Handicappers' Race Results

"A Premier Resource for Horse Racing Picks, Horse Racing Tips and Longshots"
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.

Churchill Downs
Sunday - September 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $3.02 $3.02  
CD-2   Win (7/6/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $6.92 $6.92  
CD-3   Win (5/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.70 $4.70  
CD-4   Win (3/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $5.02 $5.02  
CD-5   Win (6/5/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 0 $4.04  
CD-6   Win (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $8.84  
CD-7   Win (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $29.98  
CD-8   Win (2/1/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 0 $11.42  
CD-9   Win (6/3/12/15) 4 $2.00 $8.00 15 1 1 $23.30 $23.30 15.30
CD-10   Win (11/8/7/10/13) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 0 $33.14  

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   09/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:22 :451 :571     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIKE A SALTSHAKER 2 2 12 1½   1 1 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 121 2.00 69% 0.40 0.51 W
JUNIOR BUG 3 3 5 4   3 2 (van thoma)GEROUX FLORENT 121 12.00 5% 19.00 4.31 P
SANTA CRUISER 5 4 22 2½   2 3 (cano m)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00 14.74  
VIOLENT GIGI 1 1 32 32   4 4 (contreras c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 12.00 13.42  
RISK PROFILE 4 5 43 53   57 515¼ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 3.34  
SCR  SPEND BENJAMINS               (shorter aaron)BEJARANO R 121 3.00    
 
CD-2   09/17/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:134 1:40   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEL RAYO 1 3 3 32 33 12 1 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 16% 5.30 2.46 W
RUNLIKECARL 3 2 7 6 43 22 2 (o'donnell marcus)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 10.00 15.15  
YULETIDE GALLOP 7 4 1½ 1 1 3 3 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 3.50 1.78  
THE RUSH IS ON 2 1 42 43 54 4 412½ (vosler eug)STRANDBERG MALLORY 119 20.00 58.73  
10  MOR JAZZ 9 5 6 8 6 5 517¼ (humphries thomas)NAVAS YOEL 112 15.00 31.63  
MASTER SWITCH 6 7 52 5 77 711½ 622½ (barkley jas)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 4.00 44% 1.30 3.93  
PATCH O'BRIEN 5 6 2½ 2 2 610 723¼ (garcia ge)DE CRUZ 119 3.00 17% 5.00 6.22  
RICHIESDERBYSTRIKE 8 9 96 9 911 915 825¾ (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 119 8.00 5% 19.00 9.15  
BAYTOWN CONNECTED 4 8 8 76 810 814½ 925¾ (mcentee paul)ELLIOTT JANE 119 20.00 63.02  
SCR  JACK IS BACK               (humphries thomas)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00    
 
CD-3   09/17/2023 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:232 :484 1:141 1:392   1:514   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIRABELLA 5 2 32 33 3½ 1 11 (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 1.80 26% 2.80 1.35 W
CATMINT 1 5 68 6 64 2 21 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.50 2.11  
ENGLISH TREASURE 4 1 42 44 4 5 3 (cano m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 3.00 31% 2.30 3.95 S
LASERJET 2 7 711½ 79 76 7 47 (shirer mat)SANTANA JR 120 10.00 19.74  
STAGE BELL 3 4 54 5 52 6 5 (pitts helen)CANNON DECLAN 120 12.00 33.50  
MS. LILIBET 6 3 21 2 2nk 33 6 (williamson brian)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 12.00 17% 4.80 28.82  
KICK A RHYME (IRE) 7 6 11 1 1nk 43 710 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 120 4.00 5.47  
SCR  BLUE TOPAZ               (flenner andreana)BAYS BROOKE 110 20.00    
 
CD-4   09/17/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($56K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:11     1:234   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INVALUABLE 3 4 4 4   21 1hd (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 1.60 36% 1.70 1.51 W
CHOCTAW BINGO 7 1 31 3½   11 2hd (stinson william)MORALES EDGAR 121 6.00 17% 5.00 6.12 P
CHARGE ACCOUNT 4 2 63 6   33 3 (cano m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 4.50 19% 4.30 4.34 S
MIRTH 'N MERRIMENT 5 7 5 52   5 4 (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 4.00 2.66  
FOREVER DREAMING 2 3 2½ 2nk   6 5 (cunningham )TORRES A 121 15.00 13.94  
LA TOURISTA 6 5 7 7   77 6 (vasquez sr)COURT K 121 12.00 14.23  
MY MY MUNNY 1 6 1½ 1nk   4 711 (garcia ge)DE CRUZ 121 10.00 11.27  
SCR  MUSIC AMORE               (o'connor robert)CANNON DECLAN 121 6.00    
 
CD-5   09/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:22 :452 :573     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ORANGE DIABLO 5 4 2 2nk   1nk 1 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 26% 2.80 6.54 DQ↓2
SHOGUN BE FAST 9 1 1 1nk   2nk 2 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 1.02  
WORKISLIFE 8 5 76 45   36 3 (o'donnell marcus)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 10.00 21.74  
UNREASONABLE 4 9 9 68   4 410¾ (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00 5% 19.00 10.60  
DROBNY 2 7 53 56   5 513½ (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00 12.18  
SPEEDTAIL 7 6 43 33   6 619¼ (mason ingrid)FELIX E 119 12.00 5% 19.00 12.42  
YELL COUNTY 3 8 88 79   712¾ 719½ (medina rober)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 10.00 23.86  
TECHNE 1 3 32 910¼   817¼ 833 (guerrero sal)ELLIOTT JANE 119 30.00 45.38  
TAKE CHARGE J J 6 2 6 8   9100 9100 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 2.50 39% 1.60 3.11  
 
CD-6   09/17/2023 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:242 :493 1:134 1:381   1:503   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRIDENT HIT 5 3 5 5 42 2½ 1 (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50 3.42  
ALLEGE 2 1 1 11 1½ 1½ 2 (mason ingri)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00 26% 2.80 4.43 P
PLEDGEOFALLEGIANCE 1 6 3 32 3½ 31 34 (shirer mat)SANTANA JR 122 8.00 3.18  
ICARUS 7 5 76 65 6 5 4 (van th)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 3.00 4.15  
MY BARILEY 6 7 66 75 7 65 5 (leonard iii)FELIX E 122 15.00 27.86  
HE'S GOT THIS 3 4 2 21 2½ 4 6 (hartman chri)CORRALES GERARDO 122 3.50 23% 3.40 5.11  
SUGOI 4 2 43 4 5 75 7 (casse w)CHUAN MARTIN 122 8.00 19% 4.30 4.84  
 
CD-7   09/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:221 :454 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRETCH RIDE 5 4 21 3   4 1½ (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 12.00 13.99  
AGOO 7 1 3 2nk   1½ 2½ (beckman whitw)CANNON DECLAN 119 5.00 6.85 P
10  NO JUDGMENT 9 3 5 42   3 3 (brennan terry)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 8.88  
HANDSOME HERB 1 5 11 1nk   2½ 43 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 49% 1.00 1.79  
NYQUIST FREQUENCY 4 2 76 77   7 5 (blair jordan)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 8.00 5% 19.00 18.08  
ANDY'S CANDY 2 8 65 6   5 6 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 5.00 4.93  
MAX'S MAP 6 6 42 5   67 7 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 27% 2.70 2.71  
WITH FULL HONORS 3 9 8 8   8 810¼ (simms mark)SANTANA JR 119 15.00 38.24  
MIDNIGHT MAESTRO 8 7 99 911½   911½ 910½ (stewart dall)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 21.71  
SCR  BIG BANK               (leonard george )MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00    
 
CD-8   09/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($134K) 3 F PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:212 :442 :563     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONDENSATION 8 1 54 5   3 1¾ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 4.71  
UNSUNG MELODY 3 3 11 11   1 2¾ (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 118 8.00 6.76  
10  MISS ARLINGTON 9 7 21 21   2 35 (williamson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 8.00 6.33  
NAVY GOAT 5 8 98 9   67 47 (devaux cher)TORRES A 118 15.00 6.92  
TOPSY 4 4 76 7   77 5 (asmussen steve)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 6% 15.60 5.60  
MAGICAL LUTE 1 9 8 8   8 610¼ (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 27% 2.70 4.68  
PARODY 2 6 3 43   5 710¼ (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 36% 1.80 3.88  
SOMEBODY'S PROBLEM 7 2 4 33   45 811¼ (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 6.00 12.29  
PRESENT TIME 6 5 6 67   9 913¼ (von donni)GARCIA MARTIN 120 20.00 5% 18.40 24.74  
SCR  WILMA MANKILLER               (rivelli larr)CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00    
 
CD-9   09/17/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:15 1:261   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
15  OCEAN POINTE 11 3 6 75 4 12 17 (estvanko richa)RAMOS D 118 15.00 5% 19.00 10.65 W
12  MACKILLOP 10 6 32 3 2nk 22 27 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 122 3.50 11% 7.80 7.24 P
11  OSCAR AWARD 9 10 10 10 7 3 3 (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 118 20.00 9.09 S
JUNGFRAU 7 11 117 11 10 7 48 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 5.52  
LINCOLN HIGHWAY 2 9 9 9 8 55 58 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 4.50 25% 3.10 3.08  
ALL CHOKED UP 3 4 5 5 5 6 611½ (divito p)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 10.00 17.34  
HARDY CHOICE 8 2 1nk 1 1nk 4 712½ (lynch brian )MURRILL MITCHELL 118 30.00 52.59  
UNLEASH THE POWER 4 7 8 6 6 10 813¼ (stall m)LANERIE J 122 10.00 7.44  
REDEMPTION TIME 1 8 7 8 11 9 913¾ (calhoun wil)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 12.00 12.02  
LE GRIFFON 6 5 2nk 2 31 8 1014¼ (diodoro rob)TORRES A 118 20.00 50.09  
PENSACOLA 5 1 4 4 9 1114¼ 1134¼ (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 42% 1.40 3.54  
SCR  BOCO               (hamilton troy)ELLIOTT JANE 122 30.00    
SCR  EVENT DETAIL               (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00    
SCR  MISCHIEVOUS ANGEL               (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00    
SCR  NERVES OF STEEL               (walsh p)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 15.00    
SCR  THREE ON THE TREE               (lovell michelle)CANNON DECLAN 118 30.00    
 
CD-10   09/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:223 :454 1:111     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHANCE 2 8 63 6   3 1 (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00 15.57  
11  FASHION KING 8 1 5 4   2 2 (asmussen st)TORRES A 121 3.00 49% 1.10 1.55 P
13  PASS LINE 9 4 31 1½   1 3 (williamson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 12.00 5% 19.00 6.13 S
ENOUGH ALREADY 5 9 97 96   6 46 (blair jordan)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 5.00 16% 5.30 9.62  
10  ALILNALOT 7 2 2½ 3   4 59 (catalano wa)LEPAROUX R 121 4.00 6% 16.80 5.90  
DREAMWITHINADREAM 6 3 84 8   9 6 (hiles jeff)SANTANA JR 121 12.00 7.54  
JAY BIRD 3 6 7 7   8 710½ (meah m)HEARD TYLER 121 20.00 25.14  
SPANISH DOUBLOON 4 5 1½ 2½   5 811½ (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 6.00 7% 13.50 22.03  
USAIN 1 7 4 53   77 915 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 124 15.00 4.48  
SCR  AWAY FROM HOME               (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 124 20.00    
SCR  BATTLE BORN               (king l)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 30.00    
SCR  CITY OF LOVE               (stewart dall)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.50    
SCR  PAVED IN GOLD               (rutledge lanc)PETERSON FERRIN 121 20.00    
SCR  RIVOLI               (west ethan )HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00    
SCR  SMOKE WAGON               (engler jeff)MACHADO LUAN 121 15.00    
SCR  UNWRAPPED               (engler jef)RODRIGUEZ A 121 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.