11 11 1nk 31 3 (amoss m)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 20.00 5% 19.00 16.30 S
SHIMMERING ALLURE 8 8 8 7 65 56 4 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 122 15.00 25.60  
BRIGHTWORK 7 1 21 21 2nk 43 510¼ (ortiz alex)ORTIZ JR 122 1.80 38% 1.70 1.80  
CRAZY CAMI 2 7 32 42 53 6 612 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 122 30.00 79.13  
ALPINE PRINCESS 6 3 7 8 8 713½ 728¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 8.00 10.38  
WINE ON TAP 4 6 6 6 78 817½ 838½ (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 122 20.00 24.94  
SCR  EMERY               (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00    
 
KEE-10   10/06/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:111 1:23   1:351   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOHNY'S FIREBALL 1 2 3 3 4 1½ 1¼ (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 3.20  
BEUYS (IRE) 5 3 65 7 5 2½ 2¼ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 33% 2.00 1.73 P
NO ONE TO BLAME 6 9 97 95 7 4 3¾ (trombetta mi)CORRALES GERARDO 122 12.00 5% 19.00 10.29 S
SCRIPT 4 1 4 42 8 6 42 (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 122 15.00 9.49  
POINT PROVEN 3 8 76 63 2 5 5 (cohn g)ASMUSSEN J 120 30.00 72.91  
WAKE SURF 7 6 86 85 9 8 65 (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 122 15.00 21.33  
UNDERDRESSED 2 5 53 5 6 7 76 (hernandez rey)MOJICA O 122 12.00 6.66  
COLOSSEO 8 4 1½ 1½ 1 3½ 87 (catalano m)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 20.00 24.44  
13  DRAKON 10 10 10 10 10 9 9 (diodoro ro)SANTANA JR 124 8.00 5% 19.00 5.14  
11  BULLSEYE BUN 9 7 2½ 2½ 3 1011¼ 1022¼ (green troy)MORALES EDGAR 122 30.00 76.17  
SCR  CHASING THE CROWN               (maker j)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.50 39% 1.60    
SCR  COWBOY JUSTICE (GB)               (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 122 20.00    
SCR  GOLDEN ALCHEMIST               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50    
SCR  LUIGI'S SPIRIT               (sanchez-salomon ro)CRUZ ANGEL 122 30.00    
SCR  POINT ME BY               (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 122 10.00    
SCR  WICKED FINN               (kelly blake)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.