Handicappers' Race Results

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Ellis Park
Sunday - August 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ELP-1   Win (3/6/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $11.18  
ELP-2   Win (9/3/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $21.18 $21.18 13.18
ELP-3   Win (3/7/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $8.26  
ELP-4   Win (16/7/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $5.20 $5.20  
ELP-5   Win (4/9/11/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $5.54 $5.54  
ELP-6   Win (6/2/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $14.36  
ELP-7   Win (4/7/10/9/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $4.26 $4.26  
ELP-8   Win (9/5/1/3/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $13.78 $13.78 3.78
ELP-9   Win (10/4/1/6/13) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $8.52 $8.52  

Simulator Race results

 
ELP-1   08/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:223 :454 :582     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOON MAGIC CHRISSY 3 1 21 1nk   1½ 1½ (danner doug)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00 4.59  
CONDIMENT GIRL 1 4 11 2nk   2½ 2½ (diodoro rob)TORRES A 122 2.00 19% 4.30 1.31 P
SPARKLE OF HOPE 4 5 5 3   35 310¾ (foley greg)LANERIE J 122 4.00 1.89  
EMPIRE OF MY OWN 5 2 4 45   4 413½ (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 2.50 21% 3.80 7.85  
GOLDBLOODED 2 3 3 5   5 520¼ (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 3.00 6% 16.90 5.99  
SCR  JACKIE'S SPIRIT               (vaccarezza carl)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00 27% 2.80    
 
ELP-2   08/27/2023 5940ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:131 1:374   1:502   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MINE OWN STAR 6 3 32 32 3 11 1 (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 12.00 5% 19.00 9.59 W
SUGOI 3 1 2nk 1nk 1nk 21 2 (engler jeff)LANERIE J 123 2.00 15% 5.70 0.73 P
KAZAN (IRE) 5 6 5 5 55 5 3 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J null   11% 8.00 3.92 S
COURAGEOUSLY 2 4 45 45 4 44 4 (capps a)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 12.00 13.37  
CODE RUNNER 4 5 69 6 67 6 5 (caramori caio)MACHADO LUAN 123 8.00 12.53  
PALACE KITTEN 1 2 1nk 2nk 2nk 3 68 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 123 2.50 4.13  
SCR  CALL OF HONOR               (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 123 6.00 51% 1.00    
SCR  COUSIN LARRY               (lovell michelle)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 8.00    
SCR  KOUFAX               (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 123 5.00    
 
ELP-3   08/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:231 :463 :583     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UPSTRIKER 7 2 2½ 1½   12 1 (navarrete a)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 3.00 3.13  
SUMMER SPLASH 6 3 31 2½   22 2 (gibson dewa)TORRES A 122 6.00 7% 13.20 4.25 P
NEPOTISM 5 6 52 4   44 3 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 122 8.00 5% 19.00 3.44 S
SAMURAI PRINCE 3 4 4 5   3 4 (miller kenny)MORALES EDGAR 122 2.50 60% 0.70 4.05  
POLE SETTER 1 5 7 7   7 59 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 122 5.00 3.84  
AERONAUT 4 7 63 6   6 6 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 15.00 10.62  
DARK TIMBER 2 1 1½ 3   56 712¾ (fletcher kevin)MACHADO LUAN 122 6.00 14.44  
SCR  HERD IMMUNITY               (tomlinson a)GRAHAM J 122 10.00 8% 12.30    
 
ELP-4   08/27/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:131 1:252   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEPICTION 5 4 3½ 3 1nk 1 1 (devaux cher)TORRES A 119 3.00 28% 2.60 1.60 W
10  COASTAL BRINK 8 6 43 53 31 3 2 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 20.00 32.77  
SNEAD 6 7 66 7 5 77 3 (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 119 3.50 10% 8.80 5.09 S
VIVA VOCE 1 2 5 43 64 66 4 (mott riley)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00 15.52  
13  ONE RED CENT 10 10 8 9 9 4 5 (jazdzewski)RODRIGUEZ A 114 20.00 33.18  
PLAY IT LOUD 4 5 7 6 8 8 6 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 14.78  
QUIET RUSH 3 1 1nk 21 42 55 79 (arnold r)CHUAN MARTIN 119 20.00 27.70  
11  KITTY HAWK (GB) 9 3 2nk 11 2nk 2 89 (oliver victo)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 2.78  
KOBE W 7 8 910 8 7 99 914 (o'neill doug)LANERIE J 119 15.00 5% 19.00 11.02  
ASAASY 2 9 1016 1016¼ 1015¼ 1019 1024¼ (pletcher to)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 6.00 9.05  
SCR  BRIE'S MISSION               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00    
SCR  BRITISH SEA               (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 119 1.60 36% 1.80    
SCR  J T'S IMAGINATION               (sharp joe)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 20.00    
SCR  MANDATORY MEETING               (blair jordan)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 15.00    
SCR  POLAR BEAR PLUNGE               (casse mark)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00    
SCR  THANKS FRANK               (von donni)GARCIA MARTIN 119 10.00    
 
ELP-5   08/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:23 :463 :591     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE PROCESS 5 1 2nk 1nk   1½ 1 (devaux cher)TORRES A 119 3.50 24% 3.20 1.77 W
SHAKIN LOOSE 2 3 4 4   32 2 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 5.00 31% 2.20 5.12 DQ↓5
MUAZARAH 1 6 7 6   5 3 (pletcher to)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 6.00 7.77 P
KNOW WHO YOU ARE 4 5 5 52   6 4 (cowans d)ACHARD ALEX 119 15.00 5% 19.00 5.34 S
11  SEARCY 7 7 31 2nk   42 5 (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.00 23% 3.30 2.97  
BURGUNDY ROYALE 3 4 1nk 3½   2½ 6 (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 20.00 14.12  
10  STORMIN LOVE 6 2 6 7   7 7 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 9.04  
SCR  BIG BANK               (leonard george )TALAMO JOSEPH 119 20.00    
SCR  BLACK IRON               (asmussen steven )MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00    
SCR  MOONLIGHT ROAD               (wilkes r)NAVAS YOEL 112 15.00    
SCR  UNREASONABLE               (arnold r)GRAHAM J 119 8.00    
 
ELP-6   08/27/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:26 :521 1:17 1:403   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOMS MOON 3 1 1 1½ 1nk 12 11 (arnold r)GILLIGAN JACK 123 12.00 6.18  
MUCHO MOJO 2 2 3 42 4 22 21 (foster eri)RODRIGUEZ A 118 5.00 28% 2.60 4.91 P
MADISON LUVS DUKE 1 6 9 9 7 3 3 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 4.50 13% 6.50 3.21 S
TRES SOLES 5 3 53 5 31 44 4 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 4.00 38% 1.70 3.44  
GET THROUGH 8 9 6 7 6 55 5 (vanden berg)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 8.00 5.03  
HEY BOSS 4 5 7 6 83 6 6 (van thomas)CANNON DECLAN 123 20.00 5% 19.00 11.65  
HOUSED 7 4 2 2½ 2nk 7 77 (davis christ)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00 10.42  
NAVY SOUL 6 8 8 8 94 88 89 (pittman bonnie)MORALES EDGAR 123 30.00 38.70  
10  COALMINER'S KITTEN 9 7 4 32 5 910 914½ (quinonez max)GRAHAM J 118 12.00 10.92  
SCR  HIDDEN ENEMY (IRE)               (asmussen st)TORRES A null      
 
ELP-7   08/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:222 :453 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AWESOME ROAD 3 4 2½ 1nk   1½ 1 (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 2.50 39% 1.60 1.13 W
STRONGHOLD 6 2 3½ 2nk   2½ 2 (d'amato philip)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 6.00 5% 19.00 5.35 P
11  TIME SONG 8 7 6 6   5 312¾ (pletcher to)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 6.00 5% 19.00 3.63 S
10  CHRYSO ALOGO 7 5 41 3   3 413½ (cox h)CHUAN MARTIN 119 6.00 5% 19.00 9.22  
REMEMBER THE FEAR 5 6 810 712   612 514¾ (catalano wa)TORRES A 119 8.00 28% 2.60 9.10  
EVENING NEWS 4 1 53 5   4 615¾ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 10.00 21.91  
STRUCTURED 1 8 79 813   715 721¼ (asmussen steven )MACHADO LUAN 119 10.00 25.82  
LOMA PALOMA 2 3 1½ 4   818 838¾ (o'neill doug)LANERIE J 119 10.00 9.67  
SCR  BEYOND STOKED               (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 119 15.00    
SCR  CASH ONLY               (walden wil)RODRIGUEZ A 114 20.00    
SCR  PRETTY BOY RED               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00    
 
ELP-8   08/27/2023 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Ellis Park Turf Purse ($125K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:243 :49 1:132 1:373   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOUFFY 3 1 4 7 7 3½ 11 (thomas jona)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 15.00 5% 19.00 5.89 W
LOVELY PRINCESS 4 8 6 4 43 1½ 21 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 13% 6.50 1.44 P
BIPARTISANSHIP (GB) 2 4 85 9 54 5 3 (motion graha)LANDEROS CHRIS null   5% 19.00 4.54 S
11  JUNCTURE (GB) 9 9 9 8 6 7 44 (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO null   3.79  
MISREAD 7 6 2 22 22 4¾ 5 (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 122 12.00 14.19  
TASWEYA 5 3 3 33 33 6 6 (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 122 20.00 35.98  
ARM CANDY (IRE) 6 5 74 6 8 8 7 (walsh brend)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 10.00 12.05  
SAHLABIYA 1 2 1 12 12 2½ 8 (walsh brendan )BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 15.00 5% 19.00 11.78  
10  DEALING JUSTICE 8 7 53 54 9 9 915½ (mott riley)GARCIA MARTIN 122 20.00 47.63  
SCR  KATE'S KINGDOM               (walden william)GILLIGAN JACK 122 6.00 56% 0.80    
SCR  WAVE OF GOODNESS               (hernandez ar)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 20.00    
 
ELP-9   08/27/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:123 1:244   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOYBEAN MAN 4 4 32 21 2nk 2½ 1hd (moquett e)MACHADO LUAN 118 3.50 20% 4.10 3.26 W
ORBI ONE 3 1 12 11 1nk 1½ 2hd (ortiz john )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 8.00 3.74  
ROYAL SALUTE 1 9 5 5 6 33 3½ (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 118 6.00 11% 7.90 3.02 S
FAYETTE SPIRIT 9 5 7 95 7 8 4 (medina robe)TORRES A 118 8.00 6.39  
14  CROSSING 12 12 9 117 5 5 5 (lauer michael)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00 22.18  
RAISE HIGH 2 8 6 6 8 6 6 (oliver victoria)CHUAN MARTIN 118 15.00 39.11  
13  TRICOLOUR 11 10 12 12 10 9 7 (miller kenny)MORALES EDGAR 124 30.00 5% 19.00 45.53  
NOW THAT ICAN ROCK 5 2 22 32 4 7 8 (michael brian)COURT K 118 12.00 8.91  
TOWN BARBER 8 3 43 42 3.2 43 9 (mott riley)GARCIA MARTIN 118 30.00 58.73  
12  SPEED INSTITUTE 10 11 11 107 95 10 108 (miller jerom)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 30.00 55.03  
CUSP 6 6 8 8 119 1210 11 (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00 5% 19.00 6.65  
GUIGUI 7 7 10 7 129 11 1210 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 35.22  
SCR  BATTLE BORN               (king l)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 20.00    
SCR  GREAT BARRIER               (ortiz john )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00    
SCR  GUADALAJARA               (stewart dallas)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00    
SCR  MR MCGREGOR               (mott i)GRAHAM J 118 3.00 43% 1.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.