Handicappers' Race Results

"A Premier Resource for Horse Racing Picks, Horse Racing Tips and Longshots"
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.

Ellis Park
Friday - August 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ELP-1   Win (2/5/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $5.52 $5.52  
ELP-2   Win (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $3.30 $3.30  
ELP-3   Win (7/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $34.80  
ELP-4   Win (3/1/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $12.12  
ELP-5   Win (4/6/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $4.32 $4.32  
ELP-6   Win (3/10/6/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $9.42 $9.42  
ELP-7   Win (3/12/10/2/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 12 1 1 $8.14 $8.14  
ELP-8   Win (3/2/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $4.92 $4.92  
ELP-9   Win (10/5/1/3/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 0 $225.50  

Simulator Race results

 
ELP-1   08/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($32K) 2 ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:131 1:252   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAYTOWN PARFAIT 6 3 11 1½ 2nk 1nk 1nk (ramirez m)BEJARANO R 120 8.00 5% 19.00 1.76 W
MASTER SWITCH 3 6 4 4 4¼ 2nk 2nk (barkley jas)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 4.50 7.46  
HAWKS CREEK 1 2 5 5 5 4 3½ (desormeaux keit)COHEN DAVID 120 6.00 5% 19.00 18.42 S
SAVE THE KING 4 7 65 6 6 53 4 (davis christ)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00 16.82  
ACACIO 2 1 3 3 1nk 3½ 5 (thomas jonatha)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 1.80 57% 0.70 1.40  
MIDNIGHT TIL DAWN 5 5 7 76 7 7 6 (o'neill dou)TORRES A 120 3.00 16% 5.20 8.10  
BOLD FORCE 7 4 21 2½ 3.2 6 710¼ (mott riley)GARCIA MARTIN 120 10.00 9.12  
 
ELP-2   08/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:243 :482 1:122 1:243   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ON A SPREE 1 1 1½ 1½ 11 1 1 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 1.40 37% 1.70 0.65 W
SUGOI 2 2 2½ 2½ 21 2 2 (engler jeff)MACHADO LUAN 123 2.00 22% 3.60 1.38 P
SHORTLIST 3 3 3 31 3 3 314½ (van thomas)MORALES EDGAR 123 3.50 4.16  
SCR  MOHAAFETH               (trujillo elvis)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 12.00    
SCR  TAPAGE               (cano munoz)CHUAN MARTIN 123 5.00    
 
ELP-3   08/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 2 F PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:12     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BARBRATINA 2 6 5 5   2½ 15 (humphries thomas)MACHADO LUAN 119 10.00 16.40  
UP ON THE EDGE 6 1 2nk 1nk   1½ 25 (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 119 2.00 62% 0.60 0.59 P
WEE BIT O MISCHIEF 3 3 4 4   31 3 (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 3.50 10% 8.70 7.10 S
NAUGHTY MISS 1 4 6 62   64 410¾ (roberson dennis)LANERIE J 119 2.50 3.09  
AARALYN 5 2 1nk 2nk   4 510¾ (hiles a)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 5% 19.00 8.24  
CHOCTAW GRACE 4 5 31 3.2   5 612¾ (humphries thoma)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 18.60  
SCR  LITTLE MUSIC               (holsapple hutch)HEARD TYLER 119 15.00    
 
ELP-4   08/11/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:243 :482 1:122 1:363   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUTHERN CRUSH 7 4 3½ 1nk 1½ 1nk 1hd (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 118 5.00 5.06  
FIRST PLAYER 2 3 43 4 43 33 2hd (howard neil )HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 4.13  
SIX MISSIONS 1 1 1nk 2nk 2½ 2nk 3½ (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 3.00 27% 2.70 1.93 S
CAIRO'S GHOST 5 7 7 7 6 4 4 (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00 11.43  
SENSICAL 3 2 2nk 3.2 3 5 5 (engler jeff)LANERIE J 118 3.50 31% 2.30 3.50  
GO CATS 4 5 6 6 75 7 67 (davis christoph)CANNON DECLAN 118 4.00 21% 3.80 5.99  
QAADER 6 6 5 5 5 6 7 (trujillo elvis)MACHADO LUAN 124 15.00 5% 19.00 14.08  
SCR  ARCHIE THE GIZA               (medina robert)GARCIA MARTIN 124 4.50    
SCR  VIOLENT THUNDER               (barkley jason)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 8.00    
 
ELP-5   08/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:224 :46 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SISTER KISSES 4 6 21 2nk   1 1 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 3.00 26% 2.90 1.16 W
WITCH OF NOVEMBER 5 5 45 3   35 2 (mccarthy michael)CHUAN MARTIN 119 2.50 24% 3.10 2.31 P
DIVINE GRACE 1 3 3 57   4 3 (ewing a)CANNON DECLAN 119 3.50 6.06  
I GOTTA BOLT 6 2 55 6   59 412¼ (hancock a)LANERIE J 119 8.00 15.39  
ISABEL DE CLARE 7 1 6 4   6 512¾ (seglin e)COHEN DAVID 124 20.00 42.59  
GET BY 2 4 11 1nk   2 613¼ (cano munoz)DELCID MARLON 114 4.00 22% 3.60 4.11  
ELEGANT MOVES 3 7 7 715½   719½ 751½ (pittman bonn)CARPIO J 109 20.00 5% 19.00 35.59  
SCR  SHACKLED BY LUST               (hancock a)BAYS BROOKE 109 12.00    
 
ELP-6   08/11/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($74K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:213 :441 :552     1:011   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COUNTERSTRIKE 3 1 5 4   2nk 1 (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 122 3.00 47% 1.10 3.71 W
WESTERN COMMAND 1 8 11 1½   1nk 2 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00 34.38  
CUSTOM BOBBY'S 4 2 21 2½   3.2 3 (calhoun william)MORALES EDGAR 122 10.00 5% 19.00 7.34 S
ZARTOWNIS 7 3 4 5   5 4 (devaux cher)TORRES A 122 8.00 6.75  
GOOD HEART 2 10 3 32   4 55 (walsh brend)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 6.00 2.86  
MUMAYAZ 6 9 108 10   7 6 (peitz c)GRAHAM J 122 8.00 11% 8.30 13.49  
10  B D VALESKI 10 6 96 8   6 7 (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50 16% 5.20 3.97  
SANTORINI 8 4 7 7   9 8 (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 118 8.00 6.95  
GHENT 5 7 64 6   8 9 (hamilton sar)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00 32.46  
HOCUS (GB) 9 5 8 9   1010¼ 1015 (thompson michae)CANNON DECLAN 122 20.00 5% 19.00 24.75  
 
ELP-7   08/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:224 :463 :592     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  IRIDESCENT 12 1 3 2½   2½ 11 (cox h)CHUAN MARTIN 119 3.00 25% 3.00 3.07 W
E J WON THE CUP 4 7 1½ 1½   1½ 21 (o'neill doug)CANNON DECLAN 119 12.00 3.70  
PALM TREE 1 2 2½ 31   3½ 3 (walsh brenda)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 8.49  
10  MO RHODES 10 12 12 6   44 4 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 119 5.00 6% 15.90 12.48  
11  MR. LEASURE 11 9 10 97   7 5 (o'neill doug)LANERIE J 119 20.00 5% 19.00 31.11  
CAJUN FOOL 9 6 84 44   6 6 (ramirez luis)CORRALES GERARDO 119 20.00 10.78  
CATS BY FIVE 3 11 42 54   5 7 (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 4.00 26% 2.90 8.59  
NEW SPELL 8 5 9 10   9 811¾ (simms jr)NAVAS YOEL 112 15.00 22.14  
PENROD 5 3 6 119   1110¼ 913 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 119 8.00 5.20  
NOTORIOUS SIXOHTWO 7 4 7 7   8 1016 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 17.34  
JACK IS BACK 2 8 5 8   10 1117¾ (humphries thoma)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00 5% 19.00 19.17  
DREAM TIME 6 10 11 1211½   1212¾ 1218 (asmussen steven )MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00 20.63  
 
ELP-8   08/11/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($78K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:103 1:343   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLASHY GEM 3 2 21 2½ 2nk 12 1 (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 1.20 40% 1.50 1.46 W
SHE'S GONE 7 6 54 5 6 4 2 (oliver victoria)GARCIA MARTIN 122 6.00 8.09  
AALIYAH EZRI 2 1 4 32 32 22 32 (divito james)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 6.00 16% 5.40 7.71 S
MANUCA (BRZ) 6 7 6 6 5 32 4 (lobo paulo )TORRES A 122 4.50 9% 9.90 1.59  
MUSIC STREET 1 5 77 7 7 65 57 (beckman whitw)CANNON DECLAN 122 10.00 21.39  
JUMP INTO THE FIRE 5 4 11 1½ 1nk 54 610¾ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 122 10.00 9% 10.70 30.09  
REAGAN'S DECISION 4 3 31 4 4 78 716 (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00 7.33  
 
ELP-9   08/11/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:213 :441 :56     1:02   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOXTROTANNA 4 1 1½ 1   1 1 (wojczynski ju)PETERSON FERRIN 124 30.00 ######  
CUORE SACRO 5 2 2½ 3   2 2 (lynch a)GRAHAM J 119 3.00 16% 5.30 1.80 P
COMMAND' ORO 3 8 7 7   6 3 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 5% 19.00 15.44 S
MONT MERCOU 1 3 4 2   3 4 (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 6.00 5% 19.00 3.42  
10  BIRTHDAY MUNNINGS 9 7 3 43   55 57 (walsh p)BEJARANO R 119 2.50 60% 0.70 1.70  
KING OF KENTUCKY 7 4 8 8   8 6 (house gary)GILLIGAN JACK 119 30.00 39.53  
MOUNT KISCO 8 6 52 6   45 79 (howell jessica)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 15.00 11.54  
12  MY ROAD 10 10 1011¼ 1012¾   1011¼ 812 (rider m)MACHADO LUAN 124 20.00 84.00  
MISTER MOSCATO 2 9 9 9   910¾ 914½ (dunn d)CANNON DECLAN 119 30.00 5% 19.00 76.00  
BAYOU SPIRIT 6 5 63 5   7 1030¼ (lynch a)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 12.00 15.46  
SCR  J J'S JOKER               (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 4.00    
SCR  JOINT VENTURE               (flint s)CHUAN MARTIN 119 20.00    
SCR  PASS LINE               (williamson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.