Handicappers' Race Results

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Emerald Downs
Saturday - August 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

EMD-1   Win (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $6.80  
EMD-2   Win (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $6.40  
EMD-3   Win (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $9.00  
EMD-4   Win (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $11.40  
EMD-5   Win (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.20 $4.20  
EMD-6   Win (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $10.20  
EMD-7   Win (5/2/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  

Simulator Race results

 
EMD-1   08/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 2 F PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:221 :461 :583     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAPUSH 1 6 1½ 1   14 1 (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 119 4.50 2.40  
COASTAL GIRL 5 2 3 3   34 2 (bullock steve)CRUZ M 119 4.00 27% 2.70 6.70 P
SHELBY SHORTSTOP 6 1 4 4   4 3 (cryderman candice)NEGRON LUIS 119 1.80 43% 1.30 0.90 S
DREWY 4 3 2½ 2   24 4 (wright bla)AMADOR RUIZ 119 3.00 5.10  
CHIRISCA 3 5 65 66   5 515¾ (alvarez sergio)ENRIQUEZ D 119 8.00 15.50  
TRES VITE 2 4 5 54   6 620 (harwood ryland)OROZCO E 119 12.00 5% 19.00 22.40  
 
EMD-2   08/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:251 :49 1:133 1:254   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WESTERBERG 2 1 2 32 3 2 1¾ (alvarez sergio)ZUNINO L 121 6.00 2.20  
START THEM UP 3 3 32 2 1½ 1 2¾ (wright bla)AMADOR RUIZ 121 2.00 65% 0.50 0.80 P
NIGHT TO REMEMBER 1 2 1 1 2½ 32 3 (patino faustino)NEGRON LUIS 125 3.50 1.80  
SCR  CHARLIE'S MAN               (alvarez sergio)ENRIQUEZ D 121 2.50    
SCR  MY DAD IS THIRSTY               (perez hilario)ORTIZ A 121 4.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  TREASURE'S REALITY               (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 123 8.00 10% 9.20    
 
EMD-3   08/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:25
See original race card.
:221 :46 :59     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GLIMPSE OF GOLD 1 3 4 21   2 1¾ (toye joe)MONTALVO C 121 4.00 3.50  
SANDY HARBOR 3 4 11 11   1 2¾ (bullock steve)CRUZ M 121 2.00 45% 1.20 1.50 P
SECRET HOTTIE 5 1 21 31   34 3 (jenne bonnie)NEGRON LUIS 121 2.50 31% 2.20 1.60 S
A FRIEND INDEED 2 5 5 56   49 414¼ (balcom cliff)RADKE K 121 12.00 16.20  
DREAMINGOFBLING 4 2 31 44   511 528¼ (johnston kimberley)ZUNINO L 125 8.00 5% 19.00 6.50  
SCR  CONCENTRATE               (cooper kay)ENRIQUEZ D 121 3.50    
 
EMD-4   08/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
See original race card.
:222 :453 :574     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIST OONA B 5 1 32 3   2 11 (toye joe)MONTALVO C 125 3.00 4.70  
TENNESSEE MOON 3 3 1½ 11   1 21 (baze robert)CRUZ M 121 1.80 49% 1.00 0.60 P
AWESOME DAZE 6 2 2½ 21   3 3 (martinez d)AMADOR RUIZ 125 2.50 16% 5.30 4.00 S
BIKINI NATION 4 4 54 55   4 410 (markle dan)NEGRON LUIS 121 6.00 10% 8.90 8.30  
TED'S CANDY GIRL 2 6 67 6   6 511¼ (nunnally jen)ORANTES R 120 10.00 29.60  
G G RULES 1 5 44 4   5 611½ (bean a)RADKE K 121 8.00 13.90  
 
EMD-5   08/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:22
See original race card.
:24 :47 1:112 1:243   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DYF 1 5 42 42 32 2nk 1hd (silva-martinez)OROZCO E 125 1.60 32% 2.10 1.10 W
TWO PRINCES 5 2 6 5 4 43 2hd (raudales)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 125 8.00 10.30  
IDIDNTSEETHATCOMIN 3 3 11 1nk 11 1nk 3¾ (jenne bonn)AMADOR RUIZ 125 5.00 30% 2.30 3.20 S
SILENT DECLARATION 6 1 31 2nk 21 3 4 (soranno jill)NEGRON LUIS 125 6.00 8% 12.10 7.10  
UNION BLISS 4 4 21 3½ 5 56 59 (rosales jorge)MONTALVO C 125 3.50 2.90  
STREET DEMAND 2 6 5 6 6 68 611¾ (bean robert )ORANTES R 120 15.00 32.80  
SCR  POPPY'S C NOTE               (madrigal elodio)VALDES ALEXIS 125 4.50    
 
EMD-6   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:48
See original race card.
:222 :45 :571     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WEAR THE CROWN 6 2 1nk 11   13 1nk (toye joe)RADKE K 122 3.50 4.10  
STEPHEN JAMES 2 3 4 43   3 2nk (pirone mar)AMADOR RUIZ 122 8.00 5% 19.00 6.10 P
WHATWASITHINKING 4 1 2nk 21   23 3 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 1.20 55% 0.80 1.00 S
MARKSMAN ON TARGET 1 6 67 610   611½ 4 (bean a)MONTALVO C 122 10.00 23.70  
FRANKS FIX IT 5 5 3 3   4 5 (cruz pearm)CRUZ M 122 2.50 12% 7.50 2.50  
ATTORNEY LOUIS 3 4 54 56   5 6 (chattong vic)ORANTES R 117 15.00 24.60  
 
EMD-7   08/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT-11:14
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:134 1:264   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAILING IN 5 1 1½ 11 11 1 1 (cooper kay)OROZCO E 125 3.00 62% 0.60 1.30 W
ANOTHER TEN 3 5 2½ 21 21 2 2 (troiani niccolo)ENRIQUEZ D 121 6.00 6% 14.80 2.10 P
GOIN' COASTAL 6 4 32 53 3 3 3 (bullock steve)RADKE K 121 4.50 6.70  
BABY MARTINI 2 6 64 77 710 6 412½ (navarro jose)CRUZ M 125 5.00 8% 11.50 4.10  
FOREVER AMBER 1 7 75 66 67 5 513¼ (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 118 15.00 5% 19.00 30.70  
NOW SAY SO 4 2 43 43 56 4 613½ (patino faustino)VALDES ALEXIS 125 20.00 54.40  
PISTA GIRL 7 3 53 32 44 714½ 734¼ (madrigal elodio)MONTALVO C 118 10.00 13.20  
SCR  MY YVONNE               (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 125 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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