Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Thursday - August 31, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 0 $9.20  
PEN-2   Win (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 0 $12.00  
PEN-3   Win (9/7/10/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $14.80 $14.80 4.80
PEN-4   Win (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $14.00 $14.00 8.00
PEN-5   Win (7/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $2.80 $2.80  
PEN-6   Win (3/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $10.80  
PEN-7   Win (7/8/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $5.40 $5.40  

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   08/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:221 :452 :58     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEWSDLEY 1 2 1 11   12 1¾ (sinnefia paulina)TORRES JOMAR 118 6.00 3.60  
SUGAR SMILE 3 4 45 44   32 2¾ (crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00 3.70  
SEA ART 5 1 2 21   22 32 (carrascojr )RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 25% 3.10 3.10 S
ME DARLIN KATHLEEN 2 3 33 31   4 4 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 118 3.00 4.00  
NAIL POLISH 4 5 513 510   5 5 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 2.50 31% 2.20 1.90  
SCR  CHEM MAJOR               (carrascojr victo)HIRALDO JOHN 120 10.00    
SCR  WILL OR WON'T               (kreiser timot)INIRIO J 124 6.00    
 
PEN-2   08/31/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17K) 2 F PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:233 :481       1:012   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONTEMPTUOUS MISS 2 1 3 3   22 1 (albright)SMITH DANIEL 108 6.00 5.00  
BERNIE'S DREAMING 3 2 21 12   12 2 (bailes w )ORTIZ ORLANDO 118 2.50 55% 0.80 1.00 P
MARIA SAYS SO 4 3 4 43   3 3 (aristone t)CASTILLO A 118 10.00 3.00  
TWIN E 1 4 11 22   47 421¼ (crane clovis)INIRIO J 118 3.50 23% 3.40 2.40  
SCR  BELLA CARMELINA               (aristone phil)DE KEMICH 111 3.00    
SCR  WILD CREATION               (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 118 3.00    
 
PEN-3   08/31/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:222 :46 1:093 1:22   1:34   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY RUNNING CAT 7 4 43 4 3 31 1 (crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00 13% 6.50 6.40 W
MISCHIEF WARRIOR 6 8 55 3 2 21 2 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.00 2.50  
10  GETTIN'DOWNONIT 10 6 1 1 1 11 34 (beecher mark)MENDOZA JHONATAN 122 6.00 10% 9.30 7.20 S
MACHO HONCHO 1 1 8 6 7 4 4 (salvaggio michae)CONNER TYLER 120 12.00 5% 19.00 5.70  
ROAN FOR THE ROSE 9 5 3 5 54 5 56 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 122 3.50 50% 1.00 2.30  
RIVERBOAT BANDIT 8 9 6 8 8 7 6 (cifarelli fran)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 30.00 98.50  
THE MAN TO SEE 4 7 78 7 6 9 7 (dowling willi)INIRIO J 122 4.00 6.80  
RED DEVOLUTION 5 3 2 2 4 8 813¾ (albright amy)TUNON JORDANO 122 12.00 35.50  
OMERTA CODE 2 10 1018 1013½ 1014¼ 10 915 (arce josue)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 30.00 27.00  
WICKED IRISHMAN 3 2 910 9 911¾ 6 1022¼ (wolfe jr)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 15.00 5% 19.00 40.40  
 
PEN-4   08/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:222 :46 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNION FOLLY 4 2 1nk 2nk   1½ 1¾ (houghton thomas)BEATO INOEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00 6.00 W
KAZ MUSIC 2 5 6 42   3½ 2¾ (sinnefia paulina)CONNER TYLER 120 3.50 5.30  
LET'S GO MO 1 7 710½ 7   7 35 (miller marlin)INIRIO J 115 50.00 30.70  
MADI'S TUNE 3 3 2nk 1nk   2½ 4 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.00 27% 2.70 4.90  
HAPPY RIDE 6 6 52 5   53 59 (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00 48% 1.10 0.80  
UPTOWN SERAPHINA 7 1 41 31   4 6 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 6.00 10.20  
MIGHTY GIN GIN 5 4 3½ 6   6 716¼ (carrascojr )HERNANDEZ A 122 4.50 10.40  
 
PEN-5   08/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:132 1:262   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILL TAKE ROSES 6 3 2 2 2½ 1nk 1 (o'callahan )RODRIGUEZ R 120 1.40 65% 0.50 0.40 W
HIDDEN SPRINGS 5 2 1 1 1½ 2nk 2 (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 4.50 6.20  
MANI PEDI 2 1 3 3 3 3 3 (castillo michel)RIVERA D 122 8.00 26.70  
TONALA 4 6 615 515 515 56 4 (santaella-calde)OCASIO M 120 6.00 5% 19.00 12.30  
MIKEY'S JEWEL 1 5 57 46 45 44 5 (salinas jose)FLORES E 120 6.00 8% 11.30 8.50  
FAVORITE DOLL 3 4 47 6100 6100 6100 6100 (ferreira fernando)CORA D 120 6.00 5.30  
SCR  CREME CARAMEL               (caban e)RUIZ ELISEO 113 8.00    
 
PEN-6   08/31/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:121 1:374   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COOL COMEDIAN 5 3 3 52 3 1nk 1 (synnefias panagi)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 4.40  
CAERUS 1 2 53 4 4 4¾ 2 (lucas bonnie)INIRIO J 120 5.00 5.70  
COLONEL MOORHEAD 6 4 2½ 2½ 2nk 2nk 3 (rathman eli)RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00 9% 10.20 6.70 S
SHANGHAI CANDY 4 5 75 74 6 6 49 (kreiser c)CORA D 120 4.50 3.90  
REBEL RULER 3 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 3.2 5 (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 34% 2.00 4.40  
MY REDEMPTION 7 7 6 6 5 5 612½ (sullivan elliott)HIRALDO JOHN 120 4.00 21% 3.80 3.30  
FORECLOSURE 2 6 42 3 7 7 718½ (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 120 10.00 6.80  
 
PEN-7   08/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:222 :46 :583     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAYNT BY NUMBER 7 6 22 1½   11 13 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 2.50 44% 1.30 1.70 W
HIGHWAY QUEEN 2 7 711½ 6   43 23 (miller m)SMITH DANIEL 113 12.00 8.00  
JUSTICE OR APPEAL 1 2 12 2½   21 3 (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 118 10.00 5.10  
SCOREBOARD LILY 4 4 5 5   33 4 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 2.00 7% 13.00 4.20  
ESTA CHUCK 3 8 812 710   7 510¼ (jacavone john )VILLEGAS JERRY 120 30.00 59.40  
HOP TO A DECISION 6 5 6 811½   8 612½ (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 10.00 10.10  
ROSE VALLEY 8 1 43 44   5 713 (beattie m)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 3.00 17% 4.70 4.30  
BOUND BY TRUTH 5 3 33 34   6 819¾ (stites flint )INIRIO J 120 8.00 7% 13.10 9.90  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.