Handicappers' Race Results

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Ellis Park
Saturday - August 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ELP-1   Win (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 0.40
ELP-2   Win (5/3/7/9/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $4.84 $4.84  
ELP-3   Win (5/6/13/7/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $7.90 $7.90  
ELP-4   Win (9/10/4/5/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 1 $9.82 $9.82  
ELP-5   Win (9/5/2/13/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $5.32 $5.32  
ELP-6   Win (7/8/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $4.90 $4.90  
ELP-7   Win (1/2/10/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $5.12 $5.12  
ELP-8   Win (10/3/5/11/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 1 $3.76 $3.76  
ELP-9   Win (7/3/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $10.76 $10.76 2.76

Simulator Race results

 
ELP-1   08/05/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($74K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:22 :444 1:092     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANGKOR 4 1 2nk 2nk   1½ 1 (bauer a)BEJARANO R 122 1.80 22% 3.60 1.20 W
FAVORITE OUTLAW 2 2 1nk 1nk   2½ 2 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 2.00 48% 1.10 0.68 P
FIRE BABY 1 4 31 42   44 3 (ortiz a)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00 9.64  
OVERBORE 3 3 4 31   33 4 (fletcher kevin)MACHADO LUAN 122 10.00 13.32  
SCR  LAMUTANAATTY               (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 122 6.00    
SCR  SPEND BENJAMINS               (shorter aar)TORRES A 122 6.00    
 
ELP-2   08/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 1:17
See original race card.
:222 :454 :582     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELLA HAZE 4 2 21 21   1nk 1 (santamaria car)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 3.50 28% 2.60 1.42 W
FUNDAMENTALLY 2 6 4 4   32 2 (brown chad )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 4.00 24% 3.10 4.57 P
GLORIETTE 1 1 11 11   2nk 3 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00 10.74  
SHE'S COOL 7 3 66 5   4 4 (stewart dall)ASMUSSEN J 119 10.00 5% 19.00 19.08  
10  SINGSATIONAL 8 10 7 6   67 59 (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 5.00 3.41  
SWEET MIMI 6 5 3 3   5 610¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 22% 3.50 6.47  
11  FASTA LAVISTA BABY 9 9 1012 8   710½ 712½ (wilkes r)LANERIE J 119 15.00 27.05  
12  YAMMY YAMMY BELLA 10 7 810½ 913   916½ 825½ (bahena ismael)CHUAN MARTIN 119 20.00 5% 19.00 16.46  
SHARPER GAL 3 8 55 77   814½ 928¾ (lovell michelle)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 30.00 43.33  
VIVIS IN FRONT 5 4 910½ 1015   1019½ 1032½ (hancock jack )MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 30.00 81.32  
SCR  C C GRAND               (lyster s)GRAHAM J 119 20.00    
SCR  GALLOP D'HERMES               (zanelli dante)CHUAN MARTIN 119 20.00    
SCR  RETAIL THERAPY               (ortiz a)CORRALES GERARDO 119 20.00    
SCR  WAMPUS KITTEN               (casse w)GARCIA MARTIN 119 4.50    
 
ELP-3   08/05/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($74K) 3 F PT- 1:48
See original race card.
:24 :471 1:103 1:223   1:343   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOM DE PLUME 4 3 32 4 3 31 11 (lobo paulo )TORRES A 120 5.00 44% 1.30 2.95 W
BRU NA BOINNE 6 4 5 53 5 42 21 (calhoun wil)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 12.00 9% 9.50 11.85 P
11  WORK OF FICTION 10 5 21 21 2nk 1nk 3 (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 120 10.00 10.86  
13  STORM BAY 11 8 8 10 95 53 4 (devaux cherie)RAMOS D 120 6.00 10% 9.10 14.06  
HOLY FOLEY 8 10 11 12 11 9 5 (lynch a)GRAHAM J 122 10.00 3.81  
PRIVATE CREDIT 5 2 11 11 1nk 2nk 6 (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.00 10% 9.00 2.85  
BEYOND DOUBT 2 11 9 85 8 6 7 (cox h)CHUAN MARTIN 120 3.50 19.82  
MAGIC BUBBLES 3 7 6 63 6 7 8 (asmussen ste)CORRALES GERARDO 115 12.00 5% 19.00 11.10  
PEDIGEEK 7 12 12 11 106 10 9 (casse mark)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 12.00 36.06  
10  MISS PEABODY 9 6 42 32 4 8 10 (newton troy)BEJARANO R 120 20.00 15.71  
TWO MINUTE DRILL 1 1 7 74 7 11 11 (barkley jason)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 20.00 68.93  
15  LEXA (FR) 12 9 107 9 12 12 1211¼ (beckman whitw)CANNON DECLAN 120 12.00 30.52  
SCR  C C CRUISE CONTROL               (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 120 4.00    
SCR  CLEVER JOKE               (catalano m)GRAHAM J 120 5.00    
SCR  CLOAK OF MERCY               (ortiz a)CORRALES GERARDO 120 20.00    
SCR  SANDRA D               (margolis stephen )COHEN DAVID 120 15.00    
 
ELP-4   08/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 2:22
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:122 1:244   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WEST SARATOGA 8 4 11 1½ 12 13 1 (demeritte larry)BEJARANO R 119 3.00 56% 0.80 3.91 W
GENEROUS TIPPER 7 2 3 72 3 23 2 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 5% 19.00 5.74 P
10  DJANGO 9 10 75 5 6 47 315 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 119 5.00 10% 9.20 2.22 S
THANKS FRANK 2 3 4 3½ 22 36 415¾ (von donni)GARCIA MARTIN 119 10.00 10.70  
TOWN HALL 5 8 8 6 7 5 516¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 2.91  
FIRST OF HIS NAME 1 5 64 8 8 710 616¾ (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 119 20.00 14.60  
COASTAL BRINK 3 1 21 4 4 6 727¾ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 8.00 7% 12.80 28.84  
MONEYSHOT 6 7 5 2½ 5 812½ 829 (puhich mike)CANNON DECLAN 119 15.00 19.10  
HALLELUJAH HARRIS 4 6 108 109 914¼ 915½ 931¾ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 15.00 5% 19.00 24.03  
11  GOTTA HAVE DREAMS 10 9 9 9 1014¼ 1019 1041 (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00 43.36  
SCR  IN FORM               (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 4.00    
 
ELP-5   08/05/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($74K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:53
See original race card.
:24 :47 1:102 1:221   1:342   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAND AND SEA 2 2 2½ 2½ 1 2½ 1 (mott riley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 3.00 11% 7.90 1.66 W
SAHLABIYA 7 4 43 32 2 1½ 2 (walsh brendan )BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 3.50 31% 2.20 2.64 P
MUSICAL SCORE 4 3 33 4 3 32 3 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 21% 3.70 3.25 S
11  ALWAYS AT EASE 9 5 8 86 6 4 4 (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00 14.03  
MUSTANG LADY 3 10 10 10 7 65 5 (newton troy)BEJARANO R 118 20.00 24.36  
12  MILLION DOLLAR CAT 10 7 5 54 5 5 6 (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 118 8.00 17.48  
YO PUEDO 1 6 6 65 8 7 7 (medina rober)CORRALES GERARDO 123 20.00 51.73  
10  KLIMT'S MUSE 8 11 1110¾ 11 11 9 8 (humphries thomas)MACHADO LUAN 123 15.00 20.12  
DAWNY 5 8 9 9 9 89 914¼ (jones larr)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 15.00 7% 12.60 45.40  
SEDUCE 6 1 1½ 1½ 43 1111¼ 1018 (mott i)GRAHAM J 123 10.00 31.16  
13  SCARLET STRIPE 11 9 7 76 10 1011¼ 1118¼ (beckman whit)RAMOS D 123 12.00 8% 10.90 19.29  
SCR  CHARLEY RUDE               (cano m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 15.00    
SCR  HARVEY'S PRINCESS               (west w)MORALES EDGAR 123 20.00    
SCR  JENNY LIND               (asmussen s)RODRIGUEZ A 113 15.00    
SCR  LAY THE GROUNDWORK               (mott riley)TORRES A 123 6.00    
SCR  NOMADIC PRIDE               (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00    
 
ELP-6   08/05/2023 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:123 1:373   1:502   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARCANO 8 4 4 4 32 1nk 1 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 2.50 21% 3.70 1.45 W
CONCERTED 7 3 1½ 1½ 11 2nk 2 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 124 1.80 38% 1.70 1.06 P
TIZ WICKED STRONG 4 10 107 10 9 5 38 (baker james)GRAHAM J 118 12.00 5% 19.00 19.61 S
ACTIVE DUTY (FR) 1 1 3 3 42 3 49 (stewart dallas)BESCHIZZA ADAM null   11.42  
ICE TIME 5 5 85 8 76 66 511 (sharp joe)TORRES A 118 8.00 21.53  
SPEED INSTITUTE 3 7 2½ 2½ 21 4 611¾ (miller jerom)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 30.00 67.11  
10  TEXAS PRIDE 10 9 96 9 8 7 713¼ (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 30.00 53.96  
ENOUGH ALREADY 2 8 6 53 54 88 819½ (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 124 10.00 21% 3.80 18.28  
BOBWHITE BOBBY 9 6 7 75 6 910½ 921½ (von donni)GARCIA MARTIN 118 20.00 43.36  
CREATIVE WAY 6 2 5 65 10 1012½ 1021¾ (sharp joe)LANERIE J 118 15.00 23.79  
 
ELP-7   08/05/2023 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM KY Downs Preview Mint Ladies T Purse ($200K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:214 :434 :552     1:011   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAY STORM 1 3 4 42   2nk 1¼ (thomas jonatha)GEROUX FLORENT 122 1.60 37% 1.70 1.56 W
10  QUARIA COMET 8 5 53 5   5¾ 2¼ (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 4.00 16% 5.40 2.19 P
GOIN' GOOD 3 2 21 21   3½ 3 (cox h)TORRES A 122 5.00 5.68  
LINGUISTIC 4 4 3 31   4¾ 4 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 122 20.00 5% 19.00 10.07  
LOVE AND MONEY 2 1 11 11   1nk 5 (devaux cherie)RAMOS D 124 4.50 22% 3.50 5.81  
SEMBLE JUSTE (IRE) 7 6 66 6   6 65 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 122 30.00 39.04  
SOUPER MUNNINGS 5 8 77 7   7 7 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 12.00 23.53  
NEW BOSS 6 7 87 8   8 8 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 10.00 16.54  
SCR  MINER'S QUEEN               (hernandez rey)BEJARANO R 122 20.00    
SCR  SHOWGIRL LYNNE B               (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 118 30.00    
 
ELP-8   08/05/2023 5940ft TURF RC11 FIRM KY Downs Preview Dueling Groun Purse ($200K) 3 ALL PT- 4:34
See original race card.
:232 :461 1:093 1:341   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  WADSWORTH 9 10 9 7 6 1½ 1nk (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 1.60 32% 2.10 0.88 W
HIGHWAY ROBBER 1 3 10 11 115 5 2nk (lynch brian )MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00 14.14  
ANGLOPHILE 7 6 8 10 7 3½ 3¼ (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00 12.14  
11  DESERT DUKE 10 9 54 6 8 7 4 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 8% 10.90 8.68  
TALL BOY 8 8 4 44 31 2½ 5 (o'neill doug)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00 36.97  
LINCOLN HIGHWAY 5 7 117 8 9 8 6 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 18% 4.70 10.83  
ACT A FOOL 6 5 21 22 2nk 4¾ 7 (rivelli lar)TORRES A 118 15.00 7.39  
12  SHARAR 11 11 7 5 5 9 810½ (pletcher a)GRAHAM J 118 10.00 17.20  
GOLDEN BANDIT 2 2 3 3 4 6 911 (rosin w)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00 5% 19.00 25.62  
HIDDEN PATH 3 1 65 9 105 10 1012¾ (pletcher a)LANERIE J 118 6.00 21% 3.80 9.58  
WORTHINGTON 4 4 11 12 1nk 11 1115 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00 53.76  
SCR  GEORGIE W               (walden william)ACHARD ALEX 118 12.00    
SCR  MANCIATA D'ORO               (cox h)CHUAN MARTIN 118 15.00    
 
ELP-9   08/05/2023 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM KY Downs Preview Mint Millions Purse ($200K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:07
See original race card.
:243 :481 1:111 1:223   1:341   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOZIER 5 1 52 5 4 5 1½ (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 122 12.00 5% 19.00 4.38 W
FUERTEVENTURA 6 2 31 3.2 2nk 1nk 2½ (thomas jonatha)GEROUX FLORENT 124 2.50 39% 1.50 5.04 P
BIG DREAMING 3 3 2nk 1nk 1nk 2nk 3¾ (catalano m)GRAHAM J 122 10.00 35% 1.90 8.17 S
GRAY'S FABLE 4 8 9 11 11 10 4 (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 122 3.00 2.53  
GREYES CREEK 7 11 10 9 7 4 5 (lobo h)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 20.00 5% 19.00 15.02  
12  MAX K. O. 11 7 4 4¼ 3.2 31 63 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 124 6.00 8.81  
11  UNDERDRESSED 10 9 8 8 6 7 7 (hernandez rey)BEJARANO R 122 15.00 18.46  
MINNESOTA READY 1 5 1nk 2nk 8 6 84 (pessin l)LANERIE J 122 20.00 7.97  
TRAFALGAR 2 6 6 7 10 94 9 (hartman chris)MORALES EDGAR 122 30.00 61.31  
PLAY ACTION PASS 8 4 7 6 5 8 10 (medina robert)RAMOS D 122 8.00 9.54  
10  SANTOS DUMONT 9 10 114 103 9 116 11 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 20.00 30.93  
SCR  HEAVEN STREET               (maker micha)TORRES A 122 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.