Handicappers' Race Results

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Kentucky Downs
Wednesday - September 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KD-1   Win (7/11/10/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 11 1 1 $22.10 $22.10 14.10
KD-2   Win (9/7/11/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $17.48 $17.48 9.48
KD-3   Win (1/12/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.04 $4.04  
KD-4   Win (6/7/10/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $6.88 $6.88  
KD-5   Win (6/12/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 0 $35.80  
KD-6   Win (10/8/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $10.00 $10.00 2.00
KD-7   Win (1/11/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 11 1 1 $12.84 $12.84 4.84
KD-8   Win (7/9/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $27.22 $27.22 19.22
KD-9   Win (12/7/6/8/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 12 1 1 $29.46 $29.46 19.46
KD-10   Win (9/10/5/13/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 1 $6.36 $6.36  

Simulator Race results

 
KD-1   09/13/2023 4290ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($150K) 2 F PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:22 :454 1:094     1:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  ASTERNIA 9 1 1nk 1½   12 1¾ (morse l)CHUAN MARTIN 119 8.00 26% 2.80 10.05 W
13  TURINO 10 11 5 2½   22 2¾ (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 10.00 13.08  
TAYLORS MAGIC 6 9 7 6   35 32 (briley lonnie)COURT K 119 30.00 5% 19.00 56.94 S
DR. RAY D. 7 7 6 5   45 4 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00 3.06  
TURF ROCKET 2 10 1211¼ 1110   6 54 (o'dwyer jeremiah)ORTIZ L 119 10.00 13.40  
MOVIN' ON UP 5 3 4 42   5 6 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 43% 1.30 1.49  
15  MAUI MISTRESS 12 4 3 73   79 7 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 20.00 82.46  
SATIN BLUE 3 12 10 9   8 810¼ (sharp joe)ROSARIO JOEL 119 10.00 7.08  
14  SUCRE CECILE 11 2 2nk 31   910 913¼ (foster eri)RODRIGUEZ A 119 30.00 50.74  
KOHARA (IRE) 4 6 8 85   1112 1013¾ (meah m)HEARD TYLER 119 30.00 50.54  
FLY HIGH BIRDIE 1 8 11 1210½   1214 1114¾ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 20.00 46.33  
10  STAR PERFORMANCE 8 5 9 10   1011½ 1215¾ (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 5.00 9% 10.60 7.79  
SCR  ALMOND FUDGE               (gutierrez f)TORRES A 119 20.00    
SCR  FUN AS ALL GIT OUT               (short thomas)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 30.00    
SCR  OCEAN MERMAID (GB)               (ward a)ORTIZ L 119 2.50    
SCR  YAREE D TAT               (gilliam b)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 119 30.00    
 
KD-2   09/13/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($150K) 2 ALL PT- 2:02
See original race card.
:223 :444 1:093 1:214   1:344   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRST WORLD WAR 1 6 31 65 2nk 12 12 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 15.00 5% 19.00 7.74 W
TIRELESS 8 9 8 75 31 22 22 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00 3.31  
10  SHERIFF JOE 10 7 4 2½ 4 4 3 (maker j)ORTIZ L 119 10.00 11.07  
COASTAL BRINK 7 1 1nk 1½ 1nk 3 410½ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 6.00 25% 3.00 9.08  
TENNESSEE LAMB 4 11 11 1110½ 11 5 512¼ (arnold r)LANERIE J 119 10.00 25.55  
AMERICAN DECISION 9 4 6 86 9 7 612¾ (thomas jonathan)CANNON DECLAN 119 4.50 28% 2.60 16.95  
JACKED 3 12 9 9 7 6 714½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 12.00 6.73  
SHOTGUN RUNNER 6 10 1212¼ 1214½ 1211¾ 1213¾ 815 (blair jordan)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 15.00 52.79  
11  VERACRUZIN 11 8 10 108 10 911 916½ (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 3.50 23% 3.40 2.68  
12  DIVINE EMPIRE 12 5 7 5 55 810½ 1018¼ (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 119 5.00 7.39  
NOBLE GENTLEMAN 5 2 5 3 6 1012½ 1119½ (demeritte larry)BEJARANO R 119 30.00 42.48  
LAST ATTACK 2 3 2nk 43 8 1113½ 1220½ (gelner jayd)TORRES A 119 20.00 43.86  
SCR  ELM STREET               (nihei michelle)ORTIZ L 119 15.00    
SCR  HOLD MY BOURBON               (reed r)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 30.00    
SCR  LUCERITO BLANCO               (salas feli)RODRIGUEZ A 119 30.00    
SCR  WITHOUT EQUAL               (lund valorie)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 20.00    
 
KD-3   09/13/2023 4290ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($50K) Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:34
See original race card.
:21 :441 1:074     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUTADORE 1 1 22 21   12 1 (ward a)ORTIZ JR 121 1.80 65% 0.50 1.02 W
SPYCRAFT 7 2 12 11   22 2 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 6.00 11.01  
12  VOODOO ZIP 9 6 57 5   37 3 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 121 12.00 6% 15.90 4.77 S
PURE PANIC 5 3 46 3   47 49 (foster eri)RODRIGUEZ A 121 8.00 5% 19.00 13.81  
MAILMAN MONEY 6 5 6 7   7 5 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 10.00 9.39  
11  BRAZILLIONAIRE 8 4 36 4   5 6 (englehart jeremi)LEZCANO JOSE 121 20.00 12.27  
TILTED TOWERS 2 7 7 67   6 711¼ (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 121 3.50 5.04  
CASANOVA KITTEN 4 9 911¾ 9   810¾ 812¾ (ginter raymo)CORRALES GERARDO 121 20.00 41.02  
SEVEN SCENTS 3 8 8 8   911¼ 919 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 121 30.00 34.75  
SCR  EMERALD EXPRESS               (ramirez luis )GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 30.00    
SCR  EPIMYTHIUM               (meah m)HEARD TYLER 121 30.00    
SCR  LINCOLN CITY               (lyster s)GRAHAM J 121 12.00    
 
KD-4   09/13/2023 4290ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($160K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:06
See original race card.
:214 :444 1:084     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMPLEMENTATION 7 9 43 31   32 1¾ (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.00 15% 5.90 2.44 W
FOXTROTANNA 8 1 1½ 11   12 2¾ (wojczynski ju)PETERSON FERRIN 121 12.00 26.04  
10  WESTERN COMMAND 10 3 2½ 21   22 3 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 6.00 12% 7.30 16.63 S
JUDGE DAVIS 9 11 7 6   5 4 (mcgaughey c)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 8.00 13.94  
MANEUVER 1 8 1113¼ 12   6 5 (perez manny)BEJARANO R 118 20.00 47.09  
CHIRINGO 3 7 910¼ 10   9 6 (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00 15.97  
11  ZARTOWNIS 11 2 65 7   4 7 (devaux cher)TORRES A 121 10.00 10.96  
ZAMBEZI 6 5 5 52   7 85 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 5.00 52% 0.90 10.28  
ARABIAN PRINCE 5 12 1213¾ 11   106 9 (barnett bobby)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 8.00 8.63  
MENDEL'S SECRET 2 4 8 9   11 107 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 118 12.00 3.20  
12  MUMAYAZ 12 6 33 4   8 11 (peitz c)GRAHAM J 121 20.00 5% 19.00 14.34  
EDDIE M 4 10 1010¼ 8   12 1216¼ (walsh p)ORTIZ L 118 10.00 9.53  
SCR  GILDED RULER               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 15.00    
SCR  KING ME               (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00    
SCR  LE GRIFFON               (diodoro rob)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00    
SCR  VOCALIZE               (de hor)SANTANA JR 121 6.00    
 
KD-5   09/13/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($150K) 2 F PT- 3:41
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:101 1:222   1:344   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  SHOW OFF 9 6 2½ 1 12 1 1 (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00 16.90  
SISTINA CHAPEL 6 1 7 6 33 2 2 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.50 45% 1.20 1.71 P
11  CAIRO STREET 10 7 4 2 22 33 3 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 15.00 7.16  
CLEOPATRA'S NILE 2 3 3 5 5 5 4 (joseph saf)SANTANA JR 119 12.00 17.53  
FLORIBUNDA 4 11 63 7 4 4 5 (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 5.33  
CHRISTINABARCELONA 3 9 10 11 7 68 612 (mcgaughey claude)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00 10% 9.40 8.04  
12  BUSINESS AS USUAL 11 10 11 10 9 810½ 714 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 22% 3.60 6.74  
SILVER MAJESTY 1 4 1½ 3 65 710 816 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 15.00 9.81  
NORTHERN ROAD 8 8 9 9 1111¼ 913½ 919 (o'dwyer jerem)PETERSON FERRIN 119 30.00 5% 19.00 52.37  
PRAY FOR CHAMPAGNE 7 2 5 4 8 1114 1023½ (arnold george )GEROUX FLORENT 119 15.00 13.47  
ADELLEGATOR 5 5 8 86 10 1013½ 1123¾ (davis christoph)CANNON DECLAN 119 15.00 36.51  
SCR  BEETS               (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 119 10.00    
SCR  REALISTIC GOAL               (perez manny)BEJARANO R 119 30.00    
SCR  STEPHANIESWARRIOR               (capps a)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 12.00    
SCR  TONALITE               (oliver victoria)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00    
 
KD-6   09/13/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($180K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:14
See original race card.
:222 :441 1:08 1:201   1:324   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOMINICAN PIONEER 4 3 1½ 1½ 12 1 11 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 122 12.00 6% 15.70 4.00 W
10  BIG BLUE LINE 8 6 65 5 54 2 21 (mcgee paul)ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00 44% 1.30 5.87 P
KENTUCKY GHOST 3 8 7 7 4 4 3 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.50 11% 8.20 1.85 S
EVER SMART 5 1 3 32 32 33 4 (drysdale nei)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 20.00 11.34  
ELUSIVE TARGET 6 7 8 8 7 67 5 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 30.00 23.36  
MAX K. O. 7 2 2½ 2½ 22 56 611¾ (maker j)ORTIZ JR 122 5.00 17% 4.80 3.25  
FENWICK STATION 2 5 4 42 6 7 714¾ (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 122 12.00 25.85  
CLEAR VISION 1 4 5 6 8 8 816¾ (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 122 8.00 7.71  
SCR  MAIN EVENT               (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 122 10.00    
SCR  WIN FOR THE MONEY               (casse mark)ORTIZ L 122 3.00    
 
KD-7   09/13/2023 4620ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($160K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:221 :453 1:092     1:214   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  HOWBOUTDEMAPPLES 10 1 21 2½   1½ 12 (d'amato phili)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 3.00 24% 3.20 5.42 W
10  TITUBA 9 9 9 8   3 22 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00 30.84  
PRIVATE CREDIT 8 2 11 1½   2½ 33 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 4.05 S
JENNY LIND 5 10 10 10   9 4 (asmussen steve)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 11.91  
MISS PEABODY 3 8 8 7   4 5 (newton troy)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 30.00 5% 19.00 17.87  
SAHLABIYA 1 6 6 6   6 6 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 1.80 34% 1.90 1.32  
PURE COUNTRY 4 7 7 32   8 7 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 121 10.00 19% 4.30 5.31  
BEL ARIA 6 3 43 5   5 86 (foster eri)RODRIGUEZ A 121 20.00 46.17  
BUTTONS 7 5 3 42   7 9 (sharp joe)ROSARIO JOEL 118 20.00 14.70  
SONADOR 2 4 53 9   10 10 (hernan)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 121 30.00 58.91  
SCR  CANDLE               (mcgaughey c)LEPAROUX R 118 4.00    
SCR  LAMASCO               (gutierrez f)TORRES A 121 4.50    
SCR  MISS SHIPMAN               (briley lonnie)COURT K 118 30.00    
SCR  QUEEN OLLY (IRE)               (motion graham)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50    
SCR  SEDUCE               (mott i)VELAZQUEZ R 121 30.00    
SCR  THE CLUB               (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 121 10.00    
 
KD-8   09/13/2023 4290ft TURF RC11 FIRM Pepsi Juvenile Sprint Purse ($500K) 2 ALL PT- 5:21
See original race card.
:214 :451 1:094     1:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VOTE NO 3 4 5 32   3 1¾ (morey willia)CORRALES GERARDO 120 20.00 5% 19.00 12.61 W
HEDWIG 6 2 21 2½   1nk 2¾ (harty eoin)GRAHAM J 120 2.50 57% 0.80 1.19 P
PLEASE ADVISE 1 9 7 54   44 3 (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 120 15.00 9% 9.60 5.11 S
JIMMYTHETOOTH 2 7 8 76   5 4 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00 4.71  
BLEDSOE 8 1 11 1½   2nk 5 (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 120 4.50 10% 8.80 4.90  
DARKROOM 7 3 6 8   710¼ 6 (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 120 15.00 24.79  
GO OTTO GO 5 5 32 43   6 712¼ (asmussen steve)GEROUX FLORENT 120 10.00 8.68  
BAYTOWN BAMA GIRL 4 8 9 910   812¼ 812½ (mcentee paul)MICHEL MICKAELLE 115 30.00 89.42  
10  UNTROUBLED 9 6 4 65   915¼ 924½ (caramori eduardo)LEZCANO ABEL 120 30.00 62.22  
SCR  GOOD LORD LORRIE               (weaver george)ORTIZ L 120 2.00    
 
KD-9   09/13/2023 4290ft TURF RC11 FIRM Pepsi Untapable Purse ($500K) 2 F PT- 5:54
See original race card.
:204 :442 1:094     1:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  CROWN IMPERIAL 10 7 9 8   2nk 1 (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 120 6.00 24% 3.20 13.73 W
11  COPPER EM 9 3 33 5   3½ 2 (asmussen st)TORRES A 120 12.00 5% 19.00 11.06 P
10  BUTTERCREAM BABE 8 11 6 43   1nk 3 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00 5.56  
HIDDEN CLASS 4 8 1111¼ 11   8 4 (sharp joe)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.50 19% 4.30 3.07  
ZO LEE 6 9 10 10   9 5 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 20.00 13% 6.60 15.95  
HONEY DIJON 3 6 7 7   5 6 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 12.00 7.68  
13  SWEETCATHERINEROSE 11 5 5 6   6 7 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 118 15.00 27.93  
CANDI GIRL 1 2 1nk 11   41 8 (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 120 6.00 7.79  
SONG OF NORWAY 5 1 2nk 21   73 910½ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 4.00 19% 4.20 3.78  
MYA'S HALO 2 4 4 33   10 1019¼ (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 120 8.00 11.90  
TESTAMENT (ARG) 7 12 1218¼ 1216¼   1215¼ 1120¾ (atras rob)GEROUX FLORENT 120 12.00 25.42  
14  JUDY ELAINE 12 10 8 9   1111¼ 1222½ (brown paul)STRANDBERG MALLORY 120 30.00 ######  
SCR  DETERMINED DRIVER               (schoenthal ph)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 20.00    
SCR  DETERMINED SAIL               (schoenthal )LEPAROUX R 120 30.00    
SCR  FAIRHOPECURLY               (morey william)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 20.00    
 
KD-10   09/13/2023 4290ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:28
See original race card.
:214 :451 1:091     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  FANCY CABER NEIGH 8 2 12 12   1 1 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 13% 6.40 2.18 W
KARA AND COLLEEN 7 10 9 75   3 2 (joseph saffie )GEROUX FLORENT 121 3.00 49% 1.00 4.72 P
11  WORDS OF PRAISE 9 1 5 3   2 3 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 121 12.00 11.52  
WARWOMAN 3 5 6 54   5 4 (torres concepcion)BEJARANO R 124 12.00 5% 19.00 17.26  
SNOW PRINCESS 4 3 3 4   4 58 (mott i)GRAHAM J 121 4.50 10% 9.50 5.50  
LAST GLIMMER 1 4 1012¾ 1010½   710 610 (mcgaughey claude)ORTIZ L 121 20.00 9.10  
PONTRESINA 6 9 22 22   6 710¼ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 20.00 16.49  
12  AGENT 10 7 7 6   811½ 818¾ (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 20.00 23.56  
TAKE SHAPE 2 8 4 9   913½ 919¾ (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 121 15.00 10.66  
TIDAL TACTICS 5 6 8 87   1015 1024 (lauer micha)TORRES A 121 6.00 5.90  
SCR  KID'S LAST LAUGH               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00    
SCR  LA COPA               (macias adolfo)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 30.00    
SCR  MARKET PROFILE               (heath destin )GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 30.00    
SCR  REINA DEL BALI               (monday kevin)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 30.00    
SCR  SKIP TO THE BEAT (IRE)               (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WHISKEY DIAMOND               (bush s)MURGIA A 121 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.