Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Thursday - September 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (4/3/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $6.34 $6.34  
CD-2   Win (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $8.20 $8.20 2.20
CD-3   Win (11/2/4/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 11 1 1 $5.88 $5.88  
CD-4   Win (2/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $27.56  
CD-5   Win (5/9/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $21.02  
CD-6   Win (1/4/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $49.40 $49.40 41.40
CD-7   Win (7/4/14/9/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 14 1 1 $13.42 $13.42 3.42
CD-8   Win (5/9/10/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $4.68 $4.68  

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   09/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
See original race card.
:223 :454 1:101     1:223   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INEXORABLE 3 6 5 33   1 1 (diodoro rob)TORRES A 121 3.00 28% 2.50 2.17 W
DUAL MONARCHY 2 4 33 43   2 2 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 21% 3.70 3.13 P
CAPTIVATED DRAMA 5 2 1 1   3 311½ (miller kenny)LANERIE J 118 4.00 5.73  
SOUND DOCTRINE 1 3 2 2   4 413¾ (shirer a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00 13% 6.40 6.80  
JEWELSTOWN 4 5 65 55   5 513¾ (peitz c)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 4.00 4.78  
STAR NATION 6 7 715 716½   716 618 (spagnola i)RODRIGUEZ A 118 12.00 6% 14.60 14.45  
JUDO 7 1 44 6   612 722½ (blair jordan)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 8.00 6.06  
SCR  OVERLY D'ORO               (bahena ismael)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 15.00    
 
CD-2   09/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:29
See original race card.
:23 :454 1:103 1:231   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KOUFAX 1 1 11 1 11 1 12 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 122 3.00 15% 5.70 3.10 W
CAN'T HUSH THIS 4 2 21 2 21 2 22 (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 122 2.50 1.84  
COOL RAGS 2 3 65 69 58 37 3 (foster eri)RODRIGUEZ A 122 3.50 10% 9.00 2.45 S
MOHAAFETH 3 6 4 4 4 5 414 (donjuan serg)CORRALES GERARDO 122 8.00 9.90  
ALFIO 6 5 5 56 6 610 517¼ (quartarolo an)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 10.00 19.29  
MINE OWN STAR 5 4 3 3 3 47 618 (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 5.00 47% 1.10 4.35  
SCR  THE HONORABLE ONE               (engler jeff)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 8.00    
 
CD-3   09/14/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:58
See original race card.
:224 :461 :582     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  SALT SPRAY (IRE) 10 1 1nk 1nk   1½ 1¾ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 121 3.00 42% 1.40 1.94 W
PINFIRE 5 2 4 44   3 2¾ (tomlinson m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 10.00 16.33  
CIGARETTE BOAT 2 3 2nk 2nk   2½ 33 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 22% 3.60 1.33 S
TASTERFOR THE KING 6 5 7 7   7 4 (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 121 8.00 14.91  
10  LEVEE WAS DRY 9 6 6 6   66 5 (stall albert )GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 12.00 52.86  
COMMAND' ORO 7 8 54 5   44 6 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 121 12.00 6% 16.10 11.58  
CUORE SACRO 4 4 3 33   54 7 (lynch a)GRAHAM J 121 5.00 10% 9.20 5.82  
HALMSTAD 3 9 1010¼ 1011¾   910½ 8 (rutledge lance)GILLIGAN JACK 121 12.00 64.65  
AIRBORNE ELITE 1 10 8 8   89 98 (vaccarezza carl)CANNON DECLAN 121 12.00 22.83  
AMERICAN RAIDER 8 7 9 9   1011 1011 (castillo ri)LEPAROUX R 121 10.00 5% 19.00 44.42  
SCR  MR. COMMANDER               (king l)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 20.00    
 
CD-4   09/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:10     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BACKSIDE BUZZ 1 4 11 1   14 1 (vance d)LANERIE J 118 12.00 12.78  
GOLD LUCK 4 5 6 43   24 2 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00 13.99  
KATTATH 2 3 31 65   4 37 (schultz lin)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 2.50 50% 1.00 0.66 S
RIDER'S SPECIAL 5 6 7 7   5 47 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 3.49  
CAPTAIN JACK 3 2 21 32   35 5 (wilkes r)NAVAS YOEL 111 6.00 12.85  
BOAT SONG 7 7 5 53   6 615¾ (robertson mclean)ROCCO S 121 5.00 15% 5.90 14.78  
BALSA 6 1 4 2   711 724¼ (contreras cipriano)EMIGH A 118 3.50 11% 8.40 7.68  
 
CD-5   09/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 6:56
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:143 1:403   1:472   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UMEBOSHI 4 1 21 21 2½ 2½ 1¾ (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 119 5.00 9.51  
REMEMBERING 5 2 3 32 31 42 2¾ (mccarthy michae)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.00 25% 3.00 2.36 P
MY FAVORITE GIRL 1 4 4 4 42 31 3 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 2.71  
SHE'S ARODEOQUEEN 3 3 11 11 1½ 1½ 42 (tomlinson m)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 8.06  
TAKETHESILVER 2 9 6 76 54 5 5 (devaux cherie)LANERIE J 119 4.00 15% 5.50 8.55  
IUKA MISS 9 8 96 6 76 710½ 613 (stall m)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 3.50 21% 3.70 5.07  
MOTEL MISCHIEF 7 6 54 54 64 6 715 (leonard iii)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 10% 8.60 18.80  
COLLIER 6 7 8 88 8 813 825¾ (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 119 20.00 24.25  
SESSA SISU 8 5 7 98 98 914 931½ (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 6.00 11.37  
 
CD-6   09/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 2 F PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:22 :454 1:11     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIBBER 2 8 87 6   3½ 11 (calhoun will)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 8.00 5% 19.00 23.70 W
SAM'S TREASURE 1 7 42 3   1½ 21 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 122 2.50 29% 2.50 1.16 P
ZADORSKY 3 6 6 4   42 3 (catalano wa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 5.00 23% 3.40 12.08 S
TWIRLING QUEEN 7 1 3 2nk   2½ 4 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 122 8.00 5.16  
RAINING SUGAR 6 4 7 8   66 512½ (mott riley)TORRES A 122 8.00 6.38  
STREAMING NOW 4 2 1½ 1nk   5 620 (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 122 3.50 24% 3.20 3.39  
TOO FAST FOR YOU 8 5 54 7   79 725½ (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 122 15.00 44.32  
DOT 5 3 2½ 5   8 829¼ (alvarado jua)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.50 10.64  
SCR  JUDY ELAINE               (brown paul)STRANDBERG MALLORY 122 30.00    
 
CD-7   09/14/2023 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:54
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:122 1:381   1:502   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
14  RED RUN 12 6 6 6 6 1nk 1 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 5.00 14% 5.90 5.71 W
YAMATO 6 11 1110¼ 1113 9 2nk 2 (maker michael )GEROUX FLORENT 122 2.50 28% 2.60 1.99 P
ENGLISH TAVERN 3 3 5 5 4 3½ 33 (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00 26% 2.90 6.15 S
COWBOY JUSTICE (GB) 2 1 32 4 5 55 4 (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 122 20.00 13.44  
LAUGH A LOT 4 7 7 8 7 4 5 (drury thomas)HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00 5% 19.00 5.93  
TRAFALGAR 1 10 10 1010½ 11 7 610¾ (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 15.00 15.71  
12  THE REDS 10 8 8 99 10 8 711¾ (sharp joe)VELAZQUEZ R 122 10.00 12.11  
SAMYAZA 5 9 9 7 8 6 813¼ (robertson mclean)ROCCO S 122 20.00 49.80  
10  TEMPER TANTRUM 8 5 4 3 31 910¾ 921 (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 10.00 31.12  
STORM THE COURT 7 4 1nk 22 2½ 1111¾ 1023 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 122 4.50 7% 13.60 10.39  
11  TATANKA 9 2 2nk 12 1½ 1011¼ 1123 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 10.00 11.00  
13  WHAT A COUNTRY 11 12 1213¼ 1220 1221¼ 1221¾ 1237¾ (shirer a)LANERIE J 122 20.00 54.64  
SCR  BRIGADIER GENERAL               (stewart dall)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 5.00    
SCR  ETHICAL JUDGEMENT               (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 122 4.00    
SCR  KING'S OVATION               (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 122 3.00    
SCR  QUADRA ISLAND               (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 120 8.00    
SCR  SANT' ANTIMO               (hiles jeff)SANTANA JR 118 20.00    
 
CD-8   09/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:23
See original race card.
:212 :451 :574     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUNGIUS 8 8 8 8   3 13 (diodoro rob)TORRES A 120 4.00 15% 5.50 1.34 W
MAHONEY ROAD 4 3 2nk 1   1 23 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 48% 1.10 4.84 P
BOLT ABOVE 2 10 6 33   2 36 (shirer a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00 6.22  
BORN FLAWLESS 1 7 43 54   43 47 (heitzman eri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00 16.28  
TROPIC STORM 7 2 7 64   55 5 (habeeb j)BEJARANO R 121 8.00 9.77  
10  MIDWAY MIRACLE 9 9 1012¼ 9   8 612¼ (short thoma)HERNANDEZ J 121 5.00 8% 11.50 14.82  
LEND IT TEWMEY 6 1 5 7   67 713 (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 121 6.00 8.40  
11  GO VIRTUAL 10 5 9 1010¾   1013 818¼ (gonzalez reina )GILLIGAN JACK 121 20.00 54.19  
SWIMMINGWITHSHARKS 5 4 3 2   7 919 (cano munoz)CANNON DECLAN 121 10.00 5% 19.00 10.79  
MISTER SHARPIE 3 6 1nk 4   911½ 1022¼ (foster eri)RODRIGUEZ A 118 10.00 17.82  
SCR  DAVID'S TUITION               (baker james)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.