Handicappers' Race Results

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Belmont At The Big A
Sunday - September 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BAQ-1   Win (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $2.80 $2.80  
BAQ-2   Win (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 0 $47.00  
BAQ-3   Win (10/11) 2 $2.00 $4.00 10 1 1 $3.00 $3.00  
BAQ-4   Win (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 1 $3.00 $3.00  
BAQ-5   Win (1/16/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 16 1 1 $5.10 $5.10  
BAQ-6   Win (7/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $11.20 $11.20 5.20
BAQ-7   Win (7/8/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $4.80 $4.80  
BAQ-8   Win (3/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  
BAQ-9   Win (14/11/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 14 1 1 $5.90 $5.90  

Simulator Race results

 
BAQ-1   09/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:112 1:232   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REVOLVING CREDIT 1 3 1nk 1½ 12 1 1 (brown c)ORTIZ L 120 0.80 40% 1.50 0.40 W
PARIS STYLE (FR) 4 1 31 3 3 2 2 (mcpeek kennet)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 4.50 3.55  
RAYYA VALENTINE 5 4 2nk 2½ 22 39 310½ (summers )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00 31.50  
DUKE GIRLS 3 2 5 5 5 512½ 414 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00 14.90  
VIVID DREAMS 2 5 42 4 43 411 514¾ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 28% 2.50 4.50  
SCR  MAGICAL SONG               (pletcher todd )CASTELLANO J 120 3.50    
 
BAQ-2   09/24/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Joseph Purse ($125K) 2 F PT- 1:36
See original race card.
:224 :461 1:103     1:231   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARA'S TIME 1 1 1½ 11   1 1 (friedman mitchell)DAVIS DYLAN 120 20.00 22.50  
CALDWELL LUVS GOLD 3 5 55 56   2 2 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 0.80 63% 0.60 0.95 P
MY MANE SQUEEZE 5 4 3 32   45 3 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.80 13% 6.50 1.35 S
MY SHEA D LADY 2 3 2½ 21   35 4 (david carlos )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 4.00 9.20  
NICKY JOLENE 4 2 43 45   523 575½ (falcone robert )ORTIZ JR 120 8.00 7.30  
 
BAQ-3   09/24/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:07
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:123 1:243   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  NOLITA 4 2 1½ 1½ 1½ 1nk 1¾ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 0.80 56% 0.80 0.50 W
NORTH END LADY 1 3 41 4 2½ 2nk 2¾ (tagg barclay)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00 5.20  
11  FOXY CARA 5 1 3½ 31 31 3 3 (friedman mitch)CASTELLANO J 120 3.50 22% 3.50 4.20 S
SHE'S A NATURAL 2 5 5 52 4 46 4 (sciacca ga)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 15.00 25.25  
SAINTE CHAPELLE 3 4 2½ 2½ 55 514 530 (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 5.80  
SCR  SPLASHY               (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00    
SCR  SHINE MY TIARA               (baker charlto)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 20.00    
SCR  LADY LAOBAN               (abreu r)CASTELLANO J 120 4.00    
SCR  KRYSTALHEIR               (coffey mar)DAVIS A 120 15.00    
SCR  STARTS NOW               (kantarmaci mert)ORTIZ JR 120 2.00    
SCR  ARISAEMA               (abreu r)ORTIZ L 124 3.00    
 
BAQ-4   09/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:39
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:113 1:24   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUSTIN BAY 6 3 2½ 3.2 1 12 1 (abreu fernando)ORTIZ JR 126 0.80 73% 0.40 0.50 W
APRIL ANTICS 2 2 4 5¾ 2 22 2 (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.50 3.90 P
TEMPERMENTAL 5 6 52 6 33 35 3 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.00 7.80  
OK HONEY 1 5 6 2nk 45 5 412 (chichakly ami)MARTINEZ R 122 8.00 5% 19.00 13.70  
FREDDYMO FACTOR 3 1 31 1nk 5 4 512 (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 117 15.00 15.30  
DUFRESNE 4 4 1½ 4¼ 6 610½ 616¾ (barrera osca)RIVERA R 117 8.00 9.90  
 
BAQ-5   09/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:11
See original race card.
:222 :453 :573     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
16  MAJESTIC RETURN 9 2 1 1   15 1 (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 25% 3.10 1.55 W
SOLIB 3 7 4 43   4 2 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00 21% 3.70 13.00 P
WEEKEND RAGS 1 6 3 2   25 3 (abreu r)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 27% 2.70 5.00 S
11  SIKUM 7 1 75 77   59 410 (camejo jose )RIVERA R 119 6.00 10.40  
15  CARBON 8 3 2 56   6 510¼ (younghans will)CASTELLANO J 124 10.00 14.40  
ROBYN AND ELI 6 5 64 6   7 610¼ (abreu fernando)DAVIS KATIE 122 30.00 55.00  
SANDY'S GARDEN 2 9 53 3   35 710½ (lee joseph)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 15.00 5% 19.00 2.70  
MONROE 4 4 87 810½   812¼ 811½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 12.00 8.60  
JACKSON AVENUE 5 8 98 911½   913¼ 913¼ (breed rona)DAVIS A 124 50.00 43.25  
SCR  BUSTIN BULLET               (miceli michael)GEROUX FLORENT 122 12.00    
SCR  FANCYPANTS JULIANA               (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00    
SCR  MADDIE'S GRACE               (kimmel j)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 8.00    
SCR  ROYAL DANCER               (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 124 5.00    
SCR  SPOOKY LADY               (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 124 8.00    
SCR  THREE GIRLS               (begg bentl)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00    
SCR  U SHOULD B DANCING               (rodriguez rudy)CASTELLANO J 124 6.00    
 
BAQ-6   09/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($40K) Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 3:43
See original race card.
:223 :462 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILLFUL DESIRE 6 3 3½ 1½   1 14 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 4.50 34% 1.90 4.60 W
VAX 3 5 4 44   45 24 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 12% 7.40 2.40 P
DANSEUR D'ORO 4 2 2nk 2½   2 34 (morey e)ORTIZ L 120 4.50 2.55  
SHASI 2 4 6 7   68 4 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00 23.30  
LUNA LOCA 1 7 7 5   56 57 (arenas marcelo)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 15.00 13.60  
DREAMAWAYSEVEN 7 1 1nk 3½   33 6 (englehart chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 3.50 29% 2.50 2.85  
PERFECT SENORITA 5 6 5 6   7100 7100 (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 118 12.00 13.30  
SCR  HOWZYOURCASHFLOW               (rodriguez ru)RIVERA R 115 3.00    
 
BAQ-7   09/24/2023 5940ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:17
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:13 1:374   1:502   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BANK FRENZY 8 2 1 15 13 14 15 (lewis l)ORTIZ JR 118 1.40 26% 2.90 1.40 W
BOYS CODE 1 6 610½ 7 4 34 25 (dixon lind)DAVIS A 118 15.00 25.00  
UNCLE MARTY 4 1 2 35 35 24 36 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 15.00 6.30  
AMEDEUS MUSIC 2 7 56 25 23 4 46 (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00 4.60  
JACKSON HEIGHTS 7 8 811¾ 6 66 510½ 514¼ (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 118 2.00 33% 2.00 2.60  
ACH DU LIEBER 6 4 46 5 78 614½ 615¾ (breed jr)DAVIS KATIE 124 15.00 5% 19.00 38.75  
SUPREME BEING 5 5 710¾ 811¾ 811 716½ 723¼ (st uriah)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 12.00 33.25  
HERE'S WALDO 3 3 34 4 5 821½ 830¼ (lucas bonnie)CASTELLANO J 124 8.00 18% 4.70 9.10  
 
BAQ-8   09/24/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Bertram Purse ($125K) 2 ALL PT- 4:49
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:104     1:234   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL GRANDE O 3 3 1½ 1   16 1 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 1.60 43% 1.30 0.70 W
AGGELOS THE GREAT 2 2 33 3   26 2 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 9% 10.30 7.10 P
BONNE CHANCE 6 5 44 45   412½ 310¼ (levine bruce)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 23% 3.40 6.60 S
SKYLER'S STARSHIP 4 6 65 614   516½ 415¼ (terranova john)CASTELLANO J 120 5.00 6.60  
DETECTIVE TOM 5 1 2½ 2   311½ 517 (asmussen m)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 3.95  
RANGER BLUE 1 4 55 511   628½ 633 (tasso mark)FRATES D 120 20.00 32.25  
SCR  TRUST FUND               (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00    
 
BAQ-9   09/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($102K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:21
See original race card.
:222 :452 :572     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
14  SPUN AND WON 6 2 32 32   31 1hd (duarte jr)ORTIZ JR 122 3.50 20% 4.00 1.95 W
LEGENDS CAN'T DIE 1 4 1½ 1½   11 2hd (weaver george)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 3.50 3.75  
12  MY HARBORS DREAM 4 3 2½ 2½   21 32 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 4.00 3.60  
11  H P MOON 3 5 4 46   44 4 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 8.00 18% 4.60 2.70  
13  EMERALD FOREST 5 1 5 5   5 54 (kantarmaci)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00 13.10  
LUCKY CURLIN 2 6 6 610   66 6 (abreu fernando)CARMOUCHE K 122 15.00 17% 4.80 10.30  
SCR  OXYMORE               (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.50    
SCR  RUN CURTIS RUN               (maker j)ORTIZ L 122 4.50    
SCR  SENBEI               (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50    
SCR  FLUID SITUATION               (terranova )GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 10.00    
SCR  FAUCI               (antonacci phili)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00    
SCR  DETROIT CITY               (sisterson jac)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 15.00    
SCR  COMEDY TOWN               (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 122 15.00    
SCR  VACATION DANCE               (kimmel c)CASTELLANO J 120 8.00    
SCR  ARTEMUS CITYLIMITS               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 6.00    
SCR  CHEWING GUM               (mott i)VELAZQUEZ R 122 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.