Handicappers' Race Results

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Monmouth Park
Sunday - September 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MTH-1   Win (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 7 1 1 $6.60 $6.60 2.60
MTH-2   Win (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $15.60  
MTH-3   Win (9/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $5.40 $5.40  
MTH-4   Win (7/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $9.60  
MTH-5   Win (11/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $5.80 $5.80  
MTH-6   Win (1/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $8.80 $8.80 2.80
MTH-7   Win (8/10/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $9.40 $9.40 3.40
MTH-8   Win (7/11/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 10 1 0 $11.40  
MTH-9   Win (9/8/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  
MTH-10   Win (9/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.80 $4.80  

Simulator Race results

 
MTH-1   09/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT-12:40
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:133 1:273   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEL PENSIERO 4 2 2nk 2nk 1nk 1½ 1 (margotta anthony)MOYA F 115 10.00 21% 3.70 2.30 W
MIDNIGHT HEIRESS 5 3 33 32 2nk 2½ 2 (ward dan)JUAREZ NIK 119 4.50 1.30  
THE CLASSY ONE 2 5 46 43 34 3 313¼ (breen j)LOPEZ PASCACIO 115 4.00 30% 2.30 2.10 S
PERSPICACIOUS (ARG) 3 1 1nk 1nk 4 4 413½ (milne joan)MARIN SAMUEL 120 10.00 9.20  
POSTINO'S PROPHECY 1 4 57 54 5 5 518½ (einhorn kim)TORRES JOMAR 124 12.00 15.60  
SCR  BRAMBLE BAY               (falcone n)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.00    
SCR  PROUD MULE               (ward dan)RIVERA R 110 10.00    
SCR  RIDING PRETTY               (owens jr)RENDON JAIRO 115 2.50    
 
MTH-2   09/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57.5K) 2 ALL PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:223 :461 :593     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOLT OF AURUM 1 6 4 45   3 1 (duarte jr)CAMACHO SAMY 117 4.00 6.80  
TIZ MARKS SPIRIT 2 4 510½ 5   56 2 (margotta anthony)MOYA F 117 10.00 5% 19.00 20.60 P
DOLLAR LIBERTY 3 5 610½ 68   66 3 (pletcher a)RENDON JAIRO 117 2.00 32% 2.10 1.00 S
FOR SOME REASON 6 1 3 21   2½ 43 (delgado jorge)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 3.50 2.20  
HORSEPOWER 4 3 11 11   1½ 5 (orseno f)FERRER C 117 2.50 44% 1.30 4.60  
TWO'S A CROWD 5 2 21 3   44 610¼ (ryan s)MARIN SAMUEL 117 15.00 14.50  
SCR  CHARLIE'S EXPRESS               (sacco gregor)RIVERA R 112 6.00    
 
MTH-3   09/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:223 :464 :594     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIO MARIA 4 1 1½ 14   16 110¾ (hernandez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 6.00 5% 18.10 1.70 W
WHISKEY AND RAIN 2 3 5 5   57 210¾ (simon linda)COTTO L 118 30.00 25.80  
KEEP ON ROCKIN 1 6 42 35   36 312 (dini mike)RENDON JAIRO 118 8.00 7% 14.30 2.00 S
12  ZULLY BELLA 6 4 32 45   4 412¼ (hernande)MARAGH RAMSAY 116 20.00 23.90  
10  BABY CAKES 5 2 2½ 24   26 516 (ortega m)FERRER C 118 12.00 4.70  
NEVER PERSONAL 3 5 66 610½   610 617¼ (falcone n)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.00 2.70  
SCR  MY REAL DREAM               (flores-coba fe)HERNANDEZ ANDY 118 30.00    
SCR  HARD TO CATCH               (spina charles)MOYA F 118 15.00    
SCR  GET LOADED               (sacco d)OLVER MADISON 111 3.50    
SCR  DELIGHTFUL DIXIE               (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 118 8.00    
SCR  CYMBAL COURT               (orseno f)MARIN SAMUEL 118 3.50 66% 0.50    
SCR  BINGO STAR               (delgado h)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 6.00    
SCR  YELOMA               (hogan wi)GONZALEZ JR 123 30.00    
SCR  BENEVOLENTLY               (hennig mark)TORRES JOMAR 118 20.00    
 
MTH-4   09/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57.5K) 2 F PT- 2:10
See original race card.
:214 :451 :574     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DONE ENOUGH 6 2 1nk 1   16 1 (sweezey kent)RENDON JAIRO 117 4.00 3.80  
POWER SQUEEZE 7 1 6 4   26 2 (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 110 3.00 27% 2.70 2.60 P
MILDOON 1 7 7 5   4 39 (huston rory)VARGAS A 117 6.00 12.10  
HOPESNDREAMS 5 3 2nk 2   36 413 (dini mike)MARTIN MATTIE 110 4.50 25% 3.10 3.30  
SHARP EYES 2 6 5 35   5 514¾ (david a)CAMACHO SAMY 117 6.00 17.70  
MACANGA 4 5 4 6   612¼ 625¼ (dobles elizabe)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 6.00 4.10  
SPEIGHTFULELECTION 3 4 33 7   715¼ 726½ (motion graham)JUAREZ NIK 117 3.50 13% 6.40 4.70  
SCR  SPANISH GIRL               (delgado jorge)BATISTA A 117 12.00    
 
MTH-5   09/10/2023 7920ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Presious Passion Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:40
See original race card.
:261 :512 1:17 1:431 2:084 2:35   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SERIFOS 1 2 3 4 2nk 1½ 1 (motion graham)JUAREZ NIK 118 8.00 14% 6.10 1.90 W
11  PORTOS 6 5 66 31 3 3 2 (potts wayne)RENDON JAIRO 118 4.50 37% 1.70 2.20 P
NO SALT 4 1 1 11 1nk 2½ 3 (volk scott)FERRER C 118 20.00 5.90  
10  AFFABLE MONARCH 5 6 5 5 4 4 4 (duarte jr)MARIN SAMUEL 118 6.00 3.30  
SHADIZAAR 3 46 4 6 6 513½ 524¼ (gulyas peter)USKE S 118 20.00 25.10  
BE HERE 2 33 2 21 59 613½ 635¼ (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 118 10.00 23% 3.30 5.70  
SCR  IT CAN BE DONE               (sacco d)TBA 118 6.00    
SCR  OCEANS MAP               (sacco gregory )LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 4.00    
SCR  ROCKEMPEROR (IRE)               (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 118 1.80    
SCR  SY DOG               (motion graham)TBA 118 2.50    
SCR  TIZ A GIANT               (trombetta m)RODRIGUEZ A 120 15.00    
 
MTH-6   09/10/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
See original race card.
:25 :493 1:141 1:403   1:471   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAST BREAK 1 1 1nk 2nk 1nk 11 1 (falcone robe)ROWLAND MADELINE 124 4.50 56% 0.80 3.40 W
SOUPER ROYAL MOON 3 6 31 1nk 2nk 21 2 (perez carlos)RIVERA R 119 12.00 4.50  
SPACE ODESSEY 5 4 5 4 31 3 3 (gonzalez claudio)TORRES JOMAR 120 10.00 8.00  
VIKRAM 7 5 6 5 5 55 4 (hernandez a)MARIN SAMUEL 120 8.00 7% 14.20 1.60  
LORD MIO 2 2 2nk 3.2 4 44 511 (gonzalez claudio)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.00 14% 6.20 4.20  
MAJOR KONG 6 7 7 712¾ 710¾ 68 611¾ (ward dan)IORIO MELISSA 113 15.00 16.30  
BAM BAM WARRIOR 4 3 4 6 6 711 726½ (torres p)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 12.00 14.10  
SCR  SOUPER CATCH               (atras rob)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 2.50    
SCR  WILLY MC               (david a)OLVER MADISON 113 3.00    
 
MTH-7   09/10/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:241 :492 1:141 1:401   1:471   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMEDIC TIMING 5 2 45 3 1nk 1 12 (farro patricia)CAMACHO SAMY 121 3.50 30% 2.40 3.70 W
BRINDISI 4 5 2 21 2nk 2 22 (gomez pompeyo)MARIN SAMUEL 121 8.00 0.80  
GONNA BE EPIC 3 4 57 5 4 3 32 (ortega leopoldo )TORRES JOMAR 121 15.00 13.20  
10  TRUEBELIEVE 6 1 1 11 3.2 4 4 (barrera os)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 8.00 22% 3.60 6.20  
CALLOWAY PEAK 1 6 6 6 6 510½ 512 (ward dan)JUAREZ NIK 121 8.00 12% 7.50 4.00  
BOOM BOOM KABOOM 2 3 35 4 5 615½ 626¾ (gallimor)GONZALEZ JR 121 30.00 16.50  
SCR  BILLY'S GOT ISSUES               (handal raym)VARGAS A 116 4.00    
SCR  GRATIA PRINCE               (o'connell kathle)RENDON JAIRO 116 6.00    
SCR  MOST WANTED MAN               (maker michael )LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 3.00    
SCR  SHIMMERING LEROID               (dini mike)FERRER C 119 10.00    
 
MTH-8   09/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
See original race card.
:222 :454 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  AWESOMEBROTHERBILL 10 3 2 3   23 1 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 117 12.00 4.70  
12  FATIH 12 1 1 1   13 2 (paterno t)JUAREZ NIK 117 15.00 6.70  
11  BET OF THE CENTURY 11 4 4 46   4 3 (ramirez sil)VARGAS A 117 5.00 18% 4.50 4.00 S
BET HE'S READY 7 11 8 2   3 4 (diodoro robertin)CAMACHO SAMY 121 2.00 60% 0.70 2.60  
FUN AT THE FORT 6 10 7 57   5 5 (mcburney patrick)RENDON JAIRO 124 6.00 14.00  
WESTOVER 5 8 106 710   7 66 (mcburney p)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 12.00 42.60  
V MART 1 12 95 67   6 7 (avila carlos)OLIVERO A 117 10.00 11.90  
TIEMPO PERFECTO 8 5 5 810¼   811¾ 8 (hogan wi)GONZALEZ JR 117 30.00 81.10  
SMOOTH RICO 2 9 6 1013¼   913¾ 910¾ (gonzalez cla)ROWLAND MADELINE 117 15.00 21.10  
QUICKENING 3 7 12 912¼   1013¾ 1011 (gonzalez claudi)OLVER MADISON 110 8.00 10.10  
BODONTKNOW 4 6 11 1113¼   1114¾ 1113¼ (nunn douglas)IORIO MELISSA 113 15.00 5% 19.00 48.80  
COWBOY JIM 9 2 3 1215¼   1224¾ 1234½ (hills timothy )LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 6.00 9.70  
 
MTH-9   09/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:222 :463 :592     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY SHYLOCK 8 3 31 2nk   1 15 (falcone robe)RIVERA R 112 4.50 45% 1.20 0.70 W
LONDON LADY 5 5 64 6   4 25 (lucas bonnie)RENDON JAIRO 121 10.00 13% 6.40 5.80 P
QUICK POWER NAP 7 1 5 5   5 36 (rodriguez rudy)ARROYO S 121 4.00 15% 5.80 4.20 S
MYSTIC DREAMS 2 8 811½ 7   7 4 (mazza w)IORIO MELISSA 112 10.00 20.80  
COMODA 1 6 4 4   3 5 (skelton dawn)MITCHELL RICHARD 117 20.00 47.50  
RIGBY 4 2 21 3.2   2 6 (camejo jose )ROWLAND MADELINE 121 10.00 5% 19.00 13.10  
INFLUENTIALOUS 3 4 11 1nk   6 7 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 117 3.00 6.60  
RAINOUT 6 7 711 810¼   8 812¾ (torres p)ROJAS EDUARDO 121 30.00 70.90  
SCR  LEMON TAFFY               (henry neville)BROWN DALTON 121 30.00    
SCR  SEDONA ROCKS               (harris holl)RODRIGUEZ A 121 6.00    
SCR  WHATCHAMACALL               (delgado h)OLVER MADISON 110 3.50    
 
MTH-10   09/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57.5K) 2 ALL PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:141 1:281   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THEDINGOATEYOBABY 1 3 2nk 1nk 21 1nk 12 (russell brittany)RENDON JAIRO 117 2.00 32% 2.10 1.40 W
SMOOTH PLAYER 4 9 913½ 910½ 5 4 22 (avila carlos)OLIVERO A 117 5.00 7.30 P
REDFIELD 5 7 44 4 31 3.2 3 (schultz lindsay)JUAREZ NIK 117 15.00 16.80  
DONT ROCK THE BOAT 9 2 1nk 2nk 11 2nk 4 (owens ed)MARAGH RAMSAY 117 3.00 45% 1.20 2.70  
ULTIMATE STRIKE 6 8 55 5 45 5 513¼ (pino v)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 4.00 2.90  
AGUILA REAL 7 6 77 7 7 711¼ 613¾ (gomez pompeyo)MARTINEZ ERASMO 117 20.00 74.50  
ZAVA 8 1 66 8 8 611¼ 722¼ (hills a)CAMACHO SAMY 117 6.00 22.70  
WELL TIMED (GER) 3 5 8 6 9 917¼ 832¼ (foglia antho)RIVERA R 112 15.00 5% 19.00 51.20  
AVES MAKIN' WAVES 2 4 31 31 6 816¼ 932¼ (martin f)TORRES JOMAR 117 15.00 28.00  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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