Handicappers' Race Results

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Saratoga
Saturday - August 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

SAR-1   Win (5/6/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
SAR-2   Win (7/2/1/9/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 0 $10.60  
SAR-3   Win (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $6.00 $6.00  
SAR-4   Win (6/5/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $18.20 $18.20 10.20
SAR-5   Win (1/6/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $9.10  
SAR-6   Win (11/2/10/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 11 1 1 $5.30 $5.30  
SAR-7   Win (8/10/6/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 0 $36.20  
SAR-8   Win (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.10 $4.10  
SAR-9   Win (6/1/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $5.70 $5.70  
SAR-10   Win (5/4/6/1/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 0 $17.60  
SAR-11   Win (10/2/6/9/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 0 $15.00  

Simulator Race results

 
SAR-1   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 ALL PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:223 :461 :584     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TALL PAUL 4 1 1½ 1½   1nk 13 (baffert bob)ROSARIO JOEL 119 1.60 56% 0.80 0.80 W
QUIET WISDOM 7 4 2½ 2½   2nk 23 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 3.60  
STRAWBERRY KWIK 3 2 4 4   4 35 (torelli stacy)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 20.00 5% 19.00 45.00 S
APOLLO CODE 2 5 33 36   36 4 (delgado jo)SANTANA JR 119 4.00 8.00  
STORMY'S DREAMING 1 7 711 612½   6 5 (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00 32.25  
MAMA'S MIDDIE 5 3 57 510   5 6 (maker j)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 18% 4.50 4.40  
GUCCI MAN 6 6 611 716½   714½ 716½ (rivelli larry)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00 5% 19.00 12.60  
SCR  SOLO IN PARIS               (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 119 30.00    
 
SAR-2   08/12/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 ALL PT- 1:42
See original race card.
:224 :46 :573     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOOD LORD LORRIE 3 5 5 53   32 11 (weaver george)ORTIZ L 119 6.00 4.30  
SMOKEY SMOKEY 6 4 21 21   2 21 (maker j)SILVERA RUBEN 119 20.00 26.50  
OCEAN MERMAID (GB) 8 2 11 11   1 3 (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 111 1.60 50% 1.00 1.35 S
REVEREND MOON 2 1 31 4   4 4 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00 7.50  
ALL ABOUT TONITE 4 6 74 7   5 57 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00 6% 15.20 9.40  
1A  BETTER LUCK 7 3 4 31   66 6 (sharp joe)DAVIS DYLAN 119 5.00 9.40  
KING JULIEN 9 7 63 64   711 712¾ (lynch brian)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00 5% 19.00 5.90  
REVELATORY 1 8 912½ 912¾   914½ 814 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 24% 3.20 5.10  
FAST STRIDE 5 9 86 8   813½ 914½ (d'angelo franc)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00 5% 19.00 31.25  
SCR  GLACIAL POWER               (camejo m)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 10.00    
SCR  GYPSY MISCHIEF               (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00    
SCR  RUN JALEN RUN               (sharp joe)RIDER TBA 119 12.00    
SCR  WORLD FAIR               (moquett ron)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00    
 
SAR-3   08/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:17
See original race card.
:251 :49 1:14 1:264   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SA FORADADA 2 5 4 32 4 3.2 1½ (dutrow e)SAEZ LUIS 123 3.00 29% 2.50 2.00 W
FREUDIAN 3 4 6 54 52 4¾ 2½ (falcone ro)SANTANA JR 125 2.50 33% 2.00 7.00 P
JOLLY MISS JILL 1 2 1nk 1½ 1½ 1nk 31 (giangiulio mic)TORRES A 115 6.00 12% 7.20 6.70 S
MURSAL 5 3 32 42 2½ 2nk 4 (dutrow richard )FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 1.95  
ICY REPLY 4 1 2nk 2½ 31 5 5 (ferraro w)ORTIZ JR 123 5.00 4.90  
YOGI 6 6 5 6 69 6 611 (chichakly amira)DAVIS DYLAN 123 12.00 8.70  
SCR  APRIL ANTICS               (kantarmaci mertk)ORTIZ L 125 6.00    
 
SAR-4   08/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($64K) 3 ALL PT- 2:48
See original race card.
:221 :453 1:103     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEN CENT TOWN 6 1 21 2nk   11 1nk (morey e)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00 8.10 W
THUNDERIAN 2 6 64 6   54 2nk (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 120 5.00 4.70  
DANGEROUS RIDE 1 5 4 4   43 3 (david a)TORRES A 115 6.00 4.60  
KUPP 5 4 52 31   3 43 (moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00 9% 10.00 4.00  
COMMERCE COMET 3 3 11 1nk   21 5 (asmussen steven)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 8% 10.90 1.10  
GABE 4 2 31 5   614 625¼ (arriaga antonio)FRANCO MANUEL 120 12.00 15.50  
SCR  ONE GIANT LEAP               (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 115 2.00 61% 0.60    
 
SAR-5   08/12/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:11     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DETERMINISTIC 5 8 65 64   3 1½ (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 5.00 3.55  
HURRICANE NELSON 4 4 21 2½   1 2½ (delgado gustav)ZAYAS J 119 15.00 24.50  
ELIMINATE 1 3 53 53   43 34 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 1.80 36% 1.80 1.30 S
INFORMED PATRIOT 8 1 11 1½   2 4 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 6.00 7.00  
RIDGEWOOD RUNNER 6 5 4 4   5 5 (martin f)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 27% 2.70 9.00  
REYNOLDS CHANNEL 3 2 3 3   6 610½ (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 15% 5.80 4.00  
CHAPERONE 2 7 812 813½   711½ 711¾ (moquett e)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 19.80  
NULLIFY 7 6 77 7   811¾ 822 (lukas wayne)TORRES A 114 15.00 5% 19.00 28.25  
 
SAR-6   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:221 :46 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  RICHIES PRINCESS 11 2 1 13   1 1¾ (rivelli larry)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 31% 2.20 1.65 W
NOLITA 1 5 3 23   2 2¾ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 5.00 26% 2.90 3.55 P
1A  FOXY CARA 10 1 9 65   47 3 (friedman m)SANTANA JR 119 4.50 6% 14.50 4.50 S
BETTER HUMOR ME 6 3 2 33   37 4 (baker charlton)ZAYAS J 119 15.00 37.25  
MIM 8 4 44 4   6 5 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 10.70  
IRISH CRYSTAL 7 9 5 54   58 6 (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 119 15.00 30.75  
NEIGH JUDE 5 10 10 1010   713 713¼ (breen j)ORTIZ L 119 6.00 7.80  
10  SOUFFLE (GB) 9 6 8 9   914½ 816 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00 16% 5.40 9.60  
SWEET LIBERTY 4 7 7 89   814 917 (quick patr)DAVIS A 119 20.00 5% 19.00 39.25  
DREAM ON CARA 3 11 1110¼ 1112   1015½ 1018 (friedman mitchell)DAVIS KATIE 119 4.50 4.50  
BE BEST 2 8 66 7   1125½ 11100 (terranova p)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 22.90  
SCR  ISLAND ROSE               (baker charlto)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 10.00    
 
SAR-7   08/12/2023 3630ft TURF RC11 GOOD Galway Purse ($150K) 3 F PT- 4:30
See original race card.
:221 :444 :561     1:021   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
L J'S EMMA 6 6 6 5   2 1¼ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 17.10  
STONE SILENT 8 1 1 11   1 2¼ (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 122 4.50 10.60  
ISABEL ALEXANDRA (IRE) 3 4 42 4   44 3 (delgado gusta)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 8.00 13.60  
LOVE APPEALS 4 8 7 7   65 4 (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 5% 19.00 4.40  
REDIFINED 5 10 10 9   5 54 (lovell michelle)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 11% 7.90 9.90  
11  REFLEXIVITY (IRE) 10 5 5 6   86 6 (maker j)SILVERA RUBEN 118 15.00 31.00  
LOVE REIGNS (IRE) 7 9 9 10   9 7 (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 122 2.50 34% 1.90 1.10  
BEAUTY OF THE SEA 2 3 3 31   75 8 (orseno joseph )ZAYAS J 122 10.00 5% 19.00 20.80  
10  MY SWEET AFFAIR 9 2 2 21   3 9 (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 28% 2.60 6.50  
DREAM CONCERT 1 7 8 8   109 10 (o'connell kat)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 30.00 40.25  
SCR  ANNA'S ARABESQUE               (bauer a)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00    
SCR  CUZ UR PRETTY               (progno christopher)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00    
SCR  OBRIGADA               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 5.00    
SCR  UNIFIED ALLIANCE               (morley thomas)RIDER TBA 122 3.00    
SCR  WEEKEND RAGS               (abreu r)TORRES A 118 30.00    
 
SAR-8   08/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC13 FAST Herb Moelis Memorial Saratoga Purse ($200K) 2 ALL PT- 5:06
See original race card.
:221 :454 1:102     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RHYME SCHEMES 6 2 42 31   1 1 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 120 0.80 34% 1.90 1.05 W
MARKET STREET 2 3 1½ 1½   2 2 (lukas wayne)TORRES A 120 10.00 12.90  
HAUL 4 4 64 42   37 310¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 8% 11.40 2.30 S
LASSO 1 5 32 6   49 412½ (alvarado juan)ZAYAS J 120 15.00 13.20  
EDIFIED 5 6 53 5   510 514 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.50 32% 2.10 4.00  
WOODCOURT 3 1 2½ 2½   615½ 629½ (walsh p)ORTIZ L 120 10.00 13.90  
 
SAR-9   08/12/2023 5280ft TURF RC14 GOOD Fourstardave Purse ($500K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:44
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:101 1:22   1:341   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CASA CREED 6 4 44 43 3 3 1¾ (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 125 1.40 38% 1.60 1.85 W
ANNAPOLIS 4 2 3 32 2½ 1½ 2¾ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 124 1.60 17% 4.70 1.25 P
ICE CHOCOLAT (BRZ) 7 5 79 711 78 45 3 (casse mark)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00 11.30 S
MY SEA COTTAGE (IRE) 3 1 12 12 1½ 2½ 4 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 114 30.00 21.00  
EMMANUEL 1 7 56 5 55 55 56 (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 121 3.00 24% 3.20 3.45  
FULL SCREEN 2 6 67 68 6 610 611½ (casse mark)FRANCO MANUEL 115 30.00 40.75  
SO HIGH (GB) 5 3 22 22 45 710¼ 712¾ (chatterpaul nai)SILVERA RUBEN 116 20.00 35.25  
 
SAR-10   08/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:17
See original race card.
:242 :48 1:123 1:251   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHILENO 7 7 74 64 3½ 2nk 1 (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 123 12.00 7.80  
10  ICE ROAD 9 6 5 2nk 1nk 1nk 2 (d'angelo f)ORTIZ JR 123 8.00 5% 19.00 5.20 P
ORDER OF MAGNITUDE 3 9 911½ 912¾ 8 5 3 (diodoro ro)SANTANA JR 125 8.00 11.20  
MISTICAL CURLIN 5 3 3 42 2nk 3½ 4 (rodriguez gus)ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 3.50 32% 2.10 7.10  
FORREST CITY 2 2 21 3 52 42 5 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 123 6.00 4.80  
CICCIOBELLO 6 4 63 7 6 66 6 (duggan david )MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 4.50 13% 6.60 5.20  
WHAT'S UP DOC 4 5 4 5 74 7 7 (ginter raymond)TORRES A 120 8.00 22% 3.50 7.60  
MEMPHIS 8 8 8 8 9 917½ 832¼ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 8.00 9.50  
GUT FEELING 1 1 11 1nk 4 811½ 933 (dutrow e)SAEZ LUIS 123 5.00 10% 8.90 4.80  
SCR  SKYLANDER               (trites lands)DAVIS DYLAN 123 20.00    
 
SAR-11   08/12/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:50
See original race card.
:232 :481 1:131 1:37   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPINNING COLORS 1 9 8 64 5 3.2 12 (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 6.50  
STELLA MARS 4 2 4 4 32 1nk 22 (chatterpaul nai)SILVERA RUBEN 123 5.00 9% 9.90 5.00 P
10  RHEAUME 10 6 9 96 8 5¾ 34 (clement chris)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 6.00 28% 2.50 6.60 S
WATERVILLE 2 8 10 107 10 6 4 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 125 3.50 21% 3.80 1.95  
LADY JASMINE 5 1 11 11 1nk 2nk 5 (donk david)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 12.00 17.20  
SOLIB 6 4 21 21 2nk 4¾ 610¼ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 125 4.00 11% 7.80 5.90  
GALLEY HEAD 3 7 64 8 7 7 712 (lerman s)DAVIS KATIE 123 20.00 23.80  
ROBYN AND ELI 8 10 7 75 96 1010½ 820¾ (abreu fernando)TORRES A 118 20.00 38.50  
PHOTON 9 3 3 32 4 8 922¼ (breen j)ORTIZ JR 125 5.00 10% 9.00 7.70  
LATEST EDITION 7 5 5 5 6 9 1023¾ (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 125 10.00 18.40  
SCR  CHARGE NURSE               (englehart jeremiah )SAEZ LUIS 125 3.50    
SCR  LUNA LOCA               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.