Handicappers' Race Results

"A Premier Resource for Horse Racing Picks, Horse Racing Tips and Longshots"
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.

Churchill Downs
Saturday - September 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (1/5/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $3.10 $3.10  
CD-2   Win (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $5.48 $5.48 1.48
CD-3   Win (5/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $8.02  
CD-4   Win (3/2/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $25.18  
CD-5   Win (12/8/10/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $8.58 $8.58 0.58
CD-6   Win (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $6.46 $6.46 0.46
CD-7   Win (5/6/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $4.84 $4.84  
CD-8   Win (7/11/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $5.26 $5.26  
CD-9   Win (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $3.54 $3.54  
CD-10   Win (9/4/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $18.32  
CD-11   Win (6/8/11/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $17.72 $17.72 7.72

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   09/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:123 1:372   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAJOR FED 1 3 3 31 3 1 1 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.60 28% 2.60 0.55 W
THE HONORABLE ONE 2 5 4 4 42 54 2 (engler jeff)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 122 12.00 30.84  
COUSIN LARRY 3 2 6 6 64 44 3 (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00 19.22  
SHORTLIST 5 8 75 7 7 6 4 (van thoma)GEROUX FLORENT 122 6.00 26% 2.90 7.64  
TREASURY 4 1 11 11 1nk 2 510½ (forster t)GRAHAM J 122 5.00 12% 7.50 5.68  
COOL RAGS 8 7 5 5 5 7 610¾ (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 122 4.50 11% 7.80 9.37  
BOISE 6 4 21 21 2nk 3 711¾ (habeeb j)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 20.00 22.48  
WHAT A COUNTRY 7 6 8 8 8 810¾ 820¼ (shirer mat)SANTANA JR 122 8.00 11.01  
 
CD-2   09/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:17
See original race card.
:213 :451 :574     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPARKLE OF HOPE 3 2 3 31   2½ 1¾ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 20% 4.00 1.74 W
MAGNA MASSA 1 1 11 21   32 2¾ (irion heathe)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00 3.29  
PILLBOX 2 4 21 11   1½ 3¾ (joseph saffie )GEROUX FLORENT 121 2.00 51% 1.00 1.96 S
MOTOWN MIKA 5 5 53 43   4 41 (o'connor robert)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00 14.35  
HARMONICA 4 3 43 5   5 518¾ (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 8.00 3.68  
SCR  DEAR LADY               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 1.80    
SCR  TERRANOVA               (williamson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 8.00    
 
CD-3   09/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($68K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:47
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:11 1:364   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNINVITED GUEST 1 7 711 712½ 6 2nk 1nk (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 8.00 3.01  
TRES SOLES 2 1 5 511 54 1nk 2nk (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 7% 13.30 5.09 P
COASTAL DEFENSE 6 6 45 46 31 33 310¾ (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 122 5.00 18% 4.70 6.57 S
DOCTOR NASH 4 3 3 3 42 6 411 (tomlinson mi)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00 7.51  
TAKE THE CHARGE 5 4 13 1 11 4 511 (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 118 10.00 9.41  
NULLARBOR 7 5 23 2 21 55 611¼ (manley stev)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 6.00 16.15  
TEPEU 3 2 610½ 611½ 7 7 713½ (walsh bren)SANTANA JR 122 3.00 50% 1.00 1.53  
SCR  G T FIVE HUNDRED               (mason ingrid)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00    
SCR  ROYAL ACT               (diodoro rob)TORRES A 122 4.00    
 
CD-4   09/30/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 2 ALL PT- 2:17
See original race card.
:234 :492 1:143 1:27   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WOODCOURT 4 3 4 4 4 4 1½ (walsh brend)TORRES A 120 5.00 11.59  
LEGAL TITAN 6 2 32 3 32 3½ 2½ (ewing a)CANNON DECLAN 122 5.00 8.72  
COPPER MISSILE 3 8 8 7 55 5 32 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 3.50 33% 2.00 0.98 S
VALUE ENGINEER 2 1 2nk 21 1nk 1nk 42 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 117 3.00 19% 4.20 3.57  
STEELER MISCHIEF 9 5 1nk 11 2nk 2nk 5 (gutierrez fa)CORRALES GERARDO 120 10.00 9% 10.20 13.32  
SAVE THE KING 8 9 7 87 7 64 6 (davis christopher)GRAHAM J 122 15.00 24.92  
HAM SANDWICH 5 4 56 6 8 7 7 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 16% 5.10 8.58  
STRIKING SPARKS 1 6 6 55 6 8 815¼ (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 120 15.00 32.73  
DUMBSTRUCK 7 7 9 9 910¼ 913 922¼ (wilson sha)SANTANA JR 122 8.00 14.23  
SCR  THE PROCESS               (devaux cher)TORRES A 120 2.00    
 
CD-5   09/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 2:48
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:112 1:241   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PURSUIT OF LIBERTY 8 6 2nk 21 1½ 1 13 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 23% 3.30 3.29 W
12  LADY MOSCATO 12 9 6 4 3 2 23 (lukas wayne)TORRES A 114 3.00 50% 1.00 2.47 P
NORISKIT NOBISCUIT 3 3 42 31 42 3 3 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 5.00 9.12  
CALLE REINA 2 10 11 9 87 7 49 (beckman whitwo)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 20.00 44.03  
10  MY FAVORITE GIRL 10 8 3½ 6 5 66 5 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00 7% 13.70 3.59  
MURPHY'S GIFT 9 7 5 5 6 56 610¼ (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 119 12.00 10.32  
SPEAK UP 4 1 7 7 76 8 711½ (arnold r)CHUAN MARTIN 119 20.00 67.65  
THORNY 5 2 8 8 9 9 811½ (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 12.00 7.03  
STARINA 7 11 10 1110¾ 10 10 911¾ (catalano wa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00 26.25  
HONOR CAT 6 4 1nk 11 2½ 4 1012½ (diodoro rob)TORRES A 119 12.00 5% 19.00 22.13  
BUMP IN THE NIGHT 1 5 9 10 1110 1112¾ 1119¾ (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 119 15.00 28.24  
11  PRETTY GIRLS UNION 11 12 1210¾ 1212¼ 1216 1221¼ 1236¼ (leonard george )TALAMO JOSEPH 119 30.00 82.66  
 
CD-6   09/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:114 1:364   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIGHTERTOWN 3 2 2nk 21 11 11 1hd (amoss m)GILLIGAN JACK 118 3.00 34% 2.00 2.23 W
SINGLE RULER 7 6 5 5 3 21 2hd (delacruz mejia )MORALES EDGAR 118 2.50 3.93  
CARNIVORE 6 5 32 4 4 3 3 (shorter aaron)BEJARANO R 122 6.00 17% 4.80 4.58 S
BUCKTOWN 4 3 4 31 53 46 4 (west ethan )HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00 9.55  
IMPULSIVENESS 1 7 7 7 7 710 511½ (irion heathe)CORRALES GERARDO 122 15.00 10.52  
LAST COOKIE 2 1 6 64 67 6 612½ (urieta johanna)TORRES A 113 15.00 13.03  
LOVE SPELL 5 4 1nk 11 21 5 714 (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 19% 4.20 2.72  
SCR  TIMELY PROSPECT               (mckeever andrew)CANNON DECLAN 122 6.00    
 
CD-7   09/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:53
See original race card.
:222 :45 1:094     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOUR SO SILLEA 3 2 1½ 1½   1 11 (sims philip )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 3.50 41% 1.40 1.42 W
KANTEX 6 5 7 55   4 21 (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 121 12.00 7% 12.40 8.84 P
LEELOO 5 6 5 43   2 32 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 10.00 8% 11.00 9.09 S
ALTERED SHOT 4 1 31 3   33 4 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 15% 5.80 4.54  
MY KENTUCKY GIRL 2 7 2½ 2½   55 5 (engler jeff)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 121 15.00 16.30  
FOUR DAWN 7 9 8 77   6 611 (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 123 6.00 5.50  
10  FAST AND FEMININE 8 8 9 910   810 711 (snipes randy)STEVENS C 116 20.00 45.76  
ROCK STAR PARKING 1 3 6 66   79 817¼ (contreras c)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 8.00 8.88  
11  MERCY WARREN 9 4 4 8   918 935 (o'connor robert )MACHADO LUAN 121 15.00 10.78  
SCR  MEGAN'S CLARA               (casse norm)SANTANA JR 121 4.00    
SCR  SLACK TIDE               (forster t)MORALES EDGAR 121 30.00    
 
CD-8   09/30/2023 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Jefferson Cup Purse ($200K) 3 ALL PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:12 1:243   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORE THAN LOOKS 7 8 810 811½ 79 3 1 (devaux cher)TORRES A 120 2.50 53% 0.90 1.63 W
SMOKEY MANDATE 6 4 32 2 2 12 2 (maker j)GRAHAM J 118 8.00 5% 19.00 8.32 P
WORTHINGTON 3 6 7 710½ 89 6 3 (maker micha)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00 25.94  
OCEAN POINTE 1 9 910½ 912½ 911 7 4 (estvanko richa)RAMOS D 118 6.00 6.05  
NOISES OFF 4 2 56 5 5 55 5 (lobo h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 3.68  
OCEAN VISION (IRE) 8 5 4 45 3 45 6 (delgado gusta)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 5.00 6% 14.70 5.92  
11  GASLIGHT DANCER 9 3 1½ 1 1 22 710¾ (maker michael )TORRES A 118 6.00 15% 5.70 5.69  
TIVERTON (GB) 2 7 6 69 68 8 817¼ (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 118 20.00 35.59  
MIDNIGHT WEST 5 1 2½ 3 47 910¼ 921¾ (medina tomas)MOJICA O 118 30.00 82.23  
SCR  DESERT DUKE               (hartman chris)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00    
SCR  ENDPOINT               (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 30.00    
 
CD-9   09/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC12 FAST Ack Ack Purse ($400K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:58
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:112 1:231   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZOZOS 5 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 12 11 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 1.20 48% 1.10 0.77 W
STAGE RAIDER 4 2 31 3 3 22 21 (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 121 6.00 8% 12.20 6.70 P
THREE TECHNIQUE 3 6 6 6 6 33 32 (cook b)BEJARANO R 121 3.00 4.25  
O BESOS 2 3 5 5 4 55 4 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 4.11  
CADDO RIVER 7 4 2½ 2½ 2nk 4 5 (lukas wayne)CANNON DECLAN 121 15.00 24.25  
SEIZE THE NIGHT 1 5 73 7 7 6 69 (cunningham jade)COURT K 121 12.00 22.81  
SKYRO 6 7 41 4 5 7 714¾ (lynch a)GRAHAM J 121 10.00 19% 4.20 18.91  
 
CD-10   09/30/2023 5940ft DIRT RC13 FAST Lukas Classic Purse ($500K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:29
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:104 1:36   1:484   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLAPTON 2 7 710½ 710½ 6 2 1nk (summers cha)TORRES A 123 6.00 8.16  
TRADEMARK 4 2 32 3 3 1 2nk (oliver victoria)GARCIA MARTIN 121 12.00 7.80  
BLUE DEVIL 5 4 58 58 54 3 3¾ (hiles jeff)SANTANA JR 121 20.00 14.63  
RATTLE N ROLL 3 6 610 610 76 5 4 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 123 1.40 22% 3.60 1.30  
HAPPY AMERICAN 1 8 816½ 820½ 821 813½ 5 (pessin l)GRAHAM J 123 8.00 9% 10.20 8.66  
AMERICANREVOLUTION 8 5 22 2½ 1nk 44 610 (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 35% 1.90 2.47  
WHELEN SPRINGS 6 3 4 45 43 66 711½ (schultz lindsay)FERRER C 123 12.00 18.92  
FIVE STAR GENERAL 7 1 12 1½ 2nk 7 822½ (forster t)LANERIE J 121 15.00 10% 8.70 18.69  
SCR  WARRANT               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 8.00    
 
CD-11   09/30/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:01
See original race card.
:234 :491 1:143 1:392   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRIGADE COMMANDER 7 4 43 43 3 2½ 1 (stewart dallas)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.50 6% 14.60 7.86 W
ATHENS MOON 1 1 1 11 1 1½ 2 (stall albert )GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 6.00 8.84  
10  MISSIONAIRE 10 9 7 9 7 53 3 (diodoro rob)TORRES A 120 10.00 20.52  
12  NOW THAT ICAN ROCK 12 10 86 75 5 3 43 (michael brian)MORALES EDGAR 120 15.00 34.22  
ROYAL SALUTE 2 5 54 6 6 4 5 (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 120 8.00 9% 10.00 12.24  
GIVEN TO FLY (IRE) 9 7 9 86 8 64 6 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00 5.72  
ABSOLUTELY CERTAIN 3 12 12 10 116 88 7 (pletcher tod)CORRALES GERARDO 120 10.00 31.82  
ELEGANT TRIP 6 6 6 5 9 9 8 (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 120 4.00 27% 2.70 3.07  
HOGSLAYERS R I P 4 2 3 3 4 77 910¾ (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 15.00 17.32  
11  ROYAL SANDRIN 11 11 11 11 106 10 1010¾ (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 15.00 10% 8.90 7.09  
ORBI ONE 5 3 2 21 2 1110¾ 1117¾ (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 120 8.00 8.17  
METALLURGIC 8 8 108 12 12 1214¼ 1226¾ (maker michael )GEROUX FLORENT 120 5.00 25% 3.10 6.35  
SCR  AUDEN               (mott i)GRAHAM J 120 6.00    
SCR  PILKINGTON               (diodoro rob)TORRES A 120 15.00    
SCR  PROVISIONAL               (matejka pavel)BEJARANO R 120 20.00    
SCR  WE WILL CONQUER               (medina robert)MACHADO LUAN 120 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.