Handicappers' Race Results

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Great Falls
Sunday - July 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

GF-1   Win (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $17.80  
GF-2   Win (1/7/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $8.00 $8.00  
GF-3   Win (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $7.20 $7.20 1.20
GF-4   Win (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $10.00 $10.00 4.00
GF-5   Win (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.80 $4.80  
GF-6   Win (7/4/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $3.00 $3.00  
GF-7   Win (2/6/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $14.00  

Simulator Race results

 
GF-1   07/23/2023 3465ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
1:074         1:074   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUALITY GRANDSON 2 4 33 35   2 1¼ (meineke j)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 122 6.00 7.90  
LOOPY DUDE 1 1 11 1   1 2¼ (nelson buckshot)GAMEZ M 122 3.50 28% 2.60 0.90 P
MARGOT 6 6 55 47   4 37 (schindler )HERNANDEZ J 121 2.00 10.00  
PINE COVE 5 3 21 2   35 4 (birdrattler natha)GERVAIS M 122 4.00 16.40  
GEBO 4 2 4 5   56 58 (warren kayl)IRONEYES R 121 3.00 26% 2.90 1.20  
PATS RIO GRAY 3 5 68 625½   636 658¼ (lawrence)BIRDRATTLER E 126 8.00 18% 4.50 22.70  
 
GF-2   07/23/2023 3465ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($6.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
See original race card.
1:073         1:073   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARBUCKLE OUTLAW 1 7 5 44   31 1 (schindler )HERNANDEZ J 126 4.00 55% 0.80 3.00 W
CAJUN FIRE 4 1 2nk 2nk   1½ 2 (nelson buckshot)GERVAIS M 122 4.50 2.20  
OAKDALE ROAD 8 4 1nk 1nk   2½ 3 (meineke jessica)LARSEN S 122 6.00 8.00  
TOM'S MOON 2 8 65 5   45 4 (dennis g)GAMEZ M 126 5.00 10.40  
DREAMED IT 3 6 810½ 32   58 512¼ (reevis n)BIRDRATTLER E 126 7.00 5% 19.00 5.60  
PALACEDANCER 7 3 3½ 6   614 621 (birdrattl)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 121 3.00 22% 3.50 5.20  
BERACUDA HEART 5 2 4 711½   716 721¼ (birdrattler)IRONEYES R 121 10.00 5% 19.00 21.20  
OFF AGAIN ON AGAIN 6 5 710 814½   820 825¾ (birdrattler tim)CALVA R 126 8.00 6.20  
 
GF-3   07/23/2023 3465ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($4K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
See original race card.
1:074         1:074   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRUIN MAGIC 1 3 1nk 1   1 1 (schindler )HERNANDEZ J 126 5.00 28% 2.50 2.60 W
IMA CARPE DIEM 5 2 3½ 42   2 2 (warren kayl)IRONEYES R 117 2.00 34% 1.90 4.20 P
PREDICATION 2 4 4 32   5 3 (birdrattl)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 7.00 10% 9.30 3.20 S
FLUSHING FLASH 4 5 53 54   4 4 (crooked dale)ROCK ZACH 126 4.00 3.10  
NUMMY NUM 3 1 2nk 2   3 5 (nelson buckshot)GERVAIS M 126 2.50 2.20  
 
GF-4   07/23/2023 3465ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($5K) 3UP C/G PT- 7:15
See original race card.
1:072         1:072   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAN GIORGIO 4 1 1½ 2½   2nk 11 (warren kayla)GERVAIS M 126 3.00 51% 1.00 4.00 W
DARKSABER 3 2 2½ 1½   1nk 21 (birdrattler terranc)GAMEZ M 126 3.50 24% 3.20 2.00 P
TWO SOCKS MAC 6 5 6 6   4 3 (dennis clif)IRONEYES R 121 6.00 5.60  
MAXIMUS THE GREAT 5 6 5 45   32 4 (ecoffey gilbe)FENNELL JERAMIE 126 2.00 3.90  
THE BONDSMAN 2 4 45 5   5 5 (cross p)LARSEN S 126 8.00 5% 19.00 11.30  
WESTA WAVERLY 1 3 3 3   6100 6100 (schindler )HERNANDEZ J 126 4.00 2.40  
 
GF-5   07/23/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($5.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:40
See original race card.
1:291         1:291   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEXAS LONG BOW 6 2 12 1nk   14 1 (nelson buckshot)GERVAIS M 126 3.00 25% 2.90 1.40 W
SCOOTER'S BOY 2 4 5 5   24 2 (ecoffey gilbe)FENNELL JERAMIE 126 6.00 6.20  
SPORTY FLYER 5 6 6 6   4 310¾ (lawrence jo)IRONEYES R 121 4.00 13.30  
GOTTA LOVE IKE 4 3 22 3.2   37 412 (birdrattl)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 3.50 33% 2.00 1.70  
DEVIL'S TEETH 3 5 4 2nk   512½ 519¾ (depew ji)BIRDRATTLER E 126 2.00 18% 4.70 4.30  
GO ADMIRAL GO 1 1 32 4¼   613½ 621 (burd marci)ROCK ZACH 126 8.00 10.80  
 
GF-6   07/23/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($4K) Purse ($5.55K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:05
See original race card.
1:284         1:284   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOOTIE 4 2 2½ 1½   15 110¼ (nelson buckshot)GERVAIS M 126 3.50 17% 4.90 0.50 W
MAGIC IN A HAT 5 4 3 3   35 210¼ (schindler )HERNANDEZ J 126 3.00 8% 10.80 4.80 P
BAD OUTLOOK 7 1 1½ 2½   25 310¾ (birdrattler nathani)GAMEZ M 126 1.40 52% 0.90 3.00 S
MALIBU ROSE 6 7 68 58   413 424½ (meineke jessica)LARSEN S 126 10.00 13.60  
HADLEYS CHARM 3 5 5 6   518 531¾ (birdrattl)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 10.00 27.00  
NINADAVINA 1 3 4 4   624 643½ (birdratt)BIRDRATTLER E 126 9.00 5% 19.00 14.80  
SERENGETI SIX 2 6 716 719½   726 744½ (lawrence jo)IRONEYES R 121 8.00 29.00  
 
GF-7   07/23/2023 3465ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($5.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:30
See original race card.
1:071         1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAYNESPUN 5 1 2½ 2½   12 1 (warren kayl)IRONEYES R 121 3.50 6.00  
FOREST SONG 7 4 45 46   3 2 (schmitt )BIRDRATTLER E 126 9.00 6% 14.50 11.60 P
IMA TROUBLE MAKER 2 3 1½ 1½   22 3 (nelson buckshot)GAMEZ M 126 1.40 34% 2.00 0.70 S
BRINEE 1 5 58 58   4 411½ (cross p)LARSEN S 126 3.00 10.80  
MISTY MATT 6 7 714½ 616   610 514¼ (depew jim)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 8.00 16% 5.30 4.20  
POSEIDON'S MAGIC 3 2 31 34   5 615 (fitzpatrick ryan)ROCK ZACH 126 10.00 8.30  
STERN 4 6 614 718   712 718¼ (lawrence jost)FENNELL JERAMIE 126 5.00 15% 5.90 13.50  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.