Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Friday - August 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (3/4/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $3.00 $3.00  
PEN-2   Win (9/6/11/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $2.60 $2.60  
PEN-3   Win (4/11/6/8/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 1 $19.40 $19.40 9.40
PEN-4   Win (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 7 1 0 $9.20  
PEN-5   Win (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $3.80  
PEN-6   Win (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $8.80 $8.80 2.80
PEN-7   Win (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $9.60 $9.60 3.60
PEN-8   Win (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $25.00 $25.00 19.00

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   08/18/2023 3300ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:23 :462       :581   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DECLARATION TIME 3 6 31 31   11 1 (crook-demasi )WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 2.50 47% 1.10 0.50 W
CHIEF REIDER 5 3 2½ 1½   21 2 (crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00 7% 13.10 10.10 P
RUNAHOLIC 7 1 41 41   32 3 (salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00 5% 19.00 3.60 S
VINDICATO 2 5 7 7   4 45 (pessanha ney)NUNEZ Y 122 6.00 10.90  
URMIZZENTHEPOINT 6 4 5 52   6 5 (servis c)LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 4.00 9.50  
UNION REWARD 1 7 6 6   7 68 (hawthorne bobbi)ROJAS MARTINA 113 15.00 28.20  
ALMOND CIDER 4 2 1½ 2½   5 710 (perez a)CASTILLO A 122 3.00 17% 4.80 17.50  
SCR  LITTLE J P               (padilla hug)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00    
SCR  SHARP SENSATION               (mccaslin john)MOYA F 122 12.00    
 
PEN-2   08/18/2023 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Lebanon Valley Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:112 1:363   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOU MUST CHILL 8 7 5 3 2nk 11 11 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 3.00 57% 0.70 0.30 W
CRISPER 1 8 86 66 43 3 21 (woolley tim)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 5.00 4.30 P
LACCO AMENO 3 9 9 9 7 6 3 (woolley tim)CONNER TYLER 124 12.00 27.60  
WILL E SUTTON 2 4 64 7 55 53 4 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 124 20.00 38.30  
P H FACTOR 5 1 1nk 12 1nk 21 5 (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 15.00 17% 5.00 17.80  
11  ROBBY'S RANSOM 9 5 32 22 32 4 612¾ (stites w)CHIAPPE R 124 8.00 5% 19.00 32.10  
STRAWBERRY TREAT 7 3 4 5 6 7 732¼ (zalalas mic)RODRIGUEZ R 122 30.00 79.00  
FAMISHED 4 2 2nk 4 9100 9100 8100 (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 124 12.00 6.50  
TRUE SUCCESS 6 6 75 88 8100 8100 9100 (ferreira fern)INIRIO J 124 20.00 5% 19.00 91.40  
SCR  LIGHTNING RIDGE               (brion keri)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 6.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT HAULER               (houghton thomas)CORA D 124 4.00    
SCR  WE DONT NEED ROADS               (salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 122 20.00    
 
PEN-3   08/18/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Fort Indiantown Gap Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:132 1:382   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERFECT HIDEAWAY 6 1 1½ 11 11 1nk 1½ (beattie tod)RODRIGUEZ R 124 12.00 7% 14.10 8.70 W
WINGS OF A SONG 7 6 2½ 21 21 2nk 2½ (schoenthal phil)BEATO INOEL 122 15.00 14.90  
FOXY JUNIOR 4 3 3 32 32 3.2 31 (houghton thom)INIRIO J 122 8.00 13% 6.60 2.80 S
ONE MORE KELLY 3 2 53 53 55 4 4 (kulp brandon )RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 12.00 1.40  
SIDESWIPED 1 5 6 4 4 5 511¾ (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 15.00 6.40  
GAMESTONKS 2 4 7 74 6 6 612 (sanchez-salom)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 20.00 4.70  
ELEGANT TASTE 5 7 43 6 717½ 728¾ 762¾ (smith lawrenc)WOLFSONT ANDREW 124 15.00 13.60  
SCR  ANOINT               (brion keri)HERNANDEZ A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DOCTOR ABBIE               (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 15.00    
SCR  KLAYTON'S KANDY               (salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 124 4.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  ON THE SHORTLIST               (mcclellan eri)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 3.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  SHE'S DANCING               (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 124 5.00    
 
PEN-4   08/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:11 1:241   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEE JAY 7 3 21 21 2 2½ 1 (lawrence l)CONNER TYLER 120 5.00 3.60  
DR. STEVE 1 1 11 11 1 1½ 2 (beattie m)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 3.50 70% 0.40 1.20 P
SALTO DE TIGRE 2 7 7 6 55 32 32 (jacobson da)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 2.60 S
MIDNIGHT ACT 4 5 64 7 45 5 4 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 15.00 37.20  
EAGLES CRY 6 4 5 33 33 4 5 (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 12.40  
RUBY BLEU 5 6 33 5 6 6 624½ (synnefias panagio)BEATO INOEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00 28.50  
MAKE IT BIG 3 2 43 43 7 7 735½ (sacco gregory)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 3.00 6.70  
 
PEN-5   08/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Fabulous Strike Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:222 :451 :572     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE MORE SCOOP 3 2 2 2   22 1½ (crook-demasi )WOLFSONT ANDREW 124 6.00 0.90  
DOWNTOWNCHALYBROWN 4 1 1 1   12 2½ (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00 45% 1.20 1.20 P
TRENDING UP 2 3 34 3   36 3 (synnefias panagi)CONNER TYLER 124 8.00 32% 2.20 5.60 S
TUCKERTON BAY 1 4 44 4   4 413¼ (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 30.00 11.30  
SCR  COLONEL BOWMAN               (jacobson david)CRUZ ANGEL 124 1.20    
SCR  NOLO CONTESTO               (jacobson da)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.50    
 
PEN-6   08/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Penn Ladies Dash Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:223 :45 :57     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIMPLY STATED 1 2 3 2½   1nk 1¼ (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 8.00 22% 3.60 3.40 W
EMPIRE PASS 3 1 1 1½   2nk 2¼ (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 124 4.50 24% 3.30 0.40 P
KNICKERSINATWIST 2 3 42 3   3 3 (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 124 4.00 35% 1.90 4.50 S
BELLA PRIMA 4 5 2 4   4 411¾ (rodriguez franklin)AGUILAR M 124 20.00 11.90  
EARLY FROST 5 4 57 511½   511½ 517¾ (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 30.00 34.70  
SCR  BOWL OF CHERRIES               (jacobson david)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 1.60    
SCR  ORGANIZED CHAOS               (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 6.00    
 
PEN-7   08/18/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:23 :464 1:113 1:374   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EGOT A POKER FACE 2 2 2nk 2nk 1½ 1½ 1¼ (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00 9% 10.70 3.80 W
PREDOMINATE 4 4 5 5 4 31 2¼ (krebs steven)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 5.00 15.10  
THISTLE 5 3 31 31 2½ 2½ 3 (catalano m )RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 21% 3.70 1.80 S
SKIMBLE SHANKS 3 5 4 4 5 43 412¾ (beattie sande)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00 13.80  
MR JACK 1 1 1nk 1nk 31 55 524¼ (barboza j)CONNER TYLER 120 2.50 48% 1.10 0.90  
SCR  GRAND MACALLAN               (barboza victor)BATISTA A 118 3.50    
 
PEN-8   08/18/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:22
See original race card.
:243 :49 1:142 1:411   1:474   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUSTIN TIME 5 6 6 6 32 1nk 11 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 6.00 5% 19.00 11.50 W
SERENE WARRIOR 4 2 3½ 21 2½ 2nk 21 (jacklin s)CORA D 124 20.00 5% 19.00 3.40 P
WICKED T 1 3 1nk 5 65 3½ 3 (bobadilla f)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 2.50 2.40  
PECAN PATTIE 2 5 42 4 43 5 49 (pattershall ma)HADDOCK DEXTER 124 2.00 67% 0.50 1.70  
SUGAR STREAK 3 4 2nk 11 1½ 42 513¾ (hogan william)RAMOS C 124 3.00 3.90  
ARCTICA 6 1 5 3 5 6 624¼ (flores l)FLORES E 124 12.00 21.60  
SCR  FAVORITE DOLL               (ferreira fernando)AGUILAR M 124 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.