Handicappers' Race Results

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Belmont At The Big A
Wednesday - October 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BAQ-1   Win (7/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 9 1 0 $8.00  
BAQ-2   Win (4/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $5.60  
BAQ-3   Win (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $15.20 $15.20 9.20
BAQ-4   Win (7/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 7 1 1 $5.40 $5.40 1.40
BAQ-5   Win (8/7/6/12/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $16.60 $16.60 6.60
BAQ-6   Win (3/6/10/8/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 1 $5.90 $5.90  
BAQ-7   Win (7/3/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $6.90 $6.90  
BAQ-8   Win (8/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $9.30 $9.30 3.30
BAQ-9   Win (6/1/11/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $4.80 $4.80  
BAQ-10   Win (7/1/9/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 11 1 0 $18.60  

Simulator Race results

 
BAQ-1   10/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 2 ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:23 :464 :59     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWO'S A CROWD 7 1 2½ 2½   1nk 1 (ryan s)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 3.00  
RETAIL MAN 5 2 1½ 1½   2nk 2 (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.50 32% 2.10 7.00 P
MAD BANKER 4 3 3 3   3 3 (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 119 15.00 28.75  
ONE WITHEVERYTHING 6 6 42 43   46 4 (mcpeek kenneth)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 10.00 13.70  
BLUE EIGHTY FIVE 2 5 77 56   58 5 (mott i)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.00 0.75  
PAPA DO PAPA DO 3 4 5 6   611½ 613½ (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 112 6.00 20% 4.10 8.50  
SOLO IN PARIS 1 7 67 7   713½ 717¼ (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 119 30.00 19% 4.10 21.00  
SCR  MORQ               (englehart chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 10.00    
SCR  TAPORICAL               (moysey e)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00    
 
BAQ-2   10/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:36
See original race card.
:224 :461 :58     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINTRACK 4 3 1 13   11 1 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 4.50 1.80  
FLINT RIDGE 6 4 64 23   21 2 (rodriguez gustav)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 5.00 5% 17.30 1.80 P
CAJUN CASANOVA 3 2 2 33   32 3 (d'alessandro r)CASTELLANO J 123 4.00 62% 0.60 4.60 S
SHIVAREE (GB) 5 1 3 4   42 4 (david a)DAVIS DYLAN 121 3.50 7.20  
FLAMINGO HAWK 1 5 4 56   5 5 (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 121 8.00 16.10  
BEACHWALKER 2 6 54 68   68 67 (persaud )MARAGH RAMSAY 123 6.00 10% 9.30 6.70  
SCR  CHATEAU               (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 3.00    
SCR  NOLO CONTESTO               (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 3.00    
 
BAQ-3   10/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
See original race card.
:231 :46 1:102 1:223   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AGGREGATION 1 3 1nk 11 1 1 1 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00 27% 2.70 6.60 W
SHADOW DRAGON 7 1 41 43 4 32 2 (mott i)ORTIZ L 120 1.80 1.40  
THRILL OF IT 2 5 2nk 21 2 2 3 (terranova john )ORTIZ JR 122 3.50 4.40  
COLLOQUY 3 4 3½ 32 3 4 45 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 124 4.00 21% 3.80 3.05  
BOSSMAKINBOSSMOVES 5 7 711 79 76 5 5 (duggan p)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 12.00 32.25  
BIG BOBBY 6 2 53 5 5 67 6 (arenas marcelo)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 12.00 16.70  
MARKET ALERT 4 6 65 65 6 710½ 721½ (baker charlto)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 6.00 15% 5.60 6.70  
 
BAQ-4   10/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($102K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:38
See original race card.
:221 :443 1:092     1:221   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOOD SAM 5 2 4 3   2nk 1 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 1.60 37% 1.70 1.70 W
THREE RIVERS 2 4 21 2½   1nk 2 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 1.40 27% 2.60 0.60 P
INTO HAPPINESS 3 5 513½ 513½   4 310¾ (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 124 4.50 7.30  
LADY MILAGRO 1 3 11 1½   38 415½ (martin f)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00 14.50  
STARSHIP DEFIANT 4 1 3 4   515½ 523¼ (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 126 12.00 34.50  
SCR  CAIRO SUGAR               (bedard alan)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 20.00    
SCR  HYDRA               (toscano t)CASTELLANO J 122 15.00    
 
BAQ-5   10/04/2023 5610ft TURF RC13 FIRM Miss Grillo Purse ($200K) 2 F PT- 3:10
See original race card.
:24 :50 1:142 1:38   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARD TO JUSTIFY 1 2 2 21 2nk 1½ 1½ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 10.00 5% 19.00 7.30 W
LIFE'S AN AUDIBLE 2 1 3 32 5 33 2½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00 12.70  
11  WHIMSICALLY 10 5 4 42 3 2½ 3 (devaux cherie)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 20.00 59.75  
GALA BRAND 7 9 10 11 11 65 4 (mott i)ORTIZ L 122 3.00 39% 1.60 2.60  
MEMORIALIZE 6 7 6 6 6 7 55 (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 26% 2.90 2.80  
GOLD LIGHTNING 3 6 5 53 42 54 6 (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 120 10.00 5.50  
10  LATER DARLING 9 11 118 10 8 8 7 (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00 25.00  
SIERRA SKY 8 10 8 8 10 10 8 (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00 21.40  
12  STEEL LUTE 11 8 9 9 9 11 9 (brown c)LEZCANO JOSE 118 12.00 6% 15.10 19.30  
DANCING SPIRIT 4 3 7 7 7 9 10 (rice adam)CARMOUCHE K 120 10.00 22.10  
CAMILA T (IRE) 5 4 1 11 1nk 44 11 (avila carlos)OLIVERO A 120 6.00 8% 12.10 7.60  
SCR  APPELLATE               (pletcher todd)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 15.00    
 
BAQ-6   10/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:42
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:111 1:233   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  SKATE TO HEAVEN 10 3 4¾ 4¾ 3½ 1 1 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 3.50 18% 4.50 1.95 W
DADS GOOD RUNNER 5 5 7 7 4 42 2 (fisher l)MARAGH RAMSAY 117 15.00 5% 19.00 10.90 P
STRONG LIGHT 7 7 9 8 5 54 3 (younghans william)CARMOUCHE K 122 10.00 24.25  
EL DE CHIMI 8 2 3.2 2nk 2nk 2 4 (avila carlos)OLIVERO A 118 6.00 14% 6.40 7.20  
DEE'S SPEEDSTRE 6 1 2nk 1nk 1nk 3 5 (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 23% 3.30 2.20  
PROVEN HOPE 3 8 5 5 75 65 69 (barrera oscar )CASTILLO ISAAC 124 4.00 25% 3.00 4.30  
SCOTTO 1 9 8 9 9 711 717¾ (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 122 20.00 86.00  
BREAK THE ICE 2 6 6 6 8 811½ 819¼ (hennig mar)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00 21.00  
PAPI ON ICE 4 10 10 10 10 1013½ 924½ (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 124 20.00 43.25  
COLPO D'ORO 9 4 1nk 3½ 6 912½ 1024¾ (ryan s)RIVERA R 113 12.00 27.75  
 
BAQ-7   10/04/2023 5610ft TURF RC13 GOOD Pilgrim Purse ($200K) 2 ALL PT- 4:14
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:113 1:362   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AGATE ROAD 2 8 78 7 75 3 1 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 30% 2.30 2.45 W
FULMINEO 7 6 66 66 6 44 2 (delacour arnaud)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 5.00 8.00  
LIAM'S JOURNEY 1 1 55 55 42 2 3 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00 19.20 DH
SPIRIT PRINCE 8 4 1 12 11 1 3 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.50 11% 8.10 4.90 S
TRIPLE ESPRESSO 6 7 810 89 8 87 5 (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 38% 1.60 3.80  
B D SAINTS 4 3 44 44 5 7 65 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 13.80  
TIFAREEH 3 5 3 32 21 55 7 (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 120 10.00 3.80  
GET SPOOLED 5 2 2 22 31 6 87 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00 5% 19.00 9.60  
SCR  TROPANDHAGEN               (synnefias dimitr)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00    
 
BAQ-8   10/04/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($102K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:49
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:111 1:354   1:482   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZZY IN THE SKY 1 1 11 11 1nk 16 1 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 122 5.00 23% 3.30 3.65 W
FIRELINE 2 4 32 32 43 3 2 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.00 1.95  
KNOW IT ALL AUDREY 5 2 21 21 2nk 26 3 (barrera s)ORTIZ L 126 8.00 5% 19.00 9.00 S
FROSTY O TOOLE 4 5 5 42 56 4 410 (dini mike)LEZCANO JOSE 122 12.00 38.00  
ANATOLIAN 3 6 6 6 67 614 517 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00 7.10  
TOUGH STREET 7 3 4 5 3 513½ 618½ (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 126 2.00 47% 1.10 1.85  
MIRANDA'S ROCKY 6 7 7 77 710½ 717½ 721¾ (orseno f)RENDON JAIRO 120 10.00 22.40  
SCR  PRETTI XTREME               (falcone n)CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00    
 
BAQ-9   10/04/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:21
See original race card.
:23 :464 1:112 1:232   1:344   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'M VERY BUSY 6 4 43 4 4¾ 1nk 1 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.50 53% 0.90 1.40 W
FREDO 1 1 1nk 1nk 1nk 3 2 (sano antonio)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 4.00 13% 6.80 3.75 P
CAPTURE THE FLAG 4 8 8 6 6 44 35 (mcgaughey claude)ORTIZ L 118 5.00 4.40  
BE OF COURAGE 8 10 10 86 5 5 46 (pregman j)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00 5% 19.00 11.50  
11  RUSE 10 5 32 3 2nk 2nk 5 (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 10% 9.00 13.70  
HEATHGUARD 2 9 9 9 9 6 6 (lerman s)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 30.00 87.50  
YACOWLEF (IRE) 7 6 65 75 8 7 711 (sisterson jack)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00 6.40  
FIGHTER IN THE WIN 9 7 54 53 7 1012¼ 815¾ (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 124 8.00 22.10  
SELL SOMETHING 3 3 7 10 10 911¾ 916 (de horacio)ORTIZ JR 122 12.00 24.00  
NARCISO DALI 5 2 2nk 2nk 3½ 810¾ 1016¼ (chichakly amira)MARTIN MATTIE 111 30.00 ######  
SCR  BAD TO THE BONES               (mott i)RIDER TBA 124 3.00    
SCR  LAFITTE'S FLEET               (rodriguez r)ROSARIO JOEL 124 1.80    
SCR  SKYLANDER               (trites l)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 3.00    
SCR  VICTORS VALIANT               (bedard alan)WOLFSONT ANDREW 124 30.00    
 
BAQ-10   10/04/2023 3960ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 5:53
See original race card.
:231 :464 :584     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  WOKE UP QUICK 10 1 1½ 11   1 1¼ (morley thomas)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 8.00 8.30  
BIG PRANKSTER 8 2 5 43   3 2¼ (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.00 23% 3.40 4.10 P
AZ U CHASE ME 6 9 9 56   54 3 (jimenez jose )MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00 60.75  
NANO MAN 5 4 2½ 3   2 4 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 119 3.50 26% 2.80 2.60  
PRICE IS TRUTH 7 3 4 21   42 53 (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00 21% 3.70 4.70  
ROB THE BANK 2 8 8 6   6 6 (brown r)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00 3.45  
SORORITY PRANK 1 6 3 77   7 7 (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 8% 12.30 7.80  
DRINKING SOLO 4 7 6 811   812¼ 812½ (falcone robe)RIVERA R 114 20.00 5% 19.00 39.50  
SAVAGE SPIRIT 3 10 1014¾ 1022½   1016¾ 913½ (albertrani th)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 15.00 21.30  
10  MITHRIDATES 9 5 7 912½   916¼ 1020½ (chichakly amira)MARTIN MATTIE 112 30.00 60.75  
SCR  FRATELLINO               (romero rafael)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00    
SCR  INSTAMATIC               (gargan danny)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.00    
SCR  KHADULLAH               (rodriguez ru)RIVERA R 114 10.00    
SCR  SCORE THE ROCK               (maker j)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00    
SCR  SET               (motion graham)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00    
SCR  WONDER WONDERLAND               (romero rafael)RUIZ ELISEO 114 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.