Handicappers' Race Results

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Colonial Downs
Saturday - August 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CNL-1   Win (3/4/8/6/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $4.20 $4.20  
CNL-2   Win (1/2/4/3/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 0 $100.40  
CNL-3   Win (5/1/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $26.60  
CNL-4   Win (2/8/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  
CNL-5   Win (12/6/9/1/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 12 1 1 $10.20 $10.20 0.20
CNL-6   Win (1/8/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $10.80 $10.80 2.80
CNL-7   Win (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $5.40 $5.40  
CNL-8   Win (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $47.80  
CNL-9   Win (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  
CNL-10   Win (4/2/3/9/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $13.40 $13.40 3.40
CNL-11   Win (9/10/11/7/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 1 $13.80 $13.80 3.80

Simulator Race results

 
CNL-1   08/12/2023 3630ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:223 :452 :57     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
Z FIRST 3 6 61 4   1nk 1 (klesaris ste)SANCHEZ J 124 1.40 60% 0.70 1.10 W
BAHAMIAN MOON 6 8 74 7   6 2 (bowersock maria)BOYCE FOREST 122 12.00 5% 19.00 17.40 P
LADY IN HEELS 7 2 2nk 2nk   2nk 3 (bowersock maria)CASTANON L 122 6.00 8.90  
TREVESS 8 3 3½ 5   42 4 (cazares la)GALLARDO A 122 8.00 6% 14.80 5.20  
BEACH HOUSE 5 1 1nk 1nk   3½ 5 (mccutchen jason)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 10.00 28.00  
OUR STRONG VOWS 2 5 9 84   83 6 (godsey den)ASHTON GAVIN 122 8.00 9.50  
TRANSLATE 4 7 8 94   93 7 (allen ferris)KARAMANOS A 122 3.00 10% 8.50 4.50  
SMOOTH PEBBLE 1 4 5¾ 31   5 8 (alvarado diane)RUIZ JORGE 122 30.00 21.00  
MOOR STRENGTH 9 9 4¾ 6   7 9 (santillana fran)FUENTES MARIO 122 30.00 5% 19.00 10.30  
 
CNL-2   08/12/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 2:00
See original race card.
:234 :484 1:124 1:373   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO FOX GIVIN 7 4 43 3 2nk 1 1 (danner kels)HERNANDEZ J 118 30.00 49.20  
LIAM'S MESSAGE 9 6 6 64 32 2 2 (gutierrez faustio)RUIZ JORGE 118 4.50 9.40  
SURPRENANT COCCA 8 9 911¼ 8 5 3 34 (motion graha)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 7.50  
YATTA 1 3 33 4 8 7 4 (motion gra)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 21% 3.70 1.30  
BEYOND OSCAR 4 5 5 54 45 4 5 (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 118 5.00 20% 4.10 2.70  
THE MYTH 3 1 1 12 1nk 5 6 (casse mark)GALLARDO A 118 3.50 15% 5.60 3.50  
COTINGA 2 7 7 76 7 6 711¾ (nagle sarah)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 8.00 21% 3.90 38.60  
SPIRIT IN THE MIST (FR) 6 8 8 9 9 913½ 814¾ (danner kelsey)ROCCO S 118 30.00 5% 19.00 27.40  
DOOBLAY 5 2 2 22 66 812½ 918½ (desormeaux keith)RIQUELME J 118 8.00 45.70  
 
CNL-3   08/12/2023 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
See original race card.
:24 :492 1:133 1:37   1:49   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BILOXI BLUES 7 6 53 5 54 31 1¼ (mcgaughey c)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 6.00 12.30  
HECKLED 5 3 31 3 3 1½ 2¼ (stidham michae)GEROUX FLORENT 118 1.20 58% 0.70 1.80 P
LADY CLAYPOOLE (IRE) 8 7 6 64 64 41 3 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 5% 19.00 5.00 S
HEAVENLY APPOINTED 1 2 1½ 1½ 1½ 2½ 4 (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 118 2.50 20% 4.00 2.10  
HAINT BLUE (FR) 6 5 4 42 4 6 55 (brion keri)BOYCE FOREST 118 30.00 30.40  
FRIENDSHIP ROAD 3 8 87 77 77 7 6 (mcgaughey claude )CARMOUCHE K 124 8.00 10.90  
DETERMINED FIRST 4 1 2½ 2½ 2½ 53 7 (schoenthal )CARRASCO R 118 8.00 4.40  
PASSIONFORQUALITY 2 4 7 87 88 810¾ 815¼ (munoz carl)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 30.00 5% 19.00 69.90  
 
CNL-4   08/12/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:122 1:362   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INTEGRATION 3 5 34 36 3 12 1 (mcgaughey cl)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 22% 3.50 1.00 W
UTAH BEACH 1 4 44 47 43 3 2 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 4.50 2.60  
VINTAGE YEAR 7 1 2 2 21 22 3 (fisher r)BOYCE FOREST 124 5.00 26% 2.90 6.20 S
ELON 6 2 1 1 11 4 413¾ (bentley fenneka)ASHTON GAVIN 119 30.00 5% 19.00 30.20  
KING COVEE 2 7 69 610 6 510½ 514¾ (godsey den)ROCCO S 119 2.00 31% 2.30 3.80  
YOUNGDUMBANDBROKE 4 3 5 510 5 610½ 621 (tomlinson micha)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 4.50 13.90  
VALENTIN C 5 6 710½ 713½ 710½ 718½ 729 (escobar alison)AVILES YAN 124 30.00 60.10  
SCR  RAISE HIGH               (oliver victori)CASTELLANO J 119 10.00    
 
CNL-5   08/12/2023 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:124 1:363   1:484   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  CARRONADE 11 6 8 8 6 1nk 12 (mcgoey monica)KARAMANOS A 123 3.00 36% 1.80 4.10 W
SMALL FIELD 3 9 10 9 7 6 22 (huffman kenn)ALONSO LUIS 123 20.00 65.50  
10  SEVEN BRIDGES ROAD 9 11 9 10 10 7 32 (pompay terri)RUIZ JORGE 125 8.00 6.60  
TOLAGA BAY 4 1 4 33 52 5 4 (kingsley archiba)ASHTON GAVIN 123 30.00 35.90  
11  ANAMNESTIC 10 7 6 6 41 3½ 53 (danner kels)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 5% 19.00 10.60  
SMART STRIKER 8 4 3 43 31 2nk 6 (pompay terri)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00 7% 14.10 8.90  
KAZAN (IRE) 5 10 117 118 11 94 74 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 2.50 29% 2.50 4.10  
DYNA MAST 7 3 7 7 9 83 84 (fout douglas)AVILES YAN 123 20.00 30.40  
WINSTON WOLF 2 8 5 54 8 105 9 (oliver victori)CASTELLANO J 118 30.00 3.90  
JOLLY BY GOLLY 6 2 2½ 2 2½ 4 10 (smith hamilton )TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 10.00 13.60  
GRAEL 1 5 1½ 1 1½ 116 11 (stidham mich)HERNANDEZ J 123 6.00 5% 17.60 4.70  
SCR  BODECREAM               (de hora)CARRASCO R 123 10.00    
 
CNL-6   08/12/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:03
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:12 1:36   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GLIDER 8 5 5 55 5 31 1 (casse mark)GALLARDO A 123 2.50 13% 6.40 4.40 W
NO ONE TO BLAME 5 3 3 3 3½ 1½ 2 (trombetta micha)KARAMANOS A 123 10.00 11% 7.80 6.60 P
FORT WASHINGTON 1 8 88 8 7 7 3 (mcgaughey c)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 2.00 39% 1.60 1.10 S
ALEX JOON 2 4 4 65 6 63 4 (schultz lindsay)BOYCE FOREST 125 3.50 3.00  
WOW WHATA SUMMER 6 7 65 44 4 5 5 (lawrence jam)SANCHEZ J 123 10.00 38.10  
STREET COPPER 7 2 2½ 2 2½ 2½ 65 (trombetta m)CARRASCO R 123 30.00 9% 10.70 21.20  
OCEAN CITY 4 1 1½ 1 1½ 41 77 (russell brittan)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 4.50 8.80  
FEBRUARY SON 3 6 76 77 8 8 8 (granitz anthony )CASTANON L 123 30.00 34.90  
 
CNL-7   08/12/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 4:38
See original race card.
:22 :441 1:084     1:223   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOUNCER 1 1 1½ 1½   1½ 1¾ (casse mark)GALLARDO A 116 1.60 50% 1.00 1.70 W
FROSTED DEPARTURE 5 2 2½ 2½   2½ 2¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 117 1.20 20% 4.10 0.80 P
TOP RECRUIT 4 5 32 42   3 3 (maker j)KARAMANOS A 116 3.50 3.60  
FREE SOUL 3 4 5 5   55 48 (munoz carlos)RUIZ JORGE 114 30.00 32.90  
O'CONNER SUNSET 2 3 4 32   4 5 (jones e)HO WESLEY 114 6.00 14.60  
SCR  ON THE MARK               (shankle joanne)TOLEDO JEVIAN 114 30.00 5% 17.80    
 
CNL-8   08/12/2023 5280ft TURF RC13 FIRM Secretariat Purse ($500K) 3 ALL PT- 5:14
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:113 1:231   1:351   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIGANTE 2 2 6 63 3½ 2nk 1¼ (asmussen steve)CASTELLANO J 121 15.00 22.90  
NAGIRROC 3 3 53 5 6 4 2¼ (motion graham)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 2.50 34% 2.00 2.20 P
SILVER KNOTT (GB) 1 4 31 3 5 5 32 (appleby charles)SPENCER P 119 3.00 18% 4.70 2.30 S
MAJOR DUDE 6 6 2½ 2½ 1½ 1nk 42 (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 6.00 7.60  
NORTHERN INVADER 5 5 4 4 4¾ 31 5 (devaux cherie)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 1.80  
MO STASH 4 1 1½ 1½ 2½ 6 69 (oliver victori)GEROUX FLORENT 123 5.00 25% 3.00 8.20  
SCR  MORE THAN LOOKS               (devaux cherie)LEZCANO JOSE 123 5.00    
SCR  TEE AT ONE               (alvarado dia)SANCHEZ J 119 12.00    
 
CNL-9   08/12/2023 6270ft TURF RC14 FIRM Beverly Purse ($500K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:251 :501 1:133 1:37   1:542   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FEV ROVER (IRE) 1 1 1 11 11 11 1 (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 125 2.00 47% 1.10 0.60 W
GINA ROMANTICA 5 3 43 4 4 21 2 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 5.00 19% 4.20 1.90 P
ROMAGNA MIA (GB) 3 4 33 3 31 33 3 (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 123 4.00 5.90  
MISE EN SCENE (GB) 4 5 54 53 53 4 4 (walsh p)SPENCER P 123 8.00 8% 11.90 11.10  
JAN'S GIRL 2 2 2 21 21 513½ 535½ (cazares la)GALLARDO A 123 12.00 26.60  
SCR  DIDIA (ARG)               (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 3.00    
SCR  ROCKY SKY (IRE)               (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 6.00    
 
CNL-10   08/12/2023 6600ft TURF RC14 FIRM Arlington Million Purse ($1000K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:40
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:101 1:34   1:581   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SET PIECE (GB) 3 11 1111 11 116 3.2 12 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 123 6.00 20% 4.00 5.70 W
11  SANTIN 11 2 2 2 2½ 1nk 22 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 8.00 7.00  
ADHAMO (IRE) 9 10 10 10 94 4 3 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 10.00 12% 7.60 4.20 S
NEVER EXPLAIN 2 9 9 8 8 6 4 (mcgaughey c)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 6.00 20% 3.90 12.20  
10  WIN FOR THE MONEY 10 8 75 7 7 7 5 (casse mark)RUIZ JORGE 123 20.00 15.20  
ROCKEMPEROR (IRE) 5 7 6 63 62 5 6 (brown c)VELAZQUEZ R 123 5.00 10.40  
STRONG QUALITY 7 1 1 1 1½ 2nk 7 (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 123 12.00 4.50  
CATNIP 8 5 53 5 52 106 8 (stidham mich)HERNANDEZ J 123 8.00 6.10  
STRONG TIDE 1 6 86 9 10 118 9 (lauer michael)KARAMANOS A 123 15.00 60.60  
MASTER PIECE (CHI) 6 42 4 4 31 8 1010 (dutrow e)LEZCANO JOSE 123 12.00 5% 19.00 7.20  
ATONE 4 32 32 32 4 9 1113¾ (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 125 3.50 22% 3.50 12.00  
 
CNL-11   08/12/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:10
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:11 1:351   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  THISNAMEISOKAY 10 6 3 22 21 12 1 (cooper steve)ROCCO S 123 3.50 16% 5.10 5.90 W
WATCH THIS BIRDIE 4 3 4 3 33 22 2 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 5.00 3.10  
GALILEI 8 9 9 7 66 6 33 (trombetta micha)KARAMANOS A 125 6.00 2.60  
PRETTYKEEN 5 8 5 55 5 3 4 (cazares la)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 20.00 35.10  
WINTER PRINCESS 7 4 6 6 4 5 5 (klesaris ste)SANCHEZ J 123 30.00 5% 19.00 13.70  
11  FISH MOONEY 11 7 8 9 78 7 6 (casse mark)GALLARDO A 123 4.00 13% 6.50 5.90  
CHA CHA MISSION 1 10 10 1010¾ 8 9 7 (russell brittan)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 20.00 17.10  
FUNNY ENOUGH 6 1 7 8 9 8 8 (russo j)CASTANON L 123 20.00 55.60  
UP TO SOMETHING 3 11 1111¼ 1111¾ 11 10 9 (oliver victoria)RIQUELME J 118 20.00 5% 19.00 22.10  
TEQUILERA 9 5 1nk 12 11 4 10 (matz michae)CARRASCO R 123 5.00 47% 1.10 4.40  
COMPASS FIRE 2 2 2nk 45 10 1119¼ 1127 (seale christopher)RUIZ JORGE 118 8.00 39.70  
SCR  JOYA DEL SUR               (munoz carlos)JIMENEZ MANNY 123 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.