Handicappers' Race Results

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Ellis Park
Monday - July 31, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ELP-1   Win (5/2/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $11.76 $11.76 3.76
ELP-2   Win (3/4/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $5.60 $5.60  
ELP-3   Win (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $9.26 $9.26 3.26
ELP-4   Win (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $5.76 $5.76  
ELP-5   Win (4/8/3/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $11.14 $11.14 1.14
ELP-6   Win (5/6/2/11/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $24.34 $24.34 14.34
ELP-7   Win (2/7/11/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $4.26 $4.26  
ELP-8   Win (1/4/7/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 0 $10.24  
ELP-9   Win (4/10/5/12/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 0 $27.62  

Simulator Race results

 
ELP-1   07/31/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:12     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYAL BLOOD 6 2 3 3½   1½ 1 (vaccarezza carlo)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 3.00 23% 3.40 4.88 W
AUNT JO 3 4 2 1½   2½ 2 (blair jordan)BEJARANO R 119 6.00 6% 15.20 6.36 P
THE PRINCESS SAYS 5 3 53 4   3 3 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 1.80 25% 2.90 0.70 S
ZIGGZAPPA 4 7 7 67   5 4 (forster t)LANERIE J 124 6.00 9.74  
SOULFUL TARA 1 5 1 2½   4 5 (miller f)COURT K 119 8.00 7.95  
INSIGHTFUL MISS 2 6 4 5   66 6 (williamson brian)EMIGH A 119 4.50 25% 3.00 12.75  
I GOTTA BOLT 7 1 6 7   79 711¾ (hancock john)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 15.00 22.55  
 
ELP-2   07/31/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:253 :502 1:142 1:261   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GET THROUGH 4 3 44 54 1½ 1½ 1¾ (moquett ronald )CANNON DECLAN 123 15.00 5% 19.00 1.80 W
PAID IN FULL 1 2 32 2nk 32 3 2¾ (hartlage gar)MICHEL MICKAELLE 123 3.50 5.25  
MAGNA RULER 3 1 12 1nk 2½ 2½ 3 (ramos )PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 123 6.00 32% 2.20 4.15 S
BORN FLAWLESS 7 4 22 3 42 4 4 (heitzman eri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00 6.95  
PUNCTUALITY 2 5 66 6 54 5 54 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 120 4.50 37% 1.70 3.01  
ATTEST 5 7 7 7 66 6 6 (knippenberg bri)MORALES EDGAR 125 15.00 5% 17.90 9.34  
RONITHELIMODRIVER 6 6 5 4 7 710½ 712¼ (hancock dana)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 20.00 31.19  
SCR  TEN COUNT               (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 120 1.20    
 
ELP-3   07/31/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:224 :462 1:111     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAMP DADDY 4 2 5 3   1 1 (gutierrez f)TORRES A 122 2.50 27% 2.70 3.63 W
UNCLE BERLEY 2 4 65 63   2 2 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 122 4.50 3.40  
BOLT ABOVE 1 6 3½ 5   4 312 (contreras c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 1.80 35% 1.90 1.51 S
SWIMMINGWITHSHARKS 6 1 2nk 11   34 413¾ (cano munoz)LANERIE J 122 8.00 15% 5.70 4.29  
CHARLIE WHISKEY 3 3 1nk 42   5 514½ (stinson will)CORRALES GERARDO 120 5.00 7.19  
GETTIN PAID 5 5 42 21   611 634 (foster eric)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00 15.49  
SCR  AMERICAN ICON               (vasquez sr)BEJARANO R 122 15.00    
 
ELP-4   07/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:124 1:261   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HASHTAG WINNER 4 5 57 56 31 1 1 (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 123 4.00 10% 9.40 1.88 W
SET THE PACE 1 1 2nk 1½ 1nk 2 2 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 123 4.50 34% 1.90 1.72 P
JERSEY GOLD 3 2 34 45 55 5 3 (nesbitt amy)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 123 20.00 21.79  
PRIDDIS 5 4 1nk 2½ 2nk 44 411¼ (diodoro rob)TORRES A 123 3.50 33% 2.10 2.91  
SUPERTALEOFHOUDINI 2 3 45 3 4 33 511½ (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 123 6.00 4.03  
SCR  CHOCTAW BINGO               (stinson william)MORALES EDGAR 123 12.00    
SCR  SHE'S GONE D'WILD               (barkley jason)MACHADO LUAN 123 10.00    
SCR  XYLOPHONE               (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 2.50    
 
ELP-5   07/31/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:251 :501 1:15 1:271   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUE EYED GEORGE 6 5 6 5 3 1½ 1 (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 119 12.00 5% 19.00 4.57 W
MUGATU 4 1 21 2½ 1nk 2½ 2 (engler jeff)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 3.00 43% 1.30 7.37 P
CASPER 3 8 88 88 8 7 3 (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 119 5.00 8% 11.90 6.09 S
DEPICTION 1 10 1010 99 96 6 4 (devaux cher)TORRES A 119 8.00 2.30  
ONE RED CENT 2 7 5 6 63 8 5 (jazdzewski)RODRIGUEZ A 114 30.00 28.94  
VIVA VOCE 9 6 4 4 42 5 6 (mott riley)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00 20.62  
10  BRIE'S MISSION 10 4 76 7 75 9 7 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 13.94  
PURE POETRY 8 2 11 1½ 2nk 3 810¼ (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 2.50 28% 2.50 3.13  
MIGHTY KAI 5 9 9 10 10 10 911 (maker j)CHUAN MARTIN 119 12.00 16.38  
J T'S IMAGINATION 7 3 33 33 5 4 1013 (sharp joe)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 10.00 5% 19.00 40.63  
SCR  COASTAL BRINK               (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 6.00    
SCR  FIRST OF HIS NAME               (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 119 8.00    
 
ELP-6   07/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:223 :46 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONDON CANDY 4 5 1nk 1   16 1 (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 119 4.00 26% 2.80 11.17 W
10  REGAL RUMOR 8 2 6 33   3 2 (catalano way)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 15.00 5% 19.00 29.09 P
MUSICAL DIVA 5 6 31 2   26 3 (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 2.50 25% 3.00 1.98 S
11  PEIGNOIR 9 4 7 7   410½ 411½ (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 119 20.00 5% 19.00 55.14  
12  LEGACY DEFINED 10 9 8 8   612 512¾ (hobby steve)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00 7.88  
AURACULOUS 3 10 1012¼ 10   512 614 (devaux cher)TORRES A 119 8.00 8.94  
OUR KEEPSAKE 7 7 5 55   713 720¾ (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 12.00 28.27  
SWEET VIOLET 6 1 9 9   1017½ 826½ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 20.00 25.88  
LITTLE MISS PRISS 2 8 4 66   815½ 929¾ (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 119 6.00 2.23  
MISS ESCAPADE 1 3 2nk 45   916½ 1033 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50 7% 13.40 5.62  
SCR  FOOLISH FRONT FIFI               (hancock jack )MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 15.00    
SCR  SWEET GUITAR               (mckeever andrew)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 20.00    
 
ELP-7   07/31/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:243 :492 1:134 1:38   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEMON BOMB 2 1 1½ 1½ 1 13 1 (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 118 2.50 43% 1.30 1.13 W
FROTHY 1 2 42 52 2 3 2 (devaux cherie)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00 14.95  
BOLTORO 5 4 5 8 6 23 3 (casse mark)TORRES A 118 6.00 17% 4.90 4.62 S
OKAY FINE 3 7 84 9 107 46 4 (lynch a)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.50 13.66  
CATMINT 6 5 32 31 5 56 5 (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00 5% 19.00 8.31  
12  MILIEU 10 10 9 10 9 78 6 (mott i)GRAHAM J 118 5.00 14.52  
10  MO BLOOMS 8 9 7 6 7 67 7 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 5.94  
ENGLISH CHARM 7 3 63 41 43 8 811 (wilkes r)LANERIE J 118 12.00 5% 19.00 14.52  
11  JUNGLE CAT 9 6 107 7 8 911½ 914½ (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 124 12.00 12% 7.10 24.51  
BE MISS HATTIE 4 8 2½ 2½ 3 1016 1026½ (davis chris)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 25.00 61.59  
SCR  CALLAS               (mott riley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 30.00    
SCR  CHURCH SERVICE               (jones larry)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 25.00    
SCR  MIDVALE               (walsh brend)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00    
SCR  PELICAN LANE               (foley greg)LANERIE J 118 6.00    
SCR  RETROSPECT               (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 15.00    
SCR  THEROANRUNNER               (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
 
ELP-8   07/31/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:222 :453 1:103     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELI'S PROMISE 6 1 11 1½   12 1 (divito james)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 6.00 4.12  
LUPO'S LEGACY 2 4 3 31   22 2 (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 10.00 6% 15.50 12.63 P
EMPERADOR 1 8 910 98   9 33 (hiles rick)GRAHAM J 122 12.00 24% 3.20 13.55 S
MIDASWELLRUN 9 3 4 5   6 43 (blair jordan)BEJARANO R 122 8.00 4.37  
STAND FOR FREEDOM 4 9 6 64   3 54 (wilkes r)NAVAS YOEL 115 8.00 21% 3.80 10.51  
RIDER'S SPECIAL 3 5 53 43   44 6 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.50 2.66  
BACKSIDE BUZZ 5 7 86 74   88 7 (vance thoma)TORRES A 118 3.00 8% 11.70 12.83  
SUPREMELY 7 6 76 85   7 810¾ (foley greg)LANERIE J 122 5.00 14% 6.10 5.42  
MISSIN CURFEW 8 2 21 2½   5 912 (diodoro robertin)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 6.00 8.85  
 
ELP-9   07/31/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:133 1:381   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SANT' ANTIMO 8 4 5 3 1nk 13 1 (hiles a)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 25.00 12.81  
BROWN LIQUOR MAN 5 3 3 4 5 33 2 (shirer a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00 6% 14.60 7.85 P
SIMPLY JACK 4 5 9 10 10 6 34 (murphy conor)GRAHAM J 124 2.50 65% 0.50 1.70 S
DRAMA CRITIC 7 8 11 9 6 23 44 (wilkes r)NAVAS YOEL 111 5.00 8.18  
SPUNS SON 3 12 128 12 11 9 55 (hill f)BEJARANO R 124 6.00 3.76  
LEFT POCKET MONEY 6 7 6 6 7 7 6 (pittman bo)RODRIGUEZ A 119 30.00 66.27  
AUTO DIAL 9 6 4 5 4 4 7 (desormeaux keit)COHEN DAVID 118 12.00 19.01  
TEXCOCO 2 1 2½ 2½ 2nk 8 812¼ (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00 18.35  
POST TENEBRAS LUX 1 2 1½ 1½ 3.2 55 912½ (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 118 20.00 5% 19.00 22.08  
10  BON BUENO 10 9 7 7 8 10 1013 (short thomas)MORALES EDGAR 124 10.00 7% 12.60 13.90  
11  ROYAL DECADENCE 11 10 8 8 9 1110 1116½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 9.52  
12  SECRET EDGE 12 11 10 116 12 1214 1224 (hancock jack )MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 15.00 5% 19.00 57.81  
SCR  FIGHTERTOWN               (amoss m)GILLIGAN JACK 118 3.50    
SCR  NEAP TIDE               (lobo paulo)RODRIGUEZ A 113 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.