Handicappers' Race Results

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Sweetwater Downs
Sunday - September 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

SWF-4   Win (4/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $19.40  
SWF-5   Win (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $8.00 $8.00 2.00
SWF-6   Win (5/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 0.20
SWF-7   Win (1/4/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $12.80 $12.80 4.80
SWF-8   Win (3/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $6.80 $6.80 0.80
SWF-9   Win (8/5/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $12.20 $12.20 4.20

Simulator Race results

 
SWF-4   09/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
1:073         1:073   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUG ZAPPER 1 2 4¼ 5   1½ 1¼ (tsosie terr)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 5.00 8.70  
CHISMOSO 2 6 6 6   2½ 2¼ (fitzpatrick ry)CARILLO DANIEL 126 8.00 5.60  
BRAVE HELIOS 5 3 5¾ 3½   3 3 (ness john)GAMEZ M 126 8.00 30.70  
DON'T ASK 3 1 1nk 4¾   42 45 (evans kash)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 3.50 2.80  
DILLON ROCKS 4 4 2nk 1nk   52 5 (bethke a)BETHKE A 126 2.00 46% 1.20 2.00  
STALKING SHADOW 7 7 7 7   64 6 (greene skyler)RAMOS MANUEL 126 8.00 5% 19.00 46.60  
BRUIN MAGIC 6 5 3.2 2nk   75 711 (schindler jef)PADILLA ANSELMO 126 4.50 25% 3.10 1.80  
 
SWF-5   09/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
1:072         1:072   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SNICKEL TE 5 6 76 6   13 14 (christoffersen)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 3.00 51% 0.90 3.00 W
SHAWTAY 4 2 21 2½   23 24 (taylor josh)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 126 6.00 5% 19.00 3.30 P
AIN'T SHE DAHRLIN 2 1 11 1½   34 3 (hall dru)LUSK TYSON 126 4.50 2.50  
MAGIC IN A HAT 6 3 4 4   45 4 (schindler jeff)BETHKE A 126 3.50 5.80  
A BUNCH FOR LUNCH 3 5 32 32   57 513¾ (ness john)GAMEZ M 126 4.00 23% 3.40 4.30  
SUE HAPPY 1 4 65 7   610 619½ (tsosie terr)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 8.00 5.70  
POSEIDON'S MAGIC 7 7 54 5   719 740 (fitzpatrick ryan)GARNETT G 126 8.00    
 
SWF-6   09/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($6.5K) 3 ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
1:08         1:08   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEAP DAY 3 3 5 33   11 11 (tsosie terr)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 2.50 32% 2.20 2.10 W
THE BUSINESS MAN 6 4 21 22   3 21 (brown ross)GAMEZ M 124 4.50 9.90  
GLORYS ROMANCE 5 1 11 12   21 3 (garfias dia)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 121 4.50 38% 1.60 6.00 S
MCBRUTAL 7 8 31 4   4 48 (christoffersen)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 12.00 5% 19.00 4.70  
FLUORITE 4 7 4 54   7 510½ (dominguez cal)DOMINGUEZ URIEL 121 3.00 3.60  
MIDNIGHT KID 2 5 6 78   6 611½ (openshaw james)CARILLO DANIEL 124 12.00 9.30  
C G BEER MONEY 1 2 72 66   5 711½ (goodrich colby)RAMOS MANUEL 124 10.00 6.70  
PERFECT SELINA 8 6 82 810   814¾ 836½ (martin francy)GARNETT G 121 10.00 13.60  
SCR  GRONKSKY               (mitchell r)GAMEZ M 124 8.00    
SCR  NAPO               (ibanez alberto)GARNETT G 124 8.00    
 
SWF-7   09/24/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
1:194         1:194   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THIRTYMINUTEMASS 2 1 65 66   1nk 13 (simpson gary)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 4.00 10% 9.50 5.40 W
ALTERNATE TIME 8 4 43 4   4 23 (greene skyler)RAMOS MANUEL 126 4.50 6% 14.60 9.50 P
SCOTTY WHO 5 6 2nk 21   31 33 (warren kayla)GAMEZ M 126 4.50 2.60  
EXTRA SAUCE 4 5 1nk 11   2nk 46 (story shaun)PADILLA ANSELMO 123 3.50 16% 5.40 4.40  
NICE WORK 1 8 8 5   5 510¼ (hall dru)LUSK TYSON 126 5.00 43% 1.30 3.90  
AUSTIN'S ACE 6 7 54 7   6 611½ (tsosie terr)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 6.00 5.60  
VISONARY STAR 7 2 3 3   7 713 (greene paul)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 126 10.00 14.60  
MEAN CANNON 3 3 7 8   8 813 (vicchrilli rus)BETHKE A 126 10.00 7.10  
 
SWF-8   09/24/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($8.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
1:18         1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAR OF STARS 5 2 11 12   13 1 (bethke a)BETHKE A 126 3.00 28% 2.60 2.40 W
BALI STAR 3 3 21 22   23 2 (story shaun)PADILLA ANSELMO 126 4.50 36% 1.80 4.70 P
BAYTOWN MACCA 4 4 43 4   45 310¼ (hall dru)LUSK TYSON 126 3.50 15% 5.50 1.00 S
KESSLER KID 2 1 32 32   35 413¼ (higgins mar)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 126 4.00 4.10  
ALPINE HYPNOSIS 1 5 58 511¼   514 523¾ (williams dewey)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 6.00 8.80  
SCR  KEENEYE GEORGE               (gibbs tyler)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 8.00    
SCR  TAPPED TO THE MAX               (bethke a)WOOD DAKOTA 126 8.00    
 
SWF-9   09/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Exacta Purse ($11.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
See original race card.
1:132         1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KONA SKYE 5 3 31 4   1nk 11 (hadley tori)KELLENBERGER KODY 128 5.00 10% 8.60 5.10 W
STREET BEHAVIOR 7 4 4 2nk   2nk 21 (giles raele)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 128 3.50 35% 1.90 1.30 P
BLUE SKYE JADE 3 1 21 1nk   3.2 33 (williams dewey)AGUILAR DANIEL 128 4.00 8% 11.60 2.60 S
TULSA TIME 4 6 11 3.2   4 4 (vicchrilli rus)BETHKE A 128 3.00 22% 3.50 4.70  
MUSKET POWDER 6 5 5 6   5 5 (scudder mike)GAMEZ M 128 10.00 10.60  
LOST THE MINISTER 1 2 6 5   6 6 (warren kayla)LUSK TYSON 128 8.00 12.10  
CREATIVE LETTERS 2 7 76 7   7 710¼ (ibanez alberto)GARNETT G 128 12.00 23.70  
SCR  SUPERMAN SHAQ               (dominguez cal)DOMINGUEZ URIEL 128 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.