Handicappers' Race Results

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Colonial Downs
Thursday - July 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CNL-1   Win (2/6/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  
CNL-2   Win (5/1/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $9.00 $9.00 1.00
CNL-3   Win (2/6/8/3/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $6.80 $6.80  
CNL-4   Win (3/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $5.20 $5.20  
CNL-5   Win (3/5/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $18.60  
CNL-6   Win (10/4/5/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  
CNL-7   Win (11/3/5/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 11 1 1 $5.00 $5.00  
CNL-8   Win (9/1/6/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $8.80 $8.80  
CNL-9   Win (4/2/11/14/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $118.20 $118.20 108.20

Simulator Race results

 
CNL-1   07/27/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:231 :463 :59     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOK TOK 2 5 55 5   31 1½ (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 119 2.50 46% 1.20 0.60 W
A G DIAMOND 5 2 22 2   1nk 2½ (cascallares n)CASIQUE URBARDO 119 3.50 22% 3.50 3.60 P
RUDDY BUDDY 4 4 3 34   42 3 (werneth robert )FUENTES MARIO 119 30.00 40.90  
BELTANE 7 3 4 44   53 4 (aguirre jr)AVILES YAN 119 10.00 15.70  
GAMBLIN GEORGE 1 7 811½ 7   79 5 (kelley a)ROCCO S 119 15.00 9.90  
IMPERIALTY 6 1 12 1   2nk 6 (munoz carlos)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 8.00 4.70  
GRAND KINGDOM 8 8 67 67   64 7 (munoz carl)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 30.00 5% 19.00 30.60  
SUPER ROCKY 3 6 710 811½   821 824½ (pickett g)ACOSTA D 119 20.00 5% 19.00 40.80  
SCR  SHARDS               (danner kels)HERNANDEZ J 119 1.50    
 
CNL-2   07/27/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:111     1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEWY'S BEAST 1 1 11 12   17 112 (danner kel)GALLARDO A 119 2.50 18% 4.60 3.50 W
GLENBROOK GERRY 3 6 5 22   27 212 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 6.00 1.80  
MARCUS GIFT 6 5 6 54   311 312¼ (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 7.80  
ASCENDANCE 5 3 31 4   411½ 413¼ (russell brittan)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 1.50 38% 1.60 2.30  
DYNAMIC DEVOTION 2 4 21 32   513½ 523¾ (mcentee paul)ASHTON GAVIN 119 30.00 5% 19.00 63.60  
BAYTOWN CONNECTED 4 2 4 6   615½ 626¾ (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 119 10.00 5% 19.00 41.40  
CHACHACHING 7 7 7 7   719½ 742½ (asmussen steven)KARAMANOS A 119 3.50 4.10  
 
CNL-3   07/27/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($40K) 2 ALL PT- 2:38
See original race card.
:242 :502 1:144 1:27   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKELLIG ISLAND 6 7 65 6 6 43 1½ (maker j)KARAMANOS A 119 2.50 24% 3.20 2.40 W
DUSTIN THE DIAMOND 8 4 3 32 3½ 2nk 2½ (desormeaux )HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 5% 19.00 6.00 P
OLD FASHIONED GIRL 4 1 2nk 2½ 1½ 1nk 3 (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 116 30.00 5% 19.00 34.50 S
KINGDOM FORCE 2 9 910½ 7 7 5 43 (cash l)ASHTON GAVIN 119 1.80 31% 2.20 5.80  
GRUMPY BROOKSIE 9 6 54 53 41 32 5 (brooks ger)GALLARDO A 119 4.00 5.20  
ANOTHERDAYOFWORK 3 3 4 4 5 6 611½ (brooks e)CRUZ ANGEL 116 30.00 5% 19.00 34.00  
MELODY WIN 5 8 810 9 912¾ 814¼ 721¼ (ochoa gerard)AVILES YAN 119 10.00 31.60  
DESTINO 1 2 1nk 1½ 2½ 7 822½ (munoz carl)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 12.00 25.80  
MR. LEFTY 7 5 77 8 812¾ 915¼ 927¾ (munoz carlos)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 6.00 1.70  
 
CNL-4   07/27/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:22 :444 :563     1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POINT LIAM 6 5 5 5   4¾ 1½ (pompay terri)RUIZ JORGE 118 2.50 14% 6.00 1.60 W
PROUD CIVILIAN 2 3 1nk 1nk   2nk 2½ (brinkman brett)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 30.00 5% 19.00 22.30 P
VOCALIZE 3 2 2nk 2nk   3.2 31 (de hora)CARRASCO R 122 2.00 59% 0.70 2.10 S
FUN NOTION 4 6 6 62   1nk 41 (white alexandra)DELGADO A 118 5.00 18.70  
BOSS MAN J J 5 4 4 4   5 52 (salzman timothy)CENTENO E 122 3.50 3.00  
JETAROS 1 1 31 3   6 6 (pompay terri)MENESES MARCOS 118 4.50 4.30  
SCR  YAMIL               (escobar alis)MARQUEZ L 120 15.00    
 
CNL-5   07/27/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:39
See original race card.
:221 :45 :563     1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLLYWOOD WALK 4 6 4 31   3.2 1½ (trombetta michae)ROSADO JOHAN 122 10.00 8.30  
CHAMBEAU 5 1 1½ 1½   1nk 2½ (aguirre anthony)KARAMANOS A 124 2.50 23% 3.30 1.00 P
AFANDI 7 2 2½ 2½   2nk 3½ (dunham g)CENTENO E 122 4.50 13% 6.90 4.30 S
WHISPURRING KITTEN 3 5 52 6   4 4¾ (merryman michael)RUIZ JORGE 122 2.00 27% 2.80 3.20  
MOANAS POWER 1 3 3 4   6 5 (munoz carlos)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 30.00 18.80  
OUR STRONG VOWS 8 8 63 5   5 6 (godsey den)ASHTON GAVIN 122 30.00 43.50  
BAHAMIAN MOON 6 7 8 8   7 7 (bowersock maria)BOYCE FOREST 122 12.00 9% 9.70 17.50  
CANADA'S CUSTOMS 2 4 7 7   8 8 (asmussen ste)SANCHEZ J 122 6.00 14.20  
SCR  SHOSHANAH               (horlacher kyle)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 8.00    
 
CNL-6   07/27/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:10
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:114 1:354   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  WILLAKIA 9 6 11 1 12 1 1 (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 122 3.00 50% 1.00 1.00 W
SURYA (ARG) 4 9 910 9 9 7 2 (russell brittany)BOYCE FOREST 122 3.50 11% 8.50 5.30 P
YOUENS 8 8 7 64 6 42 3 (nixon justin)KARAMANOS A 122 6.00 9.40  
COLOR CRUSH 2 7 44 5 4 2 4 (allen ferr)SANCHEZ J 122 5.00 14.80  
FACCIA BELLA 5 1 54 43 3 32 58 (raven kerr)GALLARDO A 118 4.50 8% 10.80 3.80  
CINDY'S SONG 1 3 21 2 22 5 6 (rondon-mora carlos)BRACHO A 122 12.00 23.50  
BRUSHING 3 2 3 3 5 6 710¼ (dunham g)CENTENO E 122 10.00 5% 19.00 11.70  
MARIA'S HONOR 7 5 87 8 7 8 813¾ (cibelli jane)ROCCO S 122 8.00 5% 19.00 20.90  
SAPPHIRE STAR 6 4 6 75 8 9 914¼ (matz r)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 30.00 21.70  
SCR  ITALIAN DRESSING               (smith a)CRUZ ANGEL 122 30.00    
 
CNL-7   07/27/2023 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:244 :493 1:132 1:37   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  YANKEE DOLLAR 10 1 1 11 11 14 1 (vitali mar)GALLARDO A 123 2.00 60% 0.70 1.50 W
MISTY MAUVE 3 10 10 9 84 5 2 (sanchez-salomon ro)RUIZ JORGE 123 8.00 20.00  
LEA RO 6 2 2 32 4 24 3 (campbell michael)CASTANON L 123 20.00 5% 19.00 22.70 S
BALI KUTA 1 3 4 6 6 6 4 (brion keri)CARRASCO R 123 6.00 2.10  
INANNA'S QUEST 4 7 5 4 3 4 5 (ashby lynn)AVILES YAN 125 3.00 5% 19.00 5.30  
PANOTTI 2 6 7 8 95 7 6 (o'connell kathle)BOYCE FOREST 123 4.50 12% 7.10 5.90  
BRUMMAGEM 7 4 3 21 21 34 7 (pickett g)ACOSTA D 123 30.00 70.30  
NIBBLES 5 8 9 10 106 98 8 (sanchez-salomon ro)CRUZ ANGEL 123 15.00 33.40  
LADY DOMINANCE 8 5 6 5 5 8 910¾ (schuh tim)MENESES MARCOS 123 20.00 5% 19.00 15.00  
10  STARRY HOPE 9 9 8 75 7 10 1015 (mcgoey mon)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 30.00 56.80  
SCR  TOUT ENSEMBLE               (meehan elizabe)WHITACRE GRANT 123 20.00    
 
CNL-8   07/27/2023 5940ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:08
See original race card.
:224 :471 1:112 1:37   1:492   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARTEMUS BRIDGE 6 9 9 9 8 1nk 1 (klesaris ste)SANCHEZ J 123 3.50 18% 4.40 3.40 W
VELOCE 1 7 5 54 4 2nk 2 (gutierrez faustio)RUIZ JORGE 123 2.50 24% 3.20 1.90 P
10  CANDY KINGDOM 10 8 8 76 75 4¾ 37 (zook w)CARRASCO R 121 10.00 11.70  
MISTA DONZELLA 4 3 34 31 3 5 4 (wasiluk jr)GOLIBRZUCH S 123 8.00 11% 8.10 17.50  
LUIS TWO GUNS 3 5 21 21 2½ 3½ 510¾ (cascallares ne)MENESES MARCOS 123 30.00 30.30  
ERIC THE SALESMAN 2 6 6 65 6 6 612¼ (zook w)AVILES YAN 121 15.00 12.30  
LOKOYA ROAD 5 10 10 10 1010½ 7 714¼ (jones e)ACOSTA D 123 20.00 49.50  
SAVVY LAYLA 7 1 7 8 9 98 824¾ (mcgoey monica)KARAMANOS A 123 10.00 5% 19.00 4.40  
JOE PHILLIPS 9 4 11 11 1½ 8 926 (raven kerr)GALLARDO A 123 2.00 24% 3.10 4.20  
RESIDENT LIBERAL 8 2 44 42 5 109 1027¾ (walters j)DELGADO A 121 30.00 34.70  
 
CNL-9   07/27/2023 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:37
See original race card.
1:07         1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILL I PLAY 4 12 11 105   3 1¼ (godsey den)ASHTON GAVIN 119 30.00 5% 19.00 58.10 W
13  BRIGHT MOON 12 11 12 12   65 2¼ (russell brittany)BOYCE FOREST 119 8.00 8.90  
11  MOLLIE TAPPER 10 9 9 5   1½ 3¼ (sanchez-salomon ro)CRUZ ANGEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00 19.40 S
CHANTILLY MOON (PER) 2 10 5 6   54 42 (brown a)ACOSTA D 124 30.00 93.60  
10  LUNA AMARILLA 9 13 1311½ 1311½   97 5 (marrero nestor)MENDEZ KEVIN 124 5.00 9.80  
BLUE TWIRLIN 3 2 3½ 4   44 6 (casse mark)GALLARDO A 124 4.00 47% 1.10 1.70  
MS EXCUSE 5 7 7 7   76 7 (cascallares n)CASIQUE URBARDO 119 20.00 29.10  
12  BEER BALI 11 3 2nk 1nk   2½ 8 (gulick james)ALONSO LUIS 119 4.50 6.00  
WELL RESTED 6 8 104 11   108 9 (pessanha ne)CARRASCO R 119 30.00 ######  
14  AIN'T NONCENTS 13 6 41 31   8 10 (duffy sean)MENESES MARCOS 124 15.00 5% 19.00 20.20  
DELIZIOSA 7 5 6 95   11 11 (ochoa gerard)AVILES YAN 119 30.00 83.20  
ROMANCE IN HABANA 8 4 82 8   1310 1212½ (munoz carlos)JIMENEZ MANNY 124 20.00 26.00  
BURN THE BREEZE 1 1 1nk 2nk   129 1317¾ (romero rafael)RUIZ JORGE 119 3.50 24% 3.10 2.20  
SCR  TEA'S DREAM               (wasiluk jr)CASTANON L 124 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.