Handicappers' Race Results

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Sweetwater Downs
Sunday - September 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

SWF-3   Win (5/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $36.20 $36.20 30.20
SWF-4   Win (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $8.00 $8.00 2.00
SWF-5   Win (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 0 $10.80  
SWF-6   Win (3/7/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $21.80 $21.80 13.80
SWF-7   Win (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $11.80 $11.80 7.80
SWF-8   Win (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $9.60 $9.60 3.60

Simulator Race results

 
SWF-3   09/10/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($6.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
1:232         1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INDIAS BIG RED 1 1 2nk 11   11 1 (martin fran)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 6.00 5% 19.00 17.10 W
FANCY GYPSY JU 4 3 6 68   32 2 (goodrich colb)CERVANTES OSCAR 121 4.50 42% 1.40 3.10 P
B D R TIMBERLY 5 7 4 713   5 3 (hansen l)VIRGEN JESUS 123 10.00 5.50  
PADDYS FOUR ROSES 6 4 5 33   21 45 (hall dru)LUSK TYSON 126 2.50 1.60  
GRONKSKY 7 5 7 44   42 5 (mitchell chris)BETHKE A 124 3.50 28% 2.50 3.20  
PERFECT SELINA 3 6 3.2 57   715½ 620½ (martin francy)CARILLO DANIEL 121 12.00 11.90  
NAPO 2 2 1nk 21   611½ 727 (ibanez alberto)JIMENEZ DAVID 124 8.00 8.50  
SCR  ANDRADITE               (hansen l)FINN AISLINN 121 8.00    
 
SWF-4   09/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($8.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
1:142         1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR HONEY BUNNY 3 2 2nk 1nk   1nk 11 (scudder ric)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 3.00 16% 5.20 3.00 W
CHAYS CURLIN CANDY 5 6 5 4¾   2nk 21 (giles chad)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 126 2.00 36% 1.80 3.10 P
ALLISON'S SURPRISE 1 4 6 6   49 3 (mitchell chri)CERVANTES OSCAR 126 5.00 5.50  
IMAMONEYMAKER 6 5 1nk 2nk   35 416 (mitchell r)LUSK TYSON 124 4.50 26% 2.80 3.10  
JOE'S LILIBET 4 3 4 5   5 516 (taylor josh)LARSEN S 126 3.50 3.30  
LEIGH ANN 2 1 3.2 3½   614¼ 622½ (dominguez call)BETHKE A 126 5.00 6.50  
 
SWF-5   09/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
1:053         1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAR OF STARS 2 1 1½ 13   15 18 (bethke a)BETHKE A 126 4.50 3.40 DQ↓3
ALTERNATE TIME 5 2 43 23   25 28 (greene skyler)VIRGEN JESUS 126 4.00 4.40  
BOURBON AND WATER 1 3 3 33   3 3 (story shaun)PADILLA ANSELMO 126 2.50 74% 0.40 2.30 P
SOUTHWESTERN HOPE 3 4 7 7   4 412¾ (bunn shawn)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 126 12.00 5% 19.00 11.20  
MUSCLE HEAD 7 6 6 5   510½ 514¾ (tsosie terr)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 10.00 4.10  
WYOMING CONQUEST 6 7 5 6   611½ 617¼ (hall dru)CERVANTES OSCAR 126 6.00 3.60  
FLY FIRST CLASS 4 5 2½ 44   711½ 717¾ (thompson grady)LARSEN S 126 6.00 22.20  
SCR  ACE AND KINGS               (mitchell r)LUSK TYSON 126 8.00    
SCR  MAINTAINANCE MATT               (hall dru)LUSK TYSON 126 3.00    
 
SWF-6   09/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($7.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
1:073         1:073   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUG ZAPPER 4 2 2½ 1nk   15 1 (womochil je)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 8.00 5% 19.00 9.90 W
CALL SPIKE 7 1 1½ 2nk   25 2 (mitchell r)LUSK TYSON 126 4.00 29% 2.40 2.40 P
SUGAR SHANE 5 6 4 3½   36 39 (bunn shawn)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 124 6.00 9.20  
BUMPER POOL 6 7 7 41   48 411½ (ibanez alberto)JIMENEZ DAVID 126 3.50 5.50  
VISONARY STAR 8 5 5 53   511 519 (womochil jeff)GARNETT G 126 8.00 7.70  
JHAWK FLYER 1 3 3 6   614 621¼ (dennis clifton)CARILLO DANIEL 126 4.50 4.80  
TWIST OF FATE 2 4 6 7   729 746¼ (warr scott)VIRGEN JESUS 126 8.00 5% 19.00 8.40  
B MAKER 3 8 8100 8100   8100 8100 (thompson grady)BETHKE A 126 5.00 33% 2.00 3.60  
 
SWF-7   09/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($8.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
1:07         1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BALI STAR 2 1 43 3   12 1 (story shaun)BETHKE A 126 2.50 72% 0.40 4.90 W
RAFAEL'S SURPRISE 3 2 21 1½   22 2 (schindler jeff)JIMENEZ DAVID 126 4.50 7.50 P
MOON HOLLOW 5 6 65 64   34 36 (nielsen rodney)VALENZUELA R 126 5.00 6.60  
AFTER BURN 7 4 54 53   44 47 (womochil je)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 126 10.00 5.00  
CHISMOSO 4 7 76 76   5 5 (fitzpatrick ryan)GARNETT G 126 10.00 5% 19.00 7.80  
DOGE OF VENICE 1 8 810 87   6 610½ (thompson grady)LARSEN S 124 3.50 4.00  
LEAPSTER 6 3 32 42   7 712½ (scudder mik)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 10.00 2.80  
WARSHARK 8 5 11 2½   8 813¾ (hall dru)LUSK TYSON 126 6.00 10.40  
 
SWF-8   09/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
See original race card.
1:123         1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DR GS SWEETIE 4 1 1 12   14 1 (hadley tori)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 6.00 10% 8.70 3.80 W
TICKET LADY 5 4 42 22   24 2 (giles raele)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 126 4.00 4.30  
MAGIC IN A HAT 1 2 2 33   38 311 (schindler jeff)LUSK TYSON 126 5.00 3.50  
TIME FOR KISSES 3 5 53 54   410 414½ (openshaw james)JIMENEZ DAVID 126 3.50 53% 0.90 1.20  
AIN'T SHE DAHRLIN 2 3 3 44   514 522 (hall dru)CERVANTES OSCAR 126 3.00 11% 8.40 4.60  
SCR  A BUNCH FOR LUNCH               (ness john)MARTINEZ R 126 6.00    
SCR  ALWAYS A TIZ               (ibanez alberto)JIMENEZ DAVID 126 8.00    
SCR  BOLD LEGEND               (garfias jorge)CARILLO DANIEL 126 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.