Handicappers' Race Results

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Belmont At The Big A
Sunday - September 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BAQ-1   Win (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $10.00  
BAQ-2   Win (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $6.30  
BAQ-3   Win (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 0 $8.90  
BAQ-4   Win (1/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $26.00 $26.00 20.00
BAQ-5   Win (6/5/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $6.80 $6.80  
BAQ-6   Win (6/5/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $8.30 $8.30 0.30
BAQ-7   Win (8/1/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $7.00 $7.00  
BAQ-8   Win (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $2.90 $2.90  
BAQ-9   Win (7/5/6/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 0 $194.50  

Simulator Race results

 
BAQ-1   09/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:222 :461 1:101     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHAKY PANTS 4 1 2½ 21   12 1 (sharp joe)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 2.50 4.00  
NEW YORK STRONG 6 2 3 32   35 2 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 1.20 50% 1.00 0.90 P
WAR STRIDE 3 3 1½ 11   22 3 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 121 15.00 11.20  
TREBLE CLEF 1 5 58 56   612 416½ (mott i)ORTIZ L 121 2.50 13% 6.70 2.80  
PARTY WITH SMARTY 5 4 4 4   511 516¾ (gutierrez james)DAVIS KATIE 121 20.00 22.40  
MOON FROLIC 2 6 610½ 67   411 6100 (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 10% 9.40 10.70  
 
BAQ-2   09/17/2023 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:36
See original race card.
:224 :453 :571     1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KERRY 3 4 3 3   2nk 1¼ (sharp joe)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00 2.15  
MASTEROF THE TUNES 5 6 7 7   61 2¼ (lee joseph)ORTIZ L 124 6.00 8.60  
IM JUST KIDDIN 6 5 52 52   3.2 3¼ (kimmel c)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 35% 1.80 2.90 S
ITSAKEYPER 1 7 6 63   7 4 (albertrani th)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 5.00 5.90  
THEODORA GRACE 7 1 4 4   5¾ 5 (klesaris rob)RIVERA R 117 12.00 25.00  
GET THE CANDY 2 2 1½ 1½   1nk 6 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 124 2.50 29% 2.50 4.60  
FONTANAFREDDA 4 3 2½ 2½   4¾ 7 (bond jam)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00 6% 15.60 5.30  
SCR  SUE ELLEN MISHKIN               (walder r)CASTELLANO J 124 2.00    
 
BAQ-3   09/17/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($105K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:07
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:111 1:232   1:351   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MESSIDOR (IRE) 1 4 59 5 53 1nk 1nk (clement christ)CASTELLANO J 122 4.50 3.45  
ADAAY IN ASIA (GB) 2 6 4 4 4 2nk 2nk (clement christoph)CARMOUCHE K 122 12.00 13.30  
FAVOR 5 3 34 33 3 4 3 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 122 5.00 4.40  
TRAFFIC SONG 3 2 21 21 2½ 52 48 (toner j)ORTIZ L 124 8.00 5% 19.00 7.40  
OK HONEY 6 5 612½ 611 69 610 514¼ (chichakly ami)MARTINEZ R 122 50.00 45.25  
FAITH IN HUMANITY (FR) 4 1 11 11 1½ 3½ 614¾ (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 124 0.60 69% 0.50 0.70  
SCR  BALPOOL               (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00    
SCR  GERRYMANDER               (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 122 0.60    
SCR  MOVIE MOXY               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 126 2.00    
SCR  TAKNTOTHECLEANERS               (west w)ALVARADO JUNIOR 126 10.00    
 
BAQ-4   09/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 2:39
See original race card.
:223 :461 1:11     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RINGY DINGY 6 1 4 32   1nk 1 (gargan danny)DAVIS KATIE 119 8.00 5% 19.00 12.00 W
VALUE AREA 8 4 3.2 11   2nk 2 (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 21% 3.90 5.70 P
1A  CATHERINE WHEEL 2 3 5 4   3 3 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 1.20 59% 0.70 0.30  
MARTINGALE 1 6 6 65   5 4 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 1.20 0.30  
MATAGORA BAY 5 2 1nk 21   46 5 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 15.00 23.00  
MONTEGO BAY (IRE) 4 5 2nk 5   610½ 614¼ (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00 10.00  
ALTHENA 7 7 7 8   714½ 720 (paragallo jenn)LAPRIDA JEREMY 119 50.00 58.75  
WAKE UP LAUREN 3 8 8 77   817½ 824¼ (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 10.00 13.30  
SCR  AUDACIOUS               (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.00    
 
BAQ-5   09/17/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 3:11
See original race card.
:231 :474 1:133 1:37   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
B D SAINTS 6 5 1½ 11 1 1 1 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 3.00 34% 1.90 2.40 W
EZ ROLL 7 7 6 7 5 2 2 (morley thomas)VELAZQUEZ R 119 12.00 17.70  
ERIC FROM MIAMI 1 8 98 9 106 108 3 (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00 8.50 S
VIN SANTO 9 9 10 10 95 8 4 (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 119 4.50 6.40  
DUNEDIN CAUSEWAY 4 10 88 8 8 7 5 (paragallo jenn)LAPRIDA JEREMY 119 20.00 77.00  
10  BENZODINI 10 4 2½ 21 2 35 6 (asmussen steven )LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00 12.80  
FROZEN FOUR 3 3 7 54 6 4 7 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.00 20% 4.00 2.90  
CHARGING FAST 5 2 55 64 7 98 8 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50 25% 3.10 3.50  
DILLON 2 1 32 3 4 5 9 (schettino do)RIVERA R 114 20.00 56.25  
A KNIGHT'S COURAGE 8 6 4 43 3 6 1010¼ (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 12.00 37.75  
SCR  KING FREUD               (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 119 12.00    
SCR  PATRONAGE               (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50    
SCR  SCOOP THE POT               (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00    
SCR  SEBASTIANTHE FIRST               (delgado h)LUZZI J 119 8.00    
SCR  SPECIALAGENTJONSON               (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00    
 
BAQ-6   09/17/2023 5280ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:113 1:233   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUALITY G 6 8 75 7 53 1nk 1 (pletcher a)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50 58% 0.70 3.15 W
EXTREME ACCESS 1 1 32 3 3 2nk 2 (falcone robe)RIVERA R 115 10.00 9.70  
MIRACLE MIKE 9 10 1010¾ 1011½ 10 5 3 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00 4.00  
WILLINTORISKITALL 5 4 5 5 6 4¾ 4 (d'angelo fr)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 11% 8.50 6.10  
KINGFISH STEVENS 4 3 11 1 11 3.2 54 (kantarmaci mertka)CARMOUCHE K 118 5.00 8% 12.00 3.85  
11  FRONT MAN 10 9 8 9 9 6 6 (kantarmaci me)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 8.00 15.60  
BRICCO 3 5 9 8 76 8 7 (bond james)DAVIS KATIE 122 15.00 5% 19.00 25.00  
LORD GATLING 2 2 65 6 8 9 810¼ (pringle )MARAGH RAMSAY 122 30.00 86.25  
MISTER ABARRIO 7 7 43 4 43 10 910½ (atras rob)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00 6.30  
CARLIN CLAN 8 6 21 2 21 7 1010½ (falcone n)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 12.00 13.40  
SCR  ADDICTED TO YOU               (sciacca ga)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 30.00    
SCR  BLAME D RULE MAKER               (duarte jr)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00    
SCR  FREDO               (sano antonio)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 3.00    
SCR  MUDVILLE NINE               (atras rob)RIDER TBA 118 8.00    
SCR  SKI PATROL               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 8.00    
SCR  ST. JOE LOUIS (GB)               (hennig mark)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.50    
 
BAQ-7   09/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:17
See original race card.
:222 :454 :582     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOVING PICTURES 1 3 3 52   5 1 (rodriguez ru)RIVERA R 116 4.50 9% 9.80 2.50 W
MAKAR 6 7 5 4   31 2 (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00 5% 19.00 5.60 P
HATCH (GB) 7 5 6 63   6 3 (martin f)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.40 61% 0.60 1.40 S
EXCESS DEMAND 2 2 2nk 2½   41 4 (potts wayn)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00 21.30  
KBCYA LATER 8 4 4 31   2½ 5 (sharp joe)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 8% 11.20 4.40  
DADS GOOD RUNNER 5 8 8 77   7 6 (fisher linda)MARTINEZ R 123 30.00 25.75  
SARATOGA BANKER 4 1 1nk 1½   1½ 7 (dini mik)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 15.00 19.50  
M B'S MUNNING 3 6 7 8   813¼ 817¼ (potts wayne)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 15.00 28.50  
SCR  HYPER SPEED               (englehart jerem)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50    
 
BAQ-8   09/17/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($102K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:49
See original race card.
:252 :51 1:153 1:384   1:504   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FILM STAR 3 1 11 11 11 1 1 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 1.40 38% 1.60 0.45 W
CONSTITUTIONLAWYER 5 4 42 4 21 2 2 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 7.00  
IRON WORKS 4 2 21 21 31 3 3 (pletcher t)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 5.00 33% 2.00 5.20 S
WILD BANKER 2 5 5 5 53 410½ 412¼ (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 122 8.00 4.50  
SOUTHERN DISTRICT 1 3 31 31 4 513 515¼ (de horac)RIVERA R 117 15.00 19.30  
SCR  COSTA TERRA               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 2.00    
SCR  LAUGHING BOY               (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 20.00    
 
BAQ-9   09/17/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:21
See original race card.
:23 :482 1:131 1:371   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIRAMONTE 3 1 2nk 1 1 1½ 1½ (gyarmati leah)MARTINEZ R 122 50.00 96.25  
12  P MONEY 12 2 1nk 2 2 2½ 2½ (klesaris rob)RIVERA R 113 20.00 53.00  
SHINSUN 8 12 1111¾ 10 9 7 31 (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00 8.10  
TIMBUKTU 1 8 8 8 7 6 41 (dutrow e)ORTIZ L 124 4.50 11% 8.20 3.20  
BARREL OF QUESTS 4 6 3 4 3 3 5 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 20.00 5% 19.00 53.25  
11  BE OF COURAGE 11 9 1011¼ 12 1210½ 10 62 (pregman jr)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00 3.40  
LACHAISE 7 4 6 55 54 5 73 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 27% 2.70 3.60  
MORETHANAFEELING 9 3 4 3 4 4 8 (servis tyler)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00 27.75  
SONIC SPEED 2 7 9 9 10 9 9 (morley thomas)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 8.00 10.30  
WHISTLER'S HONOR 6 10 7 7 8 11 10 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 6.00 14% 6.20 9.30  
10  NOBLE HUNTSMAN 10 11 1211¾ 11 118 12 11 (friedman mitchell)DAVIS KATIE 118 20.00 55.00  
BOURBON CHASE 5 5 5 6 6 8 1210 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00 24% 3.20 7.50  
SCR  ACHILLES HEEL               (rodriguez ru)RIVERA R 117 8.00    
SCR  MR. KRINGLE               (terranova p)CARMOUCHE K 124 10.00    
SCR  SELL SOMETHING               (sciacca gary)LEZCANO JOSE 122 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.