Handicappers' Race Results

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Saratoga
Friday - July 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

SAR-1   Win (7/8/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $29.40 $29.40 21.40
SAR-2   Win (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $20.20  
SAR-3   Win (1/2/5/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 1 $21.60 $21.60 11.60
SAR-4   Win (9/4/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $16.60 $16.60 8.60
SAR-5   Win (7/5/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  
SAR-6   Win (3/1/2/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 0 $16.00  
SAR-7   Win (7/5/8/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $7.50 $7.50  
SAR-8   Win (7/9/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  
SAR-9   Win (10/6/8/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 0 $11.00  
SAR-10   Win (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $13.00 $13.00 7.00
SAR-11   Win (1/10/6/4/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 0 $16.00  

Simulator Race results

 
SAR-1   07/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 ALL PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:223 :463 :584     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUSTIN AWAY 3 1 11 1nk   1nk 1nk (ferraro anthon)COA J 119 10.00 5% 19.00 13.70 W
MISCHIEF JOKE 7 4 42 31   2nk 2nk (maker j)ORTIZ L 119 2.00 65% 0.50 2.25 P
AGGELOS THE GREAT 4 2 21 2nk   3½ 31 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 1.60 S
SPLIT STRIKE 8 3 5 5   4 44 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.50 10% 9.20 4.20  
JAKE'S ORCHARD 5 5 7 7   7 512¼ (torelli stacy)FRET STEVEN 119 15.00 42.25  
EZ ROLL 6 8 6 6   5 613¼ (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00 22.90  
ERIC FROM MIAMI 2 9 89 8   810¾ 714¼ (de hor)SANTANA JR 119 6.00 7.30  
MITHRIDATES 1 6 3 4   69 816½ (chichakly amir)TORRES A 114 50.00 67.75  
LOVE THAT BIRD 9 7 9 913¾   915¼ 916¾ (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 119 20.00 5% 19.00 18.90  
 
SAR-2   07/28/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($156K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:44
See original race card.
:221 :443 :554     1:02   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INTO THE SUNRISE 5 1 11 11   1 1½ (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 124 8.00 9.10  
FAUCI 6 5 6 66   6 2½ (antonacci )SANTANA JR 122 4.00 2.65  
FLUID SITUATION 2 4 32 32   2 31 (terranova john)CASTELLANO J 124 10.00 25% 3.00 4.70 S
COMEDY TOWN 3 2 21 21   3 4 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 122 10.00 4.40  
KING ANGELO 1 6 55 54   5 5 (abreu r)ORTIZ L 124 2.50 26% 2.90 1.65  
SOUPER SUCCESS 4 3 4 42   4 6 (abreu fernan)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 12.00 15% 5.60 10.40  
SCR  ARTEMUS CITYLIMITS               (maker j)ORTIZ JR 122 1.80    
SCR  GUNTOWN               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 2.00    
SCR  LOOMS BOLDLY               (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.50    
SCR  MY HARBORS DREAM               (jacobson david)ORTIZ JR 124 6.00    
SCR  SCOCCIATORE               (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 122 4.00    
SCR  SURPRISE BOSS               (romero rafael)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 15.00    
 
SAR-3   07/28/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:25 :501 1:153 1:271   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIVER TAY (IRE) 8 7 4 42 3½ 1nk 1¼ (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 118 12.00 5% 19.00 9.80 W
CATSKILL HUMOR 2 9 8 7 7 6 2¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 3.80  
1A  LOOKINFORBARGAINS 9 8 9 9 9 7 3¼ (brown c)ORTIZ L 118 2.00 38% 1.70 2.20 S
VOLATILITY 6 6 5 6 5 3.2 4½ (terranova john )ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 2.50  
ST. BENEDICTS PREP 5 4 31 32 4 5 5¾ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.00 2.20  
KATIE'S CHECKRIDE 3 1 6 5 6 82 62 (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 12.50  
DREAM FLY 1 2 7 8 8 9 7 (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 124 5.00 32% 2.10 9.00  
WONDER GIRL 7 5 21 2½ 2nk 2nk 8 (klesaris rober)TORRES A 113 8.00 5% 19.00 10.80  
NURSEKRINGLEDANCES 4 3 11 1½ 1nk 4¼ 9 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 5% 19.00 25.75  
SCR  GRACEFUL               (friedman mitchell)DAVIS DYLAN 118 50.00    
SCR  PARIS STYLE (FR)               (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 118 8.00    
SCR  PARTY AT GRANTS               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 4.00    
SCR  TROPE               (motion gra)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00    
 
SAR-4   07/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($72K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:214 :443 1:101     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HYDRA 1 5 2½ 3   1½ 1 (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 120 5.00 7% 12.60 7.30 W
EVERYONELOVESLINDA 2 1 1½ 1½   3½ 2 (barker edward )TORRES A 115 10.00 14.50  
AWESOME INDRA 3 4 4 4   42 3 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 30% 2.40 13.00 S
QUICK MUNNY 8 3 3½ 2½   2½ 4 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 1.40 32% 2.20 0.95  
I'M BUZZY 6 7 7 7   6 58 (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 3.55  
CUSTOMEREXPERIENCE 4 6 6 5   5 69 (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00 10.00  
TRIPLE P 7 8 8 810½   810 718¼ (jones eduard)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 111 50.00 58.75  
ICY STARE DOWN 5 2 5 66   7 819¾ (ferraro ja)SANTANA JR 120 10.00 5% 19.00 8.80  
SCR  MY SWEET WIFE               (englehart chri)CASTELLANO J 120 6.00    
 
SAR-5   07/28/2023 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:252 :511 1:152 1:393   1:524   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLLOQUY 7 3 42 21 2nk 1 1 (morley thomas)TORRES A 120 1.40 40% 1.50 1.30 W
JACKSON HEIGHTS 4 5 7 6 5 410½ 2 (noda orlando)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.00 15% 5.50 2.25 P
BETA 5 1 11 11 1nk 2 37 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 125 3.50 21% 3.90 4.60 S
KAZ PALACE 2 7 32 31 3.2 3 4 (synnefias dim)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 7.00  
SOUNDS SPOOKY 6 2 21 4 4 511½ 512¼ (jones eduard)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 111 50.00 52.00  
ACH DU LIEBER 8 4 67 7 713¾ 616 612¾ (breed jr)DAVIS KATIE 125 15.00 30.25  
SON OF AN EX 1 8 812 8 814¾ 718½ 717¼ (henry neville)BROWN DALTON 125 8.00 14.70  
DR. MARBOOZ 3 6 56 5 6 823½ 830 (davis robb)DAVIS A 125 10.00 5% 19.00 24.00  
 
SAR-6   07/28/2023 7260ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:243 :491 1:15 1:392 2:031 2:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FARADAY 9 9 96 97 9 54 1¼ (brown c)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00 7.00  
SMART UNCLE 2 1½ 2½ 1 1 1½ 2¼ (thomas jonathan)ORTIZ L 118 3.50 7% 13.80 4.70 DQ↓3
SWORE 1 6 6 6 5 3 3¼ (motion gra)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 4.00 32% 2.10 2.05 P
10  TOOFAREASTISWEST 10 42 5 54 43 2½ 4 (trombetta j)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 5.70  
TYPHOON LAGOON 5 5 32 43 2 44 5 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00 14.00  
SACRED RHYME 3 10 109 109 10 6 6 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 32% 2.10 3.50  
ASTHROS 7 7 75 75 75 7 711¼ (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 124 10.00 5% 18.30 15.40  
WILD GUESS 8 2½ 1½ 2 3 88 815¼ (lewis l)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 30.00 5% 19.00 54.25  
PILKINGTON 6 8 86 87 86 910½ 915¾ (diodoro rob)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00 44.00  
BEE WELL 4 32 4 3 64 1012½ 1027½ (sisterson jac)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 15.00 34.00  
 
SAR-7   07/28/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
See original race card.
:212 :44 :553     1:014   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISARMED 5 4 4 4   1nk 1½ (rodriguez r)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.00 36% 1.70 2.75 W
CITY MISCHIEF 7 6 5 5   4 2½ (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 124 2.00 38% 1.60 2.05 P
HONOR AMONG MEN 8 1 2nk 1nk   2nk 3½ (englehart chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 12.00 5% 19.00 19.60 S
KREESA 6 7 7 7   6 4 (donk david)FRANCO MANUEL 124 8.00 6.20  
COURAGEOOUS OH LA 1 2 3½ 3   5 5 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 124 10.00 5% 19.00 21.00  
10  FEATHERS ROAD 9 8 8 6   7 6 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 8.00 5.70  
11  NOBLE HUNTSMAN 10 9 10 10   95 7 (friedman mitchell)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 11.20  
BRENNAN'S WAR 3 10 9 9   8 8 (gyarmati leah)CASTELLANO J 122 20.00 26.75  
LITTLE MADDY BROWN 4 3 1nk 2nk   3 95 (torelli stacy)BAEZ JOSE 124 30.00 5% 19.00 42.25  
DR. SETTLE'S DREAM 2 5 6 8   10 10 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 15.00 11.10  
SCR  BURN JAKEY BURN               (brown r)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00    
SCR  CAMM' DUKE               (ryerson t)RIDER TBA 118 12.00    
SCR  ZEEBEAR               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.00    
 
SAR-8   07/28/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3 ALL PT- 5:08
See original race card.
:224 :453 1:101     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROVE RIGHT 7 2 31 3.2   1 1 (chapman k)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00 14% 6.10 0.90 W
WARRIOR RICHARD 3 5 6 6   3 2 (falcone ro)SANTANA JR 118 10.00 10.80  
STREET SWAGG 6 3 54 5   2 3 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 120 5.00 46% 1.20 3.00 S
DANGEROUS RIDE 4 1 2½ 1nk   4 49 (david a)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50 8% 11.30 6.10  
DEVIL'S CAY 1 4 1½ 2nk   55 514 (miceli michael)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00 6% 16.30 11.60  
I RUN 2 6 4 4   6 614¼ (sharp joe)DAVIS DYLAN 118 20.00 23.90  
SOUND DOCTRINE 5 7 75 7   711½ 723¼ (d'angelo jose )CASTELLANO J 118 8.00 10.60  
SCR  JOKING WAY               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 3.50    
SCR  MIDNIGHT TROUBLE               (walder peter)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00    
 
SAR-9   07/28/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:44
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:113 1:23   1:344   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREDO 3 1 1 11 1nk 13 1 (sano antonio)ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 8.00 4.50  
10  SKI PATROL 10 4 32 5 4 23 2 (thomas jonathan)ORTIZ JR 123 2.50 43% 1.30 2.50 P
HARRY HOOD 8 5 2 21 2nk 33 3 (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00 8% 12.00 3.95 S
MISTER ABARRIO 4 3 53 42 3 4 4 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00 6% 15.60 19.80  
ARUBA (IRE) 1 2 6 6 6 5 5 (abreu r)ORTIZ L 125 8.00 5.90  
TIZ A GIANT 5 7 7 7 8 6 6 (trombetta mic)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 10.00 5% 19.00 13.90  
GAMER 6 10 9 8 7 7 7 (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 125 4.00 22% 3.50 4.30  
STJAMES 2 8 8 9 9 811¼ 8 (gyarmati leah)CASTELLANO J 125 30.00 37.25  
ACAMAR 9 6 43 32 5 916¼ 917½ (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 125 30.00 59.25  
LUCKY LUCKY LUKE 7 9 10 10 1011¾ 1020¼ 1020¼ (noda orlando)ROSARIO JOEL 120 15.00 24.25  
SCR  MODERN MIDAS               (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 123 15.00    
SCR  MONEY SUPPLY               (brown c)RIDER TBA 123 1.20    
SCR  MORNING CUP               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 2.50    
 
SAR-10   07/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC13 FAST Amsterdam Purse ($200K) 3 ALL PT- 6:18
See original race card.
:212 :433 1:074     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEW YORK THUNDER 5 2 1 1½   13 1 (delgado jorg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00 11% 8.00 5.50 W
DEER DISTRICT 2 3 45 4   3 2 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 5.00 8.40  
DREW'S GOLD 1 1 2 2½   23 3 (chapman k)ORTIZ L 122 1.80 46% 1.20 1.00 S
GILMORE 3 5 510 512½   513½ 414 (walsh p)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 12% 7.10 3.50  
RYVIT 4 4 34 36   410½ 521 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 124 3.00 3.50  
SCR  JOEY FRESHWATER               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 15.00    
 
SAR-11   07/28/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:52
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:12 1:352   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
URGENT FURY 3 1 1 1 11 14 1 (ortiz alexa)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00 7.00  
SIXWILLBERICH 5 3 5 45 42 24 2 (morley thomas)TORRES A 113 30.00 58.75  
10  VARIABLE COST (GB) 10 8 89 8 85 5 3 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 20% 4.10 3.35 S
NOSTALGIC ONE 7 9 910½ 9 7 6 3 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 7.20 DH
TIMO 1 6 7 7 53 34 5 (thomas jonathan)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.50 34% 2.00 3.95  
11  HIGHEST RATED (IRE) 11 11 1114 1111 11 8 66 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 5% 19.00 24.00  
FAST BOAT TO SKYE 2 2 2 2 21 4 76 (donk david)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00 4.50  
TWIRLING EXPRESS 6 4 3 3 32 7 8 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 14% 6.00 9.60  
LASTLY 8 12 1214½ 1211½ 128 10 9 (lerman s)GEROUX FLORENT 124 15.00 23.30  
BAD LARRY 4 5 6 5 64 9 1010¾ (maker michael )CASTELLANO J 118 20.00 10% 8.80 10.40  
12  FIRE BARON 12 10 1011½ 109 106 1114¾ 1116½ (paragallo jen)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 20.00 40.50  
MISTER MOORE 9 7 46 6 9 1218¾ 1221¼ (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00 31.00  
SCR  FIGHTING BACK               (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.80    
SCR  VIGANO               (zito nichola)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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