Handicappers' Race Results

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Saratoga
Friday - July 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

SAR-1   Win (7/9/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $27.80  
SAR-2   Win (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $8.80  
SAR-3   Win (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $3.00 $3.00  
SAR-4   Win (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $6.90 $6.90 0.90
SAR-5   Win (7/11/14/13/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 15 1 0 $6.10  
SAR-6   Win (13/9/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 13 1 1 $12.20 $12.20 4.20
SAR-7   Win (5/9/11/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $7.40 $7.40  
SAR-8   Win (6/7/2/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $24.40 $24.40 14.40
SAR-9   Win (5/3/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $13.00  
SAR-10   Win (1/9/12/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  

Simulator Race results

 
SAR-1   07/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 ALL PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:222 :454 :583     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BILLY THE GREEK 1 3 3 3   31 1hd (joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 12.90  
FOXHOLE 6 2 2½ 2½   2nk 2hd (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 30% 2.40 0.70 P
ANCHISES 5 4 42 4   4 3½ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00 7% 12.70 13.80 S
SAME OLD FEARS 4 1 1½ 1½   1nk 4 (ward a)ORTIZ L 116 2.50 30% 2.40 3.95  
COWBOY CODE 2 6 613 611   6 5 (lukas wayne)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 12.00 8.60  
EVERY FOUR YEARS 3 5 53 52   55 6 (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 4.90  
SCR  REVEREND MOON               (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 5.00    
SCR  SAM'S TREASURE               (ward a)ORTIZ L 116 2.00    
SCR  SHARDS               (danner kelsey)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50    
SCR  WEEKEND CONCERTO               (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00    
 
SAR-2   07/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($162.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
See original race card.
:22 :45 :57     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEADLAND 5 3 2½ 1nk   1 1 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.50 3.40  
TOP GUN GIRL 4 1 1½ 2nk   2 2 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 124 4.50 14% 6.00 3.10 P
ROSEBUG 2 4 53 3   33 3 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 126 1.80 28% 2.60 2.25 S
EDIE MEENY MINY MO 3 2 31 4   44 49 (hemingway mich)CASTELLANO J 122 8.00 11.60  
BRAGANZA 1 5 4 5   57 522 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 126 2.00 26% 2.80 1.90  
SCR  HEY MAMALUKE               (farro patrici)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 15.00    
 
SAR-3   07/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($46K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:121 1:243   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ORDER OF MAGNITUDE 4 4 1½ 1 1 16 1 (david a)SAEZ LUIS 125 3.00 38% 1.60 0.50 W
EMPIRE RIDE 3 2 3 32 2 26 2 (morley thomas)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 4.00  
CUMBERLAND BLUES 2 5 55 55 45 3 311¾ (noda orlando)ROSARIO JOEL 125 12.00 7.00  
LIFE AND LIGHT 1 1 4 43 5 515½ 421 (pringle edmund)BRIDGMOHAN X 120 20.00 5% 19.00 18.30  
BODOCK 5 3 2½ 2 34 415 522¾ (barkley ja)SANTANA JR 123 6.00 35% 1.90 5.60  
SCR  CLASSIC MARK               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 125 1.80    
SCR  PORTOS               (chichakly ami)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 2.50    
 
SAR-4   07/21/2023 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Curlin Purse ($135K) 3 ALL PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:111 1:354   1:491   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCOTLAND 4 1 11 1nk 1nk 11 1 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 2.00 29% 2.40 2.45 W
IL MIRACOLO 5 2 21 2nk 2nk 21 2 (sano antonio)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00 15.50  
BLAZING SEVENS 3 4 5 31 31 33 3 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 0.80 46% 1.20 0.70 S
LOST ARK 2 5 42 4 5 4 410¾ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 5% 19.00 3.95  
PERFORM 1 3 3 5 4 511½ 520¾ (mcgaughey claud)VELAZQUEZ R 124 8.00 16.00  
 
SAR-5   07/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:223 :464 :59     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
15  TIE BREAKER 11 6 4 4   11 1 (duggan p)ORTIZ JR 124 3.50 2.05  
11  VAUNTED 7 7 5 52   4 2 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 19% 4.20 7.10 P
14  UNDER THE KNIFE 10 2 31 2nk   21 37 (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 119 8.00 19% 4.30 29.50 S
SINALOA 4 3 7 7   6 4 (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50 32% 2.10 3.40  
WOODSIDE WARRIOR 1 8 65 63   5 510¼ (friedman mitc)MARTINEZ R 119 30.00 5% 19.00 12.60  
THE GOLDEN ONE 2 10 1110¼ 11   9 610¾ (chichakly )SANTANA JR 119 20.00 45.50  
IMPULSIVE SPENDING 3 4 9 9   74 710¾ (arenas marcelo)CARMOUCHE K 119 20.00 22.90  
12  ALPHA SONNY 8 9 8 8   8 811 (ferraro w)BROWN DALTON 124 6.00 19.30 DH
STEERAGE 5 1 1½ 1nk   31 811 (thompson marc)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 8.00 6.10 DH
13  SIN NOMBRE 9 11 10 10   11 1014 (handal raymond)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.50 7% 13.20 7.30  
10  IT'S NOT MY FAULT 6 5 2½ 3½   10 1128¾ (brown r)LEZCANO JOSE 119 20.00 25.75  
SCR  ACADEMY CHOICE               (begg bentle)DAVIS KATIE 119 8.00    
SCR  BANKINGONACHANCE               (clement christop)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 5.00    
SCR  RIPE FOR MISCHIEF               (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 124 4.00    
SCR  TYRANNOSAURUS REX               (sells rachel)GOMEZ O 124 12.00    
SCR  WAR PRINCE               (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00    
 
SAR-6   07/21/2023 7260ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($149.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:24 :49 1:134 1:382   2:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
13  COSTA TERRA 8 6 6 53 2 2nk 1 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 123 2.50 27% 2.70 5.10 W
ROYAL SPIRIT 2 21 2 2½ 1 1nk 2 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 8.00 11% 8.30 14.30 P
O CAPTAIN 4 42 32 3 3 35 314 (delgado gust)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 8.00 13% 6.60 0.80 S
C FALLS 1 11 1 1½ 4 46 418 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 123 6.00 10.10  
CATCH THAT PARTY 5 7 7 7 5 59 520¼ (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 125 3.50 25% 3.10 5.30  
GOOD MEDICINE 3 32 4 6 6 710¾ 621½ (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 6.00 12.10  
10  HILLIARD 6 8 8 8 710 610½ 724 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 123 15.00 30.25  
1A  BABY BILLY 7 53 53 43 814 8100 8100 (sisterson jack)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 15.30  
SCR  CLEVER THOUGHT               (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00    
SCR  DANZIGWITHTHESTARS               (schettino dominick )SAEZ LUIS 125 8.00    
SCR  IRWIN (IRE)               (antonacci philip)ORTIZ L 125 5.00    
SCR  LORD FLINTSHIRE               (brion keri)CASTELLANO J 123 12.00    
SCR  MO Z               (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 125 6.00    
SCR  TIZ A GIANT               (trombetta mic)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 20.00    
 
SAR-7   07/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
See original race card.
:23 :454 1:103     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ABADIN 5 5 1nk 1½   1 1 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 43% 1.30 2.70 W
TREATY OBLIGATION 6 3 6 6   33 2 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50 6% 16.60 6.00 P
COALVILLE 8 4 7 52   2 3 (brown c)CASTELLANO J 119 4.00 19% 4.30 4.80 S
LUCENCY 4 6 5 7   7 4 (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 15.70  
10  SILO RIDGE 9 2 2nk 2½   55 5 (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 13.00  
BIG NIGHT OUT 2 7 4 4   43 6 (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 8.30  
11  CREATE TROUBLE 10 1 31 31   6 7 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 12% 7.60 2.60  
BREES 1 10 1011¼ 1013   1012¼ 811½ (mcgaughey claud)FRANCO MANUEL 119 15.00 34.50  
GAME KEEPER 7 8 910¼ 9   910¾ 911¾ (lukas wayne)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00 5% 19.00 38.00  
MOTIVO 3 9 8 84   8 1012 (dutrow e)ROSARIO JOEL 119 12.00 23.40  
SCR  UNCLECHARLIESGIFT               (zito nicho)SANTANA JR 119 30.00    
 
SAR-8   07/21/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($156K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:122 1:364   1:49   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRIGHT FUTURE 6 4 21 2 21 1 1 (pletcher todd )CASTELLANO J 124 4.50 47% 1.10 11.20 W
SPEED BIAS 2 5 11 1 11 2 2 (moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.00 14% 6.00 2.35 P
ARTORIUS 7 3 42 42 32 3 3 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 16% 5.30 1.55 S
THE REDS 3 6 32 32 42 44 4 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00 5% 19.00 8.20  
CURBSTONE 1 9 53 7 8 5 512¼ (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00 6.80  
CONSTITUTIONLAWYER 5 8 7 63 55 6 619¼ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00 23.00  
MAJOR BLUE 9 2 8 8 76 811 722 (lukas wayn)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 50.00 37.50  
KUCHAR 4 7 9 9 97 710½ 822¼ (pletcher a)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00 5% 19.00 11.20  
MONTAUK POINT 8 1 6 5 6 914 939 (mcgaughey claud)VELAZQUEZ R 124 15.00 25.25  
 
SAR-9   07/21/2023 5280ft TURF RC12 YIELDING Lake George Purse ($175K) 3 F PT- 5:44
See original race card.
:25 :494 1:142 1:261   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SURGE CAPACITY 1 2 4 3 4 1nk 1¾ (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00 5.50  
TAX IMPLICATIONS (GB) 2 1 3 4 3 31 2¾ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00 26% 2.90 3.75 P
10  SECRET MONEY 8 4 1 1½ 1½ 2nk 31 (walsh brendan )CASTELLANO J 120 10.00 9.20  
REVALITA (FR) 4 5 7 7 6 55 4 (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 38% 1.70 2.40  
LIGURIA 3 3 64 64 5 4 5 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 16% 5.40 2.10  
TRYINMYHEARTOUT 6 8 8 86 74 6 6 (camejo m)VELAZQUEZ R 120 30.00 29.50  
PRINCESS BETTINA 7 6 2 2½ 2½ 7 7 (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 122 12.00 15.90  
LIL MISS MOONLIGHT 5 7 53 53 8 812¾ 818 (hamm timothy)SAEZ LUIS 118 30.00 5% 19.00 34.25  
SCR  QUEEN PICASSO (GB)               (clement christop)ORTIZ L 122 6.00    
SCR  UTILIZATION RATE (FR)               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50    
 
SAR-10   07/21/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:18
See original race card.
:242 :474 1:123 1:253   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOURBON CHASE 1 5 75 54 31 1½ 1 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 55% 0.80 0.80 W
MISSION HILL 2 4 3 3 41 2½ 2 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 118 12.00 6.80  
12  LT. MITCHELL 8 2 11 11 1½ 3 3 (rice linda)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 5% 19.00 5.00 S
10  UTAMARO 7 3 43 64 6 68 411¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00 10.30  
BORDER PATROL 4 1 21 21 53 5 513¼ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00 39.75  
TONY O 5 7 8 8 88 7 614¾ (donk david)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00 11.10  
ALL GOOD HERE 6 8 54 42 2½ 4 720¼ (clement christop)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.50 20% 4.10 6.30  
TIP OF THE BOOT 3 6 64 7 77 89 821¼ (coffey mar)DAVIS A 118 30.00 5% 19.00 62.00  
SCR  BASTION               (albertrani thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 124 30.00    
SCR  CHULLIGAN               (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 12.00    
SCR  IMPAZIBLE PRINCE               (albright geor)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 20.00    
SCR  PASCHAL MOON               (camejo m)VELAZQUEZ R 118 15.00    
SCR  PRIX DE WEST               (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 8.00    
SCR  SCREW LOOSE               (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00    
SCR  SLAPINTHEFACE               (dutrow anthony )FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00    
SCR  STOW ON THE WOLD               (donk david)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.