Handicappers' Race Results

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Century Mile
Saturday - August 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CTM-2   Win (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $12.30 $12.30 6.30
CTM-3   Win (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $7.60  
CTM-4   Win (4/1/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $9.00 $9.00 1.00
CTM-5   Win (6/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $3.90 $3.90  
CTM-6   Win (6/2/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $5.50 $5.50  
CTM-7   Win (6/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $15.60 $15.60 7.60

Simulator Race results

 
CTM-2   08/12/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:45
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:123     1:26   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRIGORO 4 4 4 4   21 1 (cone rodney)NELSON DANE 125 6.00 8% 12.30 5.15 W
SOFIA D 'AMORE 3 5 5 57   5 2 (frey carson)BRYAN D 120 4.00 2.40  
MISCHIEVOUSOFFICER 2 2 1 12   11 3 (kenway thomas)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 2.00 14% 6.20 2.85 S
JOY IN GRACE 5 1 3 32   43 4 (rycro)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 1.60 44% 1.20 4.75  
LIGHT FAST FEET 1 3 2 22   3 5 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 3.00 2.45  
 
CTM-3   08/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
See original race card.
:23 :464 :594     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERDITION 1 6 6 6   31 1 (petrowski joan)NATERA KEIHTON 125 2.00 2.80  
REDNECK REMARK 2 3 3.2 11   11 2 (mcdonald robe)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 12.00 22.95  
HARD TO COME HOME 3 1 2nk 21   21 3 (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 125 10.00 11% 8.00 1.15 S
SILVER SPUN 5 5 5 5   5 4 (ananas edwin)RIZO ALEXIS 125 3.00 19% 4.20 2.70  
YORKTOWN 6 2 1nk 31   4 5 (petrowski j)ZENTENO JR 125 6.00 15.15  
POKER TABLE 4 4 4 43   64 6 (depew ji)STEADMAN LEON 125 2.50 44% 1.30 10.90  
 
CTM-4   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:45
See original race card.
:221 :452 :573     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BORKAN 7 1 2½ 2nk   1 14 (cone rodney)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 10.00 9% 10.50 3.50 W
TUCKER TIME 6 5 54 6   4 24 (kingston karli)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 15.00 10.25  
ESTIFRAAD 5 3 3 32   3 34 (frey carson)NELSON DANE 125 5.00 9.60  
AWHITESPORTSCOAT 2 6 64 4   53 47 (hedge rick)ZENTENO JR 125 3.00 14% 6.20 6.95  
COMMON KNOWLEDGE 3 2 1½ 1nk   2 5 (rycroft tim)NATERA KEIHTON 125 6.00 6.00  
SMARTY RIVER PANTS 4 4 43 54   67 610¼ (rycro)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 2.00 37% 1.70 2.00  
SHARP DRESSED BEAU 1 7 7100 7100   7100 7100 (humbke chery)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 125 4.00 19% 4.30 4.80  
 
CTM-5   08/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
See original race card.
:243 :492 1:14 1:264   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ESCROW STYLE 5 5 5 5¾ 42 2nk 1 (coney)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 2.50 44% 1.30 0.95 W
OMEGASSHOOTINGSTAR 2 2 1½ 1nk 2½ 1nk 2 (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 125 3.50 5.35  
HIGH FLYIN TIGER 1 1 2½ 2nk 1½ 3.2 35 (humbke cheryl)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 10.00 10.20  
MAKE'N TRACKS 3 6 65 6 6 4 4 (pozzo jack)ZENTENO JR 123 15.00 15% 5.80 20.40  
TRICKY SPEEDSTER 6 4 42 4¾ 32 5 511¼ (nicholson davi)NATERA KEIHTON 123 8.00 13% 6.50 3.00  
BETTIN ON BELLE 4 3 31 3½ 56 6 619 (kettleson alivi)LUNAN RICHARD 120 5.00 6.55  
SCR  PULL THE PIN               ( )GRIFFITH DELANE 118 3.00    
 
CTM-6   08/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT- 8:45
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:141 1:274   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
H K RAPPER 2 1 42 5½ 31 1nk 1 (coney)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 2.50 10% 9.30 1.75 W
OUR SUNSHINE 1 7 7 7 4 3½ 2 (russell moni)RIZO ALEXIS 122 10.00 5% 19.00 10.80 P
COUNTY WINDS 4 4 2nk 1nk 1nk 2nk 32 (laczo brant)ANDROS CORRINE 122 5.00 6% 16.10 6.35 S
ALBERTA BERBON 5 2 1nk 2nk 2nk 41 4 (robertson )GUERRERO FRANCISCO 122 4.00 7.95  
SMART DECISION 7 5 5 6½ 6 53 512¼ (robertson jer)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 15.00 13.30  
BRYNN'S DREAM 6 3 3 3.2 7 66 620¼ (grieves ron)MARTIN ANDRE 117 2.00 61% 0.60 1.75  
CAROSWAY 3 6 6 4¼ 5 7 722¼ (kettleson alivi)LUNAN RICHARD 122 8.00 18.85  
 
CTM-7   08/12/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:15
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:113     1:254   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HENRY'S GAMBLE 3 4 21 2½   11 1½ (brown r)NATERA KEIHTON 125 6.00 16% 5.30 6.80 W
ADDYDIDIT 4 2 5 3   32 2½ (o'hagan collee)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 3.50 14% 6.10 3.65 P
SHE LOVES WINNIN 2 5 11 1½   21 3 (walper deann)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 125 2.50 1.65  
GO MAMA 7 1 4 64   5 4 (grieves ron)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 15.00 13.75  
SKY DESTINY 8 6 8 8   6 5 (rycro)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 10.00 20.95  
SUDDENLY MISTY 1 8 6 43   4 6 (hedge rick)ZENTENO JR 125 15.00 23.35  
MIDNIGHT GARDEN 6 7 7 7   75 76 (rycroft tom)NELSON DANE 125 3.00 30% 2.30 3.40  
FLORIST 5 3 32 5   86 88 (rycroft tim)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 5.00 10% 9.00 12.10  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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