Handicappers' Race Results

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Saratoga
Sunday - August 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

SAR-1   Win (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $24.00  
SAR-2   Win (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $7.80  
SAR-3   Win (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $14.00 $14.00 8.00
SAR-4   Win (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $5.10 $5.10  
SAR-5   Win (1/5/9/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $12.60 $12.60 2.60
SAR-6   Win (7/10/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $14.00 $14.00 6.00
SAR-7   Win (5/4/2/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $8.80 $8.80  
SAR-8   Win (7/2/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $8.30 $8.30 0.30
SAR-9   Win (12/13/15) 3 $2.00 $6.00 12 1 1 $5.80 $5.80  
SAR-10   Win (9/5/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 0 $5.70  

Simulator Race results

 
SAR-1   08/20/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:25 :474 1:122 1:364   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMOKIN' HOT KITTY 7 3 2nk 35 2 1 13 (de hor)SANTANA JR 123 12.00 11.00  
MY LION (GB) 2 4 4 46 5 2 23 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 30% 2.40 3.15 P
FROM HELLO 3 6 8 89 8 7 3 (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 118 12.00 5% 19.00 10.60 S
FAST KIMMIE 4 1 1nk 2 3 3 4 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00 7.50  
ELLE EST FORTE 5 7 7 67 7 45 55 (wilkes r)SAEZ LUIS 123 2.50 42% 1.40 2.25  
STRAND OF GOLD 1 5 9 1010¼ 10 6 65 (joseph a)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 4.50  
LADY FIREFOOT 9 8 6 7 6 56 7 (reynolds patrick )CARMOUCHE K 123 8.00 9.00  
RED HOT CHICK 8 9 5 56 4 88 811¼ (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00 21.20  
SWEET SENSATION 6 10 10 9 9 912 914½ (seyler )HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 50.00 74.75  
10  ROSEMARY POTATOES 10 2 3.2 1 1 1012½ 1021½ (arenas marcelo)TORRES A 118 30.00 48.50  
SCR  DIVINE WINE               (de horacio)ORTIZ L 123 10.00    
SCR  FROSTY INVASION               (schettino domini)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 10.00    
SCR  MISCREANT               (serpe m)SAEZ LUIS 125 5.00    
SCR  TAP IT UP               (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00    
 
SAR-2   08/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:44
See original race card.
:223 :46 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUE ELLEN MISHKIN 4 1 1½ 11   12 1 (shirer mat)SANTANA JR 123 3.00 2.90  
DIVA BANKER 5 2 31 21   22 2 (d'angelo f)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 23% 3.40 2.15 P
BEAUTIFUL KAREN 1 5 2½ 3   4 39 (rodriguez rudy)TORRES A 115 6.00 3.85  
ALPINE QUEEN 3 4 42 42   34 412½ (toscano t)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.00 22% 3.50 1.80  
BACKED BY GOLD 2 3 5 59   514½ 530¼ (quick p)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 8.00 18% 4.50 14.90  
SCR  LIBERTY FLAME               (begg bentle)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00    
 
SAR-3   08/20/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($40K) Purse ($72K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:25 :494 1:14 1:372   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRONG ODOR 2 2 21 2½ 2nk 12 1½ (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 8% 11.20 6.00 W
CAFE FLEUR (FR) 5 5 5 5 5 4 2½ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 49% 1.00 1.25 P
TASS (GB) 3 4 3 3 4 22 3 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 118 2.50 16% 5.30 3.10 S
PEACE SEEKER 4 3 4 4 3 56 4 (abreu fernando)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00 10.70  
AZIZA 1 1 11 1½ 1nk 32 5 (hemingway michel)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00 2.55  
SCR  CHARGE NURSE               (englehart jeremiah )SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00    
SCR  HALO CITY               (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00    
SCR  OK HONEY               (chichakly amira)RIDER TBA 118 4.50    
SCR  TONED UP               (atras rob)SANTANA JR 118 8.00    
 
SAR-4   08/20/2023 3630ft TURF RC11 GOOD Bolton Landing Purse ($150K) 2 F PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:223 :453 :571     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMIDST WAVES 2 1 4 42   1½ 1hd (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 122 1.60 35% 1.80 1.55 W
CROWN IMPERIAL 1 5 3 3   2½ 2hd (ortiz a)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 34% 1.90 8.60 P
GRAM 3 3 5 53   5 3 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.50 2.00  
SHE'S FIRE 4 4 2½ 2½   4¾ 4 (rice kevin)ORTIZ L 122 4.00 5% 17.40 3.20  
ASTONESTHROWAWAY 5 2 1½ 1½   3½ 55 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 6.90  
SCR  TAKEMETOTHEBEACH               (kintz matt)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 10.00    
 
SAR-5   08/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 F PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:221 :454 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANDIED 5 7 6 5   2 1¾ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 24% 3.10 5.30 W
CATHERINE WHEEL 1 3 4 4   1 2¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 28% 2.60 5.50 P
MUNNY ROCKETTE 6 2 2 21   3 3 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 2.75  
DANCING NANCY 8 1 32 3   57 411¾ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00 8% 12.30 7.70  
PLATINUM MINIT 2 4 9 88   710 512 (stewart dall)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 15.00 5% 19.00 30.75  
BROOKMESA 4 6 5 63   67 612¾ (pompay terri)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 4.60  
10  ELLA ELIZABETH 9 5 1 11   4 713¼ (moquett e)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00 6.00  
MISCHIEVOUS MISS 7 9 8 9   913 818¾ (de hor)SANTANA JR 119 12.00 5% 19.00 16.00  
MOST OF ALL 3 8 74 7   812½ 918¾ (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00 10.10  
SCR  MADAM LEOTA               (jimenez l)FRANCO MANUEL 119 15.00    
 
SAR-6   08/20/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 F PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:241 :492 1:143 1:381   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEMORIALIZE 7 9 76 7 6 1½ 13 (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00 30% 2.30 6.00 W
STEEL LUTE 1 10 86 8 9 54 23 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 10.00 11.60  
LAMORNA 8 8 10 9 8 3 3 (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 21% 3.80 1.80 S
10  SNOW DANCE 10 2 21 21 2nk 2½ 4 (rice kevin)LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00 21% 3.70 9.20  
GOODNIGHT MY ANGEL 6 6 6 54 5 64 56 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 9.20  
BUCHU 3 5 54 6 7 9 6 (bauer philip)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 5% 19.00 4.60  
VICTORY BADGE 9 7 98 10 10 75 78 (trombetta mic)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00 26.50  
CANDY LOVER 4 1 11 11 1nk 42 8 (devaux che)SANTANA JR 119 15.00 26.25  
GROWTH RATE 5 3 43 42 3½ 8 910¾ (brown c)ORTIZ L 119 5.00 8.90  
CAUSEWAY'S JEWEL 2 4 32 32 42 1013¼ 1022¾ (dutrow anthony )VELAZQUEZ R 119 20.00 12.40  
SCR  CLASSY MISCHIEF               (contessa c)RIDER TBA 119 6.00    
SCR  PARADISE LANE               (mott i)RIDER TBA 119 4.50    
SCR  SASSY PRINCESS               (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00    
 
SAR-7   08/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($149.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:37
See original race card.
:242 :48 1:12 1:242   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOUNT UP 3 2 2½ 2½ 1½ 13 1½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 13% 6.70 3.40 W
10  CHILENO 9 7 7 7 32 23 2½ (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 125 8.00 8.50  
SET SAIL 1 1 1½ 1½ 2½ 34 3 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 10.00 10% 9.50 6.00 S
SUNDAESWITHSANDY 8 5 4 52 4 4 4 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 125 4.00 3.35  
FROMANOTHAMUTHA 5 3 6 6 64 58 5 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 20.00 26.25  
PLEDGEOFALLEGIANCE 2 9 8 9 910 69 6 (shirer mat)SANTANA JR 123 6.00 5% 19.00 11.00  
FENWICK 6 4 3½ 3 7 710 7 (dutrow e)ROSARIO JOEL 125 20.00 14.50  
RESERVE CURRENCY 7 8 9 8 8 810½ 8 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 8.00 5% 19.00 13.70  
BRAMITO 4 6 52 42 53 911½ 915 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00 52% 0.90 3.15  
SCR  DARK VECTOR               (weaver george)ORTIZ L 118 12.00    
 
SAR-8   08/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:14
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:094     1:231   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIGITIZE 7 1 1 1½   1 1 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.50 40% 1.50 3.15 W
SILO RIDGE 6 5 2 2½   2 2 (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 5% 19.00 8.50 P
MAGICO 2 6 7 6   5 3 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00 20% 3.90 2.40 S
BLACK RAIN 9 7 6 45   36 4 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 7.60  
QUALITY CHIC 5 8 98 8   6 5 (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 17% 4.90 5.60  
SHAKY PANTS 1 2 42 32   46 6 (sharp joe)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 20.00 27.00  
MACHO VILLA 3 9 8 9   713¼ 717 (lukas wayn)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 15.00 19.70  
UNCLECHARLIESGIFT 4 4 3 55   814¾ 823¼ (zito nicho)SANTANA JR 119 20.00 41.50  
LORD VICENTE (ARG) 8 3 55 7   918¾ 924½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50 4.50  
 
SAR-9   08/20/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:121 1:25   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  MONEY SUPPLY 5 2 53 42 41 2nk 12 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 3.00 48% 1.10 1.90 W
13  GATE RUNNER 6 3 43 5 2nk 1nk 22 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 123 2.50 28% 2.50 1.15 P
STJAMES 2 8 813½ 8 85 8 3 (gyarmati leah)MARTINEZ R 125 30.00 38.25  
LEFTEMBEHIND 1 7 64 6 6 44 4 (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 120 30.00 14.70  
BOLD LOOKER 4 6 78 7 7 7 5 (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 125 8.00 11.40  
15  FIGHT FIERCELY 8 5 32 31 1nk 31 68 (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 5% 19.00 11.00  
LEGENDARY LORE 3 1 21 2nk 52 6 712½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 8.00 8.00  
14  GOOD RAPPORT 7 4 11 1nk 3½ 55 812½ (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00 33.50  
SCR  ABLETON               (bond ja)TORRES A 118 30.00    
SCR  BILLY'S GOT ISSUES               (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00    
SCR  COVERT KAT               (trombetta micha)ORTIZ JR 125 10.00    
SCR  EMPIRE ATTRACTION               (gargan danny)ORTIZ JR 125 4.00    
SCR  FORWARDLY               (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 5.00    
SCR  JAVA BUZZ               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 3.50    
SCR  MORNING CUP               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 8.00    
SCR  QUALITY G               (pletcher a)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00    
 
SAR-10   08/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:21
See original race card.
:223 :464 :592     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  MUDVILLE NINE 8 4 4 4¾   1nk 1nk (trombetta michae)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 1.85  
WOODSIDE WARRIOR 6 7 713½ 6   41 2nk (friedman mitchell)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 10.10  
HEY TOBY 4 2 1nk 2nk   2nk 3 (hooper james)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 20.00 10% 8.60 14.40 S
CHALKY CAT 7 5 5 5   5 4 (barker r)CARMOUCHE K 119 2.50 40% 1.50 3.10  
UNDER THE KNIFE 3 1 2nk 1nk   3½ 5 (gutterson katly)ORTIZ JR 119 5.00 14% 6.40 6.10  
WATCH HILL 1 6 67 7   77 614¾ (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 13% 6.60 4.60  
SIN NOMBRE 5 3 3½ 3.2   63 715 (handal raymond)ROSARIO JOEL 119 12.00 8.40  
MAJESTIC HEART 2 8 819 820¼   827 841¾ (ferraro jame)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 112 30.00 46.75  
SCR  CONQUIST               (kimmel c)TORRES A 119 4.50    
SCR  TWO CHUCKLES               (englehart ch)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.