Handicappers' Race Results

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Saratoga
Sunday - August 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

SAR-1   Win (3/1/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $22.40  
SAR-2   Win (2/3/9/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 0 $18.00  
SAR-3   Win (5/3/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $21.20  
SAR-4   Win (4/7/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $4.30 $4.30  
SAR-5   Win (4/2/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $6.30 $6.30  
SAR-6   Win (2/1/5/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $11.80 $11.80 1.80
SAR-7   Win (1/3/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $25.20  
SAR-8   Win (3/7/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $8.80 $8.80 0.80
SAR-9   Win (7/8/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $9.20 $9.20 1.20
SAR-10   Win (10/4/6/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $41.00 $41.00 31.00

Simulator Race results

 
SAR-1   08/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 F PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:231 :46 1:111     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WONDER RIDE 6 2 2½ 32   31 1½ (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00 10.20  
STELLAMARIS 3 3 53 54   21 2½ (de hor)SANTANA JR 119 2.00 35% 1.90 1.85 P
GENETICS 5 6 3½ 2½   11 3 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00 5% 19.00 5.70 S
CLEARLY A TEST 7 1 1½ 1½   4 47 (camejo m)ORTIZ L 119 2.50 2.40  
EXHILARATE 1 4 65 66   5 515½ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.00 33% 2.10 5.00  
MAGIC EIGHT BALL 4 5 41 4   610½ 619 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00 9% 9.70 8.00  
TAHITI ITI 2 7 78 720   735½ 759½ (albertrani thoma)ROSARIO JOEL 119 12.00 24.25  
 
SAR-2   08/13/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 F PT- 1:44
See original race card.
:232 :483 1:132     1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  DANCING SPIRIT 9 8 3 31 2nk 12 1½ (rice adam)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 8.00  
SEA DANCER 2 3 5 5 4 22 2½ (morey e)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.50 21% 3.80 7.70 P
LATTE LIZZIE 5 9 86 86 9 5 3 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00 18.50  
VINO ROUGE 6 7 9 9 7 6 4 (dutrow anthony )VELAZQUEZ R 119 15.00 20.40  
NIKITIS 1 1 6 6 63 9 57 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 22% 3.60 1.15  
BA DEE YAH 4 5 7 75 8 8 68 (amoss m)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00 17.70  
DR. RAY D. 8 6 1½ 1nk 3½ 4 711½ (maker michael )CASTELLANO J 119 6.00 20% 4.10 6.50  
OUT TOO LATE (GB) 7 4 2½ 2nk 1nk 33 812¼ (maker mich)SANTANA JR 119 12.00 5% 19.00 20.50  
LADY BLITZ 3 2 4 43 52 7 915½ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 18% 4.50 4.50  
SCR  STRIFE               (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00    
 
SAR-3   08/13/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($64K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:222 :452 1:101     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SENOR JOBIM 7 5 31 3½   1nk 1¼ (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 9.60  
LASTCHANCEATGLORY 5 6 2½ 2nk   2nk 2¼ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 2.00 37% 1.70 1.90 P
JEMOGRAPHY 2 2 4 5   5 3 (englehart chris)LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00 10% 9.00 9.50 S
NIFTY 6 7 64 41   41 4 (diodoro robertino)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00 7.00  
FLOAT ON 1 3 5 6   6 5 (jacobson david)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 3.40  
SWIFTSURE 3 1 1½ 1nk   3½ 6 (de hor)SANTANA JR 118 6.00 11% 8.50 7.50  
SCILLY CAY 4 4 86 7   7 7 (reynolds pat)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 9% 10.10 5.70  
ALFIO 8 8 7 8   8 813¾ (quartarolo ant)CASTELLANO J 123 15.00 21.40  
 
SAR-4   08/13/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:223 :45 :562     1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CITY FEVER 4 1 1½ 1nk   1nk 1 (trombetta micha)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 39% 1.60 1.15 W
AMERICAN KNOW HOW 5 4 2½ 2nk   2nk 2 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 119 5.00 6.30  
CIGARETTE BOAT 2 5 42 5   4 3 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00 4.50  
BE THERE 1 2 32 3   3 4 (zito nicholas )TORRES A 119 8.00 5% 19.00 11.10  
GOLD FRANC (IRE) 7 6 6 6   5 5 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00 13.70  
CUMBERLAND 6 7 712¼ 713¾   713¼ 611¾ (weaver george)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00 30% 2.40 4.10  
SPANISH DOUBLOON 3 3 5 4   612¼ 716¾ (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 5% 19.00 12.90  
SCR  ALEXIS ZORBA (GB)               (brown c)ORTIZ L 119 3.50    
SCR  UNCLECHARLIESGIFT               (zito nicho)SANTANA JR 119 8.00    
 
SAR-5   08/13/2023 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($149.5K) 3 ALL PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:242 :493 1:133 1:38   1:50   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  ACTIVIST INVESTING (GB) 3 3 4 2 2½ 11 1 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00 7% 12.90 2.15 W
CLEVER THOUGHT 5 6 7 6 54 21 2 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.50 21% 3.70 2.60 P
OPERATION TORCH 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 (mcgaughey cla)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 1.20 48% 1.10 1.70 S
OUR DREAM RYE'D 2 7 6 56 4 54 4 (wilkes ian)SANTANA JR 122 12.00 16.30  
NARCISO DALI 7 1 1 1 1½ 43 513¾ (chichakly amira)DAVIS DYLAN 118 30.00 22.80  
ESCAPOLOGIST 6 5 5 7 65 619 629 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 122 10.00 5% 19.00 6.50  
JUSTICE DEPARTMENT 1 2 2 46 719 749 763¼ (brown c)ORTIZ L 122 2.00 2.15  
SCR  CRUPI               (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.50    
SCR  PADDINGTON               (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 118 1.40    
SCR  WINTERS LION               (sharp joe)RIDER TBA 122 5.00    
 
SAR-6   08/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($83K) 2 F PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:223 :46 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZADORSKY 2 2 1nk 1nk   1 1 (catalano m)LEZCANO JOSE 119 2.50 52% 0.90 4.90 W
SHIMMERING ALLURE 7 6 5 4   33 2 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00 6% 15.20 10.20 P
CRAZY CAMI 1 5 31 31   2 3 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 11% 8.20 2.00 S
10  EXTRA DIRTY 10 3 4 54   58 410¾ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 8.20  
DAY AWAY 8 8 8 7   69 511 (contessa gary )CASTELLANO J 119 20.00 5% 19.00 24.50  
LADY PROSPECT 9 1 2nk 2nk   4 614½ (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 5.90  
ECHO LAKE 5 7 7 67   712 714¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 9% 10.00 3.45  
BORNFORGREATNESS 3 4 6 811   817½ 827½ (hills )HUAYAS (JASON) 119 20.00 52.50  
ELUSIVE FASHION 6 10 108 916   925½ 940¼ (brion keri)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00 25.75  
ALTHENA 4 9 9 1016½   1030½ 1059¾ (paragallo )SANTANA JR 119 30.00 28.00  
SCR  AZTECA STARDUST               (potts wayne)VELAZQUEZ R 119 15.00    
SCR  FLOWERS FOR ME               (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00    
SCR  HANDLE ON YOU               (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
 
SAR-7   08/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($156K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
See original race card.
:223 :451 1:101     1:224   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUSINESS MODEL 8 3 710 77   21 1 (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 122 15.00 11.60  
VITTORIO 1 4 42 42   11 2 (mott i)ORTIZ JR 122 1.40 30% 2.40 1.30 P
GUNTOWN 2 6 810½ 8   43 3 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 3.00 2.90  
SECRET RULES 7 1 2½ 2nk   3 4 (falcone robert)TORRES A 119 8.00 20% 3.90 15.50  
KHOZEIRESS 3 5 3 31   5 5 (pompay terri)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00 25% 3.00 9.50  
LOBSTA 6 8 5 6   89 615¾ (sells rachel)COA J 124 20.00 23.80  
LOOMS BOLDLY 5 2 1½ 1nk   64 717¼ (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00 9.40  
SAINT TAPIT 4 7 64 53   77 821¾ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.50 6.00  
 
SAR-8   08/13/2023 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($149.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:111 1:362   1:501   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGIC TAP 6 2 2½ 2½ 21 2 1¼ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 26% 2.90 3.40 W
FILM STAR 4 1 1½ 1½ 11 1 2¼ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 125 4.00 8% 11.10 7.40 P
HE'S GOT SWAGGER 2 4 7 711 711¼ 511½ 3 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00 5% 19.00 34.75 S
WHITTINGTON PARK 7 3 4 42 3 310 4 (englehart jeremia)CARMOUCHE K 125 5.00 9.70  
DREAMLIKE 3 6 64 64 55 611½ 513 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 42% 1.40 0.90  
CYBER NINJA 1 5 5 5 6 411 613½ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 10.00 19.40  
TAPIT SHOES 5 7 32 3 4 717 7100 (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 5.30  
SCR  SAQEEL               (diodoro ro)SANTANA JR 123 10.00    
 
SAR-9   08/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($156K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:44
See original race card.
:222 :45       1:234   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HE'SMYHONEYBADGER 7 3 3 31   2½ 1¼ (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 5.00 27% 2.60 3.60 W
CASTLE CHAOS 5 8 87 8   7 2¼ (falcone robert)TORRES A 119 20.00 36.25  
TWENTY FOUR MAMBA 3 2 74 7   31 3¼ (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 122 8.00 8.80  
WILLY BOI 2 1 21 2½   1½ 4½ (delgado jo)SANTANA JR 122 4.50 9% 9.90 8.50  
CANDY TYCOON 8 5 53 52   52 5 (jacobson david)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00 19% 4.20 4.90  
SHOOTERS SHOOT 6 7 64 6   41 64 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.50 2.30  
SAGAMORE MISCHIEF 4 6 4 42   6 7 (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 122 10.00 22.00  
H P MOON 1 4 11 1½   8 820 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 3.00 17% 5.00 3.35  
 
SAR-10   08/13/2023 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM Mahony Purse ($150K) 3 ALL PT- 6:18
See original race card.
:212 :443 :562     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLOSETHEGAME SUGAR 3 4 45 54   2nk 1½ (rice adam)LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00 5% 19.00 19.50 W
PRIVATE CREED 7 6 6 65   31 2½ (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00 11.20 P
EYE WITNESS 6 9 9 9   5 31 (ward a)ORTIZ L 122 4.50 5% 18.50 6.70 S
NO NAY HUDSON (IRE) 5 3 34 3   1nk 4 (ward a)GRAHAM J 122 6.00 2.70  
SON OF A BIRCH 8 8 8 8   72 5 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 118 30.00 22.70  
GASLIGHT DANCER 2 7 7 7   4 6 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 5.00 4.50  
10  DREW'S GOLD 9 5 5 4   6 7 (chapman k)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.50 43% 1.30 5.90  
UNCASHED 4 1 1nk 1nk   8 8 (rivelli larry)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00 27% 2.70 3.20  
HARRY TIME (IRE) 1 2 2nk 2nk   98 917¾ (joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 16.30  
SCR  CRISPY CAT (GB)               (delgado jo)SANTANA JR 122 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.